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BUHARI Vs ATIKU: How They May Win - Politics - Nairaland

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BUHARI Vs ATIKU: How They May Win by ExAngel007(f): 10:10am On Feb 23, 2019
Abia

Abia state, South-East Nigeria is a stronghold of the
PDP. With Governor Okezie Ikpeazu seeking a fresh
four years mandate, the odds are clearly in Atiku’s
favour.

Although, the APC boast an impressive presence in
the state, Atiku is highly favoured t take this one,
what with his recent endorsement by the pan Igbo
socio-cultural organization, Ohanaeze Ndigbo?



Adamawa

Adamama, the home state of Atiku is an APC-
controlled state given that Governor Jibrilla Bindo
was elected in 2015 on the platform of the ruling
party.

But the state is also home to wife of the President
Buhari, Aisha who has been meeting with various
stakeholders on the need to get her husband re-
elected.

Apart from the state government, Atiku is the
biggest employer of labour in the agrarian state; a
factor that may give the President a run for his
money.

Given the political permutations on ground and
Atiku not prepared to have Buhari beat him in his
den, the former Vice President is bookmakers’
favourite to win here.



Akwa Ibom

Oil-rich Akwa Ibom is a fortress of the PDP since
the return to democracy in 1999. Its governor,
Udom Emmanuel is seeking a renewal of the
mandate he got in 2015.

Although former Senate Minority Leader, Senator
Godswill Akpabio and Senior Special Assistant to
President Buhari on National Assembly Matters are
now members of the APC, Atiku stands a better
chance of winning here than Buhari.



Bauchi

With a sitting governor and a good number of state
and federal parliamentarians, President Buhari is
favoured to take the North-East state.

However, veteran politicians like Speaker of the
House of Representatives, Yakubu Dogara and PDP
governorship candidate, Bala Mohammed are
certainly no pushovers and would do everything
possible to give the ruling party the fight of its life.
Bayelsa

There will be no governorship election in oil-rich
Bayelsa this year but Governor Seriake Dickson is
fully committed to delivering the state to Atiku.
Working alongside Nigeria’s immediate past
President, Dr. Goodluck Jonathan, Atiku may as
well spare himself some few hours of sleep, aware
Bayelsa is in the bag.



Benue

Until his defection to the PDP, Governor Samuel
Ortom was in the camp of President Buhari. Today,
he says his lost happiness has returned and he has
charged voters to rally behind Atiku.

The incessant killings in the stated which appeared
to have abated in the past few months may work in
favour of the PDP candidate as many believed
President Buhari did not handle the violent
skirmishes well.



Borno

Here, President Buhari is likely to struggle to
convince the electorate to pitch tent with him once
more following the worsening security situation.
Today, there are fears elections may not hold in
some parts of the state given the manner the
insurgents launched ferocious attacks in recent
times.



Cross River

Governor Ben Ayande is seeking a new mandate
that would see his tenancy of Government House
expire in 2023 if he is elected in the 2019
governorship polls.

Like Akwa Ibom, APC is a new comer in Cross
River and will struggle to match the party’s
structure in the state. Atiku is highly favoured to
win with a landslide.



Delta

The APC may boast of tested politicians like the
immediate past governor, Emmanuel Uduaghan and
perennial governorship contestant, Great Ogboru but
Delta is under the firm grip of PDP.

Apart from Governor Ifeanyi Okowa, Senator James
Manager and ex-governor of the state, James Ibori
all working for the success of the party, President
Buhari faces an uphill task to defeat Atiku here.



Ebonyi

Governor Dave Umahi was once rumoured to be
working for President Buhari but he has in the past
few weeks demonstrated his commitment to
winning the State for Atiku.

With his eyes for a fresh mandate, Umahi knows
the difficulty in pushing his cause and that of a
Presidential candidate on the platform of another
party.



Edo

Comrade Adams Oshiomhole, the APC national
chairman, left some memorable infrastructural
development in Edo state while he served as
governor.

Till date, he remains a popular figure across all
three senatorial districts. Although like Bayelsa, no
governorship poll will hold here, President Buhari is
likely to pip Atiku to the state.



Enugu

Enugu is a PDP-controlled state with Governor
Ifeanyi Ugwuanyi and Deputy Senate President, Ike
Ekweremadu both seeking return to their positions.
Following the successful handling of the rift
occasioned by Atiku’s choice of his running mate,
Peter Obi, Ekweremadu has committed his body,
soul and spirit to the PDP cause in this election. In
addition they have power house Chimaroke
Nnamani back to PDP. It’s Atiku’s here.



Gombe

Governor Ibrahim Dankwambo’s second term in
office will come to an end on May 29, 2019 and his
dedication to the victory of Atiku is not in doubt.
He remains the strongman of Gombe politics given
his stewardship in the course of the past eight
years. Atiku is tipped to beat Buhari by a wide
margin.



Imo

Ordinarily, APC would have been favoured to stand
a poll chance to beat other parties here but the
intrigues which characterized its congresses and
primaries have thrown up the state for contest.
Governor Okorocha is aggrieved and so is the APC
chairman who believes the party is not getting the
support it deserved from the governor. Chances of
both parties are pegged at 50-50.



Jigawa

Governor Abubakar Badaru was elected on the
platform of the APC in 2015 and he is reputed to
have done fairly well in meeting his electoral
promises.

However, Sule Lamido, the former state governor is
going the whole hog to see to the victory of Atiku
at the polls.

Elections here will be keenly contested but
President Buhari may take this one again, like he
did in 2015.



Kaduna

Kaduna has been enmeshed in crisis in the past
few years; Governor El-Rufai’s handling of same
has left the people sharply divided.

