Yes, Jagaban cannot win as president whether or not he gets the APC ticket.
It's clear to me by the body language of northerners that they are not going to vote against their people. The core north since 2003 has not voted against their person. Even Obasanjo who was a sitting president couldn't win a core Northerner up north.

Tinubu's strategy is simple, he thinks that he needs the north so bad. He believes in Northern large block votes knowing fully well that he might not get this block vote even in southwest. I can argue that Tinubu might not win Oyo, ondo or Ekiti state. I can argue that Tinubu may not get 70% votes in even lagos, these are possibilities that he knows hence went all north. He put all his eggs in one basket.
He's of the opinon that southeast is hard to penetrate and they don't give much numbers hence the investment is no worth it. He knows that Southsouth has a staunch PDP structure that will make life hard for him.

Now, at everytime that anybody (GEJ and Obasanjo) won a core Northerner, such person always gets block votes in southeast and Southsouth, southwest and then in northcentral. Now Tinubu cannot boast of getting this, he wants to play the Buhari kind of pattern which would hunt him with kwankwaso and Atiku there.

There's no where for him to go now than southwest, a place where he cannot even get 70% votes. Tinubu calculations gone wrong, PDP will defeat him in the north, Obi will defeat in southeast, Obi or PDP will defeat him in Southsouth.
He put all his eggs in one basket

Osinbajo enjoys more support in the north than tinubu

Tinubu don't have time for hate and perdition children, I know they are going to still wail about him. You got our support come rain come sunshine

TallerKola:
Tinubu don't have time for hate and perdition children, I know they are going to still wail about him. You got our support come rain come sunshine

Tinubu is a Nigerian like every other person.
But he betrayed us down south by his evident romance with the north.
We will pay him back in 2023 and let's see how he will defeat Atiku or Kwankwaso in core North.
He didn't even visit my own state in Southsouth, he thinks that we don't matter

if the south can unite behind one candidate the middle belt will definitely throw in their vote and will be compensated. this scenario will see the block Muslim north fail woefully no matter their gimmick....Peter obi and Tinubu must workout a president and vice arrangement.

The thing is that the northern cabal in apc doesn't seem favourable to tinubu else he would have defeated any northern candidate from pdp considering the number of bullion vans in his disposal and the power of apc incumbency.
Worst for him is that the northerners are too tribalistic in their voting pattern,both the ones in apc and pdp will vote atiku of even in their dreams.

Asiwaju baba Seyi don't have time for hate and perdition children, I know they are going to still wail about him. We will never stop supporting our leader

God1000:
Osinbajo enjoys more support in the north than tinubu

Only Osinbajo can beat this criminal Atiku.. APC should not do any mistake. We cant have another fulani as president. Atiku is a failure.. Good chance for APC TO FIELD IN PYO...

zeuss:
if the south can unite behind one candidate the middle belt will definitely throw in their vote and will be compensated. this scenario will see the block Muslim north fail woefully no matter their gimmick....Peter obi and Tinubu must workout a president and vice arrangement.

South cannot unite, they are stupid.
Me personally, I am not voting but Tinubu is not a competent peson. Dude likes thuggery politics and deadly games. He will never become president as long as a norther is contesting.
He should restrategize and find a way to make peace with his southern counterparts to support him

How does paying him back in 2023 favour your own political situation?
Are you going to elect someone who is going to further your political interest or you are only interested in hurting Tinubu?
How you guys reason is really very worrisome.
I am sure some people will go into depression if or when Tinubu wins the presidential election.
Best of luck.

FatherOfJesus:
Tinubu is a Nigerian like every other person.
But he betrayed us down south by his evident romance with the north.
We will pay him back in 2023 and let's see how he will defeat Atiku or Kwankwaso in core North.
He didn't even visit my own state in Southsouth, he thinks that we don't matter

lonecatt:
The thing is that the northern cabal in apc doesn't seem favourable to tinubu else he would have defeated any northern candidate from pdp considering the number of bullion vans in his disposal and the power of apc incumbency.
Worst for him is that the northerners are too tribalistic in their voting pattern.

