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How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN - Politics - Nairaland

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How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by kahal29: 1:14pm On Sep 19, 2016
• Admits failure of some monetary, fiscal policies

• Says $66b was frittered away funding BDCs


A failure to save for the rainy day as well as poor monetary and fiscal policies were partly responsible for the country’s current recession, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The CBN Governor Godwin Emefiele who disclosed this at an interactive session with media managers in Lagos at the weekend noted that a number of external factors, particularly the crash in global oil prices, also contributed to the nation’s economic woes.

“I must confess that what is happening today is a result of a global crisis in the sense that we’ve seen commodity prices dropping, we’ve seen geopolitical tensions all around the world,” he said.

Emefiele recalled that when it was very buoyant, Nigeria frittered away about $66billion or an average of $6billion per annum funding Bureau de Change (BDCs) operations over 11 years period, beginning from 2008, when the country’s foreign reserves stood at $62billion, and oil price about $120/barrel. He said such funds could have been kept for the rainy day or invested in infrastructure development that would have buoyed economic activities.

Emefiele said if the government heeded his advice to sell off some of its equities in oil and gas assets, Nigeria could make up to $20billion that could stimulate the economy and boost spending.

According to the CBN boss, efforts at jump-staring the economy are being circumvented by the banks that are flouting the policy on lending to the real sector by diverting CBN proceeds into buying treasury bills and bonds for higher yields instead of lending to businesses.


Explaining how Nigeria got into such a dire situation, the worst in 29 years, Emefiele recalled that not only did the country indulge in frivolities, including high taste for imported products, the waste in the system began much earlier dating back to the discovery of oil in commercial quantities in the mid-1950s.

“If we had held strongly to our potential in agricultural sector and in the same vein held strongly to the potential that we have because we found oil in Nigeria, our story would have been different today,” he argued.


Apart from abandoning agriculture revenues for petro-dollars, he said, successive government failed to plan with the proceeds from export sales, which compounded issues for Nigeria, unlike Norway, which invested its fishery and oil proceeds in a Sovereign Wealth Fund now worth about $873 billion.

The CBN governor said: “Unfortunately, we didn’t plan this way for our people, and that is why we are where we are today.


I will give you a few examples.

In September 2008, Nigeria’s FX reserves stood at $62billion. What did we do with $62billion at a time crude price was almost $120 per barrel?


“What we could have done was to save the money, if we couldn’t save the money, invest it in infrastructure and in industry that will grow productivity and wealth of our people.

“At that time, the Central Bank went about licensing Class A, Class B and Class C Bureau de Change. In 2005 the CBN was amongst a few central banks in the world allocating dollar cash for bureau de change operations, and by the time it was stopped in January 2016, the CBN had disbursed $66billion to fund cash operations of BDC in Nigeria. What that meant in 11 years is that we spent $66billion funding operations of BDC, which came to an average of $6billion in a year.

“If we had thought of other ways to utilise our reserves in 2008, when it was as high as $62billion, certainly we will not be where we are today.”


Emefiele also noted that the continued fall in the price of oil at the international market is not helping matters, with reserves on a free fall.

“Between August and September 2014 up till this moment, which is about two years, we have seen a consistent drop in prices of crude to the extent that by March 2015 precisely, our reserve had dropped to $31billion, at that time crude price had dropped to $48 per barrel. At that time too, the country’s receipt from export of crude dropped to $1.3billion. At the same time, the demand for forex, the demand for import had remained high.”

On taking proactive measures that could have checked the recession, the CBN governor hinted that Nigeria may have been misled by its foreign allies when it adjusted its currency.

The currency adjustment hiccups notwithstanding, Emefiele disclosed that the flexible exchange rate policy is yielding fruits by fetching $1billion in the last three months.

“I feel confident that if we continue the way we are going, managing the situation in a way that encourages foreign investors and all those who have foreign currencies to bring them in to support our economy, there will be more inflows of foreign exchange into the system,” he said.


http://m.guardian.ng/news/how-nigeria-was-plunged-into-recession-by-cbn/
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by TPAND(f): 1:17pm On Sep 19, 2016
$66bn to BDC... shocked shocked shocked. Damn!

