₦airaland Forum

• Govt plans N4.28tn new borrowings, votes N3.85tn for capital projects

• PDP Reps say budget unrealistic, APC believes proposed spending achievable

John Alechenu, Sunday Aborisade, Leke Baiyewu and Ife Ogunfuwa

The President, Major General Muhammadu Buhari (retd.), on Thursday, presented to the National Assembly, N13.08tn budget estimates for 2021 with N3.12tn (23.85 per cent) earmarked for debt servicing.

Buhari, who said the nation’s economy might relapse into recession, stated that N3.85tn (29.43 per cent) was voted for capital projects, while personnel costs (salaries and allowances) would gulp N3.76tn (28.75 per cent).

With 23.85 per cent allocated for debt serving and personnel costs gulping 28.75 per cent, it means 52.60 per cent of the budget or N6.88tn will be spent on both items next year.

Giving other highlights of the appropriation bill, Buhari said the budget was premised on daily crude oil production of N1.86m and oil price of $40 per barrel.

The President, who tagged the proposed fiscal document, ‘Budget of Economic Recovery and Resilience’, assured Nigerians that his regime would do everything possible to take the economy out of recession in 2021.

The President said, “The Nigerian economy is currently facing serious challenges, with the macroeconomic environment being significantly disrupted by the coronavirus pandemic.

“The Real Gross Domestic Product growth declined by 6.1 per cent in the second quarter of 2020. This ended the three-year trend of positive, but modest, real GDP growth recorded since the second quarter of 2017.

“I am glad to note that, through our collective efforts, our economy performed relatively better than that of many other developed and emerging economies.

“The GDP growth is projected to be negative in the third quarter of this year. As such, our economy may lapse into the second recession in four years, with significant adverse consequences.”

Giving a breakdown of the 2021 budget proposal, Buhari put aggregate expenditure at N13.08tn, which includes N1.35tn spending by government owned firms and grants/aid funded expenditures of N354.85bn.

He added that the proposed N13.08tn expenditure also comprised a non-debt recurrent costs of N5.65trn; personnel costs of N3.76tn; and pensions, gratuities and retirees’ benefits of N501.19bn.

The President said overhead would gulp N625.50bn; debt servicing, N3.12tn; statutory transfers N484.49bn; and sinking fund of N220bn meant to retire certain maturing bonds.

He said, “ The 2021 budget deficit, inclusive of government owned enterprises and project – tied loans, is projected at N5.20tn, representing 3.64 per cent.”

The President added that the fiscal document would be predicated upon the 2021 – 2023 Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper already approved by the National Assembly

The assumptions, according to him, include an oil benchmark of $40 per barrel and daily oil production estimate of 1.86m barrels, inclusive of condensates of 300,000 to 400,000 barrels per day.

Buhari said the exchange rate would be based on N379 per dollar, GDP growth projected at 3.0 per cent and inflation closing at 11.95 per cent.

He said the Federal Government revenue, based on the above fiscal assumptions and parameters was estimated at N8.433tn in 2021.

He, however, said the total revenue available to fund the 2021 federal budget was estimated at N7.886tn.

This, according to him, includes grants and aid of N354.85 bn as well as the revenues of 60 government-owned enterprises.

The President put the projected oil revenue at N2.0tn, and non-oil revenue at N1.49tn.

He noted that the country still faced the existential challenge of coronavirus pandemic and its aftermath, stressing that the development had provided a justification to exceed the threshold as provided for by the appropriation bill.

FG plans N4.28tn new borrowings

According to him, the deficit will be financed mainly by new borrowings totalling N4.28tn; N205.15bn from privatisation proceeds and N709.69bn in drawdowns on multilateral and bilateral loans secured for specific projects and programmes.

He added that N484.49bn provided for statutory transfers in the 2021 budget represented an increase of N56.46bn or 13 per cent, over the revised 2020 provision.

The beneficiaries of the statutory transfers, according to him are the North-East Development Commission, N29.70bn; the National Judicial Council, N110bn and the Universal Basic Education Commission, N70bn.

Others are the Independent National Electoral Commission, N40bn; National Assembly, N128bn; Public Complaints Commission, N5.2bn; Human Rights Commission, N3bn and the Basic Health Care Provision Fund, N35.03bn.

He said, “In our efforts to enhance national security and human capital development, a major part of the 2021 recurrent cost estimate is allocated to paying salaries and overheads in MDAs providing the critical public services.

