₦airaland Forum

So 3 warships went to and fro in the so called Strait Iran claims the control and they couldn't even sink one, Honestly i have to say Ukraine Army is far better than Iran
All they know is to attack Tankers,Am highly disappointed ,This was a big opportunity to revenge for Iris Dena

Trump the cat with nine lives
Na so i for wake up hear say ma guy don die
Thank you Lord
Intelligence Agencies are failing big time
But again this the consequences of legalizing Guns, someone can buy an arsenal and it wont even trigger an alarm
I support alot of Republicans policies but the issue 2nd amendment,am actually halfway there

Well at this point i think Round 3 is inevitable
I really hoped negotiations would stop this war but Iran feels US wants what they couldn't get in war so i wish them goodluck cause now there are no more red lines to cross,round 3 begins with redlines
I wished they embrace peace,makes me wonder who is more dumb
The leaders of Iran or the leaders of Ukraine
Why fight unwinnable wars

So blockade has officially begin
Let's see what China can do
And this the opportunity for iran to finally sink a US ship or the only know how to blab n blab
I think for US this was a good move but to their allies,it will be brutal
Can US n Venezuela oil compensate for the loss cause i read massive tankers are heading to US right now
Can Gulf states like Qatar,bahrain n kuwait survive this
In few days or week,we will know who will backout first

Finally the war has ended
For all you war mongers and bloodthirsty people sorry for your disappointment
Firstly for all you pro iranian,i congratulate you cause in your ideology this a win,since you dont value human lives and see martyrdom as victory,congrats you held on well and you got to destroy some powerful planes and radars
For my analysis,I dont know how the negotiations will go in islamabad but from what i have seen so far,this ceasefire might be beneficial than the escalation that was coming and US neither loss or won the war until i see the outcome
1.It is much easier for America to build a C130J than Iran to build a missile starting today cause most factories need to build that has been destroyed and will take years to recover.Having a nuclear weapon is a no go area
2.As for strait of Hormuz,Trump just strengthen the US dollar,Iran can charge in yuan or cryptocurrency,no one care,but US will charge in US dollars, therefore strengthening their currency
3.Iran just made enemies of all it neighbors, expect massive investments in US defence industries, pipelines will be build extending to Israel so expect the gulf countries to join Abraham accord
4.And before this year ends, expect a US EMBASSY in Tehran

Obedience40:
Nothing like that man!!

ICBM?? That's nukes!!!


I don't think the US have any conventional ICBMs...

Oh really i thought they had,i just browsed it
But i think they about to use something like that,not a icbm but definitely something that looks like that Russian oresknik.
Cause JD vance said something interesting today in hungary today about tools in our toolkit that we so far haven't decided to use.

I told you guys some days back
Trump will likely use conventional ICBM like oresknik,all those underground missile cities are about to go kaboom

LordAdam16:
you did not comment when the plane was shot down
did not comment when they lost a-10 warthog
two helos, f-16
did not comment when the lost two more helos and a c-130s
now you're commenting because they claim they rescued the pilots with no fatalities
story!

and the 🤡 is now saying this rescue op proves the probability of success in a ground invasion is over 90%

you are so slow
🤣😂😀

how many fpv and shahed drones did iran launch at the pilot and rescuers
persia wanted them alive
it'll be different in an invasion

i hope this rescue emboldens them to invade
it will not be an in and out
they'll have to stay and their planes and bodies will litter persia
just like all their planes during this op

-Lord

I didn't comment because after all those loses of equipment and the pilot isnt rescued,its a failure but now i can with confidence that i was scared for nothing
I can confidently say iran is a 3rd world military now
Imagine US set up a remote base inside iran for hours and then couldn't bomb it with their so called fatah missiles,its only to target civilian infrastructure like refineries they good at
Bloody terrorists
And i see you people comparing equipment loss to human lives
What were the the equipment produced for,to save lives, something the axis needs to learn.All you celebrate is death, matrydom this matrydom that.God forbid.
Spilling unnecessary blood
I just hope trump wont extend again after 48 hrs expire
I know to you one ayatollah is not worth an iranian gun boat.I wonder how you people think

