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Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election - Politics - Nairaland

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Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by ejimatic: 5:52am On Feb 15, 2019
Our Final Forecast for Nigeria’s 2019 Presidential Election
newsghana.com.gh Feb 14, 2019 11:47 PM
Buhari and Atiku (Photo Credit: Pulse)
Buhari and Atiku (Photo Credit: Pulse)
A research and consulting firm, SnowWhite Consulting, based in the United Kingdom has projected that President Muhammadu Buhari will be victorious in the forthcoming presidential election in the oil-rich Nigeria. This was made known by the Director of Communication and Strategy, Mr. Adeola Jegede at a press release yesterday at its London office.

According to Jegede, “February 16, 2019 is another date with destiny in Nigerian political landscape as various political parties present their candidates as well as manifestoes to the electorates to make rightful choice on who will lead the global most populous black nation for the next four years”.

“The firm observes that the race will be between the ruling party, All Progressive Congress (APC) and the People Democratic Party (PDP) with President Muhammadu Buhari and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar as their respective candidates”.

Jegede reiterates that the stakes in Nigeria electioneering process are high both locally and internationally, evidenced by powerful voices clamouring for free, fair, transparent and credible electioneering exercise in Nigeria.

The firm’s spokesperson stated that the presidential election results projection is based on various variables that could determine how the electorates tend to cast their votes.

“Our research survey identified among other factors: historical voting pattern, performance of incumbent president, existence of political structure spread, personality of each candidate, availability of sufficient campaign funding, followership’s loyalty, internal party stability and coordination, as well as power of incumbency as part of variables that determine the how Nigeria electorates may cast their ballots. Other considerations are party’s strategy disposition, voting capacity by each state measured by PVC collection rate, and general support base”, he stated.

According to Jegede, the poll survey projects that the total number of votes to be cast on February 16, 2019 presidential election tends to hover around 33.65 million, of which the APC presidential candidate, President Muhammadu Buhari, expected to secure around 19.2 million votes representing 58.2% of total ballot cast, while main opposition PDP candidate, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar projected to get up to 13.9 million votes representing 41.3% and the rest would secure just little above half a million votes, accounting for 5% of the likely total vote cast across the country.

The details of the projection are further stated below:



Projection For Overall Results



Candidate



Party

Votes


No of States won

Muhammadu Buhari APC 58.2% 26 (Including FCT)
Atiku Abubakar PDP 41.3% 11
Others – 0.5%


Projection of State By State Victory



Geopolitical Zones




States

Party Votes
South East Abia PDP 80%
Enugu PDP 89%
Imo PDP 51%
Ebonyi PDP 74%
Anambra PDP 79%
South South Rivers PDP 53%
Akwa Ibom APC 52%
Delta PDP 59%
Cross Rivers PDP 66%
Edo APC 60%
Bayelsa PDP 71%
South West Osun APC 62%
Oyo APC 53%
Ondo APC 75%
Ogun APC 57%
Ekiti APC 63%
Lagos APC 75%
North East Borno APC 83%
Yobe APC 81%
Adamawa APC 54%
Bauchi APC 61%
Taraba PDP 57%
Gombe APC 51%
North Central Kwara APC 52%
Kogi APC 53%
Nasarawa APC 52%
Niger APC 59%
Benue PDP 64%
Plataeu APC 51%
North West Kano APC 83%
Katsina APC 80%
Kaduna APC 59%
Zamfara APC 66%
Sokoto APC 52%
Jigawa APC 52%
Kebbi APC 66%
FCT APC 56%


Projection By Geopolitical Zones



APC

PDP Others
South East 24% 70% 6%
South South 46% 54% 0%
South West 67% 33.5% 0.5%
North East 66% 34% 0%
North Central 50% 50% 0%
North West 70% 30% 0%
FCT 56% 44% 0%


Projection By Winning Vote Position





Candidate

Party Position
Muhammadu Buhari APC 1st
Atiku Abubakar PDP 2nd
John Gbor APGA 3rd
Yabagi Sanni ADP 4th
Chris Okotie Fresh 5th
Omoyele Sowore AAC 6th
Fela Durotoye ANN 7th
Kingsley Moghalu YPP 8th
“Our projection for the Nigeria presidential election was based on ±5% margin of error” he confirmed.

“There are quite numbers of undecided voters, but we observed that they are unlikely to change their minds to vote for any candidate during the presidential election”, the statement concluded.

