19.07.2015

Astra Giurgiu - ASA Târgu Mureș (Romania, Liga 1)
Pick: 1
Confidence:4/10
Odds: 2.15 (bet365)

Head to Head
24-05-15 Astra – Targu Mures 3-1
25-03-12 Astra – Targu Mures 0-2
23-10-10 Astra – Targu Mures 0-0

Preview:
Astra started with a home draw against Concordia in the first round and after that won away 1-0 to Inverness in the Europa League. This is a good advantage before the second leg and now they will try to take their first victory on the domestic front. Targu Mures won the Romanian Supercup and after that started with a home draw against Dinamo Bucharest in the league 0-0. They still didn’t started their participation in Europe and have many financial difficulties.

Markets:
The fair opening odds made bettors find a value in the home odds. It is interesting that the moves are led by the local market.

20.07.2015

Leiknir Reykjavik - Valur Reykjavik (Iceland, Premier)
Pick: 2 (DNB)
Confidence:9/10
Odds: 1.32 (Unibet)

Head to Head
09-02-15 Leiknir – Valur 0-3

Injured & Suspended
Leiknir: no
Valur: Jobe (d, 0, 0)

Preview:
Valur won 5 and drew 2 of their last 7 matches and could build on that not only in the league. In the Cup they have qualified for the semifinals where they will face second division KA next week. Their neighbors Leiknir are second from bottom after failing to win in 6 matches.

Markets:
The away odds have collapsed. But the activities in Asia and the cautiousness at the exchange to the draw make us choose the double chance.

21.07.2015

Lincoln Red Imps - FC Midtjylland (Europe, Champions League)
Pick: 2
Confidence:9/10
Odds: 1.22 (BAH)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Midtjylland won first leg with 1-0 at home which means a hectic second leg. But this will not happen as the difference between these two teams is very big. The home side will try to play an open football and this will make them easy target.

Markets:
Even with low odds, the away win accumulated a big risk and the drop was significant.

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23.07.2015

FC Botosani - Legia Warszawa (Europa League)
Pick: 2
Confidence:4/10
Odds: 2 (bwin)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Botosani lost just 1-0 in Warsaw in the first leg but spent almost entire match in defense. Today the Romanian debutant in Europe will have to play open football which will make the things very easy for the experienced Legia team.

Markets:
It is a surprisingly big interest to the bets on Legia. Even a bookie like bwin, which tries to keep odds as high as possible to be competitive, now is in the bottom on Legia after dropping the odds with more than 43%.

All my predictions are here, please check it out: http://pecheli.net

Not bad

Pecheli:
23.07.2015

FC Botosani - Legia Warszawa (Europa League)
Pick: 2
Confidence:4/10
Odds: 2 (bwin)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Botosani lost just 1-0 in Warsaw in the first leg but spent almost entire match in defense. Today the Romanian debutant in Europe will have to play open football which will make the things very easy for the experienced Legia team.

Markets:
It is a surprisingly big interest to the bets on Legia. Even a bookie like bwin, which tries to keep odds as high as possible to be competitive, now is in the bottom on Legia after dropping the odds with more than 43%.

All my predictions are here, please check it out: http://pecheli.net

GREAT

24.07.2015

Waterford United - Shelbourne FC (Republic of Ireland, First Division)
Pick: 2
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.62 (Paddy Power)

Head to Head
03-04-15 Waterford – Shelbourne 2-2
05-09-14 Waterford – Shelbourne 1-3
09-05-14 Waterford – Shelbourne 0-1
08-10-11 Waterford – Shelbourne 1-0
21-04-11 Waterford – Shelbourne 0-1

Preview:
Waterford is among the two teams at the bottom of the First division in Ireland and hardly can stop the best teams there. Shelbourne is among them not only because of their traditions but also because they want a quick return in the top flight.

Markets:
A very balanced opening odds which went down but not with impressive moves. Asian bookies keep relatively high odds but they started with high odds on Shelbourne either.