Second crew man rescued
I have not commented here since this pilot incident started, now i will cause i was waiting to see the outcome
If you had doubt that American Is a superpower above superpowers,now the time to realize that you were just being deluded and sentimental
American military is far ahead of others
This rescue op just proved that a ground invasion of Iran has a probability of 90% success
The rugged terrain of iran is a weapon not only against invading forces but also against defending forces
This is a big disgrace to Iran
This why i will always choose USA,they will rather send 100 men to death than watch two of their men killed,thats true democracy.
Am not American but i feel so proud as one right now
Oh my dear Nigeria, just when will we reach such level

LordAdam16:
like clockwork
hegseth has reportedly asked general randy george to step down
he is the army chief of staff

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/hegseth-ousts-army-chief-of-staff-gen-randy-george/

---

hammer starts dropping
they are looking for scapegoats

nothing will stop your sack kegbreath
the entire administration is going down

-Lord

The man was sack not because of iran war
A report leaked some weeks back that sec Hegseth refused the promotion of two army officers,i think one was black.This officer might be one of those who leaked it cause he might be more loyal to Army sec Driscoll who is on fracass with Sec war Hegseth for a long time now

The man was sack not because of iran war
A report leaked some weeks back that sec Hegseth refused the promotion of two army officers,i think one was black.This officer might be one of those who leaked it

WriteerNg:
⚡Pictures show the total loss of 81-0005, an E-3G “Sentry” Airborne Early Warning and Control (AEW&C) Aircraft with the U.S. Air Force’s 552nd Air Control Wing based out of Tinker Air Force Base, Oklahoma, following yesterday’s Iranian ballistic missile and drone attack on Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia.

The strike appears to have purposefully targeted the most important part of the E-3, that being rear of the aircraft which holds its rotating radar dome, containing several sensitive instruments including antennas for the E-3’s AN/APY-2 Surveillance Radar System.

This plane is rare
This a big win to iran
Comgrats to them
This was really reckless
Atleast pack this in Israel not there

I opened twitter today and all i kept reading was possible escalation in few days, i know ground troops is escalation but what if its something else.Cause definitely the number deployed is too small for an invasion
Am beginning to think maybe an Icbm or mrbm,a conventional one like oreshnik is about to be used on those fortified underground cities.I feel like that is being considered
Its just my thoughts though

Just like i was saying yesterday
Decentralization comes with a price
Someone is negotiating for Iran,that is a fact
The problem is who
Iran is about to find out what it means to arm various faction and allow them to operate independently.
Now every IRGC commander or Politician will be suspicious of eachother
And if actually there is a traitor in high position
This just drastically increased the chances of ground invasion by 30%

I saw Trump post and this thread instantly came to my mind
If you know who Trump is,you will understand what he just did
Ask yourself what happens in 5 day time

WriteerNg:

---

Iran has so many cards.

Iran could shock the world and send missiles to US mainland. If they can reach targets at 4000km, then what makes you think their missiles can't reach 12,000km?

Iran could also surprise the US and hit their bases in Europe (Romania, Bulgaria or Turkey).

Let's not even talk of crippling energy infrastructures in the entire Middle East.

It seems like you haven't been following?

I replied someone above you,please read it.
in summary,IRGC, SUPREME LEADER AND PRESIDENCY are not relating. Foreign Ministry keep denying they launch missiles or are you saying the FM doesn't know what's happening in his country or he's lying

Now as for the scenario i gave
The biggest loser is CHINA(like in Trump voice)
The biggest winners are Russia and USA

Do you want me to explain

WriteerNg:

---

Iran isn't losing. It's a stalemate.

They're very much in the game.

They can only lose when they've lost every capability to hit back.

