[quote author=garfield1 post=94010703]

Neutrality fits you better[/quote

u are always shopping for blind supporters. wake and smell the coffee. I say it. d way it is

Kriss216:

@bolded.
You must a clown
Supporting Tinubu for president, isn't that celebration of mediocrity?

Sometimes person dey wonder if you people attended same tertiary.

I dare you to provide proofs where I supported/supporting Tinubu's presidency.

You guys shouldn't make lies one of your region criteria

Nadaken:
I tell you as it is apc cannot win any lga in Edo Central on Saturday.

We know how the game goes, i can't argue on the others you have listed

My closest friend is from igueben...a former commissioner, he told me APC would win Igueben..unless there is another Igueben...

Let me still call him now to reconfirm..

garfield1:
Factors that influence elections in nigeria still remain the same.we shall look at them one by one.

Finance:this will play a key role on Saturday.the economy is bad,hunger is pervasive and die hard supporters will surely collect money to vote against their favourites.it is a given.vote buying will be rife and unfortunately apc will out muscle obaseki here.

Federal might:the federal might which include security agents and even inec will come into play.it is clear the security forces will tilt towards pastor.there are allegations that the inec rec is an ex apc member.even obaseki said he will win if federal might is not deployed.
Popularity: both parties are evenly matched.obaseki's popularity is mostly at Benin metropolis while pastor is more rooted at the rural areas.
Collation centre:this is the most important part of the election.most rigging takes place at the collation centre.even gej attested to this.whoever controls the collation process will win.unfortunately, oshiomhole usually dominates collation centres.him and pastor has far more loyal men at polling and collation centres compared to obaseki..

It must be noted that for a ruling part to lose elections,one of two things usually happen.either an overwhelming majority of the masses bote against them or majority of the political actors gang up against them or both.the losses of apc in Adamawa and bauchi was because majority of the politicians across party divide gangup against the incumbent while the loss of apc in oyo,pdp In kwara and gombe was because an overwhelming majority of voters voted against them making it impossible to rig.

Oredo LGA: pdp 30,000 apc 15,000

Egor LGA; pdp 25000. Apc 15000

Ikpoba okha; pdp 25,000 apc 20000

Orhiomnwon LGA;pdp 10,000 apc 20,000

Uhumnwonde lg; pdp 7000 apc 15000

Ovia north east LGA:pdp 9000 apc 12000

Ovia south west lga: pdp ,12000 apc 18000

Esan central: pdp 15000 apc 10000

Esan central:pdp 13000 apc 10,000

Esan south east;pdp 10,000 apc 9000

Esan west: pdp 11000 apc 10,000

Igueben: pdp 8000 apc 10,000

Etsako west: pdp 14,000 apc 16000

Etsako west; pdp 13000 apc 19000

Etsako central:pdp 15000 apc 21000

Owan east:pdp 5000 apc 15000

Owan west: pdp 9000 apc 14000

Akoko edo:pdp 15,000 apc 30,000



Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Emmafantastic
Helinues
Favor
Unigrad
Flordflorez
Donphilohus
AWOL
Afroknight
Kyase
Caseless

I thought Edo people were serious about ending Godfatherism but events of past days have proven otherwise.

Like Wike is saying on AIT now, if Edo people want their destiny to remain in the hands of one man, then it's their business.

I can't be crying more than the bereaved.

CilicMarin:


My closest friend is from igueben...a former commissioner, he told me APC would win Igueben..unless there is another Igueben...

Let me still call him now to reconfirm..

who wan win make e win

Awol1:


I thought Edo people were serious about ending Godfatherism but events of past days have proven otherwise.

Like Wike is saying on AIT now, if Edo people want their destiny to remain in the hands of one man, then it's their business.

I can't be crying more than the bereaved.

what did wike say

Nadaken:
who wan win make e win

Just called him now....He said 50:50 but PDP might win with a close margin..

So you are right after all..

CilicMarin:


Just called him now....He said 50:50 but PDP might win with a close margin..

So you are right after all..

even that 50/50 he said so as an apc man just to massage ego.

There is no lga in Esan where apc would be on same pedestal with pdp as long as it's this Saturday election.



But there would be series of 50/50, 60/40 in Edo South

Nadaken:
even that 50/50 he said so as an apc man just to massage ego.

There is no lga in Esan where apc would be on same pedestal with pdp as long as it's this Saturday election

But there would be series of 50/50, 60/40 in Edo South

Edo North Nko?

CilicMarin:


Edo North Nko?

There would be no 50/50 in Edo North, it's outright win for apc in all the lga there, shaibu is a small boy

Since Edo North is more in population than Edo Central, it would balance out and leave some votes for apc from North.

