Spain's population to halve and Nigeria to be dominant global power within 80 years, report predicts


As working age populations decline in developed countries, more liberal immigration systems could become a necessity.
The global population is likely to shrink after the middle of this century, triggering shifts in economic power, a new report suggests.

There will be around 9.7 billion people on the planet by 2064, but that number will decrease to 8.8 billion by the year 2100, according to a new report in medical journal The Lancet.

The analysis says that improvements to modern contraceptive methods and the increasingly widespread education of women could be a catalyst for a decline in global fertility rates.
That, according to the report, means that populations will not be sustained at current levels without a more liberal immigration approach.

Populations in 23 countries, including Japan, Spain and Italy, are forecast to decline by more than half, according to the research, with another 34 countries, including China, seeing a drop of more than 25%.
However, sub-Saharan Africa will buck the trend, and is set to see growth of more than three times its current population, thanks to falling death rates in the region and the rising number of women reaching child-bearing age.

Across the world, over-80s are set to outnumber under-fives by a factor of two-to-one by 2100, marking a shift in the working age population.

Countries such as China, Spain, the UK and Germany are all expected to see a dramatic drop in the size of their workforce, resulting in a slowing of economic growth that will open the way for African and Arab countries to take the lead economically.

Dr Richard Horton, editor in chief of The Lancet, said: "This important research charts a future we need to be planning for urgently.

"It offers a vision for radical shifts in geopolitical power, challenges myths about immigration, and underlines the importance of protecting and strengthening the sexual and reproductive rights of women. The 21st century will see a revolution in the story of our human civilisation.

Africa and the Arab World will shape our future, while Europe and Asia will recede in their influence. By the end of the century, the world will be multipolar, with India, Nigeria, China, and the US the dominant powers.

"This will truly be a new world, one we should be preparing for today."

African nations will lead the way in terms of total population growth.

Niger's population is forecast to grow by 765% by 2100, Chad's by 710%, South Sudan's by 594% and Mali's by 321%.

Meanwhile, Latvia is predicted to see the biggest fall in population, by 78%, with El Salvador's population forecast to drop by 77%.

As a result, it means that south and southeast Asia will concede their positions as the most populated regions of the world to Sub-Saharan Africa, which is projected to see an explosion in growth in the middle of the century.

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Central Europe will move to the bottom of the table, with North America overtaking the region.

India, which currently has the second-highest population in the world, will rise to the number one spot by the year 2100, despite a fall in population of around 300 million people.

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China will fall from top to third place in the table, with its population set to fall by more than 25%.

Nigeria, which currently has the seventh-highest population in the world, will rocket up to second place by 2100, while the Japanese population will plummet from the 10th to 38th.

The Lancet study also predicts a major shift in the way age is distributed throughout the global population.

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By and large, age is currently structured as a pyramid with more young people than older people, with people in their mid-20s being an outlier.

However, the journal predicts that the population will become more middle-aged by 2100.

The Lancet report suggests that immigration could be a way to offset population decline.

Western countries that will have a lower birth rate by 2100, such as the US, Australia and Canada, will likely be able to maintain a working age population by liberalising their stance on immigration.

The report warns, however, that population decline should not compromise global progress made on women's rights and reproductive health.

Professor Ibrahim Abubakar, from University College London and the chair of Lancet Migration, said that if the predictions made in the Lancet "are even half accurate", then "migration will become a necessity for all nations and not an option".

He added: "The positive impacts of migration on health and economies are known globally. The choice that we face is whether we improve health and wealth by allowing planned population movement or if we end up with an underclass of imported labour and unstable societies."

https://news.sky.com/story/amp/decline-in-fertility-will-see-global-population-shrink-triggering-radical-shifts-in-economic-power-report-12028364

Very good.

Watch how Nigerians would make negative comments because they themselves do not want progress.

They themselves are the true village people.

Golan007:
Very good.

Watch how Nigerians would make negative comments because they themselves do not want progress.

They themselves are the true village people.

Professor Ibrahim Abubakar, from University College London and the chair of Lancet Migration, said that if the predictions made in the Lancet "are even half accurate", then "migration will become a necessity for all nations and not an option".

He added: "The positive impacts of migration on health and economies are known globally. The choice that we face is whether we improve health and wealth by allowing planned population movement or if we end up with an underclass of imported labour and unstable societies."


Boss
Listen!
If the politician continue to lock the tap that ensure economic growth and development. Then what we get is a large unproductive population

Well
After biafra had left

Golan007:
Very good.

Watch how Nigerians would make negative comments because they themselves do not want progress.

They themselves are the true village people.

Nigeria can never go forward with people who think and behave like you

¿ %

Only if we're ready to be the global power. Corruption, insecurities, unemployment, political issues and a lot of things has to stop.

We need to go back to our farms, plant our crops, greens well, improve agriculture, manage our waste well, fertilize our lands. This can help us so well to be the leading economy of the world

XXXXTENTACION:
Nigeria can never go forward with people who think and behave like you

¿ %

Sharap.

With all the negative vibes that you all emit has Nigeria become better?


Gerarahia.

Without the Igbos though.

Very exciting prospect, one that however should prompt us to start preparing to make maximum use of the opportunities that are forecasted to emerge.

This means we must equip our rising population with skills and education to make them useful to the economy. We must use this data to plan future schools and healthcare centres, as we revamp the entire healthcare system. There will be increased rural - urban migration so our town planners and security architecture need to factor and prepare these.

I'm glad at the progress we are making so far towards a sustainable agro-economy which will guarantee food sufficiency, and position the country to take advantage of strategic economic & political advantages that accompany such capacity in the near future.

In the next 50 years, global demand for fossil fuels would have greatly fallen as demand for skilled labour, food & raw materials rises, so if we get out agro-economic game right, we have a Dubai of opportunities awaiting us with proper planning and execution.

Hopefully the secessionists would have re-strategized by then and have succeeded & left, leaving us with a more manageable population and more resources to go round, in addition to many other perks.

Nigeria will be Great!

Lol. How so

Golan007:

Sharap.
With all the negative vibes that you all emit has Nigeria become better?

Gerarahia.

bloody a$$hole like you

Lol

Seriously