Political analyst in the house, use from this two statistics from both previous presidential election involving Goodluck Jonathan of PDP and Muhammedu Buhari of APC to analyze the chances of Atiku Abubakar of PDP and Muhammedu Buhari of APC in this coming Saturday election.
From the statistics, which state do you think that each party performed poorly during 2015 election that they will regain or have improved votes?
Likewise the states each party won in 2015 that they will struggle to retain.

All I can say is, the ruling party will struggle this time, to get half of the votes they recorded in most states in 2015. Reasons...

1- people saw buhari as a messiah but he failed
2- the north east especially borno, adamawa and restive yobe thought being the former governor of the northeastern state and who understands the terrain of the region by sending off the maitasins , a deadly like boko haram in those days, he'd be able to rescue them from the hands of boko haram, if he wins...but instead of winning the war, soldiers are being killed like chicken. One of our colleagues who's a military doctor lost his life last week in the hands of boko haram. Had he not been an important figure, the military boss would have carpeted the death news. Boko haram now sack soldiers in their barracks , carting away munitions which had never happened before. Amazingly they now exrend their tentacles to north west. The deceitful gobernment call them cattle rustlers, later armed bandits...instead of calling a spade its name, thinking they're deceiving us. I saw gov shetimma weaping profusely recently during a NEC meeting...anyone who also saw him would bear me witness. 2 weeks later, he was ambushed by boko haram. Thank God for the armoured suv he was riding in, he'd have been a deadman by now cos many who followed him lost their lives


3- the middle belt voted him thinking he'd save them from invasion of herdemen but what happened ? Buhari left them to their fate when they were attacked, leaving for nasarawa instead of going to benue, asking ortom to meet him up there but the governor refused.

4- plateau people voted him thinking killing of their people would end but it only got worse. They still killed 2 weeks ago in Jos.


5- in kano, almanjairis and the extremely poor people thought the messiah had come with free meal which they promised like kwakwanso used to do to them with employment but what happened next, he dissapointed them

6- -marginalization of the south east and south south would make the region angrily vote against buhari. Look at current pvc collection rates in those regions and compare what it was in 2015 and same with other states , you don't need a soothsayer to tell you the outcome of this election.

7- what of their lies which had angered well-meaning nigerians? the apc called subsudy a scam when jonathan was there and other lies and propaganda which made us vote them in 2015, yet they paid 240 billion naira to marketers and the likes, last December after they succeeded in deceiving us that they'd remove subsidy and use the proceeds to build roads, overhaul refineries and create jobs.... they didn't do any of those.

Only the Yoruba gullible youths are supporting buhari because tinubu the number one political thief in Nigeria had deceived them that he'd be president in 2023 if they could vote buhari. Illiteracy isn't only when youre not educated...nothing could be worse than illiteracy in the mind.