Battle goes south

Bros ur prediction is very wrong,I stopped reading when I saw d result of oredo,Egor,ikpoba okha,esan north east,esan west,igueben and ovia south west.

helinues:


Sometimes person dey wonder if you people attended same tertiary.

I dare you to provide proofs where I supported/supporting Tinubu's presidency.

You guys shouldn't make lies one of your region criteria

Your dreamland is full of pdp

SLAP44:
The only factor under consideration is the slavery factor. Edo state is tired of godfathers in Lagos controlling their destinies through Osho.

That's why They Will Vote PDP. APC can only focus on rigging and federal might. The people wants to be free from slavery.

I don't know what you mean by slavery. Political associations is different from political slavery.
Political leaders are not slaves masters.
Lagos political leaders are not slaves masters.
Lagos is working more prosperous than any other state in Nigeria.
Godfathers will always be part of political geriatrics.
It's only those who don't think deeply that agree with the status of calling certain people political slaves.
Edo state is a free federation part of Nigeria.
Having political leaders that are associated with Lagos political leadership is not tantamount to political slavery, rather it is a great way of making political liaisons with solid power pack systems.

iokpebholo:
Bros ur prediction is very wrong,I stopped reading when I saw d result of oredo,Egor,ikpoba okha,esan north east,esan west,igueben and ovia south west.

You can make your own predictions then.I have looked at 2008 polls till last year polls before arriving at this result.I follow a pattern.you pdp fans just follow emotions like saying atiku will divide buhari votes up north when he doesn't have the men on ground

Nadaken:
There would be no 50/50 in Edo North, it's outright win for apc in all the lga there, shaibu is a small boy

Since Edo North is more in population than Edo Central, it would balance out and leave some votes for apc from North.

Battle goes south

That is what I've been trying to say.pdp will win edo central narrowly.whoever wins edo south will do so narrowly but edo north will decide.pdp might win one of the etsako lga

Nadaken:
even that 50/50 he said so as an apc man just to massage ego.

There is no lga in Esan where apc would be on same pedestal with pdp as long as it's this Saturday election.



But there would be series of 50/50, 60/40 in Edo South

Ovia South West LGA
APC 11 ,511
PDP 9 ,987
Oredo LGA
APC 21 ,496
PDP 34 ,841
Esan South East LGA
APC 11 ,039
PDP 11 ,435
Esan West LGA
APC 10 ,596
PDP 16 ,013
Igueben LGA
APC 7 ,503
PDP 6 ,553
Ipoba-Okha LGA
APC 25 ,404
PDP 30122
Etsako West LGA
APC 31 ,336
PDP 11 , 395
Esan Central LGA
APC 8 ,691
PDP 9 ,512
Uhumwonde LGA
APC 9969
PDP 9766
Orhionwon LGA
APC 15 ,099
PDP 13 ,787
Meanwhile, the senatorial candidate of the PDP in Edo South , Matthew Urhoghide , has been declared the winner of Saturday ’s election .



You can see igueben there in the bolded

Awol1:


I thought Edo people were serious about ending Godfatherism but events of past days have proven otherwise.

Like Wike is saying on AIT now, if Edo people want their destiny to remain in the hands of one man, then it's their business.

I can't be crying more than the bereaved.

The people will only vote and go home.the rigging will happen at the collation centres

garfield1:


That is what I've been trying to say.pdp will win edo central narrowly.whoever wins edo south will do so narrowly but edo north will decide.pdp might win one of the etsako lga

Nope pdp would win Edo Central convincingly, apc would win Edo north convincingly.

You didn't even mention pdp winning owan you now mentioned estako which is even the worst for pdp.

I drop the conversation here and i would remind you all these on Sunday

Nadaken:
Nope pdp would win Edo Central convincingly, apc would win Edo north convincingly.

You didn't even mention pdp winning owan you now mentioned estako which is even the worst for pdp.

I drop the conversation here and i would remind you all these on Sunday

Don't drop yet.the only time pdp ever won edo central convincingly was because of gej in 2015.they lost in 2012,won narrowly in 2016 and 2019.how can they now win they convincingly? I tire for you oh.pdp is strong in owan sha.

garfield1:
Factors that influence elections in nigeria still remain the same.we shall look at them one by one.

Finance:this will play a key role on Saturday.the economy is bad,hunger is pervasive and die hard supporters will surely collect money to vote against their favourites.it is a given.vote buying will be rife and unfortunately apc will out muscle obaseki here.

Federal might:the federal might which include security agents and even inec will come into play.it is clear the security forces will tilt towards pastor.there are allegations that the inec rec is an ex apc member.even obaseki said he will win if federal might is not deployed.
Popularity: both parties are evenly matched.obaseki's popularity is mostly at Benin metropolis while pastor is more rooted at the rural areas.
Collation centre:this is the most important part of the election.most rigging takes place at the collation centre.even gej attested to this.whoever controls the collation process will win.unfortunately, oshiomhole usually dominates collation centres.him and pastor has far more loyal men at polling and collation centres compared to obaseki..

