Obi already has 3 zones on lockdown, but can he snatch a state or two from Tinubu in the South West and a state or two from Atiku in the NE or NW?

It is okay to dream though.

He necessarily didn't need to win states outside those regions you mentioned, 25℅ votes in some of those state is ok

Just that most Nigerians like suffering and complaining, else this election would've been the easiest.

PO remain the best among the major contenders.

Taraba is a goal

ScamHunter:
Obi already has 3 zones on lockdown, but can he snatch a state or two from Tinubu in the South West and a state or two from Atiku in the NE or NW?

Lagos

ScamHunter:
Obi already has 3 zones on lockdown, but can he snatch a state or two from Tinubu in the South West and a state or two from Atiku in the NE or NW?

Peter obi will not even win south east.is he as popular as ojukwu who lost even anambra to obasanjo

kcnwaigbo:
Taraba is a goal

Yes, I though as much, but the problem is that all the solidarity we are seeing in Taraba may just be in the urban areas. Without bringing the rural areas on board, I don't see him winning the state. Taraba is the most Obedient state in the North, while Edo leads in the SS. I've not seen a powerful statement from any State in SW and NW.

ScamHunter:
Obi already has 3 zones on lockdown, but can he snatch a state or two from Tinubu in the South West and a state or two from Atiku in the NE or NW?

Obi will win Lagos and Abuja

post=116778164:

Lagos

most obidient na the same loud una dey smoke

Henix:


Obi will win Lagos and Abuja

Abuja is certain as a MB metropolitan, but you see Lagos, Tinubu's thugs will give Obidients a tough time with ballot snatching, rigging and intimidation. In fact, it'll be the battleground state.

Lagos, taraba, kogi, Abuja, plateau, Benue, nassarwa are all obedient

kettykin:
Lagos, taraba, kogi, Abuja, plateau, Benue, nassarwa are all obedient

Kogi? Lokoja having Obidients doesn't imply that the state is for PO. Unless there's something we don't know yet. Nasarawa, plateau, Benue are the sure MB states for Peter Obi.

ScamHunter:


Kogi? Lokoja having Obidients doesn't imply that the state is for PO. Unless there's something we don't know yet. Nasarawa, plateau, Benue are the sure MB states for Peter Obi.

I have analyzed kogi state, Galla will never vote APC , the okenye axis will vote APC at state level, okun will vote APC at both state and federal level. The labor candidate will likely get 25% minimum votes unless Bello rig it , since Bello lost out of APC presidential race he has not been so loyal

kettykin:


I have analyzed kogi state, Galla will never vote APC , the okenye axis will vote APC at state level, okun will vote APC at both state and federal level. The labor candidate will likely get 25% minimum votes unless Bello rig it , since Bello lost out of APC presidential race he has not been so loyal

I'm talking about winning the state not 25%, I know LP can comfortably win 25% in Kogi

He cannot win :

DELTA STATE

RIVERS STATE

AKWA IBOM STATE

CROSS RIVER STATE

BAYELSA STATE

You can pick an escrow let's bet 100,000 Naira.

Yes, Lagos, kaduna ,Abuja, adamawa and taraba

N3TRAL:
He cannot win :

DELTA STATE

RIVERS STATE

AKWA IBOM STATE

CROSS RIVER STATE

BAYELSA STATE

You can pick an escrow let's bet 100,000 Naira.

Make it $10,000 so it'll be worthwhile. Do a video showing you have the cash.

Peter Obi will not win any state in the Middle Belt and South South.

He will only win state among his Igbo state and I will bet he will not win up to 3 states among the 5 or across Nigeria.

My bet is always open, if you doubt put your mouth where your money is.

I will partner that guy with a million naira. Peter will not win any LGA talkmore of a single state in the South South. He can only win among his Igbo state n he will not win up to 3 states among the 5 Igbo states. Peter Obi will not win any LGA outside of his Igbo state not in Abuja or Lagos where the population is metropolitan.

ScamHunter:


Make it $10,000 so it'll be worthwhile. Do a video showing you have the cash.

Mark my words Tinubu vote will divine Peter Obi vote in 10 places in this same Lagos I live.

