Rivers:the 2015 polls was rigged even before it began.the security agencies,thugs and militants overran apc.even in amaechi's ward,inec couldnt provide the result sheets.the subsequent legislative rerun polls clearly showed that apc controls 40% while pdp holds 60% of rivers.the four ogoni areas plus oyigbo,omuma,opobo-nkoro,ikwerre,emohua,etche are apc controlled.buhari will have mf his votes from this lga especially from ogoni which is controlled by magnus abe.the combination of amaechi/dakuku/abe/ojukaye plus federal forces should deliver 30% of rivers votes to apc.but apc should monitor pdp in obio akpor and ph lgas for votes inflation especially obalga whers pdp like polling over 200k.most residents of rivers view atiku and other northerners just like buhariis perceived.a minimum of 20,000 policemen should be stationed here.
Delta:the presence of ogboru in apc who is well loved in urhoboland plus senator agege should deliver urhobo votes to apc.the votes of the three warri lgas may be divided by ayiri.the itsekiris are also disposed to apc.i see pdp taking delta north.apc should checkmate inflation in bomadi,burutu and patani.buhari should get 30% or more here.
Cross river:senator owan enoh the most popular politician in the state is in apc.all the lgas in the cenyrsl zone except abi lga will likely be won by apc.the most popular figure in the southern zone senator otu is in apc and will divide pdp votes here for buhari.only biase and akamkpa lgas are safe for pdp.in the north,apc control obanliku lga but are weak in other lgas.the byecpoll taking place in obudu will show us the strength of apc.the state governor is close to buhari and Is currently in togo with buhari.he will subtly campaign for him.again,buhari has given ple of the state more appointments than any other state in the south.it is unprecedented.all these appointees will surely garner votes for buhari.i see buhari getting over 25% here

Edo:in 2015,oshiomhole as governor delivered over 40% to buhari.him as chairman now will surely want to prove a point and win his state for buhari just like anenih did in 1993 for abiola.this is the surest win in ss for buhari.edo north votes will be inflated for apc,buhari will lose narrowly in esan and in the bini lgas,he will win narrowly.
Akwa ibom: apc is getting stronger here daily even penetrating ikot ekpene zone the strongest base of pdp in the state.apc is popular among the 5 lga of oronland,ibeno,eastern obolo,esit eket.apc is also popular among many ibibios.nsima ekere,umanah umanah,akpanudoedehe and ita enang are juggernats and will garner up to 30% for buhari here.pdp is loved here but northerners are not.bassey etim a major pdp guy in uyo also joined apc recently.
Bayelsa:apc has no chance here except timipre sylva and timi alaibe pull a nmiracle.buhari will lose heavily here but pdp will not get more than 300k votes here.apc cant get more than 50k here.in all,i see pdp struggling to get more than 3 million votes while apc will get over a million.

Imo:most top politicians here are in apc.rochas will deliver orlu by hook or crook.dont know for other zones but northerners are hated here.apc should get more than 40% or win the state.
Anambra:apga are subtly supporting buhari and will ally with him or rather present a candidate here.andg uba in the south will garner votes fod buhari.again,the apga candidates in the central and northern zone are strong and will wreak havoc on pdp.apc may get more than 25% here.since it will be a straight battle between pdp and apc,sir arthur eze will deliver dunukofia,emeka offor will bring ekwusigo,ngige will bring idemili north and south,nwoye has anambra east and west,andy uba has aguata,ekwunife will deliver njikoka with security agents as usual.
Abia:orji uzor kalu is the major apc chief in aba and is eyeing the presidency in 2023.he will want to deliver bende and the rest of abia north.if apc go into alliance with apga,the influence of otti should give them 25%.
Ebonyi: its no surprise that umahi loves buhari.he will secretly work to deliver 25%.ogbonnaya onu,ogbuoji and elechi will also pull their weight plus the growing northern population here.
Enugu:apc will lose heavily here its their weakest base in the east.but if ezea,okey osita,nnamani,chime,onyeama can team up,they will produce a shocker.pdp will not get more than 400k here.
Ipob will likely declare sit-at-home in the east during the polls which will reduce voters turnout and favour buhari.most of the security agencies will be concentrated here.the innovations of inec against rigging will reduce inflation of votes.federal migt will no longer be there for pdp.inec will prefer to work for apc or remain neutral same as the security agents.since two northerners are contesting,the race may be tight.pdp may be loved but atiku is disliked here.others like kwankwaso,tambuwal are unknown and may induce disinterest.the same fervour and eagerness used to work for gej a southerner wont be there.


Wow,i have been vindicated.