It must be noted that for a ruling part to lose elections,one of two things usually happen.either an overwhelming majority of the masses bote against them or majority of the political actors gang up against them or both.the losses of apc in Adamawa and bauchi was because majority of the politicians across party divide gangup against the incumbent while the loss of apc in oyo,pdp In kwara and gombe was because an overwhelming majority of voters voted against them making it impossible to rig.

Oredo LGA: pdp 30,000 apc 15,000

Egor LGA; pdp 25000. Apc 15000

Ikpoba okha; pdp 25,000 apc 20000

Orhiomnwon LGA;pdp 10,000 apc 20,000

Uhumnwonde lg; pdp 7000 apc 15000

Ovia north east LGA:pdp 9000 apc 12000

Ovia south west lga: pdp ,12000 apc 18000

Esan central: pdp 15000 apc 10000

Esan central:pdp 13000 apc 10,000

Esan south east;pdp 10,000 apc 9000

Esan west: pdp 11000 apc 10,000

Igueben: pdp 8000 apc 10,000

Etsako west: pdp 14,000 apc 16000

Etsako west; pdp 13000 apc 19000

Etsako central:pdp 15000 apc 21000

Owan east:pdp 5000 apc 15000

Owan west: pdp 9000 apc 14000

Akoko edo:pdp 15,000 apc 30,000



Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Emmafantastic
Helinues
Favor
Unigrad
Flordflorez
Donphilohus
AWOL
Afroknight
Kyase
Caseless

Pls Esan land can't give such vote to APC..I am from Esan

garfield1:


Don't drop yet.the only time pdp ever won edo central convincingly was because of gej in 2015.they lost in 2012,won narrowly in 2016 and 2019.how can they now win they convincingly? I tire for you oh.pdp is strong in owan sha.

let me tell you this, that election has their percularities, especially when it's a local election then you factor in the determinants.

So what worked in 20bc might not work today even though they may follow almost same thrend (this is where you getting it wrong).

The issue here is this current Edo election.

EDO CENTRAL

For Edo Central it is naturally a pdp zone, it has no candidate or deputy in ballot but it has benefitted from obaseki to an average esanman than oshomole.

Oshomole isn't having that incumbent factor that it uses to subdue this zone to milk something out, Apc is naturally a bad market here cum the fact that Alot of apc members who manage to be it's foot soldiers have joined pdp now.

Even if you would rig election you need collaborators, their are not even thugs in numbers to influence anything in Edo Central.

So the votes of the people would prevail with little to no restrictions here.


EDO NORTH

For Edo North this is an apc zone, it wasn't considered important untill oshomole came in, they have consistently sticked with him than any zone since ACN days.

This is oshomole backbone and they always cover him whenever he is about to be politically naked (the ward chairman that nailed him was because oshomole took things for granted).

Ordinarily the majority of people here are pro oshomole, they stand more for him when the heat is more, this is why he still has an apc senator in Edo.

This election their voices would be louder because it's more like a referendum, if oshomole losses political relevance they are also finished because Philip can't get the national power oshomole had to them.

This is oshomole political existence at stake

Oshomole has brought University, relevance, appointment, jobs, projects when he had the power.

So Philip can't stop that, Philip came into relevance politically because of oshomole here.

The people would vote apc overwhelming or aid the rigging by apc here because they still get to keep the same deputy Philip is fighting for (more like win win win for them to go apc).


EDO SOUTH.

This is battle ground, there is a reason oshomole choosed ize iyamu because he needs someone who is grassroot here to do half the job.

Apc never needed majority to win here, Bini is a polar zone of apc/pdp.

But a popular candidate with their willing personnels always make sure they get 60/40 50/50 here.

There can never be overwhelming victory by any party here because both are rooted.

Bini would be lackadaisical because either way they still rep governor, so this would make it easier for a rigging because there would be little to no resistance from the people

External forces can spin the direction here in terms of sharing lga 3 to 4

I hope you see the picture now

Nadaken:
let me tell you this, that election has their percularities, especially when it's a local election then you factor in the determinants.

So what worked in 20bc might not work today even though they may follow almost same thrend (this is where you getting it wrong).

The issue here is this current Edo election.

EDO CENTRAL

For Edo Central it is naturally a pdp zone, it has no candidate or deputy in ballot but it has benefitted from obaseki to an average esanman than oshomole.

Oshomole isn't having that incumbent factor that it uses to subdue this zone to milk something out, Apc is naturally a bad market here cum the fact that Alot of apc members who manage to be it's foot soldiers have joined pdp now.

