Omon605:




Sometimes I wonder where most people are getting their facts expecially when it related to Edo state. How can Obaseki win? Edo state have 3 senatorial district of which pdp is very visible in Edo central which have about 16% of the electorates, APC own the Edo north which have about 26% of the electorates and Edo south which have about 58% of the electorates. Edo south is the battle field for the election. Outside the 3 core local government councils within Benin I strongly doubt if Obaseki can win any other local government council. because the APC structures in those local government councils are very intact. APC don't need any form of rigging to win, they already have an edge over pdp

With all your analysis ...why has PDP been winning the presidential election in Edo all these years?

elantraceey:


That's why I said the battle will be in Edo north. As for Edo south and Edo central, it's a sure win for Obaseki. No need for further arguments, the result will speak.

Take the battle field to Edo south, APC have over 80% chance to win all the 6 local government councils in Edo north while pdp equally have same advantage in Edo central (5 local government councils) but the problem is that the vote in Edo north is 10% higher than that of the Edo central. Whoever won Edo south have an edge and if is tie or pdp win with a margin less than 10-15% they are out.

35824L:


Whenever there is a large voter turnout, it is usually because the people are desperate to vote out a failed politician. When someone is actually working, the people are more relaxed and don't feel the need to vote.

Bye bye to obaseki.

This is kinda true shaaaa

fergie001:
Na results we ma wan post oooo

Me too

Omon605:



Take the battle field to Edo south, APC have over 80% chance to win all the 6 local government councils in Edo north while pdp equally have same advantage in Edo central (5 local government councils) but the problem is that the vote in Edo north is 10% higher than that of the Edo central. Whoever won Edo south have an edge and if is tie or pdp win with a margin less than 10-15% they are out.

I can't say about Oredo but in my local government ikpoba okha and Egor, it's going to be 80:20 and I'm spilling facts. If this election is going to be fair, Obaseki will certainly win whether Edo north votes him or not.

garfield1:
Me too

You wey dey all threads dey shout say Oba go lose

sotall:



With all your analysis ...why has PDP been winning the presidential election in Edo all these years?

There's a very big difference between presidential and state elections. In the last election pdp won the presidential election in edo state, immediately 2 weeks after the presidential election the state house of Assembly elections were conducted and APC won the whole 24 seats. Hope that will show to you the voting pattern in Edo state

Omon605:




There's a very big difference between presidential and state elections. In the last election pdp won the presidential election in edo state, immediately 2 weeks after the presidential election the state house of Assembly elections were conducted and APC won the whole 24 seats. Hope that will show to you the voting pattern in Edo state

So?


That means all the talk about APC structure and how it will lead them to win is gibberish.

Edo voters are sophisticated and do not vote based on party lines.

We are following

Latest Monday Edo don be Lagos.

elantraceey:


I can't say about Oredo but in my local government ikpoba okha and Egor, it's going to be 80:20 and I'm spilling facts. If this election is going to be fair, Obaseki will certainly win whether Edo north votes him or not.

Oredo, ikpoba okha and Egor are the 3 core local government councils within Benin. The other 4 are inside APC coffer. If you check my other posts you will see I mentioned same

E no easy ooo

It is well with Edo

sotall:


So?


That means all the talk about APC structure and how it will lead them to win is gibberish.

Edo voters are sophisticated and do not vote based on party lines.

OP, there is no presidential election since 1999 till date pdp have not won in Edo state. But it have never be the same in other elections

Omon605:



OP, there is no presidential election since 1999 till date pdp have not won in Edo state. But it have never be the same in other elections

That's exactly my point. How does this relate to APC having all the super structures in Edo and yet PDP is winning?


It means Edo people vote based on individuals , not party.

WonderManly:
Na like this we go take do am for here on NairaLand. Oya, let's go...
Like for __PDP
Share for APC

Nairaland results have never be credible or reflect in real life. You can ask Atiku, Dino, Saraki and the rest...

pictures of d going election

WonderManly:
Na like this we go take do am for here on NairaLand. Oya, let's go...
Like for __PDP
Share for APC

have you notice any election won by pdp on nairaland is always opposite in real election...let try to vote pdp and apc out of nigeria!

Someone I know living somewhere around Benin told me APC was sharing 3k each. The person voted APC for the 3k too

We are patiently following

Just voted,ApC is sharing 5k,PDP 3k or 2k

All the best Obaseki. Politics of godfatherism must crash

The first party to complain of electoral irregularities have lost this election

Mylove55:
you're absolutely right,
Egor, ikpoba okha and oredo are the battleground,
4 local government in Edo south are already for APC.

In my ward, inside eghosa grammar school in egor local government is always 50-50,

forget all this analysis Na the election is on let's see

BabaOwen:
Someone I know living somewhere around Benin told me APC was sharing 3k each. The person voted APC for the 3k too

Your friend foolish like that.. haba

The way people are voting for Obaseki in my polling unit is unprecedented....

joshjc:
Just voted,ApC is sharing 5k,PDP 3k or 2k

Not surprised. I knew apc will outpay pdp in vote buying

bender79:
Even pdp is presently sharing money in their strong hold. In elections it is called tightening all ends...

U deh mind them? who no know go know

gcof:
The first party to complain of electoral irregularities have lost this election

Gbam.that's what am waiting for.where is wike