28.07.2015

Videoton FC - BATE Borisov (Europe, Champions League)
Pick: Under 2.5 goals
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.53 (bet365)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Both teams had problems in the previous round of the Champions League qualifiers. BATE knocked out Irish champions Dundalk after difficult away match and a no score draw. Videoton went to extra time at home against TNS and was lucky to level the score. Videoton also had a bad start in the domestic league losing the first two matches against Honved away and Haladas at home without scoring a goal. BATE at least is very strong in their league winning 12 and drew 2 of their 14 matches so far. Last season BATE knocked out Hungarian Debrecen on the road to the group stage in the Champions League with exchanged victories. Today they aim at a good result before the second leg and for Videoton’s coach Casoni a good result will be 0-0. Both teams will be very cautious.

Markets:
There is an expected collapse of the U 2.5 odds after the news from both teams.

31.07.2015

Wiener Neustadt - LASK Linz (Austria, Erste Liga)
Pick: 2
Confidence:5/10
Odds: 2 (Unibet)

Head to Head
11-05-11 Wiener Neustadt – LASK 0-0
17-07-10 Wiener Neustadt – LASK 5-0

Preview:
LASK is the biggest favorite in this league and will almost certainly win promotion after having a very strong team. Their chances are calculated to 1.85 against 5.00 to the closest rival Sankt Polten by the Austrian football specialist bwin. Wiener Neustadt has been relegated from the top flight last season but doesn’t have a team to compete with the best in this league. They have financial troubles and also lost very easy their first match of the season 2-0 away to Austria Lustenau.

Markets:
The opening odds on LASK were surprisingly high and started to drop very soon. It is sure before the start they will be further down.

3.08.2015

Spartak Moscow - Rubin Kazan (Russia, Premier Liga)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.78 (188Bet)

Head to Head
26-04-15 Spartak Moskva – Rubin 1-0
18-08-13 Spartak Moskva – Rubin 0-0
18-08-12 Spartak Moskva – Rubin 2-1
15-04-12 Spartak Moskva – Rubin 2-0
10-06-11 Spartak Moskva – Rubin 0-0

Probable lineups
Spartak (4-2-3-1): Rebrov – K. Kombarov, Tasci, Bocchetti, D. Kombarov – Glushakov, Romulo – Promes, Shirokov, Popov – Movsisyan
Rubin (4-2-3-1): Ryzhikov – Kuzmin, Kambolov, Cotugno, Nibuilin – Ozdoev, Batov – Kanunnikov, Bilyaletdinov, Gokdeniz – Portnyagin

Injured & Suspended
Spartak: Makeev (d, 1, 0)
Rubin: Kverkvelia (d, 2, 0), Wakaso (d, 0, 0), Devic (f, 0, 0), Livaja (f, 0, 0)

Preview:
Spartak failed to win their first home match of the season against Ufa, but took the 3 points away to Krasnodar. Today the capital team will face opponent which they usually obtain results at home against. Rubin is not the team we now from the last couple of seasons and also are without their important defender Kverkvelia who is suspended.

Markets:
The 88% decrease on Spartak Moskva in the positioning is too big for such a match. The odds definitely are interesting for the bettors even the whole idea is to make them not find a value here.

4.08.2015

Austria Klagenfurt - FAC Team für Wien (Austria, Erste Liga)
Pick: 1
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.65 (BetVictor)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
The newcomers Austria Klagenfurt made an impressive start of the new season with a victory and a draw in 2 matches. The home trashing 4-0 of Liefering was a sounding one and today’s opponent is the main relegation candidate. The capital boys FAC conceded 7 goals in their first two matches.

Markets:
The home odds are dropping everywhere, but it is interesting what bwin did. The Austrian bookie started with very low odds of 1.55 on Austria Klagenfurt and is staying firm so far. They are still on the bottom of the market and thus help to avoid risk in a match they consider as almost certain home victory.

