₦airaland Forum

LONGPREEK:
#SOWORE #SOWORE SOWOOOOOOOOREEEEEEE. SOWOREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

He shoot and fired some cabals last night

princetom1:
You are too lazy to even know that Donald Duke was a former governor for 8 years... I can't argue with u since u don't know the simplest of info

He was governor on PDP's platform. On the day of election, it is the name and logos of parties that are on the ballot paper. Duke cannot win any position as a representative of the party that he is in, now.

Silly mushroom candidates who are contesting without having representatives running for the national assembly. Do they think they would have dictatorial powers?

LZAA:
Been saying this since
Oby has seen the bigger picture and stepped down
I would like her,fela and kingsley to be included in atiku's incoming govt and also for the restructing to be implemented
and other BMC crew shld atikulate
Cc immhotep velocity25 deomelo sarrki justiceleague1

1) We always knew oby will eventually step down because the race was an after thought for her.
2) Yea, u can pack the not so important ones like oby bt forget it, sowore will never work with a criminal element even in his dream. Atiku is not an option for a conscientious Nigeria... All these una propaganda of work with atiku is just a pipe dream... Shebi una dey do rally and over confidence dey worry una, why disturb us wey dey do our own thing jeje nau? Na by force to join this set of useless, moronic, criminal set of humans? Shift jare.... Sowore all the way. Vote AAC

Oblongata:
Why USA? Why not UK that had a 2 dominant party and a 3rd force (liberal) piercing the stronghold? A 3rd force can and will emerge. ..

The UK operates a parliamentary system where even minority parties can make a difference. In the First Republic, even parties like Urhobo Progressive Union were able to win seats in Nigeria. Don't compare parliamentary and presidential systems. In a presidential election that uses first past the post system, any vote for third party candidates is essentially wasted.

einsteine:
He was governor on PDP's platform. On the day of election, it is the name and logos of parties that are on the ballot paper. Duke cannot win any position as a representative of the party that he is in, now.

wow, all the people who saw his good deed must have died off

princetom1:
1) We always knew oby will eventually step down because the race was an after thought for her.
2) Yea, u can pack the not so important ones like oby bt forget it, sowore will never work with a criminal element even in his dream. Atiku is not an option for a conscientious Nigeria... All these una propaganda of work with atiku is just a pipe dream... Shebi una dey do rally and over confidence dey worry una, why disturb us wey dey do our own thing jeje nau? Na by force to join this set of useless, moronic, criminal set of humans? Shift jare.... Sowore all the way. Vote AAC

I like sowore but even u must be realistic
This is a nation's presidency not SUG campaign
Call AAC even in the SW and i assure u only a few know the party
Voting in bubu for a second term will be the end of nigeria
cc immhotep velocity25

theoldpretender:
Unfortunately the guy is right

What even makes it more painful is that Nigerians grumble all day about hardship, and about PDP and APC, but on election day, they go back to APC and PDP.

Better the devil they know than the angelic beings they do not know.

Another thing. If Moghalu, Sowore or Durotoye win, the National Assembly won't let them make any difference at all. They would be frustrated out.

Heck even the governors of states will frustrate them

That is how shallow mind thinks

princetom1:
wow, all the people who saw his good deed must have died off

They don't even know what party he is in, his party can't even afford to have agents at all the polling stations. You think elections are just about announcing you are contesting?

princetom1:
He shoot and fired some cabals last night

yes o. he destroyed them. the stupid lady interviewing him didnt give him the chance to destroy them properly. she kept cutting him off, acting like she never understood and twisting whatever he said. she needs to be fired

LZAA:
I like sowore but even u must be realistic
This is a nation's presidency not SUG campaign
Call AAC even in the SW and i assure u only a few know the party
Voting in bubu for a second term will be the end of nigeria
cc immhotep velocity25

Does it mean he shouldn't have contested despite having a progressive ideas and plan different the oppressors that have been ruling us for ages?

Her type of mindset is what is keeping the country aground, nobody want to act differently from the status quo despite not being satisfy with what is happening, it is an high level of hopelessness....

I was listening to someone on the radio who's said he had traveled for work in 16 states this year, and of all the 16 states he traveled only 2 states have people heard about the third wheel political parties. Most of the states he traveled to are in the south not to talk of the north, the fact remains that APC & PDP are the only parties with solid grassroots that comb around every nook and Conners of the country. The 2015 election PMB got 15m votes GEJ 12m votes the other parties 300k votes, even if a coalitions of the third force is put together they can't get up to 1 million votes because they have no political structure.

Even if you give the 3rd force 4 years they can't come up with anything? Why? Because the structure the PDP used to win in 1999 was an already existing structure from 1992, Rome was not built in a day the like of Atiku have been in the political game for a very long time and have nurtured their political empire fror cradle to where they are today.

