Descartes: These are permutations which do not reflect the real time

adioolayi: Just wanna commend the Op for enlighten me on some ethnic groups we have in Nigeria.......As for the war...no no no...Nigeria will stand in unity against all odds. Nigeria will win terrorism, corruption, kidnapping and the likes

akumada1: We in benue will align with the east.

kmariko: @Op About this war you are so enthused about ....who will declare this war and against whom.

IGBOSON1:

^^^You're welcome Bros! Though i think it's pertinent to point out that the country to emerge from the East will be a secular country with a strong Christian leaning and founded on Christian principles! Just for avoidance of doubt!

Energito11: 1= If given a chance idoma and igala will align with Igbos due to their close culture but the problem is that,many of us still regard them as hausa.
2nd= Nigeria can break up without war bcus everybody is tired of this con3 even the North,what we need is who will take the lead,we igbos cant take the lead not because of past war but because of our investments in other regions.
Yroubas cant take the lead becus they are afraid of past war which i know that can will not happen if they want to break up.the only people that will break up these con3 is Niger Deltans and if them do others will follow.

Energito11: 1= If given a chance idoma and igala will align with Igbos due to their close culture but the problem is that,many of us still regard them as hausa.
2nd= Nigeria can break up without war bcus everybody is tired of this con3 even the North,what we need is who will take the lead,we igbos cant take the lead not because of past war but because of our investments in other regions.
Yroubas cant take the lead becus they are afraid of past war which i know that can will not happen if they want to break up.the only people that will break up these con3 is Niger Deltans and if them do others will follow.

Energito11: 1= If given a chance idoma and igala will align with Igbos due to their close culture but the problem is that,many of us still regard them as hausa.
2nd= Nigeria can break up without war bcus everybody is tired of this con3 even the North,what we need is who will take the lead,we igbos cant take the lead not because of past war but because of our investments in other regions.
Yroubas cant take the lead becus they are afraid of past war which i know that can will not happen if they want to break up.the only people that will break up these con3 is Niger Deltans and if them do others will follow.

aninibinladen1: War is coming whether we like it or not, Nigeria will not go apart peacefully. All the actors (regions) will want to annex the others in order to solidify their claims to nationhood, what will determine the outcome of the war lies on how the core middle belt states will align (since they wouldn't be able to form their nation due to their different historical backgrounds. Note that this region is the only area that borders all the other regions.

NIGER: geographically in north-western Nigeria but geo-politically in north-central, ethnically the state is predominantly made up of nupe, gbagyi, hausa and some smaller tribes, Niger state will naturally align with the north, infact calling Niger a middle belt state is something that doesn't go down well with a good number of the indigenes (aside the likes of jerry gana). Niger will fight and defend the north.

KWARA: geographically in central Nigeria but geo-politically in north-central, ethnically the state is made up of Yoruba, bariba, hausa, nupe and Fulani. Unless there is an alliance or an understanding between the west and north, kwara will be a boiling point. While a good percentage of the state may lean towards the west, the north will not let it go (especially the northern elite who will see it as throwing away what their forefathers won). whether kwara aligns or not it will not count, it will be a captured state either by the north or the west, whereas the west will try to regain it's kit and kin, the north will push (even further) to capture more ground in the west.

PLATEAU: geographically in central Nigeria but geo-politically in north-central, ethnically made up of berom, ganang, rukuba, chawai, afizere, anaguta, Fulani, angas, gomai,jukun, its Jukum[/b]tarok etc. Plateau will erupt! due to it's proximity to the other regions, the question of aligning is ruled out, long after the war there will still be war in plateau. The north will go after Plateau as it's first captured ground, but the people will fight back. As the war will progress, plateau's only hope will hang on the scenario where the middle-belt's single largest ethnic group (the Tivs) will try to forge a nation of their own. Due to their small numbers, the people of plateau as a means to an end, will strongly encourage the benue groups to go all out alone, else the state will in due time fall to the north.