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6.08.2015

Stromsgodset IF - Hajduk Split (Europa League)
Pick: 1
Confidence:5/10
Odds: 2.1 (Unibet)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Hajduk won 2-0 the first leg which is a comfortable advantage before the return match considering their bigger European experience compared to Stromgodset. But the Norwegian team lost only once at home this season and it was in the previous round of Europa League against Mlada Boleslav. Putting aside who will go through, the home side could win this one.

Markets:
A very big drop of the home odds is significant. It is not led by the Scandinavian market.

7.08.2015

NK Zavrc - NK Krka (Slovenia, Prva Liga)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.75 (188Bet)

Head to Head
02-05-15 Zavrc – Krka 0-1
15-10-14 Zavrc – Krka 2-0
10-05-14 Zavrc – Krka 2-1
25-10-13 Zavrc – Krka 3-0
25-05-13 Zavrc – Krka 1-0

Preview:
Zavrc took their first league victory last week 3-1 over Rudar and now it is time for a first home win. Excluding the last clash in May, they have a good tradition at home against Krka and these are two of the teams which will fight against relegation.

Markets:
Bookies made the necessary steps with the opening odds on Zavrc decreasing them with 43%. There is a small interest on this match but the home odds are dropping seriously.

9.08.2015

Neman Grodno - FC Gomel (Belarus, Vyscha Liga)
Pick: 1
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.6 (bet365)

Head to Head
24-08-14 Neman – Gomel 5-4 AET
15-05-14 Neman – Gomel 1-1
10-11-13 Neman – Gomel 1-2
10-08-13 Neman – Gomel 2-0
21-11-12 Neman – Gomel 1-1 AET

Preview:
Both teams are relegation threatened but Neman won 3 of their last 4 home matches, including one in the cup. Gomel won only one point in their away league matches this season.

Markets:
There is a very big drop of the home odds for unpopular market.

12.08.2015

Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Chrobry Glogow (Poland, Puchar Polski)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.85 (Unibet)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Zawisza has been relegated from the top flight but started with two defeats in the 1. Liga. Chrobry is their opponent in the league but far smaller club. Zawisza will try to make something special in this competition.

Markets:
A mass drop of the home odds plus low position of the bookies with good Polish market tells all.

14.08.2015

RW Essen - SV Rödinghausen (Germany, Regionalliga West)
Pick: 1
Confidence:4/10
Odds: 2.15 (Unibet)

Head to Head
27-03-15 RW Essen – Rodinghausen 0-3

Preview:
RW Essen still remember the 0-3 trashing against this opponent at home in March. Now they made a poor start of the season losing by the same score at home to Wiedenbruck. But after that they lost on penalties against Fortuna Dusseldorf and the result will build their confidence. Rodinghausen won their first two league matches but against weak opponents.

Markets:
There is a big drop on the home odds. For the bettors RW Essen is one of the value picks today.

Leading people back to village gradualy! Bro dere is no sure game for sport betting

16.08.2015

Radnik Surdulica - FK Crvena Zvezda (Serbia, Jelen Superliga)
Pick: 2
Confidence:9/10
Odds: 1.25 (Unibet)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Zvezda will not miss the chance to get easy 3 points against the newcomers.

Markets:
The 102% decrease on Zvezda before opening of the market paid good interest. After that the away odds virtually collapsed.

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19.08.2015

FC Basel - Maccabi Tel Aviv (Europe, Champions League)
Pick: 1
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.5 (bet365)

Head to Head
27-02-14 Basel – Maccabi Tel-Aviv 3-0
30-07-13 Basel – Maccabi Tel-Aviv 1-0

Preview:
Basel and Maccabi Tel-Aviv played twice in the last 3 season and on both occasions Swiss champions have been superior. It will be the same now. Even knocking out Viktoria Plzen in the previous round, Maccabi Tel-Aviv hardly can do the same against this opponent.