Article By: Adeola Jegede

3 Likes

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by ETHIX(m): 5:56am On Feb 15, 2019
ejimatic:
Our Final Forecast for Nigeria’s 2019 Presidential Election
newsghana.com.gh Feb 14, 2019 11:47 PM
Buhari and Atiku (Photo Credit: Pulse)
Buhari and Atiku (Photo Credit: Pulse)
A research and consulting firm, SnowWhite Consulting, based in the United Kingdom has projected that President Muhammadu Buhari will be victorious in the forthcoming presidential election in the oil-rich Nigeria. This was made known by the Director of Communication and Strategy, Mr. Adeola Jegede at a press release yesterday at its London office.

According to Jegede, “February 16, 2019 is another date with destiny in Nigerian political landscape as various political parties present their candidates as well as manifestoes to the electorates to make rightful choice on who will lead the global most populous black nation for the next four years”.

“The firm observes that the race will be between the ruling party, All Progressive Congress (APC) and the People Democratic Party (PDP) with President Muhammadu Buhari and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar as their respective candidates”.

Jegede reiterates that the stakes in Nigeria electioneering process are high both locally and internationally, evidenced by powerful voices clamouring for free, fair, transparent and credible electioneering exercise in Nigeria.

The firm’s spokesperson stated that the presidential election results projection is based on various variables that could determine how the electorates tend to cast their votes.

“Our research survey identified among other factors: historical voting pattern, performance of incumbent president, existence of political structure spread, personality of each candidate, availability of sufficient campaign funding, followership’s loyalty, internal party stability and coordination, as well as power of incumbency as part of variables that determine the how Nigeria electorates may cast their ballots. Other considerations are party’s strategy disposition, voting capacity by each state measured by PVC collection rate, and general support base”, he stated.

According to Jegede, the poll survey projects that the total number of votes to be cast on February 16, 2019 presidential election tends to hover around 33.65 million, of which the APC presidential candidate, President Muhammadu Buhari, expected to secure around 19.2 million votes representing 58.2% of total ballot cast, while main opposition PDP candidate, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar projected to get up to 13.9 million votes representing 41.3% and the rest would secure just little above half a million votes, accounting for 5% of the likely total vote cast across the country.

The details of the projection are further stated below:



Projection For Overall Results



Candidate



Party

Votes


No of States won

Muhammadu Buhari APC 58.2% 26 (Including FCT)
Atiku Abubakar PDP 41.3% 11
Others – 0.5%


Projection of State By State Victory



Geopolitical Zones




States

Party Votes
South East Abia PDP 80%
Enugu PDP 89%
Imo PDP 51%
Ebonyi PDP 74%
Anambra PDP 79%
South South Rivers PDP 53%
Akwa Ibom APC 52%
Delta PDP 59%
Cross Rivers PDP 66%
Edo APC 60%
Bayelsa PDP 71%
South West Osun APC 62%
Oyo APC 53%
Ondo APC 75%
Ogun APC 57%
Ekiti APC 63%
Lagos APC 75%
North East Borno APC 83%
Yobe APC 81%
Adamawa APC 54%
Bauchi APC 61%
Taraba PDP 57%
Gombe APC 51%
North Central Kwara APC 52%
Kogi APC 53%
Nasarawa APC 52%
Niger APC 59%
Benue PDP 64%
Plataeu APC 51%
North West Kano APC 83%
Katsina APC 80%
Kaduna APC 59%
Zamfara APC 66%
Sokoto APC 52%
Jigawa APC 52%
Kebbi APC 66%
FCT APC 56%


Projection By Geopolitical Zones



APC

PDP Others
South East 24% 70% 6%
South South 46% 54% 0%
South West 67% 33.5% 0.5%
North East 66% 34% 0%
North Central 50% 50% 0%
North West 70% 30% 0%
FCT 56% 44% 0%


Projection By Winning Vote Position





Candidate

Party Position
Muhammadu Buhari APC 1st
Atiku Abubakar PDP 2nd
John Gbor APGA 3rd
Yabagi Sanni ADP 4th
Chris Okotie Fresh 5th
Omoyele Sowore AAC 6th
Fela Durotoye ANN 7th
Kingsley Moghalu YPP 8th
“Our projection for the Nigeria presidential election was based on ±5% margin of error” he confirmed.

“There are quite numbers of undecided voters, but we observed that they are unlikely to change their minds to vote for any candidate during the presidential election”, the statement concluded.

Article By: Adeola Jegede





Why not wait in less than 72hours u will begin to see signs

1 Like

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by Trustme2(m): 5:57am On Feb 15, 2019
Hmmm
Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by VeeVeeMyLuv(m): 6:00am On Feb 15, 2019
is it on bet9ja? if it is there tell us the odds.
Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by MANNABBQGRILLS: 6:02am On Feb 15, 2019
VeeVeeMyLuv:
is it on bet9ja? if it is there tell us the odds.

SAI BABA wins : 1.02.