“These include, N227.02bn for the Ministry of Interior, N441.39bn for the Ministry of Police Affairs, N545.10bn for Ministry of Education, N840.56bn for Ministry of Defence, and N380.21bn bn Ministry of Health.

“Personnel cost is still our largest single item of expenditure. In the seven months to 31st July 2020, it accounted for 34 per cent of total Federal Government spending and is projected at 33 per cent of 2021 expenditure.

Only federal workers on IPPIS will receive salaries, Buhari insists

“To check the incidence of payments to non-existent personnel and unauthorised allowances, only federal staff that have been captured on the Integrated Personnel Payroll Information System platform will receive salaries.

All agencies must get approval before fresh recruitment

“All agencies have been directed to ensure that they obtain all necessary approvals before embarking on any fresh recruitment. Any breach of these directives will be severely sanctioned.

“We remain committed to meeting our debt service obligations. Hence, we have provisioned N3.12tn for this in 2021, representing an increase of N445.57bn from N2.68tn in 2020.

“A total of N2.18tn has been set aside to service domestic debts, while N940.89bn has been provided for foreign debt service.

“N220 billion is provided for transfers to the sinking fund to pay off maturing bonds issued to local contractors and creditors.”

Buhari said total overhead costs of MDAs and government-owned enterprises were projected to rise to N625.50bn in 2021, mainly due to the inclusion of the overheads of an additional 50 firms. He said provisions had been made for newly created agencies.

Buhari said N3.85tn would be made available for capital projects in 2021, with MDAs getting N1.80tn.

He added that N745bn had been earmarked for capital supplementation; N355bn for grants and aid-funded projects; N20bn for the Family Homes Fund, N25bn for the Nigeria Youth Investment Fund; and N336bn for 60 government-owned enterprises.

Buhari said N247bn had been earmarked for capital component of statutory transfers; and N710bn for projects funded by multi-lateral and bi-lateral loans.

He further explained that the 2021 capital budget was N1.15tn higher than the 2020 provision of N2.69tn. According to him, the provision moves closer to the regime’s policy target of 30 per cent.

He said the capital expenditure would focus on the completion of as many ongoing projects as possible, rather than the commencement of new ones.

He said, “We have also made efforts to ensure equity in the distribution of projects and programmes in the proposed budget. I will be providing the National Assembly a list of some of the most critical projects which we must work collectively to ensure they receive adequate funding.

“Until projects reach completion, they do not deliver the dividends of democracy that Nigerians rightly deserve.”

Revenue projection can lead to large budget deficit –LCCI

Commenting on the budget, the Director-General, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and industry, Dr Muda Yusuf, in an interview with The PUNCH, commended the President for early presentation of the budget.

He said this was an indication that the regime was committed to sustaining the return to January to December budget cycle.

The LCCI DG, however, expressed concern over the revenue projection, saying it could lead to a large budget deficit.

APC lauds Buhari

On its part, the All Progressives Congress commended the President over his management of the nation’s economy amidst the global COVID -19 pandemic.

This was contained in a statement titled “APC hails 2021 budget of economic recovery, resilience…urges ASUU to join the IPPIS, signed by its Deputy National Publicity Secretary, Yekini Nabena, in Abuja, on Thursday.

It said the budget was in tandem with the regime’s vision for Nigeria, adding that it was achievable.

Buhari’s budget, unrealistic —PDP Reps

But members of the Peoples Democratic Party in the House of Representatives condemned the appropriation bill.

The opposition lawmakers, in separate interviews with journalists, dismissed the budget proposal as unrealistic.

The Deputy Minority Leader, Mr Toby Okechukwu, said the proposed N13.08tn budget was not different from the previous ones, noting that while the size was increased, value of the naira had fallen against the dollar.

Okechukwu said, “For me, for the past five to six years, there has not been any increase in the volume of the budget, we only have an increase in the volume of naira.”

Another member of the PDP, Mr Bamidele Salam, said,” We need to assess this size of the budget in comparison with the international benchmark of global currencies. As of this time last year, it was about N360 to a dollar. Today it is about N500. Although the size appears big, comparatively, it is not.”

Another PDP member, Mr Ben Igbakpa, said he was worried about borrowing to finance the budget.

Budget achievable –Presidency, APC Reps

The Presidency and the Chairman of the House Committee on Finance, Mr James Faleke, who is a leader of the APC caucus, however, said the proposal was achievable.