Our leaders are caused

2 Likes

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by INTROVERT(f): 1:23pm On Sep 19, 2016
LET ME BOOK SPACE HERE
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by wolesmile(m): 1:25pm On Sep 19, 2016
Make I park here jare
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by Nobody: 1:25pm On Sep 19, 2016
Trash. You've had enough time to do something. Even if you couldn't improve the economy, you should have at least steadied the ship.

2 Likes

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by Standing5(m): 1:29pm On Sep 19, 2016
I have waited for this report for months. We are where we are because we wasted precious petrodollar subsidizing import to the detriment of exporters who hold the key to our growth.

1 Like

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by RareDiamonds: 1:31pm On Sep 19, 2016
Buhari APC government are the persons who drag Nigeria into Recession by their gross ineptitude, incompetence, nepotism, bigotry, m0ronic actions and comments.

1 Like

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by Standing5(m): 1:33pm On Sep 19, 2016
kahal29:
• Admits failure of some monetary, fiscal policies

• Says $66b was frittered away funding BDCs


A failure to save for the rainy day as well as poor monetary and fiscal policies were partly responsible for the country’s current recession, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

The CBN Governor Godwin Emefiele who disclosed this at an interactive session with media managers in Lagos at the weekend noted that a number of external factors, particularly the crash in global oil prices, also contributed to the nation’s economic woes.

“I must confess that what is happening today is a result of a global crisis in the sense that we’ve seen commodity prices dropping, we’ve seen geopolitical tensions all around the world,” he said.

Emefiele recalled that when it was very buoyant, Nigeria frittered away about $66billion or an average of $6billion per annum funding Bureau de Change (BDCs) operations over 11 years period, beginning from 2008, when the country’s foreign reserves stood at $62billion, and oil price about $120/barrel. He said such funds could have been kept for the rainy day or invested in infrastructure development that would have buoyed economic activities.

Emefiele said if the government heeded his advice to sell off some of its equities in oil and gas assets, Nigeria could make up to $20billion that could stimulate the economy and boost spending.

According to the CBN boss, efforts at jump-staring the economy are being circumvented by the banks that are flouting the policy on lending to the real sector by diverting CBN proceeds into buying treasury bills and bonds for higher yields instead of lending to businesses.


Explaining how Nigeria got into such a dire situation, the worst in 29 years, Emefiele recalled that not only did the country indulge in frivolities, including high taste for imported products, the waste in the system began much earlier dating back to the discovery of oil in commercial quantities in the mid-1950s.

“If we had held strongly to our potential in agricultural sector and in the same vein held strongly to the potential that we have because we found oil in Nigeria, our story would have been different today,” he argued.


Apart from abandoning agriculture revenues for petro-dollars, he said, successive government failed to plan with the proceeds from export sales, which compounded issues for Nigeria, unlike Norway, which invested its fishery and oil proceeds in a Sovereign Wealth Fund now worth about $873 billion.

The CBN governor said: “Unfortunately, we didn’t plan this way for our people, and that is why we are where we are today.


I will give you a few examples.

In September 2008, Nigeria’s FX reserves stood at $62billion. What did we do with $62billion at a time crude price was almost $120 per barrel?


“What we could have done was to save the money, if we couldn’t save the money, invest it in infrastructure and in industry that will grow productivity and wealth of our people.

“At that time, the Central Bank went about licensing Class A, Class B and Class C Bureau de Change. In 2005 the CBN was amongst a few central banks in the world allocating dollar cash for bureau de change operations, and by the time it was stopped in January 2016, the CBN had disbursed $66billion to fund cash operations of BDC in Nigeria. What that meant in 11 years is that we spent $66billion funding operations of BDC, which came to an average of $6billion in a year.

“If we had thought of other ways to utilise our reserves in 2008, when it was as high as $62billion, certainly we will not be where we are today.”


