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American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! - Foreign Affairs (10) - Nairaland

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Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by ValerianSteel(m): 7:38pm On Apr 19, 2016
CFCman:

Nah..
His campaign comes to an end next week Tuesday
Truely,next week will be interesting to watch.

I just hope he bows out peacefully and gracefully and accept defeat so that Hillary can focus on the bigger picture especially her current drive to get more Democrats in Congress.

2 Likes

Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 2:12am On Apr 20, 2016
Donald Trump is the winner of the New York Republican primary..
Hillary Clinton also wins the NY primary

1 Like

Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Lucasbalo(m): 3:47am On Apr 20, 2016
CFCman:
Donald Trump is the winner of the New York Republican primary..
Hillary Clinton also wins the NY primary
Hillary just won the New York Democratic primary. Predicting big win in November for Hillary.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 6:39am On Apr 20, 2016
Trump has been allocated 89 delegates, Kasich 3, and Cruz 0 NY delegates.

As it stands, in order to get to the magic number of 1,237:

-Trump needs to win 52% of the remaining delegates

-Sen Ted Cruz needs to win 91% of the remaining delegates; and

-Governor Kasich would need to win 146%.

It's safe to say both Cruz and Kasich are mathematically out of the race. Their only hope of becoming the Republican presidential nominee is by way of a contested convention in Cleveland, Ohio.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by ValerianSteel(m): 3:13pm On Apr 20, 2016
#FeelTheMath.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 7:05pm On Apr 20, 2016
ValerianSteel:
#FeelTheMath.
Wicked grin

1 Like

Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by itstpia8: 8:08pm On Apr 20, 2016
What a race.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 8:23pm On Apr 20, 2016
itstpia8:
What a race.
Counting super delegates, Hillary only needs 30% of the remaining pledged delegates to get to the magic number of 2,742 needed to clinch the nomination.

Without super delegates, she needs like 57% of the remaining pledged delegates.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by armyofone(m): 8:24pm On Apr 20, 2016
I want them to match to the convention grin. Let the plays unfold. I really don't want them to leave at least not yet...give Trump some hard time. It is a shame for them to leave at this time anyway Esp Cruz.

CFCman:
Trump has been allocated 89 delegates, Kasich 3, and Cruz 0 NY delegates.
As it stands, in order to get to the magic number of 1,237:
-Trump needs to win 52% of the remaining delegates
-Sen Ted Cruz needs to win 91% of the remaining delegates; and
-Governor Kasich would need to win 146%.
It's safe to say both Cruz and Kasich are mathematically out of the race. Their only hope of becoming the Republican presidential nominee is by way of a contested convention in Cleveland, Ohio.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 8:35pm On Apr 20, 2016
cool
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 8:36pm On Apr 20, 2016
armyofone:
I want them to match to the convention grin. Let the plays unfold. I really don't want them to leave at least not yet...give Trump some hard time. It is a shame for them to leave at this time anyway Esp Cruz.


The convention will be bloody! If Cruz loses in Indiana, then Trump will get the required 1,237 del on the first ballot
But Cruz will likely stay in the race till June 7 for the California primary grin
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 7:35pm On Apr 21, 2016
An All-Female Ticket? ‘No Question’ It Could Happen, Clinton’s Campaign Says

If Hillary Clinton scores the Democratic nomination for president, she’d be shattering a major glass ceiling. But her campaign indicated that she could make history again by choosing a woman as her running mate.

“We’ll start with a broad list [of potential vice presidential candidates] and then begin to narrow it,” Clinton 2016 chairman John Podesta told The Boston Globe. “But there is no question that there will be women on that list.”

Clinton had previously indicated that they wouldn’t rule out a female veep, but this is the campaign’s strongest stance on the matter so far.

The Globe floated Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who had been rumored to be considering a presidential bid herself. Other women whose names have been floated are Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.)

Conventional wisdom suggests that she could also pick someone who is vastly different from her — young, male, and a person of color. Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) or Julian Castro, the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, would fit the bill in that case.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 7:42pm On Apr 21, 2016
Missy89: Was 7-11 an inside job?
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Missy89(f): 7:53pm On Apr 21, 2016
CFCman:
Missy89: Was 7-11 an inside job?