Those of us on social media come under the illusion that we determine the out come of elections but the sad truth is that it is the women getting tradermoni, the poor farmer, the uneducated youth, the agbero, and the beggars that determine the outcome of elections. Why? Because for every one of us there are 10 of them, how do I get my statistics? Check the poverty ratio and you will get the picture. As the saying goes there is power in numbers.

What's the way forward? Infiltrate the APC & PDP, we need to all join political parties and strengthen our voices there, that's the only way we can start shaping these parties to have ideology.

VBCampaign:
Why a “Third Party” Stands No Chance in Nigeria Today

By: Deji Yesufu

In the United States of America the term “third party” stands for any other party besides the two traditional parties in that country. From almost inception in 1790, the USA has been ruled by either the Democratic Party or Republican Party. Very few Nigerians know that there are over a hundred other parties on whose platforms people run for elections in America. Yet the American society appears to have only two parties in each election year. There have been few occasions where people contesting on the platforms of third parties have won elections to legislative houses in America. But no one has ever contested as a “third party” presidential candidate in the USA and won. It is not that they do not try, they just do not win.

Nigeria is fast becoming a similar two party state. Since the return to democratic rule in 1999, the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) led the country for sixteen years. Nigerians got tired of their high handedness and booted them out of office in 2015, when the country came together to elect Muhammadu Buhari on the platform of the All Progressive Congress (APC). The APC had launched an ambitious coalition to wrest power from the PDP and their political machination worked; they won. But after close to four years in power, the Nigerian people cannot see much of a difference between the APC and PDP. So that there much is talk for of “third party”, like the Americans have.

Some have suggested that the incompetence of the Buhari’s administration has given a lot of people the false notion that they also can be President. For this reason, there are no less than seventy political parties providing presidential candidates in the forthcoming 2019 elections. It is unprecedented. Many are asking whether these people really do stand a chance of winning, besides the two popular parties – the APC and the PDP. In fact, a lot of political commentators are asking: why are Nigerians not looking the way of the other presidential candidates besides Alhaji Atiku Abubarkar and the incumbent Buhari? I would be using the rest of the essay to enumerate reasons why third parties do not stand a chance in today’s Nigeria.

First, is the disregard for enduring political structures. Whatever else anyone may wish to say about the APC and the PDP, they still have the advantage of having been ruling parties in this country. Where a party has ruled a nation at the centre or at federal level, such a party would of necessity possess enduring structures in all parts of the country. It does not matter what defection might have occurred within this party, those structures will still remain. It is from within such structures that individuals emerge and pursue whatever political ambitions they have. These structures give rise to a very important element of a political party: the emergence of candidates from well organized primaries. While the APC quite understandably produced a consensus candidate in the person of the incumbent President, Buhari, the PDP went through a gruelling primaries. Political heavy weights came together and tested their popularity first within that party before one person emerged from their ranks.

This is no mean task.

If we are to look at most third parties at the moment, we see a situation where candidates emerge from questionable primaries. Some of them are merely unopposed because the individual chosen is the all in all in his party. What is common to almost all of them is that there were really no genuine test of their own popularity within their own parties. If these persons cannot hold structure in little parties, they cannot hold structures around the country that would deliver at the poles. The APC and PDP still have it to their credit that they were able to produce presidential candidates from proper primaries.

The second reason why third party presidential candidates do not stand a chance in the February poles is because non of them have a hold in the largest voting blocs in the country. The first and third largest voting blocs in the country are the North West and the North Eastern parts of the country respectively. Buhari is from the former, while Atiku is from the latter. Political pundits posit that close to half of the casted ballots will come from these political blocks in the country. If Buhari were to win the North West and Atiku the North East, what would be left for the third party candidates? In fact political pundits believe that all the third party candidates are not likely to have more than a million votes combined. These are the realities on ground and these are the things these gentlemen and women should be considering when they take up the challenge of contesting against established parties.

Third, is the issue of lack of cohesion among third party aspirants. This, more than anything else, has proven that non of the fellows who are running for President, besides the APC and PDP, are serious about winning the elections. The only way the APC could challenge the PDP was by entering into coalition with others. This is a point that all the aspirants in third parties have stressed, yet none of the over 70 candidates is willing to step down for the other. If Nigerians are genuinely tired of the APC and PDP, it should occur to these fellows that there is a viable third alternative that Nigerians are looking for. But when the third alternative is splintered to seventy varying parts, it would be politically suicidal to cast a vote for any of them. In fact it would amount to a waste of voting effort. The third parties should have long entered a coalition. They should have run something close to a primaries and agreed on one candidate. If they cannot do such a thing in the microcosm of their political sphere, they have not shown that they capacity to rule a vast country like Nigeria.