You're sound. Unfortunately, most of them are still living in denial and won't agree with you. But we all know the truth.

Unblockable:
You're sound. Unfortunately, most of them are still living in denial and won't agree with you. But we all know the truth.

My brother,i came out with this analysis after travelling around the south east and south south within 3 weeks.someone with little or no idea of elections or electoral history will still come and utter nonsense

All these false stories are being planted as alibis to the massive result alteration the rejected govt of Buhari is planning ahead ...I can see through these people ...Notice how they have been planting these funny outlandish articles which they will pull up in the future as Alibi after the have announced altered results

Op get well soon..



That's all..

6th and you still sweating..if you know all this why you dey come online to disturb us..you travel Ss se.. in three weeks ..na your findings be this..We don't hear..

But 2019.. na some months away.. Nigerians go help cure una zombeism...

The rate at which Buhari and APC are penetrating the South East and the South South is alarming.
Very soon, APC will take over both regions.

good and realistic analysis

no voting in east come 2019

senatordave1:
Rivers:the 2015 polls was rigged even before it began.the security agencies,thugs and militants overran apc.even in amaechi's ward,inec couldnt provide the result sheets.the subsequent legislative rerun polls clearly showed that apc controls 40% while pdp holds 60% of rivers.the four ogoni areas plus oyigbo,omuma,opobo-nkoro,ikwerre,emohua,etche are apc controlled.buhari will have mf his votes from this lga especially from ogoni which is controlled by magnus abe.the combination of amaechi/dakuku/abe/ojukaye plus federal forces should deliver 30% of rivers votes to apc.but apc should monitor pdp in obio akpor and ph lgas for votes inflation especially obalga whers pdp like polling over 200k.most residents of rivers view atiku and other northerners just like buhariis perceived.a minimum of 20,000 policemen should be stationed here.
Delta:the presence of ogboru in apc who is well loved in urhoboland plus senator agege should deliver urhobo votes to apc.the votes of the three warri lgas may be divided by ayiri.the itsekiris are also disposed to apc.i see pdp taking delta north.apc should checkmate inflation in bomadi,burutu and patani.buhari should get 30% or more here.
Cross river:senator owan enoh the most popular politician in the state is in apc.all the lgas in the cenyrsl zone except abi lga will likely be won by apc.the most popular figure in the southern zone senator otu is in apc and will divide pdp votes here for buhari.only biase and akamkpa lgas are safe for pdp.in the north,apc control obanliku lga but are weak in other lgas.the byecpoll taking place in obudu will show us the strength of apc.the state governor is close to buhari and Is currently in togo with buhari.he will subtly campaign for him.again,buhari has given ple of the state more appointments than any other state in the south.it is unprecedented.all these appointees will surely garner votes for buhari.i see buhari getting over 25% here

Edo:in 2015,oshiomhole as governor delivered over 40% to buhari.him as chairman now will surely want to prove a point and win his state for buhari just like anenih did in 1993 for abiola.this is the surest win in ss for buhari.edo north votes will be inflated for apc,buhari will lose narrowly in esan and in the bini lgas,he will win narrowly.
Akwa ibom: apc is getting stronger here daily even penetrating ikot ekpene zone the strongest base of pdp in the state.apc is popular among the 5 lga of oronland,ibeno,eastern obolo,esit eket.apc is also popular among many ibibios.nsima ekere,umanah umanah,akpanudoedehe and ita enang are juggernats and will garner up to 30% for buhari here.pdp is loved here but northerners are not.bassey etim a major pdp guy in uyo also joined apc recently.
Bayelsa:apc has no chance here except timipre sylva and timi alaibe pull a nmiracle.buhari will lose heavily here but pdp will not get more than 300k votes here.apc cant get more than 50k here.in all,i see pdp struggling to get more than 3 million votes while apc will get over a million.

