₦airaland Forum

Buccalcavity2:
Ok sir. We shall see

We shall see

I recently stumbled on a concept. It is called counter-factual history. “It is a form of historiography that attempts to answer the What if? questions that arise from counter-factual conditions,” according to Wikipedia. The dynamics of politics in Nigeria are counter-factual. There is always the what-if question in analysis and outcomes. It is easy to see many claiming to have won the election. Then, the slogan of “he will contest again” is the medium of solace in waiting for the next electoral circle. What if Tinubu doesn’t contest in 2027?

Counter-factual history is “conjecturing on what did not happen, or what might have happened, to understand what did happen.” How would the election play out? President Bola Ahmed Tinubu had a single ambition to become president and not necessarily a two-term president. He worked assiduously towards it for many years. He built bridges across the divide. He negotiated. He made pledges. He granted concessions. And he became president. Even when the odds were against him. He would want to replicate the Nelson Mandela example to make history as the only president who didn’t seek a second term in office.

I was in a conversation with a friend, and he mentioned that he saw a billboard that had President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and his wife with the 2027 slogan. I told him it might not necessarily be the idea of the president, but an attempt by political merchants to lure him into the race again. The president sees and recognizes obstacles from a distance and he is not known to go into any fight he can’t come out victorious. In 2027 many variables would play out. A glimpse could be seen at the end bad governance protest. It was a message to the president about his rating in the north. In 2027, the third force would come from the north. This is why he won’t go into the race.

His strategy for the All Progressive Congress (APC) to win the presidential election is getting a young and bustling candidate from the north and not a (Hausa-Fulani). But a northerner whom the Hausa-Fulani can not reject. The vice presidential candidate would be a brilliant mind from the southeast who is well respected and known as an advocate of south-eastern interests.


We might see regular faces as standard bearers of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and the Labour Party (LP). There would be a third force party from the North as a protest. The implication is that the North and the East would be in a dilemma—the dilemma of choice. The south-east would likely go for the bird at hand, recognizing the incumbency advantage the APC has. It would be a case of once bitten twice shy. After Nnamdi Azikiwe and Alex Ekwueme, the south-east have not been lucky despite several attempts.

The PDP would try to balance their equation by going for a counter-strategy by picking a south-easterner as a vice presidential candidate, too. That would leave the LP in a dilemma. Picking a northerner as a vice presidential candidate would be of little impact because of the limited choices. The third-force from the North might jettison the idea given the prevailing circumstances and with the tendency that their lot would be better with the APC for religious reasons. The APC still had the advantage and won the election. President Bola Ahmed Tinubu ate his cake and had it. He retires to Lagos, and life continues for him. His involvement in national politics would be greatly reduced. At least, he has joined the league of former presidents with the benefits accrued for life.

It would signal a new era of politics. The majority of the old order would retire. 60 years and above might struggle to make an impact. The agitation for youth involvement would be rife. The new president, himself a young person, would easily relate to the demands and pressure to score good political points to advance the acceptability of the administration. There is also the psychological aspect to it, and the excitement would be palpable among young people below the 60-year age bracket.


The losers would be sensational, and that would usher in a gale of retirements from active politics. The narrative would change completely, and the aces of the LP candidate would reduce tremendously because the youth constituency, a critical support base, would have switched camps. There would be no need for another shot at it. It might also bring about a retirement.

Please don’t forget that this is counter-factual history. It might be the case or not the case. But my instincts tell me it might be the case because of the many battles the president is fighting. He must have bruised many egos with his style of governance and possibly the political choices he must have made. He doesn’t seem apologetic about it. He had what he always wanted. He created history and it can not be reversed. The 2027 presidential elections will be very interesting and tenacious politics will play out. There would be a winner and losers, and Lawyers would be disappointed. This is the counter-factual history of the 2027 presidential election.


https://www.thecable.ng/what-if-tinubu-doesnt-contest-in-2027/amp/

cpu2006:
Original Loser . Till 2031

Tinubu na real pretender loser Before 2027

Buccalcavity2:
Which Tinubu? E no defect when Bubu no wan give am ticket, na now Wey E dey in charge e go defect? Dey play.
I wrote in 2022. 3 people who won't play with power if they got it. Saraki, Atiku & Tinubu.
Just watch.

