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How Buhari Will Win This Election (majority Votes & 25% In 2/3 Of The 36states) - Politics - Nairaland

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How Buhari Will Win This Election (majority Votes & 25% In 2/3 Of The 36states) by bolliejay(m): 9:48am On Mar 31, 2015
Culled from INEC site;

APPENDIX 1:
POLITICAL AND ELECTORAL SYSTEM
Nigeria is a federation comprising 36 States and one
Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Abuja and 774 Local Government
Areas. INEC conducts elections for executive and legislative
positions in Federal and State government. In addition, INEC is also
responsible for conducting elections into the Area Councils in the
Federal Capital Territory of Abuja.
Elections into local government councils in the 36 States of
Nigeria are conducted by the State Independent Electoral
Commissions which are outside of INEC’s authority.
1.1 EXECUTIVE OFFICES
For each election, the country is divided into constituencies
With respect to positions in the executive arm of government the
entire country is treated as one constituency for the Presidential
election and the Chairman of INEC is statutorily designated as the
Chief Electoral Officer in Presidential Elections. Each of the 36 States
constitutes a constituency for the purpose of elections into the
offices of the governors at the State level. Each Area Council in the
FCT is also treated as a constituency for the purpose of electing an
Area Council Chairman.
Nigeria’s 1999 Constitution prescribes the conditions
that candidates must fulfil in order to be declared winners in an
election into an executive office. These conditions are as follows:
1.1(a) PRESIDENT
A person is duly elected as president, where if there are more
than one candidates, he or she scores a majority of votes as well as
at least one-quarter of the votes cast in each of two third of the
states of the federation
. Where, however, there is only one
candidate, he must obtain a majority of YES votes over NO votes as
well as not less than one- quarter of the votes cast at the election in
each of at least two-thirds of all states in the country and the Federal
Capital Territory.
18
1.1(b) RUN-OFF (1st and 2nd )
In default of a candidate being elected as stated in paragraph (a)
above, a second election run-off shall be held within seven days as
follows:-
(i) Election between the candidate that scores the highest
number of votes and another with highest majority of votes
in the highest number of states. Where there is more than
one candidate with the highest number of states, the
candidate with the highest total votes among them shall be
second candidate.
(ii) A failure of either of the candidates to meet the majority
of votes and score of over a quarter of votes cast in each of
at least two third of all the states and FCT, winner at two
third and last run-off elections shall be the candidate who
scores the majority of votes cast in the election

The summary of the above is that aside Majority votes(GMB IS already leading by 2,032,226votes), You must have aleast 1quarter(25%) in

atleast 2/3 of all states(24states). Find below how analysis of the 24states where Buhari will have atleast 25%

Buhari has already won in 10states and has 25% in Nassarawa,Ekiti, Plateau making 13states.

APC is expected to win or atleast have 25% in the following 11 states - NigerAdamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba, Yobe, Kebbi, Sokoto,

Zamfara, Lagos. Altogether 24states

Re: How Buhari Will Win This Election (majority Votes & 25% In 2/3 Of The 36states) by SweetyZinta(f): 10:10am On Mar 31, 2015
we are taking over!

#Sai Baba
Re: How Buhari Will Win This Election (majority Votes & 25% In 2/3 Of The 36states) by kayboy4y(m): 10:26am On Mar 31, 2015
constitution has define it all

1 Like

Re: How Buhari Will Win This Election (majority Votes & 25% In 2/3 Of The 36states) by emalekuo(m): 10:29am On Mar 31, 2015
The vote from Kaduna, Borno, Kano, Kastina, Zamfara, Sokoto Kebbi and others will be like.. Hold on,
Hold on, pick 2, pick 3, pick 3, pick 2, general market, suspension,Last card. Check Up!
Re: How Buhari Will Win This Election (majority Votes & 25% In 2/3 Of The 36states) by kayboy4y(m): 10:34am On Mar 31, 2015
bolliejay:
Culled from INEC site;

APPENDIX 1:
POLITICAL AND ELECTORAL SYSTEM
Nigeria is a federation comprising 36 States and one
Federal Capital Territory (FCT), Abuja and 774 Local Government
Areas. INEC conducts elections for executive and legislative
positions in Federal and State government. In addition, INEC is also
responsible for conducting elections into the Area Councils in the
Federal Capital Territory of Abuja.
Elections into local government councils in the 36 States of
Nigeria are conducted by the State Independent Electoral
Commissions which are outside of INEC’s authority.
1.1 EXECUTIVE OFFICES
For each election, the country is divided into constituencies
With respect to positions in the executive arm of government the
entire country is treated as one constituency for the Presidential
election and the Chairman of INEC is statutorily designated as the
Chief Electoral Officer in Presidential Elections. Each of the 36 States
constitutes a constituency for the purpose of elections into the
offices of the governors at the State level. Each Area Council in the
FCT is also treated as a constituency for the purpose of electing an
Area Council Chairman.
Nigeria’s 1999 Constitution prescribes the conditions
that candidates must fulfil in order to be declared winners in an
election into an executive office. These conditions are as follows:
1.1(a) PRESIDENT
A person is duly elected as president, where if there are more
than one candidates, he or she scores a majority of votes as well as
at least one-quarter of the votes cast in each of two third of the
states of the federation
. Where, however, there is only one
candidate, he must obtain a majority of YES votes over NO votes as
well as not less than one- quarter of the votes cast at the election in
each of at least two-thirds of all states in the country and the Federal
Capital Territory.
18
1.1(b) RUN-OFF (1st and 2nd )
In default of a candidate being elected as stated in paragraph (a)
above, a second election run-off shall be held within seven days as
follows:-
(i) Election between the candidate that scores the highest
number of votes and another with highest majority of votes
in the highest number of states. Where there is more than
one candidate with the highest number of states, the
candidate with the highest total votes among them shall be
second candidate.
(ii) A failure of either of the candidates to meet the majority
of votes and score of over a quarter of votes cast in each of
at least two third of all the states and FCT, winner at two
third and last run-off elections shall be the candidate who
scores the majority of votes cast in the election

The summary of the above is that aside Majority votes(GMB IS already leading by 2,032,226votes), You must have aleast 1quarter(25%) in

atleast 2/3 of all states(24states). Find below how analysis of the 24states where Buhari will have atleast 25%

Buhari has already won in 10states and has 25% in Nassarawa,Ekiti, Plateau making 13states.

APC is expected to win or atleast have 25% in the following 11 states - NigerAdamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba, Yobe, Kebbi, Sokoto,

Zamfara, Lagos. Altogether 24states
Why didn't u include Benue and Edo? We are sure of25% from these states

1 Like

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