North West

APC - 10%
PDP - 30%
NNPP - 50%
L.P - 10%

NORTH EAST

APC - 10%
PDP - 50%
NNPP - 30%
L.P - 10%

NORTH CENTRAL
APC - 25%
PDP - 30%
NNPP - 5%
L.P - 40%

SOUTH WEST

APC - 60%
PDP - 15%
NNPP - 5%
L.P - 30 %

SOUTH EAST.

APC - 4%
PDP - 10%
NNPP - 1%
L.P - 85%

SOUTH SOUTH

APC - 5%
PDP - 32%
NNPP - 1%
L.P - 68%



USING 2015 AND 2019 ELECTION TURN OUT IN EACH REGION AS A YARD STICK..

N.W - 9MILLION
N.E - 5MILLION
N.C - 4.5MILLION
S.W - 5MILLION
S.S - 5MILLION
S.E - 3MILLION

EXCLUDING THE FCT....

FIRST POSITION

1. LP 10.8 MILLION
2. PDP 7.7MILLION
3. NNPP 6.6MILLION
4. APC 5.08 MILLION


FCT WASNT INCLUDED IN THIS ANALYSIS.....

LET THE VAWULENCE BEGIN...


Reason for my analysis and results....

North West Is known for always voting one of there own along tribal and religious lines.
North East move with the north west but a slight difference might occur here there son is contesting......
North Central goes with the trend the reason for high percentage for l.p here is because he's the only christian candidate among the leading candidate....
South West isn't Known for giving block votes
All three parties will have a good show down here....
South East is known for moving in one direction reason for the high percentage for L.P..
and South South Swings with south east....
APC won't have a great show here...
Except there's a change of event in the coming days



IF IM TO ADVICE P.O I WILL SUGGEST HE PICKS A STRONG CANDIDATE FROM THE NORTH CENTRAL AS V.P TO CEMET HIS POPULARITY....
SAME GOES FOR APC...

THATS THE BATTLE FOR ME

Not far from the truth.

Very biased analysis. It helps nobody doing an extremely & anti_Tinubu analysis & Pro_Obi

SOUTH SOUTH

APC - 5%
PDP - 32%
NNPP - 1%
L.P - 68%

I'm from south south and I don't exactly agree with this. Let's be realistic, this is how its going to be;
APC - 3%
PDP - 45%
NNPP - 0.00%
LP - 52%

Beer parlour analysis

majole:
Very biased analysis. It helps nobody doing an extremely & anti_Tinubu analysis & Pro_Obi

I only did the analysis based on the recent events online and the results from past elections...

A very unbiased analysis.Congratulations in advance to Peter Obi and the labour party

And the winner is PO. Twitter (online) president. While Atiku is the offline president

South East 3 million ? Lmfao you guys don't know what's coming next year ...it's good you all are underating south east voting strength ...

South east would give nothing less than 5 million votes come next year ...5 million minimum

Expect 1.5 million from Anambra and IMO , 1 million from Enugu and abia , 500k minimum from ebonyi ...e go shock people this time

2011 would be child's play...compared to 2023

mrvitalis:
South East 3 million ? Lmfao you guys don't know what's coming next year ...it's good you all are underating south east voting strength ...

South east would give nothing less than 5 million votes come next year ...5 million minimum

Expect 1.5 million from Anambra and IMO , 1 million from Enugu and abia , 500k minimum from ebonyi ...e go shock people this time

2011 would be child's play...compared to 2023

Yet we didn't see up to 220k votes in recent Anambra state election. Una go just open ina mouth wa day talk plenty

peacekante:


Yet we didn't see up to 220k votes in recent Anambra state election. Una go just open ina mouth wa day talk plenty

Guber election is different from presidential election hope you know that....

2011 anambra gave good luck 1million votes

peacekante:


Yet we didn't see up to 220k votes in recent Anambra state election. Una go just open ina mouth wa day talk plenty

Lmfao ...go and check Anambra ... governorship election is different from presidential election starting back in 1999 go research ...

Igbos hate to waste energy win with 1 million votes ,win with 20k vote win is win

But in presidency when we know margin is important go research ... Anambra gave atiku highest net vote last year

If Labour Party gets 3 million votes. They should swear Peter Obi in.


Vote Tinubu 2023. Vote APC.

It's funny how PO supporters are underrating other parties.


Today I finally registered for my PVC this was because the PDP supporters in partnership with INEC were going around my area.

Today people were plenty and complaining to the slow pace because of only one machine was available then one guy was shouting that they don't want to register them because they know Peter Obi would win, One of the PDP members who are organizing it then ask him that if they are scared of PO would they be taking the registration around?

He himself couldn't answer.



My point is the same way PO is making moves is the same way other parties are making moves.

You go fear analysis for Nairaland

seunmsg:
You go fear analysis for Nairaland

That is the op's personal opinion. We shall see how it will pan-out in 2023.