If you're boxing with a stronger opponent, as long as you're still standing and still delivering heavy blows, you haven't lost.

The only card Iran has now is strait of hormuz
Now i have a scenario for you
If Trump goes ahead and hit every energy,oil and gas facilities in Iran
Iran retaliate,maybe successfully hitting every same infrastructure in Gulf and Israel(MAYBE),and therefore no more energy,oil or gas is produced and shipped through the strait?
Who are the winners and losers?

SonOfWords:
Iran is losing but Trump is the one looking for an off-ramp and fiddling with the idea of a ceasefire to the point the Iranian foreign affairs minister has already been approached with a proposal, albeit an egocentric one ?

Iran is losing but Israel is already wailing to the UN to intervene, claiming persia is committing war crimes?

See peak fuuuling na!

Same Trump that was negotiating but still bomb iran in same day
Do you know how diplomacy work.let me explain so you will understand
US not asking for ceasefire,a third party meets US,ask for terms of ceasefire,US gives conditions,they brought to Iran, Iran rejects,sends countermeasures
That's why both Trump and Iran Fm keep bragging proposals where brought.
Even if a ceasefire was meant,who is going to implement it,IRGC,Supreme leader or Presidency,there is a price that comes with decentralized mosaic doctrine.IRGC fires a missile,claim responsibility,Foreign Ministry comes out denies it.thats what giving Trump headache right now,Who is running Iran?
Cause in every aspect US/Israel is winning but Iran keep firing random missiles own by different sections.
Isnt that a definition of a failed state?

WriteerNg:

---

No one here ever said Iran would win or is winning.

We all predicted the Ayatollah getting killed and Iran being bombed to hell.

It was u and ur goons that boasted that Iran would surrender in 48hrs.

Nice, thought we having a misunderstanding
So you accept Iran is losing.
You only celebrating their ability to delay their death.I honestly respect you for that
So here is the next question
Between Iran and Ukraine
Who is more foolish?

WriteerNg:
Mr "Trump is not Putin" Raynald.

Where he dey sef??

Of course Trump is not Putin,Trump doesn't have that patience

In simple terms,can you explain to me how Iran is winning?
Cause am trying to think like you but i cant,give me your view

WriterrNg:
⚡Iran's Larijani:

We will punish Trump for the assassination of the Leader of the Revolution, Khamenei, and and we will never let him go.

Heard this man has been assassinated
I remember saying he wont last cause of his threat to Trump

WriterrNg:
⚡In just 14 days, the US has spent over $19B on an unnecessary war.

220 US Soldiers Dead
160 US Soldiers wounded
4 F-15s Shot down
20 MQ-9 Reapers shot down
1 KC-135 Shot down
6 KC-135 destroyed
4 AN/TPY-2 THAAD radars destroyed
2x AN/GSC-52B radars destroyed
2 Patriot AD destroyed
USS Ford damaged by fire
5 Oil tankers destroyed
USS Lincoln Abraham retreated.

What kind of fake figures is this,why mod move it to frontpage
You think 220 Americans will be dead and Trump can hide it,when CNN and BBC are there

Anytime i come to this thread,its either Iran has hit an oil facility,oil tanker,an abandoned military base, airport or iran threatening their neighbors
I want to see things like B2 spirit shot down
Uss Gerald fold sunk,F35 shot down in iran by S300
Am not impressed,oh they hit a radar, that's quite impressive,now that's what i want to see
Not some unimpressive terrorist acts like striking Dubai airport and then complaining a Desalinization system in your country was hit,its quite funny how terrorists think they the only one entitled to madness

aumeehn:
Today is Saturday Iran is still standing strong
Stop running from pillar to post, all these unnecessary shalaye no really concern us

Am not running from pillar to post,i dont even bother following the war unless something falls on my fyp,you know why
Cause we both know this clearly a one sided massacre,US/Israel is too much for iran
it does not ping my interest
Russian vs Ukraine is more interesting,i cant wait to see how that cocaine inhaling ukraine comedian will end

Ghostagain:
It's you who don't understand.
Even if this man died right now, it won't change anything. And he is aware he might die soon.