Yeah. the slurpee machine was destroyed by controled demolition
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Missy89(f): 7:56pm On Apr 21, 2016
Elizabeth Warren on the ticket will unite the party
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 7:59pm On Apr 21, 2016
Missy89:
Elizabeth Warren on the ticket will unite the party
I don't see her accepting to be a relatively powerless VP. Liberals would need her as the champion of their values in Congress.

Someone like Senator Amy Klobuchar, who will turn 56 on election day, could more likely be selected. She is from the Mid-west, which would give the ticket some regional balance.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 8:00pm On Apr 21, 2016
Missy89:


Yeah. the slurpee machine was destroyed by controlled demolition
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Missy89(f): 8:05pm On Apr 21, 2016
CFCman:

I don't see her accepting to be a relatively powerless VP. Liberals would need her as the champion of their values in Congress.

Someone like Senator Amy Klobuchar, who will turn 56 on election day, could more likely be selected. She is from the Mid-west, which would give the ticket some regional balance.

What worries me is that some Bernie supporters wont vote for Hilary in November. About 40% according to some polls
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 8:10pm On Apr 21, 2016
Missy89:


What worries me is that some Bernie supporters wont vote for Hilary in November. About 40% according to some polls
Those Bernie supporters will still end up voting HRC. If they sit out the election, HRC will win only because she has 10% less unfavorability rating than Trump.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by bayocanny: 11:28pm On Apr 21, 2016
CFCman:

Those Bernie supporters will still end up voting HRC. If they sit out the election, HRC will win only because she has 10% less unfavorability rating than Trump.
Hmm I concur, as far as am concern bernie sander has technically been defeated
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by ValerianSteel(m): 11:44pm On Apr 21, 2016
If Hillary does choose a female candidate as her running mate,she'll need a face that can unite all Democrats and help her with the dogged Bernie supporters.The nation will need a face that is promising,a champion of American democracy and values,someone who will cut across racial lines of white to black and hispanic voters.

Above all,a female running mate that would be considered a suitable option for the office of President should Hillary be incapacitated to carry out her duties.

I wish her the very best and I'd like to see a female-female ticket.A step to further champion women's voices across the globe.

1 Like

Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 12:36am On Apr 22, 2016
ValerianSteel:
If Hillary does choose a female candidate as her running mate,she'll need a face that can unite all Democrats and help her with the dogged Bernie supporters.The nation will need a face that is promising,a champion of American democracy and values,someone who will cut across racial lines of white to black and hispanic voters.

Above all,a female running mate that would be considered a suitable option for the office of President should Hillary be incapacitated to carry out her duties.

I wish her the very best and I'd like to see a female-female ticket.A step to further champion women's voices across the globe.
Women like Rep.Tulsi Gabbard (Hawaii) or Kamala Harris, California's attorney general, fit your description. But Kamala is running for Senate, and may not likely drop her ambition.
Gabbard resigned as vice-chair of the DNC due to a perceived bias in favor Hillary by the DNC
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by ValerianSteel(m): 12:56am On Apr 22, 2016
CFCman:

Women like Rep.Tulsi Gabbard (Hawaii) or Kamala Harris, California's attorney general, fit your description. But Kamala is running for Senate, and may not likely drop her ambition.
Gabbard resigned as vice-chair of the DNC due to a perceived bias in favor Hillary by the DNC
https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2016/04/21/hillary-clinton-top-female-choices-ranked/ii7GWuUCUjhAdHYqqvVEPO/story.html

Boston Globe has a list of 5 possible female picks.
Elizabeth Warrn,Janet Napolitano,Jeanne Shaheen,Amy Klobuchar,Patty Murray.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 1:42am On Apr 22, 2016
^^
There is talk of not choosing a Senator in order not to risk having Republicans retain their majority in the body.

Thus, Hillary could be inclined to pick Janet Napolitano, who was a former governor of Arizona and has federal executive experience as Secretary of Homeland Security.

