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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls (1383 Views)
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MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 4:39pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
A fair assessment of Buhari's and Atiku's chances in the 2019 elections This analysis is hypothetical, but akin to the electoral college system practiced in many countries. It may still consists of lapses but still better than emotional permutations which most people (especially here) are fond of doing. Here, Nigeria is divided into six (6) geopolitical regions and each region is allocated 100% which will later equate to 100 points. It does not mean you have all the votes in the region, but like the electoral college system you take all the points allocated to that region if you have higher presence/advantages or votes. And, in the event where there's a perception of a tight race, the votes or points are split 50/50 between contenders. Here we go: BUHARI North East: 100% North West: 100% North Central: 50% South West: 100% South East: 0% South South: 0% Total = 350 Points ATIKU North East: 0% North West: 0% North Central: 50% South West: 0% South East: 100% South South: 100% Total = 250 Points So, by this methodology, it could be seen that Atiku would have 250 points as against Buhari's 350 points, and therefore, by that Buhari is expected to trounce Atiku by as much as 100 points. As you BuhaRebuild and Atikulate, remember you first heard it here. 3 Likes |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by uwa1(m): 4:41pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
MalcoImX: 4 Likes
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Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by busky007: 4:44pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
do u mean people arenttiredof buhari |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 4:49pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
busky007:"Men lie, women lie, but numbers don't " - Jay Z. 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by SarkinYarki: 4:51pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
If you knew anything about fairness you would not be supporting Buhari on the first place 1 Like |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by gmercy713: 4:51pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
You tried but you need to know that in politics polls doesn't matter even in US where we more educated lads that can't be bought with a token and handkerchiefs the election was an irony of the predicted poll by the so called experts. APC and PDP have party structure in every state. So it won't be easy for someone to have 100 points in a region. |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by Kennedy94(m): 4:53pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
ok |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 4:56pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
SarkinYarki:How is this supporting Buhari? That's why I stated in the beginning that this isn't emotionally-laden. We all would want what we wished to be, but reality may be different. 2 Likes |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by busky007: 4:58pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
MalcoImX:centino baba see undertaker 4 katakata street |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by SarkinYarki: 5:03pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
MalcoImX: First of all you are wrong to think Buhari will get 100 percent on the Southwest and 50 percent in the north central , it clearly shows you are just joking |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by gurunlocker: 5:04pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
SW 100% for Buhari? I pity you... Buhari won SW not because SW likes Buhari or because he has something to offer but because SW was angry with GEJ, automatically Bubu benefitted from that. So for you to think bubu will get 100% vote in SW come next year means you live in illusion. Same goes for NE! |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 5:13pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
SarkinYarki:That's why I told you it's a permutation akin to the electoral college system. Whoever is likely to win a zone is given the 100 points for that region, and the points added for him. This is better than many systems, in that it's more real and balances itself since your opponent is also given 100% points where he's strong. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by busky007: 5:14pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
MalcoImX:politics may be a game of number but it is not maths pls |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 5:19pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
busky007:Mark it, nothing could be further from this permutation, unless there's rigging. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 5:26pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
gurunlocker:Pragmatism entails looking out for yourself. A dislike for GEJ could be a factor, so also whose interest is being served best. Ask yourself: Why would a SWner go for GEJ and Sambo when he has Osinbajo in Buhari's radar? For the same reason, why would he still go for Atiku/Obi, when it's human nature that he'd best feel at home (even if it's just the feeling) with Osinbajo. 4 Likes |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by busky007: 5:33pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
MalcoImX:so who will rig? ur favorite APC |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 5:41pm On Nov 09, 2018 |
busky007:Parties try to rig in areas where they are powerful. It could either be one of the big two, but best practices from the umpire is likely to neutralize any effects of such actions. 1 Like |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by Centino: 2:21pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
busky007: |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by gare(f): 2:33pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
MalcoImX: Malcolmx, I believe you have slept for too long pls could you wake, your assessment of NE and NC is very wrong, even the SW PMB is a goner, quote me anytime, you will remember that I Gare said, there is no amount of insults or Character assissnation that will stop it See mine for Atiku below and wake from your slumber. NE: 70% NC: 75 % SW: 55% SS:110% SE:110% you can take it to the bank anytime you are sure of getting a loan for it |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 2:43pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
gare:Whatever is said won't be easily believed by those who've made up their minds. I eagerly wait for the electioneering campaigns to begin. We will see who'll pull the most crowds in the NE, NC NW and SW. |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by gare(f): 2:48pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
MalcoImX: Bro it is not about Crowd, but the numbers that will Vote, Campaign crowd is different from the actual Voting 1 Like |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by Volksfuhrer(m): 3:06pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
Very concise and elegant.. |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 3:08pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
gare:Crowds are tests of popularity, which may translate to voting strengths. |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by gare(f): 3:33pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
MalcoImX: Not in all cases |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by Modphase: 3:35pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
MalcoImX:Many Igbos don de touch for brain now dem believe Yoruba is sincere enough to love them more than ourselves or probably they believe the insult they n Ipob have being dishing out to Yoruba will cajole us to vote for Atiku/Obi. I simply can not comprehend it. 1 Like |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by Omon605(m): 4:03pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
gmercy713: Any region that's is assumed a particular party will win outrightly with any margin greater than 50%, the party is giving 100% in that region. He never said a single party will get all the vote cast in a particular zone 1 Like |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 4:28pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
gare:In most cases, definitely. Our times, resources and efforts are mostly expended towards objects of our desires. I wouldn't go to an Atiku rally, if it were to be in my territory, even if bused, but a Buhari one I'll pay with my own resources to be there. |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by gare(f): 5:22pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
MalcoImX: You make me laugh, I really have more to say |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by gare(f): 5:23pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
MalcoImX: I am still laughing |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 5:37pm On Nov 12, 2018 |
gare:OK. |
Re: MalcolmX's Fair Assessment Of Buhari's And Atiku's Chances In The 2019 Polls by MalcoImX: 12:53pm On Mar 02, 2019 |
They called us all sorts of names when we told them the numbers are against them. |
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