You no know wetin you dey talk, tinubu, bubu and APC members wey know say after bubu na tinubu go be next president. Na wetin give tinubu d moral to say na his turn after bubu.

Tinubu that is afraid of APC cabals and you think if APC cabals rise against tinubu he will still stay in APC, no tinubu will defect to another party because he is very desperate to complete his second term as president, tinubu do not mind spending trillions of naira to buy PDP presidential candidate ticket for himself, tinubu have no shame in him.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S_LpEDzmDSY&pp=ygUyQVBDIE1lbWJlcnMgd2FudHMgdGludWJ1IHRvIHJ1biBmb3IganVzdCBvbmUgdGVybSA%3D

cpu2006:
Then, you are a learner. We know where you belong
NOTE: your political party going no where come 2027

Tinubu is a goner, kiss the truth.
Loser

Britishpea:
Lol 12 years old boy. . Tinubu na your mate?

E Pain U Wella.
You Nairaland kids make me laugh some times.

See your wide wailing mouth

cpu2006:
Then, you don't know what you are saying. Who are the majority of APC? You can't compare Fubara matter with that of APC. the only thing your so called majority of APC can do is to defect to another party & work against him.
You a learner when it comes to Nigeria politics. Go back to class, let them teach you Abt Nigeria politics.

Your words show how timid and unreasonable you are in politics, go back to class and learn about Nigeria politics. In your emilokan mind you think politics is like corn and amala.
Who is Tinubu that can not be removed by those who install him in that position, the only thing tinubu can do if APC members come for him is to defect to another party and contests for president.
You do not know what you are saying, you are a learner when it comes to Nigeria politics, do not allow too much Amala and ewedu soup you have been eating to deceive you for Nigeria politics is not eating amala and ewedu soup.

helinues:
Exactly. We have different meanings to words

Loser

Omoboricash:
You are given that clown audience by replying him. If Tinubu could win apc Ticket in 2022 primary election without support of Buhari and some other big shot in apc, yet he win the ticket.
Now rhat he owns the cutlass, one ediot was just cooking stories.
Let wait and see, 2027 is around the corner

Why are you wailing as if Tinubu wants to join PDP or SDP, emilokans and wailing are like amala and ewedu soup.

helinues:
Tell us just one major thing you supported since 2015 that came close to reality

We are definitely using different English curriculum across the Nigeria regions

You are a loser.
Your pride is responsible for your fall.
Loser

helinues:
What radarada is this one talking about??

Losers like you always talk without thinking.

cpu2006:
nonsense post. who is the greatest God father of APC.

Stop showing your ignorance. What if the majority of APC Members says they no longer want godfathers in APC again and what then will the godfathers do: it turns out to be like fabura fighting wike his godfather in rivers state.

helinues:
This must be from Upper Iweka expressway media

E Pain U Wella
You better stop this your frequently wailing and crying.

You have to swallow the truth even if it is bitter to you.

October End Bad Governance Protest

As millions of Nigerians across Nigeria take to the streets and raise their voices in response to Fuel price increment, police brutality, economy hardships, bad governance, corruption among APC government officials and the ongoing problem of unequal justice. Nigeria's people have reached out asking how Nigerians can sustain momentum revolution to bring about real change.

Interestly, it is going to be up to Nigerians to shape strategies that best fit the times. Celebrities, imams, PDP Members, Labour party members, SDP members, other opposition political parties members, monarchs, catholic priests, pastors, lawyers, students, teachers, elderly people, traditionalists, and others should play their roles to bring about real change by joining the end bad governance revolution protests which begins October 1 2024; catholic priests should put on their priestly garments to join the protests likewise others.

First, the waves of protests across the Nigeria represent a genuine and legitimate frustration over a decades-long failure to reform bad governance practices and the broader criminal increment of fuel prices in the country. The overwhelming majority of Nigerian's participants have been peaceful, courageous, responsible, and inspiring. The end bad governance protesters deserve respect and support, not condemnation — something that people in countries like Kenya and Ghana have commendably understood.


