To be president you need 25% of votes cast in 24 states.

In a three or four horse race the requirement becomes an obstacle

The northwest has 7 states

The northeast has 6 states

NW + NE = 13

36 -13 = 23 = impossible

If any presidential candidate fails to play strongly in the NE + NW zones

He can't be president

For Obi to take 25% in any state in the NE and NW

He must be a major contender in that state

Because what it would mean is that he would beat one or two of Atiku, Asiwaju or kwankwaso.

To be clear about four horse races

In a four horse race in Imo governirship in 2019

Ihedioha has the highest number of votes

He needed to get 25% of votes cast in 18 out 27 LGAs

But because the four horses had their areas of complete dominance

Ihedioha could only get 25% of votes cast in 12 out 27 LGAS.

INEC in a wuruwuru way that can't happen in 2023 declared him gov elect

But that pic tells the story

Obi has a lot of work to do

Take Adamawa or Taraba where Obidients are hopeful

Once Atiku takes 50% in those states Obi's chances of securing 25% becomes almost impossible because the remaining 50 will be shared with Asiwaju and Kwankwaso

Getting 25% of votes in any NE or NW state will be a major miracle for Obi .

And assuming he pulls it off then he has to make sure

He makes 25% in all SW states including Osun , Ekiti, Ogun.

Obi's path to victory is narrower than the path to heaven.

Thank God it's Sunday

OBIdients pray. Work and pray.

With God all things are POssible

Is Possible you see this North we will shock you

heniford2:
Is Possible you see this North we will shock you

Politics is not rocket science. Even on a face value, it can be analysed. Obi chances are narrow but I wish him all the luck.

ikorikor:
Politics is not rocket science. Even on a face value, it can be analysed. Obi chances are narrow but I wish him all the luck.

lets be watching

This analysis is myopic and borne of out of hatred.

Where is it written that u must win from these zones to become President?

What if five northern candidates hostle for votes on these northern states while Obi get his votes from the south south,south Eastern and three nort central states...with huge figure figures. Will u throw them away because he is from the east?

What the election is all about is total number of votes and not state specific.