gratiaeo:

PDP is sure of getting 49% in osun they did during governorship election

PDP did not get 49% of votes. Adeleke did. If Tinubu had reached out to Adeleke, with the right offer those votes would be in APC. Don't appropriate family heritage popularity to PDP. All politics is local. I have relatives who voted for Adeleke. They have not heard the name Atiku before. In any case, the mistake of that governorship election is going to be corrected. Unless your wishful thinking includes the expectation that APC will sit down and watch Osun go to PDP. You are actually entitled to that expectation but it's not wise

Buhariislifeles:


Odiegwu.
Atiku will defeat Buhari hands down in the Northeast by about 65% , dont you know that people are tired of Buahri in the north? Northerners will not vote him this time. Buahri is gone

You people will never stop making noise like mosquitos. Who are you to speak for the north? Okay, the SE will give 90% to Buhari

gentlegenius:

Hmmm... The north east loves buhari because he was their governor in the 70s.
Give yourself a round of applause.
But before you do that, answer this: Where were the north east when buhari lost 3 consecutive presidential elections between 2003 and 2011?

The NE does not win elections for a candidate. Elections are won by winning NW and SW. That is why I am laughing at this brain dead thread. It is completely meaningless. NW/SW are the levers of victory. However Buhari is very strong in the NE as well.

SternProphet:


The NE does not win elections for a candidate. Elections are won by winning NW and SW. That is why I am laughing at this brain dead thread. It is completely meaningless. NW/SW are the levers of victory. However Buhari is very strong in the NE as well.

I don't care who Atiku is, but the hard truth is that Nigerians everywhere are tired of buhari's administration and majority wants him out. When GEJ lost in 2015, Nigerians were not fed up with him as they are with Buhari today.

senatordave1:

Very nonsense analysis.atiku has little or no grassroot links or connection in the north east.the op is high on atikulooted weed.buhari has always won heavily in bauchi,borno,yobe and gombe.atiku can only win taraba and adamawa narrowly.even im adamawa,hes struggling and may lose to buhari.

Based on my analysis,it will be:
Borno apc 800,000. Pdp 100,000

Yobe. Apc 600,000 pdp 100,000

Bauchi. Apc 1 million pdp 200,000

Gombe. Apc 500,000. Pdp 200,000

Adamawa. Apc 300000. Pdp 400000

Taraba. Apc 200000. Pdp 300000

Cc aiel123, kyase,fergie001, adegbaraogboye, penguin2

senatordave1:

Making blanket or generalized predictions based on mass disenchantment with this regime,sharing votes up north or losing the middle belt will hold no water.its just theory.if you go on a state by state or lg by lg analysis,atiku has no chance.

If atiku is serious,he has to go back and consolidate his ss/se base which apc is currently overrunning.he must abandon all attempts of dividing the core north,its not possible.getting a bloc vote in ss/se that will exceed what gej got in 2015,throwing everything in the sw/nc is the only play he has now.he has less than 4 months.he may end up winning just the ss/se.he cant even get a firm grip of adamawa.

Cc aiel123, penguin2

garfield1:


Cc aiel123, kyase,fergie001, adegbaraogboye, penguin2

This was against almighty Buhari

What were the final results

Kyase:


This was against almighty Buhari

Apc might take taraba guber

garfield1:


Apc might take taraba guber

After Bwacha wins in Appeal Court?

fergie001:

After Bwacha wins in Appeal Court?

Yes,I just did the calculations.I now know why apc insisted on giving him the ticket,nothing is stopping him.
Umahi just won at the appeal

garfield1:


Yes,I just did the calculations.I now know why apc insisted on giving him the ticket,nothing is stopping him.
Umahi just won at the appeal

Nothing is stopping him?
I will comment when he scales through Appeal first.

On Umahi, posted on fp already.

fergie001:

Nothing is stopping him?
I will comment when he scales through Appeal first.

On Umahi, posted on fp already.

Yes bar supreme not appeal though its a bad case.he has to reach out to the appellants

garfield1:


Yes bar supreme not appeal though its a bad case.he has to reach out to the appellants

Another Aspirant also has him in Court on same subject matter, judgement is next month.

Pls mark my words, apart from Lagos, no where in SW will Tinubu secure 25%....óyá tun sọmi

MalcoImX:
Mark my words, in the NE, Atiku can only win Taraba and possibly Adamawa. Notice that even in his native Adamawa I said "possibly."