Fourth, is the lack of resources. To win elections in Nigeria, one must have money. And it is not necessarily because Nigerian politics is so money centred, it is because this country is so large there is no one person who has all the resources to foot a political campaign alone. What established political parties do is that they get individual in various political blocs in the country – from state to ward levels – and have these fellows foot the bill of the campaigns in those places. When they come to power, these people are compensated with political offices. But when one is in a third party that has no structure on ground, except say at state capitals, that person is getting ready for a loss.

The last reason why I am convinced third parties would loose in the coming election is that there are essentially no difference between the individuals in third parties and those in established parties. There is a seeming Nigerian factor present in every person in this country that sees political office as an opportunity to make gain for themselves and not to serve people. I am not convinced by the seeming altruistic motives of some third party candidates who brand themselves as a new breed without any stain. The fact remains that the heart of all men are desperately wicked and the heart of an average Nigerian is even more so. In relation to third parties, Nigerians see that the devil they know is better than the angel they do not know.

In conclusion, let me suggest to third party candidates to consider carefully the 2023 elections. They should work hard towards getting a consensus candidates among themselves and they should all unselfishly support this person. Nothing short of this would produce a challenge to the PDP and the APC. Until that happens, we are left with the two traditional parties in the country. We are left with this option not because they are the brightest and the best but because they are the most enduring.

Deji Yesufu is the author of the book Victor Banjo. He can be reached on newdejix@gmail.com

https://mouthpiece.com.ng/why-a-third-party-stands-no-chance-in-nigeria-today/

Your report is unbiased and good. I pray others read this before taking decisions.

buzodyke:
Realities are created by humans, and men are masters of their fate.. If you beliv you can then we all can. It's our national duty to change the status quo, by retiring the old politicians both in APC AND PDP. I m firmly behind Prof Kingsley Moghalu as the president

did u even read the message? if the like of kingsley and fela are serious, they know what to do or else watch how they will be messed up come February

we need a 3rd force not 70th force ... but the same greed in a nigerian man's blood wont allow them reason......

their selflessness to allow one candidate come out and fight this old blocks while they support him, shows they mean biz are they are different, if not they are still same like the old idiots we are trying to avoid .... just claiming saints

this is not SUG election......

Ventura1:
Does it mean he shouldn't have contested despite having a progressive ideas and plan different the oppressors that have been ruling us for ages?

Her type of mindset is what is keeping the country aground, nobody want to act differently from the status quo despite not being satisfy with what is happening, it is an high level of hopelessness....

no body is arguing their genuineness and been different from our oppressors ...

what we are saying is this, politics is all about number ..... together we stand, divided we fall.... we need a 3rd force not 70th force....

buhari and artiku has been here for years building their politcal force, do u think one ordinary person will just come and push them out? we need combined force to take it back like u guys claim......

because they will definitely fight back

nigeria is running almost 200million in population we are not demark that is 5million ...... if they are ready let them combine and watch the force they will make, even if they dont win now,,,, they woud have created a presence for 2023

remember even to beat PDP, APC was form from the collation of several parties and project buhari ..... despite that it was not still easy

princetom1:
He shoot and fired some cabals last night

thats how they will be firing till reality will hit them next month.....

we are not here for motivation we just to want to win election...... if they are truly serious.... they should project one person and stop making noise from all corners.... we need cool rhythm

Ventura1:
Does it mean he shouldn't have contested despite having a progressive ideas and plan different the oppressors that have been ruling us for ages?

Her type of mindset is what is keeping the country aground, nobody want to act differently from the status quo despite not being satisfy with what is happening, it is an high level of hopelessness....

We are in the middle of presidential rotation i.e the north and south and the president shld have been a northerner if not for yaradua's death and gej taking over from yaradua
That's the very reason APC and PDP put northern candidates for the presidency
Until the country is restructured this will continue to happen
Sowore is a good candidate but in the wrong party

Hmm.

We know before...
It's unfortunate tho




Check my signature

LZAA:
I like sowore but even u must be realistic
This is a nation's presidency not SUG campaign
Call AAC even in the SW and i assure u only a few know the party
Voting in bubu for a second term will be the end of nigeria
cc immhotep velocity25

Let it end nau, since una no wan get sense

LZAA:
We are in the middle of presidential rotation i.e the north and south and the president shld have been a northerner if not for yaradua's death and gej taking over from yaradua
That's the very reason APC and PDP put northern candidates for the presidency
Until the country is restructured this will continue to happen
Sowore is a good candidate but in the wrong party

Lazy politics is zoning and he is in the perfect party... Any of the top guns are big baggeges that will handicap him... Like the saying goes, u don't bite the finger that feeds u... That's one major problem with alc/pdp