Onigawara:


I'm from south south and I don't exactly agree with this. Let's be realistic, this is how its going to be;
APC - 3%
PDP - 45%
NNPP - 0.00%
LP - 52%

I'm currently in SS.
APC will score more than that.
LP 50%
PDP 27%
APC 20%
Others 3%

Hi

mrvitalis:
South East 3 million ? Lmfao you guys don't know what's coming next year ...it's good you all are underating south east voting strength ...

South east would give nothing less than 5 million votes come next year ...5 million minimum

Expect 1.5 million from Anambra and IMO , 1 million from Enugu and abia , 500k minimum from ebonyi ...e go shock people this time

2011 would be child's play...compared to 2023

Will Ipob and army presence let people come out and vote. Remember anambre election- 300,000

Donsheddy:


Guber election is different from presidential election hope you know that....

2011 anambra gave good luck 1million votes

No south east state can post a million vote going into next year election. No be that time way Card reader and PVC no day. Now there is card reader.

You guys should be realistic for once.

mrvitalis:

Lmfao ...go and check Anambra ... governorship election is different from presidential election starting back in 1999 go research ...

Igbos hate to waste energy win with 1 million votes ,win with 20k vote win is win

But in presidency when we know margin is important go research ... Anambra gave atiku highest net vote last year

Did total number of votes got to 800k in Anambra state in 2019?

peacekante:


Did total number of votes got to 800k in Anambra state in 2019?

That was Atiku that most people I knew never voted because the never liked either of them

Now it's obi you would see magic

tobechi74:
Hi

Will Ipob and army presence let people come out and vote. Remember anambre election- 300,000

IPOB ? Army ? Lmfao you don't know Igbos

Just relax next year no far

mrvitalis:

That was Atiku that most people I knew never voted because the never liked either of them

Now it's obi you would see magic

Una no day learn. The same Atiku way una want kill unaself for. Now most people no gree vote am.

You lots are just funny honestly.

peacekante:


Una no day learn. The same Atiku way una want kill unaself for. Now most people no gree vote am.

You lots are just funny honestly.

Lol who ? I have never voted ...you lots don't really understand Igbos at all . There are 2.5 to 3 million Igbos that are really into politics and would vote no matter the election ...there are over 3 million who only vote when there is a right candidate or someone they believe in is contesting

There are another 2 million who never registered and don't care about Nigerian politics ,they have zero PVC ...

Peter Obi have 90% of all these groups trust me

peacekante:


Yet we didn't see up to 220k votes in recent Anambra state election. Una go just open ina mouth wa day talk plenty

2011

Total votes cast (Southeast)

Abia 1.185.574
Anambra 1.153.904
Ebonyi 497.025
Enugu 808.763
Imo 1.406.289
---------------
5.051.555

Total votes cast (Southwest)

Oyo 836.550
Osun 498.734
Ondo 480.260
Ogun 529.355
Lagos 1.907.815
Ekiti 306.161
----------------
4.558.874


- 492.681

Something is fueling the mad rush for PVC's. We will find out what that represents in February.

mrvitalis:

Lol who ? I have never voted ...you lots don't really understand Igbos at all . There are 2.5 to 3 million Igbos that are really into politics and would vote no matter the election ...there are over 3 million who only vote when there is a right candidate or someone they believe in is contesting

There are another 2 million who never registered and don't care about Nigerian politics ,they have zero PVC ...

Peter Obi have 90% of all these groups trust me

Oga make you go tell this to a kid. Since 2015, what has been the number of votes cast in south east? Good candidate! Good candidate. You all made GEJ your Angelic candidate right? Did south east got up to 2.7 million votes in 2015?

Una just like plenty talk. No substance.

peacekante:


Oga make you go tell this to a kid. Since 2015, what has been the number of votes cast in south east? Good candidate! Good candidate. You all made GEJ your Angelic candidate right? Did south east got up to 2.7 million votes in 2015?

Una just like plenty talk. No substance.

Most Igbos were I different about Jonathan in 2015 ...the ones that votes voted against Buhari not for Jonathan ...relax 2023 no far

I love the Analysis, let PO just pick a NC VP and see his margin go high

mrvitalis:

Most Igbos were I different about Jonathan in 2015 ...the ones that votes voted against Buhari not for Jonathan ...relax 2023 no far

Rest

This is the right permutation. And it cuts accross each region.

peacekante:


Oga make you go tell this to a kid. Since 2015, what has been the number of votes cast in south east? Good candidate! Good candidate. You all made GEJ your Angelic candidate right? Did south east got up to 2.7 million votes in 2015?

Una just like plenty talk. No substance.

Here's the story between the 2 regions in 2015. Always use statistics to argue your points. The data presented clearly shows voter apathy on behalf of the southeast. This is only visible when one extrapolates the available electoral data empirically. There are no more votes in the southwest than the southeast. In fact, the reverse is the case.


2015

Total votes cast (Southeast)

Abia 391,045
Anambra 670,675.9
Ebonyi 363,888
Enugu 573,173
Imo 702,964
---------------
2,701.745

Total votes cast (Southwest)

Oyo 881,352
Osun 642,615
Ondo 561,056
Ogun 533,172
Lagos 1,443,686
Ekiti 300,691
----------------
4,362.572


- 1,660.827