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US/NATO Is Now In A "Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don't" Situation - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland

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Scott Ritter: US-NATO Cannot Win Russia In A Large Scale War / Richard Barrons: NATO Is Not Ready For War With Russia / Putin Warns US, NATO Not To Interfere Or Face Consequences (2) (3) (4)

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US/NATO Is Now In A "Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don't" Situation by rottennaija(m): 6:39am On Aug 22, 2022
The US/NATO is now in a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" situation.

If they attempt to intervene in Ukraine, it will be a catastrophic defeat with the risk of global thermonuclear war.

If they don't intervene, NATO as a credible military / political alliance is finished.

Re: US/NATO Is Now In A "Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don't" Situation by rottennaija(m): 6:43am On Aug 22, 2022
����"If Russia does arrange a "trial" over the "Azovites" - this will be the line after which any negotiations are impossible. Russia will cut itself off from negotiations. There will be no more conversations," Zelensky said tonight... https:///ztIw4r1F8U

Re: US/NATO Is Now In A "Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don't" Situation by DerrickzB: 7:57am On Aug 22, 2022
Truth is, directly or indirectly nato would be crushed!!!

The biggest problem is that people are not duly informed about the situation of the operation in Ukraine else they think Ukraine has a chance. Russia keeps decimating Ukraine every fvking day, more like canon fodder!!!

Truth would always see the limelight!! NATO would be seen for what they really are!!

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Re: US/NATO Is Now In A "Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don't" Situation by rottennaija(m): 9:12am On Aug 22, 2022
Berlin has admitted that switching on Nordstream 2 would be a political disaster. Clearly not understanding that without it, the political fallout this winter will be immense anyway. It is what happens when you invest so much political capital into demonising another nation.

Re: US/NATO Is Now In A "Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don't" Situation by rottennaija(m): 9:29am On Aug 22, 2022
Let’s talk about the daily attacks on Crimea.

The Ukrainian military attempts to “strike” Crimea multiple times a day using various drones, usually rigged with explosives, sometimes not rigged with anything.

All of them are unsurprisingly shot down. Crimea is a fortress. Crimea’s Air Defence umbrella is extremely good, you can go as far as calling it the best in the world. At the moment, there’s no other place on earth as heavily defended from air attacks (other than Russian mainland) as Crimea. However, it is extremely easy to get cocky and forget that no air defense system is perfect & every air defence system can be penetrated. This is a mistake many analysts make, they assume Crimea is untouchable. - it is not, it never will be.

These “meaningless, desperate” drone “attacks” by Ukraine are not actually meant to cause damage, they’re meant to find holes in Russia’s air defences — under strict NATO watch. Americans and Brits observe every interception by Russian Air Defence systems in Crimea. They are clueless about Russian Air Defences in a combat setting. Russia’s domestic systems are only showing their true capabilities now.

Every interception gives them more data and more information on how to break it. Ukraine is doing this for 2 reasons:

1. Domestic propaganda

As Ukraine fails to gain any success on the front lines, launching drones at the “occupiers” make headlines every single time in Ukraine. The regime supporters rejoice, Zelensky looks strong and determined.

2. NATO orders

Let’s not forget that the US, EU & UK are not providing “help” to Ukraine. They are lending them money, with interest. Every bullet and weapon has its tab. This will take decades to pay back. — in turn, the Americans want data. They want a lot of data. They want every piece of data they can get. Data on Russian missiles, air defence systems, operational structure, Russian gear and especially, russian radars and their capabilities.

This shows that NATO is simply clueless about Russia’s Air Defence capabilities, even when we’re talking about Pantsir S1 and Buk M1, as well as the S300. The domestic versions of these systems differ drastically from the export versions we saw in action in the Syrian war and elsewhere.

There’s no doubt in our minds that they will figure out a way to break the Crimean AD umbrella, but it will be short lived. While these systems can be overwhelmed, they cannot be overwhelmed to a large extent unless they are destroyed.

Russia is not using any of its newest systems to intercept these drones, they are using the domestic variants of systems we already saw working in Syria and in other conflicts — but those were all the export variants. Russian domestic systems are clearly much, much more capable than their export variants. When Ukraine and NATO figures out how to effectively overwhelm the current umbrella, Russia has another 3 generations of systems that NATO has never seen in action before.

The systems fielded by NATO are still behind the S1, M1 & S300 in every aspect. 3 generations behind.

Air Defence is Russia’s strong suit and always has been, but don’t assume that Crimea cannot be hit, that is simply stupidity. It will be hit, it is just a matter of time.

T. me/asbmil

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Re: US/NATO Is Now In A "Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don't" Situation by rottennaija(m): 12:43pm On Aug 22, 2022
⚡️��: In an interview with Politico, the Ukrainian garrison of Avdiivka acknowledged that the people there are waiting for Russia, and advocated forcible evacuation, using cuts to water and electricity.

"This is war" he said

Re: US/NATO Is Now In A "Damned If You Do, Damned If You Don't" Situation by rottennaija(m): 2:29pm On Aug 22, 2022
#BREAKING ��Oleksandr Nakonechny, a senior official of the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU), was found shot by his wife in his home.

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