You can never win a northerner in core North.
They unite very well.
It has never happened even if he contest without a party

FatherOfJesus:
You can never win a northerner in core North.
They united very well.
It has never happened even if he contest without a party

Jonathan won buhari in the north when he contested his first tenure, it is all politics

Don't stress yourself osinbajo is your incoming president

pedel:
How does paying him back in 2023 favour your own political situation?
Are you going to elect someone who is going to further your political interest or you are only interested in hurting Tinubu?
How you guys reason is really very worrisome.
I am sure some people will do into depression if or when Tinubu wins the presidential election.
Best of luck.

he doesn't have to favour me. It's the game.
You cannot disrespect us here and expect us to vote for you.
We alps need Obi to be president as well, so we are going to campaign for him and make sure he gets block vote in southeast and become at least second in Southsouth behind Atiku.

Tinubu cannot disregard his people totally then go and romance the enemy. The only thing Atiku needs to beat him is to get the support of all the Islamic clerics in the north and all is over.

Tinubu is gone, he should wait for another 8years

lonecatt:
Jonathan won buhari in the north when he contested his first tenure, it is all politics

Jonathan did not win Buhari in core North.

I can show you the figures.

Jagaban makers of men , Jah bless the leader. Again, jagaban till eternity

FatherOfJesus:
Jonathan did not win Buhari in core North.

I can show you the figures.

paste the results here

lonecatt:
Jonathan won buhari in the north when he contested his first tenure, it is all politics

See the figures. Core north means northwest and northeast

tollyboy5:
Don't stress yourself osinbajo is your incoming president

how na?
where is the logic in this your statement?
Osibanjo presidency have melted like wax, tinubu used him as plan b.
now that atiku has pdp ticket, the apc will not joke with a feather weight politician that is not favoured by the north nor the cabal.

FatherOfJesus:
See the figures. Core north means northwest and northeast

thanks for the information
So the apc needs to present a northerner to win?

lonecatt:
thanks for the information

welcome, you now see that Tinubu is in trouble?

He didn't regard our strength here in the south.

Look at people in even southeast giving GEJ votes in million but he couldn't think about it.
He's a goner.

It doesn't matter which party he contest in

Jagaban, the slayer of mpukumiri addicts . This is almost the 1000th thread opened about him on Nairaland this year alone.

FatherOfJesus:
welcome, you now see that Tinubu is in trouble?

He didn't regard our strength here in the south.

Look at people in even southeast giving GEJ votes in million but he couldn't think about it.
He's a goner

yea i see there is the need for southern unity all this hatred won't help.

lonecatt:
yea i see there is the need for southern unity all this hatred won't help.

I have always said this but Igbos and yorubas who are the major ethnic groups are so stupid.

Yorubas think thay are okay with the crumbs that falls from northern table, Igbos don't want crumbs.
The two tribes have different agenda and now it's going to hunt Tinubu

lonecatt:
Jonathan won buhari in the north when he contested his first tenure, it is all politics

Jonathan only won north Central....bihari won nw and ne

FatherOfJesus:
I have always said this but Igbos are yorubas who are the major ethnic groups are so stupid.

Yorubas think thay are okay with the crumbs that falls from northern table, Igbos don't want crumbs.
The two tribes have different agenda and now it's going to hunt Tinubu

True , it is the result of the north doing their homework properly, putting the greedy or do i say foolish southern politicians at each others neck.

Asiwaju, the slayer of mpukumiri addicts. . This man carefully masterminded the defeat of a ruling party. That is why Meth addicts hated him like he's the architect of IPOD terrorism.

Presidency going back to the North East because of South West greed.

walefresh3:

Jonathan only won north Central....bihari won nw and ne

in the whole of the north who got the highest votes between Jonathan and buhari?

lonecatt:
in the whole of the north who got the highest votes between Jonathan and buhari?

hard to calculate but northcentral is not core North.

Tinubu is not popular there either. He won't win in Northcentral

Asiwaju, Modern Lagos Architect , on your mandate till infinity. The only governor that consistently challenged the federal powers in his era as governor. The man who took the FG to court and made sure he created LCDAs to make government closer to people which is what many states copied now. A forward thinker

lonecatt:
how na?
where is the logic in this your statement?
Osibanjo presidency have melted like wax, tinubu used him as plan b.
now that atiku has pdp ticket, the apc will not joke with a feather weight politician that is not favoured by the north nor the cabal.

Pele metal bender, na you melt am bah?

Keep holding your structure while osinbajo becomes the Nigeria president