The recurrent problem of fuel subsidy removal in Nigeria bad governance system proves that only protests and direct action can bring about change, and that voting and participation in electoral politics is a waste of time. The point of protest is to raise public awareness, to put a spotlight on corruption, injustice, and to make the powers that be uncomfortable; in fact, throughout Nigeria history, it’s often only been in response to protests and civil disobedience that the political system has even paid attention to Nigeria's people . But certainly, aspirations have to be translated into specific laws and institutional practices — and in a democracy, that only happens when we elect government officials who are responsive to Nigerians demands.



So the bottom line is this: if Nigerians want to bring about real change, Nigerians must work together to ensure the October end bad governance revolution protests yield results and the price of petroleum is reduce to 200 naira per liter.



Nigerians recognize that these past few months have been hard and dispiriting — that the worries, sorrow, uncertainty, and hardship of a economy meltdown pandemic have been compounded by tragic reminders that prejudice and inequality still shape so much of Nigerians lives. Watching the heightened activism of young people in recent weeks, makes Africans hopeful. If, going forward, Nigerians can channel our justifiable anger into determine, sustained, and effective action, then this moment can be a real turning point in Nigeria’s long journey to live up to our highest ideals.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jKZV03BA-gY&pp=ygUzT3Bwb3NpdGlvbiBhbmQgY2xlcmd5bWVuIHRvIGpvaW4gT2N0b2JlciAxIHByb3Rlc3Qg

rdsco:
It's not a kidnapper entry.
the room wasn't supposed to be rented or booked to you.

It's reserved for someone, some people. Someone who police or opps fit come for at any time.

That is a kidnapper entry used to lunch surprise attack on hotel customers who lodge in that room.

People have been lodging in that room without noticing the hidden tunnel but this particular man was smart enough to observe the hidden entrance and took the necessary precautions not to be like other hotel customers who got missing in that room.

ZaddyJ:
Fake news

Real news

The complains coming from users of Asaba hotels have reached overflowing stance which have trigger Asaba youths to take drastic actions soon by searching all hotels in Asaba in order to find hotels hiding spy cameras in the their hotel rooms, hotels selling human being meat, hotels were lodgers goes missing, hotels that allow stranger to knock on female lodgers room asking them if they want a man or a woman to have sex with, hotels were customers are robbed in or around the hotel, hotels that have their customers murder in their room, other crime happening in asaba hotels and this plan action by Asaba youths in order to sanitize hotels in Asaba from criminality is a welcome development, so visitors can feel secure when lodging in hotels in Asaba city.

Asaba Youths are not happy with this evil acts which have been going on for sometime in some hotels in Asaba city. Ongoing discussion by some Asaba youths to solve high hotels crime rates in Asaba city of Delta state is ongoing as there might be hope for some people who have made up their minds not to sleep in Asaba hotels again because of the criminal activities they experience while lodging or the sad criminal asaba hotels story they heard from asaba residents.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aaXQ0jBuivM
Man Freak Out As The Hotel Room He Lodge In Asaba Have Hidden Kidnaper Entry "Crime In Hotels"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aaXQ0jBuivM

post=132192636:
Go To Big Hotel And Enjoy Your Life

Big Hotels are even the worst, the rates of missing people in big hotels is higher than small hotels.
Just like the big 3 star hotel in the video below were a person lodge only to discover a hidden tunnel inside his hotel room were kidnapper enter from at night to kidnap or kill the hotel customer while he/she sleeps.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t87rT3eDl8k

MadPolitician:
You guys have started with your badmouthing of other peoples businesses as you always do when you want to sell your own businesses? Una don start again? It must be Lagos or nothing. I lodge regularly in Asaba and never experienced anything. Na waao

If you regularly lodge in Asaba hotel and you have not experience such, does not mean such does not happen in asaba and pH hotels just that you are lucky not to fall victim.

Such happen in Lagos hotels but hotels in Asaba and porthacourt have the highest recorded hotels criminality in Nigeria.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZjyMV7Il1VY

AllBlack:
just those two cities in the whole 36 states?

who gave the reports?

This criminal activities is happening in some hotels in the 36 states of Nigeria but Asaba and porthacourt cities have the highest recorded hotels criminality in Nigeria. Most of the ritual killing hotels owners have ways of covering their criminal acts from getting to the public but this time around people are speaking up and stories spreading round like wide fire.

ShogunNoName:
Are you minding the yoruba man? this is how Yorubas like to demarket other regions and paint only theirs as the best.

Ozuor

Shut up and stop talking what you know nothing about.