SOWORE wins : 12.5

FELA wins : 17.2

KINGSLEY wins: 21.4

KRIS OKOTIE wins : 25.7

HASHIM wins : 35.8

OTHERS win: 41.8

Atiku wins : 41.9


For those not familiar with bet9ja like us, the smaller the odds, the more the possibility of it coming to pass.
So don't be confused with the 41.9 for the Cameroonian!

5 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by MANNABBQGRILLS: 6:03am On Feb 15, 2019
CORRECT FORECASTER.
cheesy wink

SAI BABA ALL THE WAY....

5 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by PaChukwudi44(m): 6:03am On Feb 15, 2019
grin grin So APC will win Always Ibom and score 49% in Imo? You must be very high on kwale weed

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by joameh: 6:04am On Feb 15, 2019
Nice forecasting God bless una

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by PaChukwudi44(m): 6:05am On Feb 15, 2019
grin No amount of rigging will make the APC to secure up to 60% votes in lagos

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by MANNABBQGRILLS: 6:07am On Feb 15, 2019
joameh:
Nice forecasting God bless una
Dem sabi no be small!

2 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by osothermal(m): 6:17am On Feb 15, 2019
APC can't get up to 40% on the plateau

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by focus7: 6:23am On Feb 15, 2019
Op just a day to the election why did you decide to give the PDP online warriors a heart attack.

1 Like

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by focus7: 6:30am On Feb 15, 2019
PaChukwudi44:
grin grin So APC will win Always Ibom and score 49% in Imo? You must be very high on kwale weed

Like i knew it before Pachukwudi is already in sefia pain

1 Like

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by focus7: 6:33am On Feb 15, 2019
PaChukwudi44:
grin No amount of rigging will make the APC to secure up to 60% votes in lagos

Pachukwudi take it easy so you don't suffer damage before the election, remember Lagos is not in the south east.

1 Like

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by Nogodye(m): 6:44am On Feb 15, 2019
Defeat await Atiku...

3 Likes

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by VeeVeeMyLuv(m): 7:16am On Feb 15, 2019
post=75743721:


SAI BABA wins : 1.02.

SOWORE wins : 12.5

FELA wins : 17.2

KINGSLEY wins: 21.4

KRIS OKOTIE wins : 25.7

HASHIM wins : 35.8

OTHERS win: 41.8

Atiku wins : 41.9


For those not familiar with bet9ja like us, the smaller the odds, the more the possibility of it coming to pass.
So don't be confused with the 41.9 for the Cameroonian!
Thanks

2 Likes

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by MANNABBQGRILLS: 7:17am On Feb 15, 2019
VeeVeeMyLuv:
Thanks
Welcome.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by Somtitous: 7:17am On Feb 15, 2019
El Rufai + Lai Muhammed cooked polls!

It will never work! Just let the people vote count to avoid the violence that will be unleashed!

Nigerians have never shown so much restraints in my lifetime than they did under Buahri but if their oppression don't end by Feb 16, people playing with fire will be the first to be burint by it or run!

Buhari, emulate the great GEJ of Africa and leave peacefully!

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by Caseless: 7:19am On Feb 15, 2019
cool

It's 24hr before the election. Atiku and his co-travellers should throw in the towel already. The embarrassment and the pain will be too much for him to take by the time the results are announced.


Atiku, call Buhari and congratulate him already.

2 Likes

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by MrAJQ(m): 7:34am On Feb 15, 2019
The keyboard warriors will not vote but will say it a lie

1 Like

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by fecosequence(m): 9:05am On Feb 15, 2019
IMO State can't be 51 percent for pdp, we are looking at 70 to 80 percent.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by helinues: 9:09am On Feb 15, 2019
grin grin

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by toideve(m): 9:10am On Feb 15, 2019
post=75743721:


SAI BABA wins : 1.02.

SOWORE wins : 12.5

FELA wins : 17.2

KINGSLEY wins: 21.4

KRIS OKOTIE wins : 25.7

HASHIM wins : 35.8

OTHERS win: 41.8

Atiku wins : 41.9


For those not familiar with bet9ja like us, the smaller the odds, the more the possibility of it coming to pass.
So don't be confused with the 41.9 for the Cameroonian!


whatever makes you happy is ok.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by APCsupporter: 9:41am On Feb 15, 2019
People think we are joking. No problem
Re: Our Final Forecast For February 16 Presidential Election by livelymatilda22: 3:08pm On Feb 15, 2019
PaChukwudi44:
grin No amount of rigging will make the APC to secure up to 60% votes in lagos

You have been too quiet today.. Hope all is well. I can see almost all the news today are against you..This is just the beginning.. Lol

The onnogen you always defend as if your life depends on it was DOCKED today.. I heard you really cried because you never believed it will happen.

So I ask, who is in charge?

1 Like

(1) (Reply)

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