₦airaland Forum

It's gonna be a different ballgame this time around

SirToby:
If it was Osinbajo's factor, GEJ won't have up to a million vote. Blame GEJ for marginalizing the yorubas.

OK less than 24 hours to go.

kollykolly:
It is not really your fault but that of GEJ. If he had treated SW as equal partner those votes Buhari got natural belong to him. To disprove this, go and check his electoral value in SW since 2003 he joined the race.

Na lie. Tinubu came and brainwashed your heads

herzernIsHere:
PMB will win the upcoming Presidential election in Nigeria.

It's a done deal.

Eyaa

PHILipu1:
Even when Buhari now have ministers and political appointees that will work for him in this zones unlike in 2015?

Keep fooling yourself.
Tomorrow is here already

LOL

MrPolitics:
I had some free time and thought to do this to analyze how buhari and jonathan fared in the political zones.


North Central (6 states + FCT)
Buhari - 2,411,013
Jonathan - 1,715,818


North East (6 states) boko haram zone
Buhari - 2,848,678
Jonathan - 796,588


North West (7 states) buhari's zone
Buhari - 7,115,199
Jonathan - 1,339,709


South East (5 states)
Buhari - 198,248
Jonathan - 2,464,906


South South (6 states) Jonathan's zone
Buhari - 418,590
Jonathan - 4,714,725


South West (6 states)
Buhari - 2,433,193
Jonathan - 1,821,416

Time for History to repeat itself

The SW did nothing for Buhari sef....

Yet they make the loudest noise on this forum about installing Buhari. Only 600k margin of win for Buhari on the SW. If they had given those 600k votes to Jonathan, we would still have lost. What's the bragging all about?

Remember that this time around,it is north vs north not north vs south OK...expect the pattern to change significantly

B1ak3:
It will go the same way this time. But this time around the margin in delta won't be that much. While the margin for kastina will be really high.

The moment I saw the breakdown it became clear to me that there is no way under the sun for PDP to win. Even if they sweep the entire south east with 100% just two states from the north for APC can cover that margin.
They have put up a good fight but reality can't be argued with.

People say this election is between two northern but the truth is atiku didn't follow the campaign as a northerner and as such his following is mainly from the south east and south south. He is only hanging on to the popularity of people like kwankwaso, saraki etc for his northern votes. So I will say this race like the last one is between a northerner and a southerner

The SW did nothing for Buhari sef....

he won the election because of SW ...all the election he had which he lost in SW...he lost the elections too.. go check his record to know further
don't you know that's why they do osun and ekiti election do or die to win so they take those state for presidential election

Revealing. Tables may turn.

MrPolitics:
I had some free time and thought to do this to analyze how buhari and jonathan fared in the political zones.


North Central (6 states + FCT)
Buhari - 2,411,013
Jonathan - 1,715,818


North East (6 states) boko haram zone
Buhari - 2,848,678
Jonathan - 796,588


North West (7 states) buhari's zone
Buhari - 7,115,199
Jonathan - 1,339,709


South East (5 states)
Buhari - 198,248
Jonathan - 2,464,906


South South (6 states) Jonathan's zone
Buhari - 418,590
Jonathan - 4,714,725


South West (6 states)
Buhari - 2,433,193
Jonathan - 1,821,416

Even a mad man should know that Buhari will win expect more vote from south south

jelel6:
"North East (6 states) boko haram zone"

What's the meaning of the above? So you can't find any other description to give the Zone but that?

That description is completely irrelevant to the information you're sharing so why have it there?

If you you're writing a piece that's meant to be professional be more conscious about how you do it.

And @Mods, I don't think your job is only to push topics to the front page but to regulate the message.

I mentioned Boko Haram zone so people would understand why both Buhari and GEJ performed the way they did in the zone

PHILipu1:
And you think the southeast and south south votes will remain intact for PDP since both men are from the north?

South east, the obi's effect will go a long way to help pdp..

South South, they voted massively for dere guy last time against buhari, but unfortunately hin no enter.. Pesin wey kum beat dere pikin come dey knock door for vote, the odds of dem welcoming his second time ambition go dey slim..

B1ak3:
It will go the same way this time. But this time around the margin in delta won't be that much. While the margin for kastina will be really high.

The moment I saw the breakdown it became clear to me that there is no way under the sun for PDP to win. Even if they sweep the entire south east with 100% just two states from the north for APC can cover that margin.
They have put up a good fight but reality can't be argued with.

People say this election is between two northern but the truth is atiku didn't follow the campaign as a northerner and as such his following is mainly from the south east and south south. He is only hanging on to the popularity of people like kwankwaso, saraki etc for his northern votes. So I will say this race like the last one is between a northerner and a southerner

Atiku is owned by the SE. This was the big mistake. He should have told S.Easterners to tone it down. Even Adamawa is shaky for him for many reasons.

Kaxmytex:
South east, the obi's effect will go a long way to help pdp..

South South, they voted massively for dere guy last time against buhari, but unfortunately hin no enter.. Pesin wey kum beat dere pikin come dey knock door for vote, the odds of dem welcoming his second time ambition go dey slim..

Lol.
Have it at the back of your mind that PDP can no longer rig south east and south south like before

surevik:
No you are voting a clown Buhari (Muhammad Jubril of Sudan), since you are judging base on what was said of them. Rubbish!!!

It's not what was said of them but what is actually fact. Atiku was born a Cameroonian and only became a Nigerian when he was 15 years old, when they conducted referendum for his part of Cameroon to join Nigeria. This is a fact that a simple Google Search can verify for you.

Which makes him a Nigrian, so this issue should be brought up against him, Obama is a Kenyan.

