It is crystal clear that most of the factors of electoral victory are in favor of the apc but lets look at the 8 lgas and their internal political intricacies.
Sagbama lga:this is where dickson is from and right from 2011 has always given pdp the largest bloc votes.apc will get its lowest votes here while it may be the only lga where pdp will win massively.dickson is in control here but federal might can he deployed to reduce the rigging capacity.
Ekeremor: this is the lg of lokpobiri who is still embittered about the outcome of the polls.with him still aggrieved,apc will certainly lose here but narrowly.
Yenagoa: a cosmopolitan area which may vote anywhere but whoever wins here will do so narrowly.
Ogbia;i foresee a narrow pdp win here except daniel iworiso is caged.
Kolokuma: this is the lg of the pdp candidate diri.he will win here but the lga has the smallest population and voting power do this may not mean much.
Brass; sylva has always dominated here right from 2015.pdp will get nothing here,a massive win for apc here and a possible inflation of votes.
Nembe: another massive apc win beckons here especially with the deputy governor john jonah aggrieved over the outcome of the primaries.unless they pacify jonah,pdp will be roasted here.
Southern ijaw: it is the lga of lyon,it is the biggest voting bloc and can decide any polls.with it being rural,massive rigging will be expected here.this is where pdp may be buried.

Sagbama:pdp 32,000 apc 8000
Ekeremor; pdp 16000 apc 14000
Kolokuma:pdp 15000 apc 5000
Ogbia: pdp 17000. apc 13000
Yenagoa; pdp 30,000 apc 25000
Brass; pdp 4000 apc 30,000
nembe: pdp 10,000 apc 25,000
Southern ijaw;pdp 12,000 apc 45,000

Mynd44
Afamed
Nosryk
Nairalandtopusser
Sarrki
Gandollar
Meleszenawi
Adonai
Tonye
Fergie
Duwdu
Passingshot
Kyase
Kahal
Afrospecial
Shegzy
Skengman
Kingkakaone
Amaniro
Cherybae

With the wave of resignations in PDP as at yesterday, Kowa party might get more votes than PDP come Nov 16

You are not on ground. How will PDP will Ogbia and Ekeremor. Dickson disgraced GEJ, you will see results in November 16th.

Any hope for Bayelsa sef?

Enyari:
Any hope for Bayelsa sef?

Yes with lyon or alaibe,there is

muykem:
You are not on ground. How will PDP will Ogbia and Ekeremor. Dickson disgraced GEJ, you will see results in November 16th.

This prediction is just a worst case scenario for apc.this is the worst the can perform and will still win.on a normal level,pdp wont win outside kolokuma and sagbama

senatordave1:

Yes with lyon or alaibe,there is

This David Lyon guy seems to be some sort of angel for most... just pray he doesn't suddenly change to another DICKson later.

Enyari:


This David Lyon guy seems to be some sort of angel for most... just pray he doesn't suddenly change to another DICKson later.

Me too.ill have preferred sylva or alaibe

senatordave1:

Me too.ill have preferred sylva or alaibe

Perhaps drums of anointed oil should be sprayed with the help of jets from the sky over the state... just kidding.