Imo:most top politicians here are in apc.rochas will deliver orlu by hook or crook.dont know for other zones but northerners are hated here.apc should get more than 40% or win the state.
Anambra:apga are subtly supporting buhari and will ally with him or rather present a candidate here.andg uba in the south will garner votes fod buhari.again,the apga candidates in the central and northern zone are strong and will wreak havoc on pdp.apc may get more than 25% here.since it will be a straight battle between pdp and apc,sir arthur eze will deliver dunukofia,emeka offor will bring ekwusigo,ngige will bring idemili north and south,nwoye has anambra east and west,andy uba has aguata,ekwunife will deliver njikoka with security agents as usual.
Abia:orji uzor kalu is the major apc chief in aba and is eyeing the presidency in 2023.he will want to deliver bende and the rest of abia north.if apc go into alliance with apga,the influence of otti should give them 25%.
Ebonyi: its no surprise that umahi loves buhari.he will secretly work to deliver 25%.ogbonnaya onu,ogbuoji and elechi will also pull their weight plus the growing northern population here.
Enugu:apc will lose heavily here its their weakest base in the east.but if ezea,okey osita,nnamani,chime,onyeama can team up,they will produce a shocker.pdp will not get more than 400k here.
Ipob will likely declare sit-at-home in the east during the polls which will reduce voters turnout and favour buhari.most of the security agencies will be concentrated here.the innovations of inec against rigging will reduce inflation of votes.federal migt will no longer be there for pdp.inec will prefer to work for apc or remain neutral same as the security agents.since two northerners are contesting,the race may be tight.pdp may be loved but atiku is disliked here.others like kwankwaso,tambuwal are unknown and may induce disinterest.the same fervour and eagerness used to work for gej a southerner wont be there.

nairaland politician without no pvc neither did he votes in any election. please where did you come from and show us your ward and your local government. as far as am concern, you are not from east and south zone. you don't understand how politics is been played there. so stop analysing rubbish here. stick to your #30k bmc fee here. i know the kind of you better.

FarahAideed:
All these false stories are being planted as alibis to the massive result alteration the rejected govt of Buhari is planning ahead ...I can see through these people ...Notice how they have been planting these funny outlandish articles which they will pull up in the future as Alibi after the have announced altered results

don't answer him here, he is a nairaland analysist. he never cast his votes for anyone but only seat at the corners of his room and be typing what is not. he is part of bmc crew with #30k per month. none of them even know the road that lead to south east and south south region.

that another advantage for APC.

loveth360:
no voting in east come 2019

After your you will claim the defection of Kwankwaso,Saraki,Tambuwal etc will not have any impact in the north.Hypocrite

johnmartus:
that another advantage for APC.

we dont care.

oh okay good boy

loveth360:
we dont care.

another Op thinking through the Anus!!!!!!!!!!!

apc is really afraid of this bloc votes from the east and ss

lol i taught they're inconsequential
we shall see

killing Buhari psychologically and emotionally is a task everyone should embark on if you still want a better tomorrow

cc
ngeneukwenu

This one na ogbonge yoruba muslim ewedu analysis. I like am.

Seeing the governorship election's results in Anambra where APC came second, it's only a gullible set of people would not agree with this sensible Op.

Why don't you do another analysis and give us the effect of the defection on Adamawa,Benue,Sokoto,Kano,Bauchi and the influence of northern PDP heavy weights like Makarfi,Lamido Shekarau,Baffarawa,etc

rajiraymond:
Seeing the governorship election's results in Anambra where APC came second, it's only a gullible set of people would not agree with this sensible Op.

And you think the people who voted Tony Nwoye will vote for Buhari?

Chuksonyeike:

And you think the people who voted Tony Nwoye will vote for Buhari?

In as much as they remain Tony Nwoye followers, why do you think they won't vote for PMB?

Johnnyessence:
don't answer him here, he is a nairaland analysist. he never cast his votes for anyone but only seat at the corners of his room and be typing what is not. he is part of bmc crew with #30k per month. none of them even know the road that lead to south east and south south region.

Everybody is not like you that claims to be from wherever election is held.before you claimed ondo,then edo,then ekiti and now osun.next year,you will claim 3y states

Chuksonyeike:

And you think the people who voted Tony Nwoye will vote for Buhari?

Somehow.tony nwoye is a strong politician and and a grassroot mobilizer and spender,battle hardened and experienced.if you check his electoral history,he has always come second behind the winners each time garnering at least 80k votes.with apga out of the way,he can sway 50,000 votes fod buhari.i pray he contests for the senate and overthrow cat eyes oduah.
In the absence of apga,ngige,arthur eze,emeka offor,uba,tony one week,ekwunife will deliver their lgas

chichar1:
another Op thinking through the Anus!!!!!!!!!!!

Show us how to think sensibly by opening a counter thread.not every one has pile oh

PDP WILL never get block votes anymore. Those votes in Rivers, Bayelsa and Delta were always rigged anyway. Delta has Itsekiri, Isoko, Urhobo and many even many Ijaws singing new tunes.
There will be two Fulanis on the ballot. The devil you know (Buhari) who won't finish the treasury before the Presidency goes to the East is better than the corrupt devil who will do two terms and hand over back to a Yoruba man.