We can bet over that. If Obi get 2000 vote Tinubu will already have 200,000 vote in the bag. Put your money where your mouth is no time for long talk abeg.

post=116778164:

Lagos

Sonyboom:
Mark my words Tinubu vote will divine Peter Obi vote in 10 places in this same Lagos I live.

We can bet over that. If Obi get 2000 vote Tinubu will already have 200,000 vote in the bag. Put your money where your mouth is no time for long talk abeg.

Noise maker go through history of Lagos voting, go through 2019 presidential election result, it was extra rigging and rewrite results that made APC gave PDP small edge 2019, talk more of now BVAS is involved, Muslim-Muslim ticket, financial mess and insecurity Tinubu losing will start from Bourdilon Ikoyi

ScamHunter:


Make it $10,000 so it'll be worthwhile. Do a video showing you have the cash.

Lol, this isn't a joke. How will I keep $10,000 at home?

I've spent at least 1 week in each of the States I mentioned above between July and Today. I have lived across these states for 15 cumulative years.

N3TRAL:


Lol, this isn't a joke. How will I keep $10,000 at home?

I've spent at least 1 week in each of the States I mentioned above between July and Today. I have lived across these states for 15 cumulative years.

BAYELSA STATE:

If there's anything that unites the Ijaw and Epie people in this State, it is their hatred for Igbos ( I don't know why).
From Akenfa to Agudama extending to Biogbolo, Igbos own more than half the shops. 90% of restaurants in Yenagoa are owned by Cross River or Akwa Ibom people. The three biggest supermarkets in the state aside Market square shopping mall are owned by Igbo men. The biggest pharmacy near FMC, hospital road is owned by an Igbo man. The Igbos are the loud minority in Yenagoa (not the whole of Bayelsa). Commerce in Yenagoa apart from grocery trade or open markets like Tombia market are completely dominated by foreigners.
Even 70% of Keke drivers in Yenagoa are not from the State.

98% of Indigenes with employment living in Yenagoa are employed in the Civil Service. Bayelsa people love free money they don't need to work for. They even organise vigils to pray for oil to be discovered in their communities.

By 4pm, boutiques and high profile shops are locked and only opened for customers to come in to buy and locked again immediately the customers come in. Igbo shops are attacked here without provocation. It doesn't make the national news but it is the truth. TBH, it was one of the oldest Igbo business men in Yenagoa that told me that Bayelsa people would rather a Northerner rules them forever than vote an Igbo candidate.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.vanguardngr.com/2019/05/igbo-traders-in-bayelsa-shut-shops-protest-hoodlums-attacks/amp/

https://www.sunnewsonline.com/attack-on-igbo-govt-beefs-up-security-in-bayelsa/


The rest of the local government areas in Bayelsa apart from Yenagoa (which has approximately 35% visitors) are made of at least 90% indigenes because they are largely swampy and riverine and not viable for retail business.

The Peter Obi march that made the news yesterday was at Tombia Roundabout/ Junction which is the equivalent of Lagos' computer village in Yenagoa. 80% controlled by the Igbos who are not up to 2000 traders combined. The rest of the Local Governments apart from Yenagoa are for PDP or in the worst case scenario the highest bidder. The civil servants in Yenagoa are for PDP. Labour Party cannot get up to 10,000 votes across Bayelsa. A bulk of the votes will come from Igbo people leaving there and young liberal Bayelsa indigenes below 35.

PDP will come first in Bayelsa, followed most likely by APC. One of the biggest campaign posters in Yenagoa are Tinubu's.

DELTA STATE

Transportation cost from Yenagoa to Warri is below #2,000 . Contrary to public opinion, Delta State share a lot in common with the Bayelsa people than Bayelsa people do with Rivers State despite the fact that Bayelsa State was carved from Rivers State.

Delta State is very diverse with Ijaw, Isoko, Itsekiri, and Urhobo people.

Okowa is Ika and falls within the spectrum we call Delta Igbos. This is the group that should have given Peter Obi at least 30,000 sure votes in Delta State for a start. The majority of these Ika votes will go to PDP because Okowa is the Vice President.

The bulk of Urhobo votes will go to APC because of Omo Agege who is APC flag bearer. Festus Keyamo , APC's campaign spokesperson is also Urhobo.

Asaba is where Peter Obi will most likely get votes. But Okowa who also claims to be Igbo has his machinery and structure in this place to make him prevail here by a mile.