Even if you would rig election you need collaborators, their are not even thugs in numbers to influence anything in Edo Central.

So the votes of the people would prevail with little to no restrictions here.


EDO NORTH

For Edo North this is an apc zone, it wasn't considered important untill oshomole came in, they have consistently sticked with him than any zone since ACN days.

This is oshomole backbone and they always cover him whenever he is about to be politically naked (the ward chairman that nailed him was because oshomole took things for granted).

Ordinarily the majority of people here are pro oshomole, they stand more for him when the heat is more, this is why he still has an apc senator in Edo.

This election their voices would be louder because it's more like a referendum, if oshomole losses political relevance they are also finished because Philip can't get the national power oshomole had to them.

This is oshomole political existence at stake

Oshomole has brought University, relevance, appointment, jobs, projects when he had the power.

So Philip can't stop that, Philip came into relevance politically because of oshomole here.

The people would vote apc overwhelming or aid the rigging by apc here because they still get to keep the same deputy Philip is fighting for (more like win win win for them to go apc).


EDO SOUTH.

This is battle ground, there is a reason oshomole choosed ize iyamu because he needs someone who is grassroot here to do half the job.

Apc never needed majority to win here, Bini is a polar zone of apc/pdp.

But a popular candidate with their willing personnels always make sure they get 60/40 50/50 here.

There can never be overwhelming victory by any party here because both are rooted.

Bini would be lackadaisical because either way they still rep governor, so this would make it easier for a rigging because there would be little to no resistance from the people

External forces can spin the direction here in terms of sharing lga 3 to 4

I hope you see the picture now

I can't help but agree with you

Wanaseekhelp:
Pls Esan land can't give such vote to APC..I am from Esan

But they have been giving him such votes na

helinues:
If Apc can said so much rubbish about Ize Iyamu in 2016 election

If PDP can make so many false allegations about Obaseki in 2016 election

Then, Only a shameless person will support any of them in this election.

Politicians can only fool themselves, not me

Who are u deceiving? U are a zombie to Buhari n Tinubu!

garfield1:


But they have been giving him such votes na

They have been giving PDP, not iyamu..Beside esan want the next Governor to be from Esan so that's why they are supporting obaseki. We can't wait for the next 8 years if APC..

Wanaseekhelp:
They have been giving PDP, not iyamu..Beside esan want the next Governor to be from Esan so that's why they are supporting obaseki. We can't wait for the next 8 years if APC..

Apc has always gotten 40% from esan land.am sorry no one will zone power to esan,it is too risky.

Nadaken:
There would be no 50/50 in Edo North, it's outright win for apc in all the lga there, shaibu is a small boy

Since Edo North is more in population than Edo Central, it would balance out and leave some votes for apc from North.

Battle goes south

Have you heard of Akoko Edo my local govt? APC has been winning there but this time around, it's 55:45 in favour of PDP. Don't sit online and assume Oshiomole is gonna clear Edo North. Oshiomole isn't clearing anything here.

garfield1:


That is what I've been trying to say.pdp will win edo central narrowly.whoever wins edo south will do so narrowly but edo north will decide.pdp might win one of the etsako lga

That's gonna be either Etsako West or East and the APC is gonna narrowly win one of the Owan's. Akoko Edo is sure for PDP. Bookmark this!

donphilopus:


Have you heard of Akoko Edo my local govt? APC has been winning there but this time around, it's 55:45 in favour of PDP. Don't sit online and assume Oshiomole is gonna clear Edo North. Oshiomole isn't clearing anything here.

ok, goodluck

garfield1:


Apc has always gotten 40% from esan land.am sorry no one will zone power to esan,it is too risky.

sorry sir,are u from Edo state or do u live in Edo state ??

donphilopus:


Have you heard of Akoko Edo my local govt? APC has been winning there but this time around, it's 55:45 in favour of PDP. Don't sit online and assume Oshiomole is gonna clear Edo North. Oshiomole isn't clearing anything here.

God bless u sir.They don't know alot have change

iokpebholo:
God bless u sir.They don't know alot have change

The likes of Senator Domingo Obende, Kabiru Adjoto, Bankole Balogun, Tunde Akogun, Segun Saiki, Aanena Jemitola, Akin Agbaje, Peter Ologun are all with Obaseki and these people are grassroots politicians. There are others I haven't mentioned now who are still grassroots politicians. Only few of those who have been determining Akoko are with Oshiomole now. The likes of Akpatason, Agbabi, Emilo and few others. These guys cannot match those PDP guys. Most of the philanthropists from this local govt are also with GGO. Philanthropists will always have loyalists. I'm just laughing those who have been awarding APC audio victory in Akoko Edo. Saturday should come already abeg.