Markets:
The drop of the home odds was so big that now allows sure bets to those, who backed Basel immediately after opening of the market.

Pecheli:
19.08.2015

FC Basel - Maccabi Tel Aviv (Europe, Champions League)
Pick: 1
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.5 (bet365)

Head to Head
27-02-14 Basel – Maccabi Tel-Aviv 3-0
30-07-13 Basel – Maccabi Tel-Aviv 1-0

Preview:
Basel and Maccabi Tel-Aviv played twice in the last 3 season and on both occasions Swiss champions have been superior. It will be the same now. Even knocking out Viktoria Plzen in the previous round, Maccabi Tel-Aviv hardly can do the same against this opponent.

Markets:
The drop of the home odds was so big that now allows sure bets to those, who backed Basel immediately after opening of the market.

nice one bro, keep up de good work.

22.08.2015

Besiktas JK - Trabzonspor (Turkey, Süper Lig)
Pick: 1
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.7 (Sportingbet)

Head to Head
07-12-14 Besiktas – Trabzonspor 3-0
18-08-13 Besiktas – Trabzonspor 2-0
09-01-13 Besiktas – Trabzonspor 1-1
21-10-12 Besiktas – Trabzonspor 1-1
11-05-12 Besiktas – Trabzonspor 1-1

Probable lineups
Besiktas: Tolga, Beck, Rhodolfo, Ersan, Motta, Oğuzhan, Quaresma, Atiba, Gökhan, Olcay, Cenk
Trabzonspor: Onur, Cavanda, Mustafa, Medjani, Constant, Okay, Mbia, Yusuf, Özer, Erkan, NDoye

Preview:
Senol Gunes and his Besiktas will face Trabzonspor, a team, where he is a coach legend. But he will show no mercy after the title is the only aim for The Eagles this season. Besiktas trashed Mersin 5-2 away in their opening match. Trabzonspor were victorious too against the strong Bursa team, but in Europe they were a disaster with many internal problems.

Markets:
The home odds virtually collapsed after opening of the market. Maybe the fair opening odds were a mistake.

25.08.2015

Wolverhampton - Barnet (England, Football League Cup)
Pick: 1
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.36 (bet365)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Midfielder Jed Wallace could make his Wolves debut as he nears full fitness as he recovers from a foot injury after his move from Portsmouth in the summer. Fringe player Razak Boukari ruptured his patellar tendon playing for the Under-21s against Fulham on Friday and is set to be sidelined for a year. Aaron McLean (F, 1, 0) and John Akinde (F, 4, 2) could be paired together in attack for Barnet. Wolves put five past Barnet in the second leg of their previous League Cup fixture - a first-round tie in the 1998-99 season. But the home team have not kept a clean sheet at home in the competition since 2011. Barnet, victorious at Millwall in round one, have never won two League Cup away games in the same seasonAnd this one will be Barnet's 11th away game in 12 League Cup ties.

Markets:
Bookies will hardly lose on such low odds they keep in all the big favorites so for the bettors everything is up to the choice. Bookies with a good expertise in the lower English leagues keep low odds on the home win.

26.08.2015

Naft Tehran - Al Ahli Dubai (Asian Champions League)
Pick: 1
Confidence:4/10
Odds: 2.5 (bwin)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Naft Teheran is still without a victory in Iran this season in 4 rounds. Their last win was on May 20 in the Asian Champions League against Al Ahli from Saudi Arabia. This season Naft Teheran is very strong at their stadium in this competition winning 3 and drawing 2 matches. Al Ahli from Dubai won just once away in ACL this season and hardly can avoid the defeat in Iran.

Markets:
Bookies are very cautious in Asia to the high home odds. They are dropping everywhere and accumulate a big risk.