Iran is not Venezuela.

Of course the axis doesn't care about human lives.thats why they murdered about 30k civilians.Their solution to anything is by blood spilling

WriterrNg:
⚡Iran's Larijani:

We will punish Trump for the assassination of the Leader of the Revolution, Khamenei, and and we will never let him go.

This man will likely be dead before next week runs out, he didn't understand Trump tweet today

WriteerNg:
⚡The Revolutionary Guard's naval force:

“Today, an oil tanker bearing the trade name "Louise P" and flying the Marshall Islands flag was hit by a suicide drone in the middle of the Persian Gulf, as it is considered one of the assets of the terrorist United States of America.”

Is this not terrorism
How is a civilian tanker a threat to Iran
There was so much outcry when US sunk
Iris dena.compare that to this n see the difference in ideology and objectives in this war.Iran must never have a nuclear weapon,this war clearly proves that with their suicidal and terrorism ideology

WriterrNg:
Raynald it's been 1 week now.

"Trump is not like Putin". "Iran would fall in 4 days".

How's it going?

Your sense of victory is different from mine
Let me take you back to the 4 days objectives
Total obliteration of iran nuclear power=done as evident by video destruction of fordow n istafan
Destruction of iran military=about 43 navy vessels destroyed, evidence of multiple launchers and defense systems destroyed,i haven't even seen any aircraft except one miG at day 1,command centers destroyed,60% in control of iran airspace as evidence by 50 aircraft destroying Supreme dead man bunker all this with 6 confirmed killed n no single hit to US destroyer talk more of a carrier

Regime collapse and change= 55% done ,As evident by supreme leader death,evident by friction between President and IRGC today,who runs Iran today,you don't know if its decentralized mosaic doctrine IRGC or the so called Interim council

In summary the objectives have not been fully fulfilled but we are passed 50% in 1 week

HacheNoire:
Genocide on defenseless Palestinians who don’t even have a single tank or fighter jet.

Now that they have met their match, how is it going?

Pounding at different locations at the SAME time!

If not that you are biased, you should be appreciating Iran, or have a tattoo of their flag on your arm.

They doing wonders and you can see it, you just don’t want to acknowledge it.

Which wonders
They acting like terrorists which am not surprised,iran has fired on UAE more than Israel that they fighting
Firing sporadically killing their neighbors cause of their suicidal ideology,if i go down,i take with me enough blood

LordAdam16:
prior to the war i said iran's only viable gambit is all out war
it all-out, total war or nothing

on day 4, iran has achieved its first phase objectives in spectacular fashion

i'll list them

1. they successfully regionalized the war from day 1--from the gulf to cyprus
2. they successfully activated the entire axis of resistance--hez, houthis, iraqis are all in action and doing serious heavy lifting
3. they successfully closed the strait of hormuz and it has had an immediate impact on oil and gasoline prices across the planet
as of today, wholesale price of gas in the uk has almost doubled (up by 93%)
4. they are degrading the entire us military presence in the gulf and have been notching direct us casualties
5. they have successfully hammered the fragile economies of the gulf states
from the avaition/tourism industry in uae that is in tatters to the gas industry in qatar that has closed up shop
6. very importantly, iran continues to export at least 2 million barrels of oil a day while gulf export is approaching zero

---

the iranian gambit is total war and fighting a war of attrition

they've set the pieces brilliantly

now the task is to hold the line

a. keep racking us casualties
b. keep the strait of hormuz closed and the gulf under sustained but limited barrage to eradicate their defense interceptor stockpiles and exact maximum pressure on their fragile economies
c. continue pounding the genocidal warts just out of principle
even if there was no military and economic objective for this (and there are plenty), iran would and should keep pounding them
d. maintain internal cohesion
this is harder than it sounds
all of the baloch, kurd, and recently jailbreaked isis terrorists are sitting in reserve
so far, the presence of millions of iranians on the streets mourning khameini day and night has prevented them from entering the arena, but they'd throw the kitchen sink at some point