SOUTHERN KADUNA: geographically, partly in central Nigeria but geo-politically in north-central. ethnically made up of ham, bajju, atyap, gwong, gbagyi,nizod, akulu, Ninzom and ekulu numana etc. The same scenario that will play out in plateau state will play out here.

KOGI: geographically in central Nigeria but geo-politically in north-central, ethnically made up of igala, okun, igbira, oworo, bassa, nupe, gwari, kakanda, ogori etc. a part of kogi will align with the west while another part will seek ties with the east. ultimately, majority of kogi will observe the direction the benue group takes. kogi will be a battle ground as the north will push in from niger/kwara axis and try to gain ground in the other regions and like kwara, kogi will be balkanized in the absence of the benue group seeking a nation.

BENUE: geographically in south eastern Nigeria but geo-politically in north-central, ethnically made up of tiv, idoma, igede, etulo, agatu. Benue's situation is a bit tricky, there are strong chances they will align with the east and there is a likelihood they will go it alone. The north due to proximity will not immediately look towards benue and the east will not waste resources and man-power starting a war with benue. Plateau, Nasarawa and to an extent kogi and parts of taraba will hope for a strong alliance to come out from benue. At the beginning of the war, benue will relatively be non active, they will watch the situation and in the end will either choose to go it alone or align with the east.

NASARAWA: geographically in central Nigeria but geo-politically in north central, ethnically made up of eggon, alajo,agatu, baribari, gade, Fulani, afo, Aho akye etc. The fate of most parts of Nasarawa lies in what happens in Plateau while the remaining will naturally align with their kit and kin in Benue.

TARABA: geographically in east central Nigeria but geo-politically in north east, ethnically made up of mumuye, jukun, Fulani,jango, kuteb chamba etc. A few local governments will automatically align with the north while a good part of Taraba will immediately be overrun by the same north, Benue (the tivs) will take advantage and annex the parts of taraba they have always claimed to be theirs. the jukuns will give the north a run for their money but will in the end be subdued as they will have to contend with north on one front and the tivs on the other front. However, if there is a Benue/middle belt alliance (with the tivs and jukuns on one side, 60% of taraba will go to the alliance.

In the end, the north will surely have an upper hand (this doesn't mean they will win the war).

torkaka:

The same Igalas fighting the Igbos over oil? In the face of war, Idomas will not easily align with the Igbos. Much will really depend on the direction the Tivs take.

Kogi and Kwara = true battle grounds

torkaka:

Nigeria will stand all right, its just a matter of kicking fedora hat wearing cartoon character man out.

torkaka:

The same Igalas fighting the Igbos over oil? In the face of war, Idomas will not easily align with the Igbos. Much will really depend on the direction the Tivs take.

Kogi and Kwara = true battle grounds

Nnewi1stSon: I'd love to see the look on the faces of the Ikwerres when that happens , they will be left with limited options; They would either join the Ijaws in Rivers/Bayelsa and perpetually be slaves to them; Make a country out of a local gov't or hand portharcourt to the Igbos and apologise thoroughly for misbehaving when we were still in ''One Nigeria''. Our brothers in Anioma would be properly welcomed though

Balkan: You permutation might not be wrong
majority of those tribes would not want anything to do with
the North because of Boko haram. while the east will not want them too
because of their boko haram tendencies. Wahala for them.

EasternLeopard: @OP

Tivs alone do not have the man power to reinforce Northern minority groups that would be at war against Hausa-Fulani-Kanuri-Co invasion.

Sooner or later

And alliance will be formed between the MBs Igbos Nigerdeltans etc to prevent Arewas from overrunning the MB.

Reason why Igbos will overlook at the past.

1) For security reasons, we will like to see a strong MB as a buffer zone btw us and the Arewas.

EasternLeopard:

Son you are wrong

Do you know why Jos, Southern Kaduna etc were not overrun by Arewas.? Igbo factor

Tivs are brave but lack man power needed to secure the MB.

To secure the MB, btw 5-10 million shock troops will be needed against a massive invasion from AREWA.

That man power can't be supplied by the Tivs.

Sooner or later

Other Southern groups will be asked for helped.