Temporal hatred for Buhari is not enough for sophisticated politics

SternProphet:
PDP WILL never get block votes anymore. Those votes in Rivers, Bayelsa and Delta were always rigged anyway. Delta has Itsekiri, Isoko, Urhobo and many even many Ijaws singing new tunes.
There will be two Fulanis on the ballot. The devil you know (Buhari) who won't finish the treasury before the Presidency goes to the East is better than the corrupt devil who will do two terms and hand over back to a Yoruba man.

Temporal hatred for Buhari is not enough for sophisticated politics

But the one in kano was not rigged?

Chuksonyeike:
Why don't you do another analysis and give us the effect of the defection on Adamawa,Benue,Sokoto,Kano,Bauchi and the influence of northern PDP heavy weights like Makarfi,Lamido Shekarau,Baffarawa,etc

I will in due time but let me summarize them one by one.makarfi cant be a heayweight if he always loses his ward to buhari and el rufai has finished him.hunkuyi has mors influence than him.bafarawa right from 2007 has been in the cold.he contested 2007 presidential polls and got only 200k votes.was he not in pdp in 2015 when buhari swept sokoto? Wamakko the godfather of sokoto was his protege.
Buhari has always won in jigawa with lamido in pdp na.he can only divide buhari's votes a little if he is contesting and pdp wont give him the ticket.buhari made shekarau and use him to overthrew kwankwaso.when buhari left anpp,shekarau lost in kano.while he got 500k in kano in 2015,buhari got 1.6 millionhe didnt score up to 50k in any other northern state.kwankwaso will affect buhari only if he is contesting.moreover his fans are diehard buharists.expect kano votes to be over inflated for buhari again.
Buhari will lose kwara but will get over 30% because of saraki.he will also lose benue but akume will get him significant figures.forget bauchi,they love him like katsina.me and you know that for now even if all pdp chiefs decamp to apc in delta,rivers,bayelsa,akwa ibom buhari will still lose there.same obtains there.
By the way,pdp will give their ticket to tambuwal or makarfi making it more easier for buhari

Chuksonyeike:

But the one in kano was not rigged?

How was it rigged? Do you realize that kano has always undervoted or its votes has been deliberately suppresd? Kano has 5 million voters yet not up to 3 million has ever voted.rivers that has 2.5 million voters records over 2 million votes.meanwhile me and you know that turnout in kano is high while that of rivers is low.

Buhari should be getting up to 3milion in kano.that 1.9 million is too small.in 2003,ogun with 1.4 million voters recorded 1.4 million for obj while cross river with 1.3 mil recorded 1.2 mill for him.you will never find such rigging in the north

senatordave1:

Somehow.tony nwoye is a strong politician and and a grassroot mobilizer and spender,battle hardened and experienced.if you check his electoral history,he has always come second behind the winners each time garnering at least 80k votes.with apga out of the way,he can sway 50,000 votes fod buhari.i pray he contests for the senate and overthrow cat eyes oduah.
In the absence of apga,ngige,arthur eze,emeka offor,uba,tony one week,ekwunife will deliver their lgas

Buhari is hated more than even the devil himself. All these people you are mentioning will not save him.Some people might vote for APC for Senate, Governor etc but 90% of these people will not vote again for Buhari. Continue deceiving yourself. On may 30 2016 Buhari murdered over 30 people in Onitsha. The only people more hated in the SE than Buhari is the devil himself

senatordave1:

How was it rigged? Do you realize that kano has always undervoted or its votes has been deliberately suppresd? Kano has 5 million voters yet not up to 3 million has ever voted.rivers that has 2.5 million voters records over 2 million votes.meanwhile me and you know that turnout in kano is high while that of rivers is low.

Buhari should be getting up to 3milion in kano.that 1.9 million is too small.in 2003,ogun with 1.4 million voters recorded 1.4 million for obj while cross river with 1.3 mil recorded 1.2 mill for him.you will never find such rigging in the north

You are a bloody hypocrite. The one in kano is not rigged but Rivers was rigged? Oya clap for yourself

Chuksonyeike:

Buhari is hated more than even the devil himself. All these people you are mentioning will not save him.Some people might vote for APC for Senate, Governor etc but 90% of these people will not vote again for Buhari. Continue deceiving yourself. On may 30 2016 Buhari murdered over 30 people in Onitsha. The only people more hated in the SE than Buhari is the devil himself

guy just come Edo state now,anything concern buhari dey vex us..even obaseki will soon decamp seff

senatordave1:
Rivers:the 2015 polls was rigged even before it began.the security agencies,thugs and militants overran apc.even in amaechi's ward,inec couldnt provide the result sheets.the subsequent legislative rerun polls clearly showed that apc controls 40% while pdp holds 60% of rivers.the four ogoni areas plus oyigbo,omuma,opobo-nkoro,ikwerre,emohua,etche are apc controlled.buhari will have mf his votes from this lga especially from ogoni which is controlled by magnus abe.the combination of amaechi/dakuku/abe/ojukaye plus federal forces should deliver 30% of rivers votes to apc.but apc should monitor pdp in obio akpor and ph lgas for votes inflation especially obalga whers pdp like polling over 200k.most residents of rivers view atiku and other northerners just like buhariis perceived.a minimum of 20,000 policemen should be stationed here.
Delta:the presence of ogboru in apc who is well loved in urhoboland plus senator agege should deliver urhobo votes to apc.the votes of the three warri lgas may be divided by ayiri.the itsekiris are also disposed to apc.i see pdp taking delta north.apc should checkmate inflation in bomadi,burutu and patani.buhari should get 30% or more here.
Cross river:senator owan enoh the most popular politician in the state is in apc.all the lgas in the cenyrsl zone except abi lga will likely be won by apc.the most popular figure in the southern zone senator otu is in apc and will divide pdp votes here for buhari.only biase and akamkpa lgas are safe for pdp.in the north,apc control obanliku lga but are weak in other lgas.the byecpoll taking place in obudu will show us the strength of apc.the state governor is close to buhari and Is currently in togo with buhari.he will subtly campaign for him.again,buhari has given ple of the state more appointments than any other state in the south.it is unprecedented.all these appointees will surely garner votes for buhari.i see buhari getting over 25% here

Edo:in 2015,oshiomhole as governor delivered over 40% to buhari.him as chairman now will surely want to prove a point and win his state for buhari just like anenih did in 1993 for abiola.this is the surest win in ss for buhari.edo north votes will be inflated for apc,buhari will lose narrowly in esan and in the bini lgas,he will win narrowly.
Akwa ibom: apc is getting stronger here daily even penetrating ikot ekpene zone the strongest base of pdp in the state.apc is popular among the 5 lga of oronland,ibeno,eastern obolo,esit eket.apc is also popular among many ibibios.nsima ekere,umanah umanah,akpanudoedehe and ita enang are juggernats and will garner up to 30% for buhari here.pdp is loved here but northerners are not.bassey etim a major pdp guy in uyo also joined apc recently.
Bayelsa:apc has no chance here except timipre sylva and timi alaibe pull a nmiracle.buhari will lose heavily here but pdp will not get more than 300k votes here.apc cant get more than 50k here.in all,i see pdp struggling to get more than 3 million votes while apc will get over a million.

Imo:most top politicians here are in apc.rochas will deliver orlu by hook or crook.dont know for other zones but northerners are hated here.apc should get more than 40% or win the state.
Anambra:apga are subtly supporting buhari and will ally with him or rather present a candidate here.andg uba in the south will garner votes fod buhari.again,the apga candidates in the central and northern zone are strong and will wreak havoc on pdp.apc may get more than 25% here.since it will be a straight battle between pdp and apc,sir arthur eze will deliver dunukofia,emeka offor will bring ekwusigo,ngige will bring idemili north and south,nwoye has anambra east and west,andy uba has aguata,ekwunife will deliver njikoka with security agents as usual.
Abia:orji uzor kalu is the major apc chief in aba and is eyeing the presidency in 2023.he will want to deliver bende and the rest of abia north.if apc go into alliance with apga,the influence of otti should give them 25%.
Ebonyi: its no surprise that umahi loves buhari.he will secretly work to deliver 25%.ogbonnaya onu,ogbuoji and elechi will also pull their weight plus the growing northern population here.
Enugu:apc will lose heavily here its their weakest base in the east.but if ezea,okey osita,nnamani,chime,onyeama can team up,they will produce a shocker.pdp will not get more than 400k here.
Ipob will likely declare sit-at-home in the east during the polls which will reduce voters turnout and favour buhari.most of the security agencies will be concentrated here.the innovations of inec against rigging will reduce inflation of votes.federal migt will no longer be there for pdp.inec will prefer to work for apc or remain neutral same as the security agents.since two northerners are contesting,the race may be tight.pdp may be loved but atiku is disliked here.others like kwankwaso,tambuwal are unknown and may induce disinterest.the same fervour and eagerness used to work for gej a southerner wont be there.

APC's so called heavy weights in SS/SE can only successfully work for themselves or their cronies to win at other levels but presidency. Nobody here has any reason to vote APC for presidency if Buhari is their candidate because we hate him. Period!