Faleke agreed with the President that new projects would not be introduced in 2021 to allow completion of the ongoing and abandoned ones.

PUNCH

Bulk of Nigeria budget are apportioned for the same purpose yearly in every administration, and people are expecting different results.. Isn't that sad, y'all are running in a rat hole

By 2020.. When other countries are forging strong.. With all the oil any country would've dreamt of..

It's a pity.

It is not economically wise to be using a large chunk of the budget to service debts or recurrent expenditure. Neither is borrowing to fund the budget because debt servicing is not the same thing as debt payment.Mean- while, what is the govt appropriating N128billion to the NASS for?

N128billion for NASS taking over 20% of the salary already.....



Allow civil servants to engage in economic development by engaging in many other business while working....

Let civil servants operate on shifting and timing.....so we could rotate our economy to night shift to enable our economy to boom at night as people on forex will explain that there's alot of weakness on dollar at night....

Quadrupling the price of everything fg paying for.
Over spending for unnecessary leisure to high level government officials.
Procurement of vehicles for any project.
Are the blood, bones and veins of corruption in Nigeria. These are what politicians, directors are feeding fat on.

Racoon:
It is not economically wise to be using a large chunk of the budget to service debts or recurrent expenditure. Neither is borrowing to fund the budget because debt servicing is not the same thing as debt payment.Mean- while, what is the govt appropriating N128billion to the NASS for?

128billion is not supposed to be for them to pocket but use it for constituencies projects. Sometimes it's the responsibility of the people to make their representatives account for that money. People are to blame for cowardice or ignorance if they failed to do their part.

So many dumbass governors in Nigeria that only rely on Oyel money

This budget shows that Salary earners are in for a torrid time.

Debt and interest payments has chop large chunks of the budget.

Recurrent expenditure will bite hard into the budget. The FG trimmed the workforce through IPPIS and saved billions but still went through the back door and hired their cronies into the system thereby making a mess of everything.

In summary, Start a biz or leave this country. Nigeria is in for the worst

Another borrowing, by the time China will get hold of this country even the rich will be finding it difficult to eat

Vision 2020

STUPID PEOPLE

MONEY WE WON'T FEEL

This country don finish oloun

Nigerians, see the foundation of the problems Nigeria is going through right now....

48.8% goes to polithiefcians...

At the end, they would all be like:

Nigeria can't work this way

We need to reduce the size of this government !!

Cut legislative salaries and make them just allowances , after all it's meant to be public service and not a career right?

Buhari is very insincere and corrupt otherwise you don't need to give Nigeria 24 hrs power supply before people know you are doing the right thing.

Let him start from the smallest things like reducing cost of governance then people will take him seriously

2by40ft:
128billion is not supposed to be for them to pocket but use it for constituencies projects. Sometimes it's the responsibility of the people to make their representatives account for that money. People are to blame for cowardice or ignorance if they failed to do their part.

There should be a sensitization towards the masses on this. Also the law must make it doable to prosecute any serving senator who misappropriates his constituency allocations. So that they can sit up and assist local governments to develop the grassroots Nigerian.

That's the problem. A developing country where recurrent expenditures takes up national budget like this is in a mess.

Madness alert! One day these northern oligarchs and their southern slave collaborators would leave this country in penury. They keep wasting money on senseless projects, census , monitoring radio frequencies , pest control/ pesticides and the likes. I swear on the new and old gods that a bloody revolution is around the corner. When it happens the masses would unleash great terror on the political elites.

Realtalk20:

Buhari is very insincere and corrupt...

take that back into your corrupt brain that you use in supporting your god atiku, obj and jona who are angels, ur demi God. I know a supporter of criminals and looters when I see one. Small thieves supporting big criminals, na dere u dey so, kontinue

A country where so-called literates votes in an illiterate to preside over them will definitely be in trouble.

Until we start voting in the right people in the right places and make it a national culture, we will keep turning round in circles, and going one step forward and two step backwards in this country.

With the population of educated intellectuals in this country, it's unfortunate that these set of leaders are the best we can come up with.

The fact it is apportioned does not imply that it would be exercised there..... It should be rephrased that 52.6% would be looted...

It should be Salary (NASS)

ok

NASS 128b.
NJC 110b
UBEC 70.5b
Basic Health 30.03b

Can Senate be scraped outta our constitution please. They're gulping billions yearly without any impact.

Disheartening that it's Future Impossible Tense