The governor’s war with some APC stalwarts such
as Senator Shehu Sani eventually led to the latter’s
defection to the Peoples Redemption Party, PRP,
from where he continues to launch his trademark
vitriolics against President Buhari and El-Rufai. It’s
APC state and Buhari holds sway. But a Surprise is
possible.



Kano

It is one of the states where Nigerians and election
observers would beam their searchlights given its
huge population and the dynamics of the past few
months and weeks.

With a Governor Abdullahi Ganduje carrying a huge
credibility burden following allegations of bribe
taking; his re-election and that of Buhari would not
be an easy one here.

Senator Rabiu Kwankwaso with his Kwankwasiyya
Movement are doing the mibilization for Atiku, who
literally shut down the ancient city with his
campaign rally. It’s Buhari but Atiku has a bright
chance of causing a major upset here.



Katsina

It is the home state of President Buhari. With a
sitting governor who is a candidate for re-
election, APC is favoured to win but that won’t
come easily.

Ibrahim Shema, former governor of the state
alongside PDP national secretary, Ibrahim Tsauri
have succeeded in turning the tide, so much that
the popularity of the PDP among the people is not
in doubt.



Kwara

Is the popularity of President Buhari enough to
break the Saraki’s stronghold of the North-Central
state?

For Senate President, Bukola Saraki, the APC should
forget taking Kwara in 2019 for in his words, the
people know their leader. It will be hotly contested
here especially with the O te ge movement. Saraki
is strong and should win it for Atiku but some
parity should not be ruled out.



Lagos

Regardless of the intrigues which almost tore the
APC apart, Lagos remains its stronghold.
Although there were issues with Governor
Akinwunmi Ambode and he was shoved aside to
pave way for Babajide Sanwo-Olu the opposition
remains weak and the ruling party is still the party
to beat but today’s election may be different. It’s
APC state but it will still be difficult to vouch for
Buhari here going be large population of non
indigens many of who complained of not been able
to collect their PVCs.



Nasarawa

The North-Central state is almost fated to go the
way of President Buhari given the popularity of
Governor Tanko Al-Makura among his people.
Niger

Niger on paper is an APC state; however, a
combination of factors may work in Atiku’s favour
otherwise its Buhari’s



Ogun

Here is one state the APC will sweat to reclaim
even though it has a sitting governor elected on its
platform, Ibikunle Amosun.

Like the scenario that played out in Imo over
controversial primaries, the governor who though
has pledged to work for Buhari, is working for a
rival party to produce his successor. All this may
work in Atiku’s favour but Buhari may be it here.
Kebbi

Governor Atiku Bagudu has been lauded by many
for his agricultural imprints in the state. He was
elected to govern in 2015.

His popularity and that of the APC in the state is
one that should worry the PDP which however has
Tanimu Abubakar, a former Presidential aspirant to
look up to in the North-West state.

Give and take, President Buhari is favoured to win
in Kebbi.



Osun

The controversies that trailed the governorship
election here are still fresh in the mind.
Those whose words carry weight in political
matters have vowed to get maximum votes for
Atiku in the today’s election.



Oyo

It is a 50-50 contest here as neither the ruling APC
nor opposition PDP can afford to go to sleep.
Though, the power of incumbency may work to the
advantage of the APC.



Ondo

Ondo has a sitting governor and prominent
members of both federal and state assemblies.
Barring any dramatic twist, the odds are in favour
of the ruling party.



Plateau

Governor Simon Lalong is likely to struggle in his
bid to get re-elected for a fresh four year tenure.
The killings which swept through many villages in
the past few years would likely play a major role in
determining who wins at the end of balloting.
Atiku’s chances here are quite bright.



Rivers

Unless a change of fortune comes its way, the APC
will not field candidates in any of the elective
positions being contested.

Those who would have voted Buhari because of
other APC candidates for other elective offices
would likely turn in the direction of Atiku.

PDP is certain to win by a large margin with
Governor Nyesom Wike almost certain of a fresh
four year mandate.



Sokoto

The North-West state became PDP’s when
Governor Aminu Tambuwal defected from the APC.
Boasting a huge number of voters, President Buhari
and Atiku would be looking with keen interest how
things play out here. As things stand today, Sokoto
is PDP to lose.




Taraba

PDP has never lost Taraba to any party since 1999
and that record is not about to change at least for
now.

Atiku will rely on his political visibility and Governor
Ishaku Darius popularity to win with a large margin
in the North-East state.




Yobe

Yobe will provide an interesting scenario for both
candidates even though the state is currently
controlled by the APC.

In 2015, President Jonathan lost here in what some
believed was informed by his handling of the Boko
Haram insurgency.

Under Buhari however, the killings have continued
on a worrisome scale.

It is left to be seen what choice the electorate will
make but APC is more like it here.




Zamfara

Like Rivers, the APC are are not likely to field
candidates for election here, leaving President
Buhari a lone ranger in a dangerous fortress.
It’s APC but Atiku stands a chance of causing an
upset here too even though Governor Abdulaziz
Yari has been threatening fire. He was elected on
the platform of the APC.


https://www.tori.ng/news/116917/buhari-vs-atiku-how-they-may-win.html
Re: BUHARI Vs ATIKU: How They May Win by FoolishBoy419: 10:42am On Feb 23, 2019
Atiku to win in gombe state?

(1) (Reply)

MBuhari checking to see if his wife voted for him. / Breaking: INEC Cancels Rivers LGA Election Over Violent Shootings. / Where Are Those Screaming Get Your PVC Before This Election?

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