₦airaland Forum

Sham

yinkeys:
If you think APC will win the battered NC, you might be joking. Except Kogi, FCT and Niger. He will lose the other NC states

WHen you remove these states from NC, how many states come remain

donphiilopus:
There's no way Buhari will lose the Southwest.

Then atiku is a goner. Cos the north is certainly not divided at all

raumdeuter:
WHen you remove these states from NC, how many states come remain

Benue, Nassarawa etc

yuvisan:
AFTER ALL , SOME SAY ,THE ONLY RULE IN NIGERIA IS “DO NOT GET CAUGHT”

That's the United States.

donphiilopus:
Southeast: APC - 560,000 (20%); PDP - 2,240,000 (80%)

South South: APC - 1,870,000 (37.6%); PDP - 3,110,000 (62.4%)

Southwest: APC - 2,600,000 (61.9%); PDP - 1,600,000 (38.1%)

North Central: APC - 2,205,000 (53.9%); PDP - 1,888,000 (46.1%)

Northeast: APC - 2,431,000 (67.3%); PDP - 1,180,000 (32.7%)

Northwest: APC - 6,330,000 (76.3%); PDP - 1,970,000 (23.7%)

Generally, APC - 15,996,000 (57.2%); PDP - 11,988,000 (42.8%)

Total votes cast for APC and PDP is estimated to be 27,981,000. Other parties may likely share two million votes plus void votes. I'm projecting 30,000,000 voters' turnout which is 41.2% of the total number of PVC's collected (72,775,502).

Due to human error, even if I'm to remove 1.5m votes from that of APC and give the votes to PDP, APC would still win.

It's interesting that you're venturing into this level of tenths of percentage points level of accuracy in your projections fa; will keep your post/this thread in view.

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donphiilopus:
So you think an average undecided Yoruba voter would choose Peter Obi over Osinbajo? You expect Igbos to deliver 80% of their votes to Obi and expect Yorubas to share their own between Osinbajo and Obi, right? This year, you'll realise that no tribe has the monopoly of "He's our son" kinda politics.

I keep wondering why some people pretend to ignore this kind of pragmatic thinking and end up falling "yakata" with their political projections each and every time? Hmm.

But hey, what do I know, right?

Thanks for posting, donphiilopus.

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duwdu:
I keep wondering why some people pretend to ignore this kind of pragmatic thinking and end up falling "yakata" with their political projections each and every time? Hmm.

But hey, what do I know, right?

Thanks for posting, donphiilopus.

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I hail boss

timecapsule:
BUHARI will be defeated, how ? I MEAN BUHARI WILL LOOSE THIS ELECTION?

By my simple analysis is , there is two GENERAL from SOUTHERN & NORTHERN Nigeria that rule as military ànd civilian. They are OBASANJO & BUHARI.
OBASANJO:- finished ruling one term as civilian and 2 terms as military, and he did not answer any case.

BUHARI ;- didn't finished his one term as military, and from there he entered house arrest. He has finished his one term as a civilian (half of OBASANJO term) he will stop at half and after loosing the election. His this time arrest is WORLD ARREST!.

THE POWER is returning to it former place.

Relax and watch as it unfold itself.
Please remember this prediction after.
So sorry GOD has a statics for Nigeria

Where did you learn your grammar, for God's sake? Chai.

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emmasege:
Apparently, you are still a small boy and you are very naive politically. Wait until the results start trickling in, then you'll realise why we "Yorubas" are different from other tribes. We are heterogenous, hence diversity of views and choices.

In 2015, Buhari marginally defeated GEJ in Yoruba land with barely 650k votes, in spite of Osinbajo's factor and GEJ's faded popularity. How much more in 2019 after Buhari has proved his critics right?

And like that woman said, we don't care about "he's our son". Even if Osinbajo were my sibling, I'd never vote for APC. Not while he seconds that monumental failure, nation destroyer and bloodthirsty individual called Buhari.

Nothing is wrong with APC as a party except that brain-dead president from Daura. Take Buhari and his cabal out of APC and watch the nation getting re-united and prosperous again.

Your uncouth, hate-filled thinking process would never allow you to be rational or pragmatic in your claims, reporting, world-view, or political projections. But hey, today is here... you wake up tomorrow/Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday and smell the coffee!

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donphiilopus:
There's no way Buhari will lose the Southwest.

hw far

Joromi12:
hw far

Aside Ondo, where else is he losing in the Southwest?

donphiilopus:
Aside Ondo, where else is he losing in the Southwest?

lagos. They had to use thugs scatter some places lol

Joromi12:
lagos. They had to use thugs scatter some places lol

Stop the lies. Results from Lagos so far show that APC is winning there.

Tinubu's wife is from Delta?

Joromi12:
we dont play our son politics in SW. Gej and sambo vs pmb osibanjo diff was 600 only. Tinubu from osun ambo from ondo ruled lag we no shout. Mrs tinubu from delta is going for a 3rd time no one mentions she is not from lag. My son politics dont put food on d table

Do you know that Rivers gave GEJ 1.4million votes in 2015?

donphiilopus:
That's it. Even if we are to reduce 400,000 from Buhari's South South votes; 100, 000from Southwest; 300,000 from North Central and give PDP and still subtract 500,000 from Northwest and Northeast and add to Atiku's votes, Buhari would still win him.

Amberon11:
Do you know that Rivers gave GEJ 1.4million votes in 2015?

That's what Atiku can't get from there this time.

Amberon11:
Tinubu's wife is from Delta?

itsekiri

duwdu:
Your uncouth, hate-filled thinking process would never allow you to be rational or pragmatic in your claims, reporting, world-view, or political projections. But hey, today is here... you wake up tomorrow/Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday and smell the coffee!

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Nothing will happen. The whole has the true results. Like Gej says "America will know'.

Spot on prediction

90%.

raumdeuter:
Spot on prediction

Thanks boss.

senatordave1:
90%.

Yeah. Thanks.

senatordave1:
90%.

Nope 94.32%

I salute. Your prediction is 96%.

Nice one there. You really did this

Dakad:
I salute. Your prediction is 96%.

Dannyset:
Nice one there. You really did this

Kyase:
Nope 94.32%

Thanks men.

I sight you Garfield1.

yinkeys:
If you think APC will win the battered NC, you might be joking. Except Kogi, FCT and Niger. He will lose the other NC states

And today you're back supporting Obi. That's the reason I don't argue with most of you these days because you know nothing.

donphilopus:
And today you're back supporting Obi. That's the reason I don't argue with most of you these days because you know nothing.

I wonder why you chose to mention an almost 4 year old post.
And who told you I’ve ever supported any of the two major parties
You obviously just like drama
I was only analyzing, it wasn’t far of.
Did I ever tell you I’m an Obi fan ?
You obviously chose to write rubbish today

donphilopus:
And today you're back supporting Obi. That's the reason I don't argue with most of you these days because you know nothing.

You should do another projection of how each zones will vote in 2023.

ALTERNATEID:
You should do another projection of how each zones will vote in 2023.

Should be some few weeks or days to the election. The last one I did should be a day or two to the election. I wanna be so sure first.