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Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? - Politics (2) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? (3467 Views)

But Why Couldn't Tinubu Get Up To 25% In Abuja? / Can Tinubu Get 70% Or More From South West? / Like Ekiti, Can Tinubu Defeat Every Other Candidate? (2) (3) (4)

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Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:06pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
Can tinubu win the presidency without winning his region?

Yes just like obj.his region is sw not south
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:07pm On Jul 22, 2022
garfield1:


Yes just like obj.his region is sw not south
Like his southern region...Obj lose out in SW..but won SE and SS...
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:08pm On Jul 22, 2022
Moh247:


So according to your hypothesis that 40% of Southwest are not Yorubas but foreigners

If we enter a public school in Lagos , Ibadan Ogbomosho and randomly pick 10 boys, we are going to pick just 6 Yoruba boys, while the rest would be Ibos and Hausa?!

If we also pick 10 agbero , market women or church members 6 would be Yoruba while Ibos and others would be 4

In your mind SouthWest is cosmopolitan like New York, London and Dubai with many foreigners?!


Hahahaaa
Maybe he mean only Lagis bro!!
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:08pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
As it stand today...of the three major candidate..I think Atiku Abubakar has the best chance...

How
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:09pm On Jul 22, 2022
Zonefree:

Aside Peter Obi in South East, no presidential candidate will get up to 65% in any zone.

Peter will get more than that.tinubu can get that too
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:09pm On Jul 22, 2022
fergie001:

He will do more than 30%. Asides the SE, SS....he has a genuine problem in Lagos.

Why lagos
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:10pm On Jul 22, 2022
garfield1:


How
If Atiku is able to win his region...NE,And Mange to beat P.O in S.S, I think it is game over for other candidates.
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:10pm On Jul 22, 2022
successmatters:
The whole bad people in the south are not up to 10% of the south. Tunubu will fail woefully there.

Most people are bad
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Moh247: 8:10pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
Maybe he mean only Lagis bro!!

Even at that ... In Lagos 60 / 40 is not so realistic except for some selected area in Ojo/Festac axis

Well this is all hypothesis and not confirmed theory so everyone is analysing based on guesses

1 Like

Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:11pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
deep down in your mind yunno that's a lie brr

The apc structure in ss is threatening to overrun pdp
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:11pm On Jul 22, 2022
garfield1:


Why lagos
because of Igbo much population I think...and the MM ticket stuff!!
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:12pm On Jul 22, 2022
garfield1:


The apc structure in ss is threatening to overrun pdp
Lmao...yunno as at today...PDP has the best chance over there!!!
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:12pm On Jul 22, 2022
Zonefree:

He can't get up to that.

PDP got two States in SW.
Peter Obi got strong base in Lagos.
Yoruba Christians will revolt against MM ticket.
Peter Obi got Igbos in SW also.

Where and how will Tinubu get 60%?

Therefore obi won't win se since lp has no state na.how many yorubas will vote a fulani or IBO ahead of a yoruba
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:12pm On Jul 22, 2022
Moh247:


Even at that ... In Lagos 60 / 40 is not so realistic except for some selected area in Ojo/Festac axis
Lol....Foreigner yapa for lag brr...Lol...
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:12pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
Hmm..he fvck up with his MM ticket....

It was his best calculus
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:13pm On Jul 22, 2022
Babaken:
2015 is still fresh in our south south brothers mind

You mean se brothers?
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:14pm On Jul 22, 2022
garfield1:


Therefore obi won't win se since lp has no state na.how many yorubas will vote a fulani or IBO ahead of a yoruba
I think... A.PC misfortune is really affecting BAT ticket
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:14pm On Jul 22, 2022
Zonefree:

Osun result is a reflection of what will happen in 2023. People are tired of APC and their demonic government.

What of ekiti?
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by nkem1992: 8:14pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
As it stand today...of the three major candidate..I think Atiku Abubakar has the best chance...
Yeah he has the best chance for sure and prefer him over tinubu even though I am obedient.
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:14pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
I think... A.PC misfortune is really affecting BAT ticket

True but can still be surmounted
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:15pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
Lmao...yunno as at today...PDP has the best chance over there!!!

Out of every 5 persons in calabar,three are obidient.
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Moh247: 8:16pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
Lol....Foreigner yapa for lag brr...Lol...

True...


But then again, since 1993 Tinubu's party SDP,AD,AC,ACN,APC has never had less than 60% of Lagos vote

1 Like

Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Moh247: 8:17pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
Lol....Foreigner yapa for lag brr...Lol...

True...


But then again, since 1993 Tinubu's party SDP,AD,AC,ACN,APC has never had less than 60% of Lagos vote .. even when Ambode was thrown out
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:17pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
because of Igbo much population I think...and the MM ticket stuff!!

Most of those complaining about mm are not his fans
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:17pm On Jul 22, 2022
Moh247:


True...


But then again, since 1993 Tinubu's party SDP,AD,AC,ACN,APC has never had less than 60% of Lagos vote
I also think he will surely win lagos...
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by PrincessofDSS(f): 8:17pm On Jul 22, 2022
Who dash him?
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:18pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
If Atiku is able to win his region...NE,And Mange to beat P.O in S.S, I think it is game over for other candidates.

He needs to win three regions.if he wins ne and ss he will still lose because he can only win those regions marginally
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:19pm On Jul 22, 2022
garfield1:


Out of every 5 persons in calabar,three are obidient.
boss...calabar do not makeup the whole of SS now...Akwa ibom is there...Rivers state,Bayelsa, Delta...
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by garfield1: 8:19pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
Like his southern region...Obj lose out in SW..but won SE and SS...

If tinubu can win the north narrowly,its over.
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:19pm On Jul 22, 2022
PrincessofDSS:
Who dash him?
Lol
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by PrincessofDSS(f): 8:20pm On Jul 22, 2022
Princeoflagos10:
Lol

Lol
Re: Can Tinubu Get 30% Of The Southern Vote? by Princeoflagos10: 8:21pm On Jul 22, 2022
garfield1:


If tinubu can win the north narrowly,its over.
Yea...he should better campaign hard in the North...Especially NE....coz responses of the south is not alluring at all...If Atiku beat him in the NE...its Game over for tinubu!!!

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