German households could turn to wood as a heating source this winter as gas supplies remain tight while Russia restricts flows to Europe, Deutsche Bank wrote in a note Tuesday.
The bank said it expects gas consumption in Germany to be 10% below 2021 levels thanks to private households saving and high gas prices. It also noted that coal and lignite could emerge as replacements for natural gas in the industrial power sector.
"There are lots of elements of uncertainty, especially with respect to our assumptions on supply from other countries and demand," the note said.
Deutsche's latest reading comes as Europe braces for a potentially colder winter than normal, and as Russia's invasion of Ukraine has left questions for the future stability of natural gas flows. Moscow has already curtailed shipments to several countries including Bulgaria and Poland over a refusal to make payment in rubles, and the EU is worried that the bloc won't be able to sure up enough energy stores without an alternative source.
And the outlook isn't showing signs of improving. Gazprom, Russia's state-run oil giant, sent mixed messages Wednesday about whether gas flows would be restored to the Nord Stream 1 in the near future after it was shut off for schedule maintenance through July 21.
Deutsche Bank's assertion that households could turn to wood for heat isn't without merit. Amid a power outage last winter, Texas households resorted to burning wood and furniture for heat. The switch, Deutsche Bank says, would further drive down gas demand in Germany.
"Both savings and substitution have already led to a reduction in German gas consumption by more than 14% year-over-year in the first five months of 2022," the note says. The bank added that some facilities in Germany could shutter as energy costs rise, further complicating the situation.
The $7.2 million check the United States government used to pay for Alaska, 1868, (roughly $135 million in 2022). In 1866 the Russian government offered to sell the territory of Alaska to the US. Russian minister to the US negotiated for the Russians. On March 30, 1867, the 2 parties agreed on the price.
Russia's Duma speaker Volodin Vyacheslav is now threatening to take Alaska back from the US since, like Ukraine, it's also an ancestral Russian land: "America should always remember about Alaska. Before they seize our resources abroad, they must remember that we also have something to take back"
On March 30, 1867, the United States reached an agreement to purchase Alaska from Russia for a price of $7.2 million. The Treaty with Russia was negotiated and signed by Secretary of State William Seward and Russian Minister to the United States Edouard de Stoeckl.
Alaska is one of the two non-contiguous US states. It is located in the northwestern region of North America bordering Canada. In the past, the United States and the United Kingdom (which had control of Canada) had a dispute about the boundary of the state. The dispute began back in 1821 during the time of the Russian Empire and was not resolved until later in 1903 through arbitration. Initially, the dispute existed between the UK and the Russian Empire. However, the United States purchased Alaska from the Russian Empire in 1867 thus inheriting the dispute with the UK. The final resolution clearly favored the US, which is why Alaska is part of the US today.
U.S Army & Marine Intelligence Officer, Scott Ritter;
NATO became an offensive regime-change promoting alliance. Look at NATO engagement in Kosovo, Serbia, Libya, Afghanistan, Iraq. NATO is a problem. We do not have a military today that can fight a large-scale ground war in Europe. If we fight Russia we will lose! Europe cannot beat Russia in a war. Ask the French, Germans, British, they can't do it.”
Scott Ritter is an external Contributor to Energy Intelligence. He is a former US Marine Corps Intelligence Officer whose service over a 20-plus-year career included tours of duty in the former Soviet Union implementing arms control agreements, serving on the staff of US Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf during the Gulf War and later as a Chief Weapons Inspector with the UN in Iraq from 1991-98.