MalcoImX:
A fair assessment of Buhari's and Atiku's chances in the 2019 elections

[s]This analysis is hypothetical, but akin to the electoral college system practiced in many countries. It may still consists of lapses but still better than emotional permutations which most people (especially here) are fond of doing.

Here, Nigeria is divided into six (6) geopolitical regions and each region is allocated 100% which will later equate to 100 points. It does not mean you have all the votes in the region, but like the electoral college system you take all the points allocated to that region if you have higher presence/advantages or votes. And, in the event where there's a perception of a tight race, the votes or points are split 50/50 between contenders.

Here we go:


BUHARI

North East: 100%
North West: 100%
North Central: 50%
South West: 100%
South East: 0%
South South: 0%

Total = 350 Points

ATIKU

North East: 0%
North West: 0%
North Central: 50%
South West: 0%
South East: 100%
South South: 100%

Total = 250 Points

So, by this methodology, it could be seen that Atiku would have 250 points as against Buhari's 350 points, and therefore, by that Buhari is expected to trounce Atiku by as much as 100 points.

As you BuhaRebuild and Atikulate, remember you first heard it hear.[/s]

busky007:
do u mean people arenttiredof buhari

SarkinYarki:
If you knew anything about fairness you would not be supporting Buhari on the first place

MalcoImX:
"Men lie, women lie, but numbers don't " - Jay Z.

MalcoImX:
How is this supporting Buhari? That's why I stated in the beginning that this isn't emotionally-laden. We all would want what we wished to be, but reality may be different.

SarkinYarki:


First of all you are wrong to think Buhari will get 100 percent on the Southwest and 50 percent in the north central , it clearly shows you are just joking

MalcoImX:
"Men lie, women lie, but numbers don't " - Jay Z.

busky007:
politics may be a game of number but it is not maths pls

gurunlocker:
SW 100% for Buhari? I pity you...


Buhari won SW not because SW likes Buhari or because he has something to offer but because SW was angry with GEJ, automatically Bubu benefitted from that. So for you to think bubu will get 100% vote in SW come next year means you live in illusion.

Same goes for NE!

MalcoImX:
Mark it, nothing could be further from this permutation, unless there's rigging.

busky007:
so who will rig?

ur favorite APC

busky007:
centino baba see undertaker 4 katakata street

MalcoImX:
A fair assessment of Buhari's and Atiku's chances in the 2019 elections

This analysis is hypothetical, but akin to the electoral college system practiced in many countries. It may still consists of lapses but still better than emotional permutations which most people (especially here) are fond of doing.

Here, Nigeria is divided into six (6) geopolitical regions and each region is allocated 100% which will later equate to 100 points. It does not mean you have all the votes in the region, but like the electoral college system you take all the points allocated to that region if you have higher presence/advantages or votes. And, in the event where there's a perception of a tight race, the votes or points are split 50/50 between contenders.

Here we go:


BUHARI

North East: 100%
North West: 100%
North Central: 50%
South West: 100%
South East: 0%
South South: 0%

Total = 350 Points

ATIKU

North East: 0%
North West: 0%
North Central: 50%
South West: 0%
South East: 100%
South South: 100%

Total = 250 Points

So, by this methodology, it could be seen that Atiku would have 250 points as against Buhari's 350 points, and therefore, by that Buhari is expected to trounce Atiku by as much as 100 points.

As you BuhaRebuild and Atikulate, remember you first heard it here.

gare:


Malcolmx, I believe you have slept for too long pls could you wake, your assessment of NE and NC is very wrong, even the SW PMB is a goner, quote me anytime, you will remember that I Gare said, there is no amount of insults or Character assissnation that will stop it

See mine for Atiku below and wake from your slumber.

NE: 70%
NC: 75 %
SW: 55%
SS:110%
SE:110%

you can take it to the bank anytime you are sure of getting a loan for it

MalcoImX:
Whatever is said won't be easily believed by those who've made up their minds. I eagerly wait for the electioneering campaigns to begin. We will see who'll pull the most crowds in the NE, NC NW and SW.

gare:


Bro it is not about Crowd, but the numbers that will Vote, Campaign crowd is different from the actual Voting

MalcoImX:
Crowds are tests of popularity, which may translate to voting strengths.

MalcoImX:
Pragmatism entails looking out for yourself. A dislike for GEJ could be a factor, so also whose interest is being served best. Ask yourself: Why would a SWner go for GEJ and Sambo when he has Osinbajo in Buhari's radar? For the same reason, why would he still go for Atiku/Obi, when it's human nature that he'd best feel at home (even if it's just the feeling) with Osinbajo.

gmercy713:
You tried but you need to know that in politics polls doesn't matter even in US where we more educated lads that can't be bought with a token and handkerchiefs the election was an irony of the predicted poll by the so called experts.

APC and PDP have party structure in every state. So it won't be easy for someone to have 100 points in a region.

gare:


Not in all cases

MalcoImX:
In most cases, definitely.

Our times, resources and efforts are mostly expended towards objects of our desires. I wouldn't go to an Atiku rally, if it were to be in my territory, even if bused, but a Buhari one I'll pay with my own resources to be there.

MalcoImX:
In most cases, definitely.

Our times, resources and efforts are mostly expended towards objects of our desires. I wouldn't go to an Atiku rally, if it were to be in my territory, even if bused, but a Buhari one I'll pay with my own resources to be there.

gare:

You make me laugh, I really have more to say