PDP will win Delta with a huge gap. The difference between APC and Labour Party in Delta State will be small.

ScamHunter:


Make it $10,000 so it'll be worthwhile. Do a video showing you have the cash.

obi will not win next year general election if you are so sure about obi winning let stake 500k obi will loose

CROSS RIVER STATE

Half of the State is PDP at heart while the other half is APC in reality. There's no room for Labour Party in Cross River State.

Betta Edu, APC women's leader is loved and adored by young and old women across the state. She's very charismatic, lovable and can influence young voters. She organized thousands of women as a Christian in Islamic Borno. Think about what she can do in her Cross River State.

Ayade is contesting for the Senate too. He has appointed almost 1000 advisers into his cabinet. If you check deeper, there is no prominent extended family in the whole of Cross River State that doesn't have an aide working for Ben Ayade. Ben Ayade has control over the civil service. On Presidential election day which is also the date for his election into the Senate, he will release the salaries of the civil servants he's owing so that he can win.

Calabar is PDP. Either PDP or APC will win Cross River State. The winning margin will be very small.

AKWA IBOM STATE

Akwa Ibom state is PDP. All the local government chairmen, house of Assembly members, councillors , National Assembly members are PDP members.

Peter Obi's wife is from the State but it's the least that matters to these people. Labour Party stands no chance here.

Let's face it, Mr Bassey Albert (OBA) who is the most popular Governorship candidate in the State should have cross carpeted to Labour Party when Udom chose Umo Eno as his successor. He instead went to YPP because associating himself with Labour Party will worsen his chances.

Udom Emmanuel is a silent mover, and with his recent position as the head of PDP's presidential campaign, PDP will win Akwa Ibom State better. Even if he wasn't, PDP would still win Akwa Ibom State.

Akpabio will return similar amount of votes he gave to APC in Akwa Ibom State in 2019 whether he wins or not. He's an Annang Man from Ikot Ekpene Senatorial District and will always have more of his people love him than hate him even if he starts world war 3.

Oron people have been marginalized since 1999. The closest they have come to the seat of power is the choice of their son as Deputy Governor by Akan Udofia the APC Governorship candidate.

Even John Udoedeghe who is one of the most popular politicians in the state moved to NNPP from APC instead of Labour Party.

There's a reason two major contenders in Akwa Ibom State did not defect to Labour Party. It can literally render their political careers useless.

Only a handful of woke young people will vote Labour Party here.

PDP will win Akwa Ibom State with a huge margin. They have the strongest PDP structure in the whole of Nigeria. If PDP loses Akwa Ibom State, it means they will not win any other state even Sokoto where Tambuwal governs.

RIVERS STATE

I'm a busy person tired of typing the obvious.

Let's just wait for Wike

N3TRAL:


BAYELSA STATE:

If there's anything that unites the Ijaw and Epie people in this State, it is their hatred for Igbos ( I don't know why).
From Akenfa to Agudama extending to Biogbolo, Igbos own more than half the shops. 90% of restaurants in Yenagoa are owned by Cross River or Akwa Ibom people. The three biggest supermarkets in the state aside Market square shopping mall are owned by Igbo men. The biggest pharmacy near FMC, hospital road is owned by an Igbo man. The Igbos are the loud minority in Yenagoa (not the whole of Bayelsa). Commerce in Yenagoa apart from grocery trade or open markets like Tombia market are completely dominated by foreigners.
Even 70% of Keke drivers in Yenagoa are not from the State.

98% of Indigenes with employment living in Yenagoa are employed in the Civil Service. Bayelsa people love free money they don't need to work for. They even organise vigils to pray for oil to be discovered in their communities.

By 4pm, boutiques and high profile shops are locked and only opened for customers to come in to buy and locked again immediately the customers come in. Igbo shops are attacked here without provocation. It doesn't make the national news but it is the truth. TBH, it was one of the oldest Igbo business men in Yenagoa that told me that Bayelsa people would rather a Northerner rules them forever than vote an Igbo candidate.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.vanguardngr.com/2019/05/igbo-traders-in-bayelsa-shut-shops-protest-hoodlums-attacks/amp/

https://www.sunnewsonline.com/attack-on-igbo-govt-beefs-up-security-in-bayelsa/


The rest of the local government areas in Bayelsa apart from Yenagoa (which has approximately 35% visitors) are made of at least 90% indigenes because they are largely swampy and riverine and not viable for retail business.