Emefiele also noted that the continued fall in the price of oil at the international market is not helping matters, with reserves on a free fall.

“Between August and September 2014 up till this moment, which is about two years, we have seen a consistent drop in prices of crude to the extent that by March 2015 precisely, our reserve had dropped to $31billion, at that time crude price had dropped to $48 per barrel. At that time too, the country’s receipt from export of crude dropped to $1.3billion. At the same time, the demand for forex, the demand for import had remained high.”

On taking proactive measures that could have checked the recession, the CBN governor hinted that Nigeria may have been misled by its foreign allies when it adjusted its currency.

The currency adjustment hiccups notwithstanding, Emefiele disclosed that the flexible exchange rate policy is yielding fruits by fetching $1billion in the last three months.
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by BlackMbakara1(m): 1:48pm On Sep 19, 2016
Over to Oga Soludo and HRM SLS... grin
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by seunmsg(m): 2:19pm On Sep 19, 2016
BlackMbakara1:
Over to Oga Soludo and HRM SLS... grin

The funniest part is, Soludo started the policy of licensing and funding bureau de change and Sanusi continued with the policy. Today, both of them are busy criticizing the current managers of the economy without admitting that their previous actions contributed significantly to where we are today.

According to the CBN boss, efforts at jump-staring the economy are being circumvented by the banks that are flouting the policy on lending to the real sector by diverting CBN proceeds into buying treasury bills and bonds for higher yields instead of lending to businesses.

The CBN governor shot himself in the foot with this statement. If he can no longer enforce the policies of the CBN over commercial banks, i think he should just resign and go. Statement such as this paints the CBN as helpless and overwhelmed by the banks.

1 Like

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by orisa37: 2:38pm On Sep 19, 2016
See this holier than thou Character!
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by orisa37: 2:47pm On Sep 19, 2016
Just a Chief Scavenger that cannot carry a chicken. Please pay my Pension for August or is it lost in transit?
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by BlackMbakara1(m): 2:49pm On Sep 19, 2016
seunmsg:


The funniest part is, Soludo started the policy of licensing and funding bureau de change and Sanusi continued with the policy. Today, both of them are busy criticizing the current managers of the economy without admitting that their previous actions contributed significantly to where we are today.



The CBN governor shot himself in the foot with this statement. If he can no longer enforce the policies of the CBN over commercial banks, i think he should just resign and go. Statement such as this paints the CBN as helpless and overwhelmed by the banks.

I doubt there's anything like resignation in the public sector, so don't expect too soon.

1 Like

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by Standing5(m): 3:01pm On Sep 19, 2016
seunmsg:


The funniest part is, Soludo started the policy of licensing and funding bureau de change and Sanusi continued with the policy. Today, both of them are busy criticizing the current managers of the economy without admitting that their previous actions contributed significantly to where we are today.



The CBN governor shot himself in the foot with this statement. If he can no longer enforce the policies of the CBN over commercial banks, i think he should just resign and go. Statement such as this paints the CBN as helpless and overwhelmed by the banks.
You can say he shot himself in the leg again cos he truly did. But don't forget these are some of the things Soludo and Sanusi covered up by giving dollar to BDCs at a cheap rate thereby discouraging export.
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by abouzaid: 3:07pm On Sep 19, 2016
Dear nlers,i have noticed that paid apc online change agents have launched an offensive recently on nairaland by targeting the first few pages of an thread with front-page potential that can be harmful to their employers and filling it entirely with twisted pro apc arguments. please be observant and tell them that change begins with not flooding us with propaganda.