Other possible safe picks, following this theory, could be Senator Klobuchar and Kamala Harris.
Klobuchar's Minnesota senate seat could be filled by the Democratic governor of the state. Also, the California senate seat Kamala Harris is running for would definitely be won by a Democrat.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 7:27pm On Apr 22, 2016
A close Trump aid is basically saying that all what Trump is doing is an 'act'. He will pivot to the center after the primaries.

Always knew something about Trump was phony.

2 Likes

Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 10:25pm On Apr 22, 2016
An accurate explanation of how Trump could be the GOP nominee.

Donald Trump currently has at least 846 delegates, according to the NBC News tally, and he can still clear the magic number of 1,237 during the primary season. Doing so would prevent the open convention that Ted Cruz and the Stop Trump movement are banking on. Here’s what it would take:

April 26
•Pennsylvania (17 pledged delegates, 54 unbound): Trump leads in every poll and is on pace to win the 17 pledged delegates that will go to the statewide winner. The 54 unbound delegates will be selected in the primary and will be free to vote for whomever they want at the national convention. Even if they declare a candidate preference before the convention, they will not be formally bound to it in any way. That said, a large number of them are already committing publicly to supporting whichever candidate wins their congressional district – or at least to weighing the district result heavily in their decision. Trump may have trouble in a few districts around Philadelphia, but his wide poll lead suggests he’s on course to run up wide margins across most of the state. Practically speaking, it may be very hard for an unbound delegate who wins his or her slot by vowing to honor the results in his or her district to wiggle out of that commitment in the face of a Trump landslide. Target: 17 pledged delegates plus 36 unbound
•Maryland (38 delegates): Trump leads the state by a wide margin and should easily win the 14 delegates that come with a statewide victory. The other 24 are given out by congressional district – three to the winner of each of the state’s eight districts. Polling suggests Trump may lose to John Kasich in the D.C. metro area. Target: 32 delegates
•Delaware (16): It’s a winner-take-all state and Trump leads big. Target: 16
•Connecticut (28): If Trump can break 50 percent statewide, he should sweep the state (provided he doesn’t finish behind Kasich in the 4th Congressional District, which includes the state’s affluent and highly educated Gold Coast). Currently, Trump is running at 48 percent statewide. Target: 28
•Rhode Island (19): Demographically, this state is a perfect fit for Trump and should produce one of his largest margins. The bad news: Its system for delegate allocation is highly proportional, limiting his potential gains. Target: 10

Leaving aside the Pennsylvania unbound delegates, if Trump hits these numbers he’ll end April with at least 949 delegates. That would bring us to:

May 3
•Indiana (57): It’s hard to overstate the importance of this state. This is because a very small shift in the vote could produce a major shift in delegates. This has to do with how Indiana distributes delegates: 30 to the statewide winner, plus three to the winner of each of the state’s nine congressional districts. So, for example, if Trump were to eke out a narrow statewide win while carrying six districts, he would net 48 delegates. But shave a few points off his total and give him a narrow loss and his delegate haul could be in the single digits. The potential swing here is huge, and the state’s demographics suggest it could be the closest contest left on the board. A Trump win here may be essential to clearing 1,237 cleanly. Target: 48

May 10
•West Virginia (34): Based on demographics, Trump should crush it here. The catch is that the state’s absurdly complicated ballot could mean that Trump voters fail to vote for Trump delegates. Otherwise, West Virginia looks like a Trump cakewalk. Target: 30
•Nebraska (36): A winner-take-all primary smack in the middle of what has been Cruz’s strongest part of the country. A Trump win here would be an upset and would suggest he’s well on his way to 1,237. But expect a Cruz victory. Target: 0

May 17
•Oregon (28): All 28 delegates are awarded proportionally based on the statewide primary result. Target: 12

May 24
•Washington (44): Delegates are given out proportionally at both the district and statewide levels to candidates who clear 20 percent in the primary. Target: 22

Meeting all of these targets would leave Trump with at least 1,061 delegates at the end of May. That would mean he would need a total of 176 on:

June 7
•New Jersey (51): Polls and demographics say this will be an easy Trump win in a big winner-take-all state. Target: 51
•Montana (27): A winner-take-all state that looks suspiciously like Cruz country. Target: 0
•South Dakota (29): Same as above, this time with 29 delegates at stake. Target: 0
•New Mexico (24): Delegates are given out proportionally here to all candidates breaking 15 percent. Target: 10
•California (172): A mere 13 delegates go to the statewide winner here, with the real action in the state’s 53 congressional districts, where the winner of each will receive three delegates. The bad news for Trump: The Cruz team is talking up its superior organizing at the district-level, something that could be especially critical in the many heavily Democratic districts around Los Angeles and San Francisco, where few Republicans will actually vote on June 7. There’s also a poll that suggests Trump could win statewide while struggling in district-rich Los Angeles County. The good news: Trump is still leading statewide and his support tends to be more evenly distributed than Cruz’s. Plus, there’s not much evidence in this year’s results that the kind of district-based organizing Cruz is attempting will be that effective. If Trump really does win California by a high single-digit margin, he still seems likely to carry an awful lot of districts. For the purposes of this exercise, let’s say he can get two-thirds of them, or 35. Target: 118

If he makes these numbers, Trump would finish the primary season with at least 1,240 delegates – over the magic number. Obviously, this would be a perilous path with little margin for error. A loss in Indiana, for instance, would knock his final number well under 1,237. That said, a stronger win in California than we’re penciling in here could push him well past 1,237. More importantly, this does not include the unbound delegates from Pennsylvania. Again, they’ll be free to change their minds all the way up until the convention roll call, but if Trump wins Pennsylvania big it does seem likely he’ll take a large number of them.

Which brings us to a bigger point: If Trump is short of 1,237, it still might not be enough for the Stop Trump forces. As the Pennsylvania situation shows, there are potential avenues for him to add delegates even if his primary season total is a few dozen short of 1,237. Moreover, if he’s that close, there’s the very practical issue of whether the Republican Party, for all of the anti-Trump noise now in the air, will want to spend those valuable weeks leading up the Cleveland convention desperate fighting someone who is likely in the end to have the votes to become the nominee
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by ValerianSteel(m): 8:04pm On Apr 23, 2016
It's a long article on Hillary's Foreign Policy and her Military Stance.

Will Hillary deliver America from the claws of Foreign Military entanglements or will she further them?

http://nytimes.com/2016/04/24/magazine/how-hillary-clinton-became-a-hawk.html
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by ValerianSteel(m): 1:12am On Apr 24, 2016
On the VP Stake.

http://nytimes.com/interactive/2016/04/24/us/politics/hillary-clinton-running-mate.html

Racial diversity and gender card will determine who is picked.

1 Like

Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 8:43am On Apr 24, 2016
After much speculation, there are just two women reportedly on Hillary's short list for VP, according to close advisers and party insiders.

They are Senators Elizabeth Warren (Massachusetts) and Amy Klobuchar (Minnesota)
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by ValerianSteel(m): 10:18am On Apr 24, 2016
CFCman:
After much speculation, there are just two women reportedly on Hillary's short list for VP, according to close advisers and party insiders.

They are Senators Elizabeth Warren (Massachusetts) and Amy Klobuchar (Minnesota)
From what I read on the NYTimes,the only hitch to Amy Klobuchar is that she's not a popular face nationally.

You know Senator Warren up till now hasn't endorsed Hillary.If there's anyone with the experience and intelligence to shut down the likes of Chris Christie in the VP debate,she's the one.
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by Nobody: 4:00pm On Apr 26, 2016
Today is Super Tuesday 4!! cheesy

The results will start trickling in as from 8:10pm EDT (1:10am Nigerian time).
Re: American Politics Lounge - Donald Trump Is US President-Elect ! by BAILMONEY: 10:29pm On Apr 26, 2016
CFCman:
Today is Super Tuesday 4!! cheesy

The results will start trickling in as from 8:10pm EDT (1:10am Nigerian time).
HOPE YA GETTING PAID FOR THIS BRUH

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