The Peter Obi march that made the news yesterday was at Tombia Roundabout/ Junction which is the equivalent of Lagos' computer village in Yenagoa. 80% controlled by the Igbos who are not up to 2000 traders combined. The rest of the Local Governments apart from Yenagoa are for PDP or in the worst case scenario the highest bidder. The civil servants in Yenagoa are for PDP. Labour Party cannot get up to 10,000 votes across Bayelsa. A bulk of the votes will come from Igbo people leaving there and young liberal Bayelsa indigenes below 35.

PDP will come first in Bayelsa, followed most likely by APC. One of the biggest campaign posters in Yenagoa are Tinubu's.

Epie is Ijaw clan and you just wrote trash here. You can hardly see any Igbo in Bayelsa even doing business. you are a full.time liar i pity any Ijaw that see sense in this nonesense people.

N3TRAL:


BAYELSA STATE:

If there's anything that unites the Ijaw and Epie people in this State, it is their hatred for Igbos ( I don't know why).
From Akenfa to Agudama extending to Biogbolo, Igbos own more than half the shops. 90% of restaurants in Yenagoa are owned by Cross River or Akwa Ibom people. The three biggest supermarkets in the state aside Market square shopping mall are owned by Igbo men. The biggest pharmacy near FMC, hospital road is owned by an Igbo man. The Igbos are the loud minority in Yenagoa (not the whole of Bayelsa). Commerce in Yenagoa apart from grocery trade or open markets like Tombia market are completely dominated by foreigners.
Even 70% of Keke drivers in Yenagoa are not from the State.

98% of Indigenes with employment living in Yenagoa are employed in the Civil Service. Bayelsa people love free money they don't need to work for. They even organise vigils to pray for oil to be discovered in their communities.

By 4pm, boutiques and high profile shops are locked and only opened for customers to come in to buy and locked again immediately the customers come in. Igbo shops are attacked here without provocation. It doesn't make the national news but it is the truth. TBH, it was one of the oldest Igbo business men in Yenagoa that told me that Bayelsa people would rather a Northerner rules them forever than vote an Igbo candidate.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.vanguardngr.com/2019/05/igbo-traders-in-bayelsa-shut-shops-protest-hoodlums-attacks/amp/

https://www.sunnewsonline.com/attack-on-igbo-govt-beefs-up-security-in-bayelsa/


The rest of the local government areas in Bayelsa apart from Yenagoa (which has approximately 35% visitors) are made of at least 90% indigenes because they are largely swampy and riverine and not viable for retail business.

The Peter Obi march that made the news yesterday was at Tombia Roundabout/ Junction which is the equivalent of Lagos' computer village in Yenagoa. 80% controlled by the Igbos who are not up to 2000 traders combined. The rest of the Local Governments apart from Yenagoa are for PDP or in the worst case scenario the highest bidder. The civil servants in Yenagoa are for PDP. Labour Party cannot get up to 10,000 votes across Bayelsa. A bulk of the votes will come from Igbo people leaving there and young liberal Bayelsa indigenes below 35.

PDP will come first in Bayelsa, followed most likely by APC. One of the biggest campaign posters in Yenagoa are Tinubu's.

I hate Igbo with passion. You can never win even local government in any where Igbos as a whole are not more than Ijaw in population. Why cant you use your fake population figure and become President.since. Even till today your candidates party does not even control a ward talk more of lga before a state.

N3TRAL:
RIVERS STATE

I'm a busy person tired of typing the obvious.

Let's just wait for Wike

Thanks for your vast knowledge of the SS region.

I have told so many people here that Obi cannot win SS, but people are analysing politics with sentiment.

Even when I would have love Obi to win, so that we experience a shift from the old political class to a much younger class and see what they can do.
The truth remains that Obi cannot win SS and the general election is 2023.

In the Southern region, the votes will kind of be evenly distributed with the winner going home with a small margin, because the three zone are shared among the three candidate.

My prediction for the Southern votes:
SW is for Tinubu
SS is for Atiku,
SE is for Obi

I even saw some people claiming that Obi will win Lagos. PDP even when they were in power cannot win Lagos then. The good thing in Lagos is that the winning margin is not usually very wide.