The following unfolding political events would most likely make or mar President Muhammadu Buhari come 2017.

The events are as follows:

1 Emergence of a Mega Party:

Some prominent but aggrieved leaders of the All Progressives Congress (APC)Peoples Democratic Party(PDP)and politicians from the Social Democratic Party(SDP)among others are said to be behind the formation of mega party called Action Democratic Party(ADP).

APC National Leader, Bola Tinubu as well as former Vice President Atiku Abubakar are considered to be among leading political stakeholders oiling the formation of the mega party.

However, Tinubu had denied the move, saying he would not engage in ‘’destructive pettiness’’ adding that he would remain true to the progressive ideals that fuelled the creation of the APC.

Former President Olusegun Obasanjo, who appears dissatisfied with the way Buhari has handled the economy, said recently, that he would support the mega party, if Atiku Abubakar is not the presidential candidate.

Currently, the likelihood of ADP becoming a registered party is bright. The Independent National Electoral Commission(INEC)on December 20 gave the political association the nod to go ahead with the procedures for full registration after receiving ADP’s application for registration as a political party.

2. Nnamdi Kanu And Supreme Court Justices’ Trial:

The prosecution of justices arrested for alleged graft and Nnamdi Kanu of IPOB will also take the front seat in 2017.

Nnamdi Kalu’s trial commences January 10, with international observers monitoring the court proceedings.

Justice Sylvester Ngwuta of the Supreme Court, who is facing 16-count charge bordering on money laundering, age falsification and alleged illegal possession of multiple international passports, on December 7, told a Federal High Court in Abuja that he was not ready for trial.

Ngwuta who was docked before the high court on November 21 and subsequently granted bail to the tune of N100million, pleaded for an adjournment to enable him to adequately prepare his defence to allegations the Federal Government levelled against him.

The matter was eventually adjourned till January 18 and 23, 2017, for trial.

3. Winning The Boko Haram’s War

Last week, the Nigerian Military said it had cleared the dreaded Sambisa forest of Boko Haram insurgents after capturing Camp zero–the insurgents’ headquarters.

However, Boko Haram’s elusive leader, Abubakar Shekau appeared in a new video on Thursday to dispute the claim that the jihadist group had been flushed out of its Sambisa forest stronghold. “We are safe. We have not been flushed out of anywhere. And tactics and strategies cannot reveal our location except if Allah wills by his decree,” Shekau said in the 25-minute video.

With Shekau’s claim, the government, in 2017, has to go the extra mile to really show that the sect has been crushed.



4. Niger Delta Militancy

The government has to diffuse the tension in the Niger-Delta this year to gain maximally from oil production.

The year 2016 witnessed an avalanche of bombing of oil facilities by militants, which adversely affected oil production. On December 28, the Presidency said it is in search of genuine Niger-Delta leaders....


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We are observing with keen interest.