Sheggy13:
It's not what was said of them but what is actually fact. Atiku was born a Cameroonian and only became a Nigerian when he was 15 years old, when they conducted referendum for his part of Cameroon to join Nigeria. This is a fact that a simple Google Search can verify for you.

B1ak3:
It will go the same way this time. But this time around the margin in delta won't be that much. While the margin for kastina will be really high.

The moment I saw the breakdown it became clear to me that there is no way under the sun for PDP to win. Even if they sweep the entire south east with 100% just two states from the north for APC can cover that margin.
They have put up a good fight but reality can't be argued with.

People say this election is between two northern but the truth is atiku didn't follow the campaign as a northerner and as such his following is mainly from the south east and south south. He is only hanging on to the popularity of people like kwankwaso, saraki etc for his northern votes. So I will say this race like the last one is between a northerner and a southerner

You registered yesterday and has become an "expert" in politics section. Can you tell me how he approached the election like a Southerner ?

SirToby:
You are a liar. You had a lot of reasons to vote for Yar'adua because he was in PDP. Remember Buhari is in APC and the SE/SS were the ones Calling It Islamic Brotherhood party. You were the one that said You want GEJ because he's a christian, Just as the PFN chairman SE chapter knelt down and pray for GEJ's victory during TAN political rally.

And you think they will vote for Buhari if pdp adopted him as their candidate?

SirToby:
If it was Osinbajo's factor, GEJ won't have up to a million vote. Blame GEJ for marginalizing the yorubas.

What has changed in your life since Buhari who has not marginalized yorubas came in?

Let me tell you something, Atiku was very wise to pick Obi. SS/SE will give him 90#%
votes while the northern votes will be divided between the both of them. Easy win for Atiku.

B1ak3:
It will go the same way this time. But this time around the margin in delta won't be that much. While the margin for kastina will be really high.

The moment I saw the breakdown it became clear to me that there is no way under the sun for PDP to win. Even if they sweep the entire south east with 100% just two states from the north for APC can cover that margin.
They have put up a good fight but reality can't be argued with.

People say this election is between two northern but the truth is atiku didn't follow the campaign as a northerner and as such his following is mainly from the south east and south south. He is only hanging on to the popularity of people like kwankwaso, saraki etc for his northern votes. So I will say this race like the last one is between a northerner and a southerner

Exactly. Atiku will sweep SS/SE while the northern votes will be divided between the both of them.

Beremx:
This time around, it's between two northerners.

Atiku is winning outrightly

saintandsinnerz:
You registered yesterday and has become an "expert" in politics section. Can you tell me how he approached the election like a Southerner ?

I will be glad to answer your question if you can clearly explain how the date of registration of an account on nairaland affect the level of political acumen of an individual? Is atiku or buhari or any of the key political players registered on nairaland? Please answer these two questions and I will gladly give a good reply to your question

Bevista:
Breaking the voting pattern down to ratios is quite revealing. The SS/SE voting ratio shows that if those regions had the same registered voters like the NW/NE, the story could've been very different.
---
With such distorted voting ratio, PMB must be really unpopular in the SS/SE or maybe the rigging there was nuclear.

He is very unpopular.

Rigging was done by both parties. You rig in your own stronghold. That is, unfortunately, Nigerian style.

OlujobaSamuel:
t
This results shows that the SE & SS voted more along ethnic line than any other region.
North Central:
PMB:1.41 GEJ:1
North East:
PMB:3.58 GEJ:1
North West;
PMB:5.31 GEJ:1
South East:
PMB:1 GEJ:12.43
South South:
PMB:1 GEJ:11.26
South West:
PMB:1.34 GEJ:1
Above details is the voting pattern of each geopolitical zone in respect to how they voted for either of the 2candidates, without considering other aspirants due to the negligible number of vote they got.

Like many SW people your poor understanding of Nigerian ethnic map is appealing. I deliberately said SW people because it is the only tribe where I have seen someone with a PhD and others with high academic qualifications call Benin people Igbo people.

For your information SS is one of the most ethnically diverse place in the world. And Jonathan is not Igbo.
So please inform yourself.

B1ak3:
I will be glad to answer your question if you can clearly explain how the date of registration of an account on nairaland affect the level of political acumen of an individual? Is atiku or buhari or any of the key political players registered on nairaland? Please answer these two questions and I will gladly give a good reply to your question

No you're right, the time you registered does not determine your level political acumen, I only said that knowing fully well you registered this moniker as a security in case your preferred candidate didn't win or it maybe they banned your other account. I have answered you, now answer my own question

Modarun:
The North west and North East have always voted along Ethnoreligious lines. The South South and East have always since time imemmorial voted against Buhari candidacy. This is as a result of his now proven Bigotry and ethnoreligious bias. People knw that such a man is never suppose to ruke or govern a multi ethno religious nation such as Nigeria. SS and SE are not against the muslim North, they are against the emergence of Fanatics and Bigots such as Buhari. These same Group voted enmass for Yar Adua a muslim Fulani, they will also vote enmass for Atiku a Muslim Fulani. It has nothing to do with wth ethnicity but prevention of tyranic bigotry. Yorubas shoukd stop demonizing the Other section of the South.

Thank you for the intelligent analysis.

The South South has never voted based on ethnoreligious bias. Shehu Shagari won in 1979 because of South South votes. The North central vote would have taken him nowhere.

Bevista:
Breaking the voting pattern down to ratios is quite revealing. The SS/SE voting ratio shows that if those regions had the same registered voters like the NW/NE, the story could've been very different.
---
With such distorted voting ratio, PMB must be really unpopular in the SS/SE or maybe the rigging there was nuclear.

There must have been elements of both with probably more of the latter. And I expect that to be proven tomorrow, as the Card Reader ecosystem further curbs most of the rigging methods that were otherwise successful in 2015.

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P34c3
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