2 Likes

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by TheExclusive: 3:47pm On Sep 19, 2016
Until our leaders stabilize our power supply and encourage all round local production to create wealth, our problems will continue. No amount of monetary and fiscal economic permutations, accusations and counter accusations will save us.
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by drss2(m): 3:58pm On Sep 19, 2016
d pesin dat made bdc a..bo.ki agents rich during his tenua, who incidentally was under investigation btw 2012/2013 by financial times of nigeria for illicit financial dealings have been rewarded with emirship position in kano. who will prosecute d emir see why we say nigeria is a ZOO.
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by drss2(m): 4:19pm On Sep 19, 2016
BlackMbakara1:
Over to Oga Soludo and HRM SLS... grin
especially sanusi. d man himself own several bdc outlets were he pumped in dollars under d guise of defending d naira. by d time we do a microscopic view of d owners of bdc in nigeria u will be shocked at d high profile kworopt self-style saints who own dem.
bdc had always been an underground outlet for embezzlement in cbn for many years.

1 Like

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by BlackMbakara1(m): 4:27pm On Sep 19, 2016
drss2:
especially sanusi. d man himself own several bdc outlets were he pumped in dollars under d guise of defending d naira. by d time we do a microscopic view of d owners of bdc in nigeria u will be shocked at d high profile kworopt self-style saints who own dem.
bdc had always been an underground outlet for embezzlement in cbn for many years.

The truth might not be far from what you just typed...
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by dunkem21(m): 4:40pm On Sep 19, 2016
..
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by seunmsg(m): 5:04pm On Sep 19, 2016
drss2:
d pesin dat made bdc a..bo.ki agents rich during his tenua, who incidentally was under investigation btw 2012/2013 by financial times of nigeria for illicit financial dealings have been rewarded with emirship position in kano. who will prosecute d emir see why we say nigeria is a ZOO.

Chukwuma Soludo introduced the policy when the price of crude oil crashed in 2008/2009. Sanusi simply continued with it.
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by drss2(m): 5:21pm On Sep 19, 2016
seunmsg:


Chukwuma Soludo introduced the policy when the price of crude oil crashed in 2008/2009. Sanusi simply continued with it.
well they ar both kworopt.
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by Standing5(m): 5:44pm On Sep 19, 2016
seunmsg:


Chukwuma Soludo introduced the policy when the price of crude oil crashed in 2008/2009. Sanusi simply continued with it.
The very reason they keep magnifying the extent of effect Buhari's admin policy had on the economy. The truth is the sale of dollar at very low prices through the BDC, they encouraged consumption foreign goods - an action that put pressure on the Naira -, and discouraged export or local production of alternative forex earner.

1 Like

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by OXYZ: 6:04pm On Sep 19, 2016
The current devaluation is a blessing in disguise.
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by MadamExcellency: 6:11pm On Sep 19, 2016
He was adviced by Buhari to consolidate and maintain the rigidity of the Naira against the dollar hence has no need of accepting responsibility.
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by plaetton: 6:12pm On Sep 19, 2016
Standing5:
I have waited for this report for months. We are where we are because we wasted precious petrodollar subsidizing import to the detriment of exporters who hold the key to our growth.

Lol.

And you've been waiting for this report?
Something we have known since the 50s?

Daahhhh!!!

The US trade deficit is also caused by excessive importation.


When will this blame game ever stop?

Does anyone in Nigeria still think that these buffoons in government are capable of doing anything ?

Why don't we just ask these people to resign and recontest when oil price goes back above $100 per barrel ? undecided

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by Izonpikin: 6:16pm On Sep 19, 2016
So our problem is everybody's fault then..

We are all to blame..

cool
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by Jesusloveyou: 6:24pm On Sep 19, 2016
orisa37:
See this holier than thou Character!
are u refering to the stupid soludo and sanusi?

1 Like

Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by Caseless: 6:27pm On Sep 19, 2016
Sometimes I feel like this emiefele should be sacked, but when I look again , I want him forgiven cos he was only taking order from that bayelsa drunkard.

Look at what was frittered away in the name of that fraudulent BDC angry
Re: How Nigeria Was Plunged Into Recession - CBN by orisa37: 8:18am On Sep 20, 2016
Please don't make things Messer than they already are. I didn't use the word stupid for anyone. How on Earth can you now say that a PhD man and a King, a reservoir of Knowledge are stupid? This is Corruption. Please be careful.

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