---

iran has had a strong opening
they scored early goals

this is a drawn out war and they have demonstrated that they have excellent cards
hez is operating on the genocidal warts and cyprus
the iraqis are smashing the kurds and americans in iraqi kurdistan, jordan, and kuwait
the houthis are targeting the genocidal warts and the gulf
so unlike the 12 day war, iran can map, adjust, and refine tactics as the mothership
while other nodes sustain the pressure

to put this in perspective
hez just made a direct hit in northern isn'treal
the iraqis hit us installations in erbil this morning
the houthis were the ones who targeted the aramco refinery shutting it down

during the 12d war, iran would have had to do all these themselves
not anymore
this confers strategic depth
usrael is expending years worth of defensive munitions within days trying and failing to defend the entire levant
while stockpiles built over the years in other arenas, particularly iraq that kept its powder dry, are finally deployed

---

does this mean iran is voltron and isn't sustaining any damages
no
this is not hollywood
iran and its allies are not jet li

this is a war of attrition and all parties are intimately familiar with the cost

iran fought an 8 year war against iraq where they were subject to chemical attacks
yemen faced a systemic brutal multi-year campaign against the gulf coalition
hezbollah has had on and off warfare with the genocidal warts since the 80's and have been attacked relentlessly since late 2023 (this is 2026, almost two years)
the iraqis fought and won a multi-year war against the us ultimately leading to their withdrawal from all federal iraqi territory this year

these are battle-tested, hardened warfighters that have no illusions about the painful costs of a war of attrition
they will take their losses like a champ and stick to their very straightforward objectives
as russia is doing in ukraine

these objectives are not complex and conditional
they are very straightforward
how long can bahrain, uae, qatar, kuwait hang on while their economies are shut
how long can the world and fragile economies deal with three figure oil prices
how long will us defensive stockpiles last when they only produce 6 to 7 per month according to marco rubio
what is the us public pain tolerance for us casualties

something will break and all they have to do is sustain the same damage they've sustained in their respective earlier wars with usrael for as long as is necessary

in one word
RESILIENCE

that is the strategy

---

additionally, i must draw attention to a very risky component of the iranian gambit that has held up for the first 4 days

nato and the gulf arabs are not joining in the offensive part of the war
tucker carlson announced yesterday that the saudis and qataris foiled false flag terrorist attacks by mossad agents in their respective countries
meant to generate domestic pressure on the authorities to join the war
joining the war in an offensive capacity is a lose-lose situation for the sunnis
whom satanyahu literally called extremist sunni axis last week around modi's visit
the sunni alliance has barely any indigenous mic, and rely a great deal on the us for both offensive and defensive munitions
by joining the war and suffering losses (both material and economic), they will be degraded
the us and europe will find a way to patch up the genocidal warts, but the sunnis will be held hostage
join the abraham accords or no new patriot system for you
do this or no new nvidia chips for you
do that or no more interceptors and f-16s for you

just as importantly
turkey has mostly stayed out
and pakistan continues to back iran in spite of their defense agreement with the saudis
confirming that their target in a sunni alliance is india and their closest allies in the genocidal coalition (uae and the genocidal warts)
their nuclear umbrella over saudi arabia remains but no one is nuking saudi arabia anytime soon
egypt is also staying out

nato is out
the e3--uk, germany, and france--will say all the right things but it is in their interest for usrael to get a bloody nose
would teach the us one or two things about making a play for greenland
spain literally just told the us to f*ck off
cyprus said no more offensive munitions
belgium flat out called the usrael attack illegal

they will assist with intelligence and even defense, but they will send an envelop under the table to the iranians about the coordinates of their soldiers in the middle east and that they should not be targeted
iran will take that deal
european intelligence and defense is pretty much still reliant on the us and ukraine is a bigger priority than the gulf states