27.08.2015

FK Vojvodina - Viktoria Plzen (Europa League)
Pick: 2
Odds: 2 (Sportingbet)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Injured & Suspended
Vojvodina: Stanisavjlevic (m, 6, 3)
Viktoria: Reznik (d, 0, 0), Cisovsky (d, 0, 0), Pilar (m, 0, 0)

Preview:
Vojvodina produced a miracle against Sampdoria in the last round, but in the playoffs they collapsed away to Viktoria Plzen. After 0-3 in the first leg, Vojvodina will need a miracle to go through even they will try to find it. Viktoria was eliminated in the Champions League, changed the coach and made a bad start in the league but the victory over Vojvodina last week was the lift they needed. The young home team will hardly play against the experienced Czech team and they are without important player (suspended Stanisavljevic).

Markets:
The away odds are going down everywhere, the low position of the Asian bookies and the big companies is significant.

More tips: http://pecheli.net/consultant

28.08.2015

FC Eindhoven - MVV Maastricht (Holland, Eerste Divisie)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.67 (bwin)

Head to Head
08-05-15 Eindhoven – MVV 5-1
23-08-13 Eindhoven – MVV 3-2
10-08-12 Eindhoven – MVV 2-3
24-02-12 Eindhoven – MVV 4-1
18-02-11 Eindhoven – MVV 0-0

Preview:
Eindhoven won only one of their 4 matches so far but it was in their only home match. And also against the relegated from the top flight NAC Breda who will look for instant return. Eindhoven had also difficult fixtures and today they must start accumulate points. Eindhoven won 5 matches in a row against this opponent.

Markets:
There is a drop of the home odds everywhere and they were slightly increased before opening of the market. Asian bookies keep low position here.

1.09.2015

Hartlepool United - Sheffield United (England, Football League Trophy)
Pick: 2
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.7 (bwin)

Head to Head
07-10-14 Hartlepool – Sheffield United 1-2
02-10-12 Hartlepool – Sheffield United 1-2
31-03-12 Hartlepool – Sheffield United 0-1
09-08-11 Hartlepool – Sheffield United 1-1
11-08-10 Hartlepool – Sheffield United 2-0

Preview:
Sheffiled United made just two mistakes so far this season. First was at the start of the league when The Blades were trashed by Gillingham. But after that match they won all their games and now are second in the table being at the same time bookies favorites to win the league. The second match they failed to win was away to Fulham in the League Cup. Everything else is victories. The question now is whether they will focus on the league or will try to make a cup run also. We believe they will try as hard as possible in the JP Trophy until the FA Cup begins to keep at least a good form. Hartlepool is a team, playing one level below Sheffield United and also all the last 5 clashes between the two teams ended with away wins.

Markets:
There is a pretty big drop of the away odds to say bookies are worried by the risk they accumulated so far.

4.09.2015

SpVgg Bayreuth - Schweinfurt (Germany, Regionalliga Bayern)
Pick: 1
Confidence:7/10
Odds: 1.7 (bwin)

Head to Head
22-11-14 Bayreuth – Schweinfurt 2-0
24-11-12 Bayreuth – Schweinfurt 1-1

Preview:
Bayreuth failed to win any of their last 5 matches but lost just once in 8 matches since the start of the season – at home to Bayern Munich second team. Of course Bayreuth can’t chase promotion in this league but will make their best to stay away from troubles. Schweinfurt won only their first match against the second team of Nurnberg and in 5 away matches won just a point.

Markets:
The home odds are going down everywhere. The Germany based Mybet try to keep high odds but won’t stay a long time with them.

6.09.2015

Örgryte IS - FC Höllviken (Sweden, Div 1 Sodra)
Pick: 1
Confidence:8/10
Odds: 1.25 (BetVictor)

Head to Head
No matches in the last 5 seasons

Preview:
Orgryte continue their chase for promotion. The visitors won 2 and drew the other of the last 3 away matches which is too much for a team fighting against relegation.

Markets:
Scandinavian bookies keep a high home odds and this is the difference with the Asians.