PHILipu1:
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Buhari defeating Atiku in about 30 states plus fct is the only sure thing here

February 16th! FCT? Kwakwakwaka

Gozbrown:

North east-Apc
North west- Apc
South west-Apc
PDP-south south
PDP-South east
North central- PDP

APC and PDP will win in 3 Geo political zones respectively but the margin will be the difference.
I believe that APC will win in a free and fair election but the difference will not be much, the election will be rigged in areas where they do not have much support, especially in the south south and north Central, I don't see APC rigging in the south east, they don't have People who can deliver for APC while in the South South having former governors like Oshiomhole, Amaechi, Akpabio and Uduaghan in APC was a master stroke, they will rig in more votes in the south south and this is where the APC will win outrightly. They won in 2015 with allegations of rigging in the North even when they were not in power, now they are in power, the aim is to get more votes from the zones they got nothing in 2015.

PDP will get block votes in their stronghold but Buhari will only get block votes in the North-West. What matters now is not the voting population but the winning margins from the geo-political zones. It is only rigging that can win the election for Buhari. And if he does, it is going to be met with a devastating backlash.

Balyz:
The almajiris have tens of millions

And they are controlled by the elites.
Atiku is a northern elite so is buhari.