I am not a yoruba person, let condemn this criminal activities going on at Asaba And Portharcourt Hotels so others will not fall victims to this criminality and let avoid bringing In tribalism into sensitive topic like this.

fortunez1:
God will judge you and your lies to discredit Portharcourt Hotels and it's night life , those lies will haunt you forever, you are doing this deliberately and famtoning lies because Portharcourt night life is ever bubbling especially @ Planet G & Pikin Suites . Wike made Portharcourt peaceful and warmly safe at night through the introduction of OSPAC and other security surveillance groups and also installed street lights on major roads .
Generally Portharcourt is still keeping up with it's night life , fun parks , clubs, lounges , exclusive bars and restaurants , fast foods , bukas etc all active through the night and until morning hours.
It's hard and difficult to hear a girl been dumped on the roadside or been used for plus in Ph . Just a weekend in Portharcourt will make you thank Op for making a mistake with his headline , which allowed you to discover Portharcourt the Garden City Of Nigeria .
Ph City is all about work & flirt , hustle & flenjur

Listen to me you liar, God will judge you and your lies to exclude Portharcourt Hotels from the high rate of criminality. These your lies will haunt you forever, you are doing this deliberately and famtoning lies because you live in Portharcourt and you are afraid because this insecurity news about some hotels in porthacourt might end the night life which you think is ever bubbling especially @ Planet G & Pikin Suites.

I will say you do not even know what is happening in porthacourt hotels because if you know the criminal activities taking place in porthacourt hotels you will not be talking this rubbish of trying to defend crime in porthacourt hotels and displaying this bias sentimental myopic opinion of yours.

CollectMoney:
I don't believe this rubbish.

You should have posted the name of the hotels where such happened.

Anything that happen in Asaba or PH, is definitely borrowed from Lagos.

Lagos is the number magomago and wuruwuru city in Nigeria.

Man this is not rubbish but the truth, hotels in Asaba now are very insecure and alot of crime happened in and around Asaba and PH hotels which the media are not reporting just three weeks ago police raid hide out were drug dealers were operating around popular hotel in asaba and also three weeks ago a man try to detonate a bomb an hotel in Portharcourt.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RFVHomRszmo&pp=ygUiVGhleSB3ZXJlIGFycmVzdGVkIGluIEFzYWJhIGhvdGVsIA%3D%3D

Safety Tips From A Man To Those Lodging In Hotels Mostly In Asaba And Portharcourt Hotels.

Ensure your safety whenever you are lodging in an hotel by following this safety Tips.

In Nigeria hotels, alot of crime are been committed and if one is not careful he or she might become a victim.
People lodging in hotels are getting missing on a daily basis, spy on in their room by spy camera as lodgers are unaware of such bridge of privacy. Hotel lodgers robbed, and sometimes murder in their hotel room and most times hotel customers valuables get missing.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZjyMV7Il1VY

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=floU9O1W3s4

People visiting hotels in Asaba Delta state and Rivers State Port Harcourt, have the highest complain of experiencing insecurity and sexual harassment while lodging in hotels in both states.

Report gathering from people are as follows:

1) At the middle of the night while they are sleeping someone will be trying to open their hotel room from the outside.

2) Female lodgers sometimes complain of strangers knocking at their door asking them if they need a man to have sexual intercourse for the night thereby causing them sexual harassment.

3)Complains of them been robbed around the hotel premises and sometimes inside their hotels room.

4) Sometimes they hearing hotel customers screaming in their rooms as if they are been beaten or torture.

5) Hidden camera caught spying on them inside their rooms without their consent.


Whoever goes to Asaba or porthacourt to lodge in hotels should inform one or two people before lodging should Incase you are in danger they will be aware and knows where to find you.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Or86kEdkl9w&pp=ygUgSG93IHRvIGJlIHNhZmUgaW4gTmlnZXJpYSBob3RlbCA%3D

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TMwRvP-rCAk&pp=ygUaaXMgTmlnZXJpYSBnZXR0aW5nIGJldHRlciA

YorubaDemonswag:
300 billion OSU pigs can never force any Yoruba man to resign.

But your fellow OSU pigs like Sowore, dele farotimi and Kemi are forcing tinubu to resign.

SocialJustice:
I will shut up and stop asking silly question.

Okay