John McCain's pick for VP in Sarah Palin seems all too strategic.

Like chess. Checkmate to Obama?

Talk to me , Will John McCain choosing Sarah Palin as VP bolster his campaign , is will this help Obama

I read other blogs like CNN and they are not buying it. Maybe my reasoning is a little bias because CNN is mostly Liberal.

Anyway, Barrack seems to be leading in the polls.

SeanT21:

I read other blogs like CNN and they are not buying it. Maybe my reasoning is a little bias because CNN is mostly Liberal.

Anyway, Barrack seems to be leading in the polls.

After every convention,there is always a bounce. It will be long after,once the debates are concluded,that we will get a clearer picture of where the race is headed.

New poll from Zogby(Zogby can be an outlier)

McCain/Palin at 47%, compared to 45% support for Obama/Biden.


http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews1547.html

Obama Has Post-Convention Poll Lead; Palin an Unknown Bob Drummond and Nicholas Johnston
1 hour, 27 minutes ago



Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Barack Obama jumped to his biggest lead since late July in public opinion polls, after his Aug. 28 speech to more than 75,000 people in a Denver football stadium when he accepted the Democratic Party's presidential nomination.

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How long Obama holds the lead is open to question, as voters react to John McCain's surprise selection of Alaska Governor Sarah Palin for his running mate and Republicans begin their nominating convention tomorrow in St. Paul, Minnesota.

Obama leads McCain 49-41 percent in the most recent Gallup Poll daily tracking survey, which measured voter sentiment during a three-day period ending Aug. 28. The presidential contenders had been tied at 45 percent in the last Gallup tracking results before the Democrats started their Colorado convention. A separate tracking poll by Rasmussen Reports put Obama's advantage at 3 percentage points.

The 8 percentage-point lead in the Gallup survey almost matches Obama's biggest margin of the campaign, a 9-point bulge in tracking polls conducted July 24-26, Gallup said.

Obama's Denver speech on Aug. 28 attracted 38.4 million television viewers, 57 percent more than the audience in 2004, when Massachusetts Senator John Kerry accepted the party's presidential nomination, according to Nielsen Co.

Convention Bump

The party conventions historically give candidates a boost because of the media coverage they receive as more voters begin paying attention to the campaign. The post-convention bump in poll numbers for Obama is greater than the 3 percentage point average gain that Kerry got after the 2004 Democratic convention and is within the historical average.

Obama campaign strategist David Axelrod said before the most recent polls that because of the back-to-back conventions and the narrow divide among voters he didn't expect a major advantage for his candidate.

``I wasn't looking for a huge bounce,'' Axelrod said in an interview on Bloomberg Television's ``Political Capital with Al Hunt'' program. ``I don't think there's a lot of play in this electorate.''

McCain's ability to rebound will be challenged by the focus on Hurricane Gustav, which is forecast to slam into the U.S. Gulf Coast just as the Republican convention is getting under way.

Views of Palin

In a separate USA Today/Gallup poll conducted Aug. 29, about 40 percent of respondents said they consider Palin, a 44-year-old first-term governor, qualified to be president -- the lowest level since President George H.W. Bush picked Indiana Senator Dan Quayle as his running mate in 1988. One-third of the people surveyed don't think Palin is qualified, and the rest had no opinion.

By comparison, 57 percent of Americans considered Democratic vice presidential nominee Joe Biden qualified to take the top office if necessary, with 18 percent doubting his qualifications.

Palin may not attract large numbers of disillusioned supporters of Hillary Clinton. Only 9 percent of Democratic women said Palin makes them more likely to support the Republican ticket; 15 percent were less likely to back McCain. Among all women, 20 percent said Palin's selection made them more likely to vote for McCain and 11 percent were less likely.

Half of those polled had never heard of Palin before her selection, the Gallup/USA Today poll found.

Female Voters

In a Rasmussen Reports tracking poll, 35 percent of those surveyed said Palin's selection made them more likely to vote for McCain, while 33 percent said they were less likely to back the Arizona senator.

Most voters questioned in the Rasmussen poll had a good impression of Palin, who beat out more experienced contenders to join McCain's ticket.

Obama, a senator from Illinois, had a 47-44 percent advantage over McCain in Rasmussen tracking results through Aug. 30, the same margin he had a week ago, before the Democratic convention began. Including undecided voters who say they're leaning toward one candidate or another, Obama leads 49-46 percent, Rasmussen said.

Gallup's tracking poll interviews at least 1,000 U.S. adults each day, and reflects combined data from the most recent three days of polling, and has an error margin of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Rasmussen surveys 1,000 likely voters each night, and combines three days of polling in each tracking result. Its poll also has a plus or minus 2 percentage point error margin

msnbc has it at 49% OBAMA 41% for mccain.

these polls are just out there

Regardless, It looks like whoever does the poll --- it's going to be close.