---

a lot can change of course
but it is beyond mind-bending that iran and its axis of resistance didn't just hold off the hegemony
but also achieved their first phase objectives in so short a time

axis isr has been invaluable
from providing targeting information to identifying the rats hiding in hotels and makeshift camps to providing damage assessment so iran and its allies do not blindly lob projectiles at already destroyed targets

-Lord

Thank you writer ng for bringing me back
I went through all the pages from where i stopped and i was amazed at how this thread makes it look like iran is winning when its just a dying horse gasping for air
Well this the comment i saw and felt to reply

First,this isn't Voltron vs hollywood villains,it a lopsided air campaign so far.US/Israel bombarding iran military and regime out of existence
As for proxies,the PM of lebanon for the first time in history has the gut and audacity to declare Hezbollah as a terrorist organization,can you imagine that happening 2 years ago before the pager attack, israel now march into southern Lebanon undeterred,i don't see what you consider a win there,Hamas as i know is dead.Houthis so far are making threats but i havent heard of anything action from them

As for closure of strait of Hormuz,as we know its partial,for how long do you think they can maintain it with a zero navy and airforce or will they keep exposing their launch sites.Closing that strait is unrealistic in a long run and an incentives for the gulf nations to involve themselves cause definitely thats trump plan,to use them as ground troops.

So far only 6 service men are dead,i don't care about an iranian proganda numbers
Yes some radars and military facilities were destroyed but is insignificant compared to damaged iran facilities.Of course iran are shooting at military personnels in hotel,thats what terrorists do,you cheering it and praising them,i hope you will also cheer when israel start bombarding hospitals and schools cause i have read IRGC are now using that as facilities.we dont want to hear genocide then

As for oil,i dont understand what you mean by it will affect US, US one of the highest exporter of oil,infact this will increase more sales for them plus Venezuela is in the bag,even Nigeria is like Trump is holding Tinubu blockos.you think Trump holding Venezuela first was dumb,all this is a proxy war on China.Yes this war is also about iran oil.So in the long run,US wont be affected,the pressure will come from Gulf nations and Europe but like Trump was told,high risk,high reward,imagine Iran in the bag,this war has gone to a point,its either victory or lose n i dont see US losing
I think you said something about NATO not involving,i give them 2 weeks,like Putin once said,they will go back wagging their tails to their masters.But US dont need them,just their bases.
And before this war i used to hear Aircraft carriers are dead coffins,whats happening now,no single ship has been hit,is Iran that weak,Abraham lincoln is just at their shore,haba na.Even Nigeria will do better

And yes US is an aggressor,i prefer a US aggression than to China,Russia or Iran
Atleast in the US,the President has limited powers,who can dare stop Xi or Putin(note he's my mentor,he and Trump).Infact after Midterm Trump power will reduce drastically,thats why i will always support US,it has true democracy,check n balances

So in summary,when next you making such analysis
Compare iranian loses to US loses
Compare gains to gains and stop being sentimental
Neither China or Russia will come to help
Infact China will soon beg Iran to deescalate cause very soon even their vessels passing strait of hormuz will no longer be a red line

WriteerNg:
Wait Wait... Today is Tuesday.

The war started on Saturday. Which makes it 4 days already.

Where Raynald? Fallout!

You swore Iran would be surrendering by now. Say Trump is not like Putin.... He's tough and will tear Iran apart bla bla bla.

Explain to us what's happening now?

Yes,now we go 4 weeks
Iran still firing missiles sporadically like a dying horse
If thats not a sign of defeat
The more days increase in this war,the worse it will get for iran

HacheNoire:
You heard what happened in Israel last night?

Continuous pounding because they were low on interceptor. In few days, Israel should become a car park. That’s why Iran is rejecting talks. They can’t wait for that time to come.

Yes of course israel will become car park but iran will become heaven
You think only iran has the liberty of carpet bombing,you same people will come here crying genocide