In 2015, Buhari then polled 792,460 votes, while Jonathan got 632,327.

Buhari polled 580,814 votes to beat Atiku, who got 448,016 votes.

To be fair, one can argue that this election was mostly rigged, especially in Alimosho local government.

Today, With BVAS, rigging is traceable and harder, we will have clearer picture of voting patterns. ATiku is dead in Lagos, we have to agree.
Lagos is between Peter Obi and Tinubu. Tinubu maybe popular with the areas boys and some native Yorubas however not every Yoruba are his fan. There are right thinking Yorubas that won’t vote for him, a lot of them are my friends. Lagos is too cosmopolitan for Tinubu to clear, we have to agree.
The endsars saga will also work against him. He will not get votes from many Christian communities even within the Yoruba circle.

I expect Tinubu to win Lagos anyways, but the margin will not be huge if all things are equal.
I expect to see this figures

Tinubu: 50%
Obi: 40%
Others: 10%

Although, we Cannot totally overrule Peter obi winning Lagos If APC sleeps on it.
What’s your thought?

Mr Influencer, no talk wetin you no know. Stick to promoting artists and social events, this is above your intellectual capacity.

Tinubu is going to have more than 80% from Lagos and the rest of SW States even in OYO where PDP is there governor Tinubu all the way

Bonijy04:
Tinubu is going to have more than 80% from Lagos and the rest of SW States even in OYO where PDP is there governor Tinubu all the way

Lol

Your thought is highly welcomed but very far from reality

dat9jaguy:
Mr Influencer, no talk wetin you no know. Stick to promoting artists and social events, this is above your intellectual capacity.

Lol, We have figures up there showing that APC has never won Lagos in a landslide.

It’s usually very close and I don’t see Tinubu overturning this

Tinubu will win Lagos, no doubt but when judged politically, it would be a loss because the margin will be slim

This campaign alone has shown that tinubu is clearly overrated. Its just money that is his strength nothing else. The only thing he might use to gather votes on election day is by sharing money and food stuffs

Noblechykk:
Tinubu will win Lagos, no doubt but when judged politically, it would be a loss because the margin will be slim

That is what I think also.
There’s no way he can win massively. It’s not possible with what’s on ground in Lagos

Workch:
Lol, We have figures up there showing that APC has never won Lagos in a landslide.

It’s usually very close and I don’t see Tinubu overturning this

Like I said no go dey believe your analysis o. The shocker awaiting you guys is still doing exercise in the gym. Las las everyone is entitled to their opinion but the day of reckoning is just around the corner.

dat9jaguy:


Like I said no go dey believe your analysis o. The shocker awaiting you guys is still doing exercise in the gym. Las las everyone is entitled to their opinion but the day of reckoning is just around the corner.

Which shocker?
If them tell you say Tinubu go win 75% Lagos, you go believe?

Workch:
Which shocker?
If them tell you say Tinubu go win 75% Lagos, you go believe?

Wait for election day, no need jumping the gun.

dat9jaguy:


Wait for election day, no need jumping the gun.

okay l, we wait

Bonijy04:
Tinubu is going to have more than 80% from Lagos and the rest of SW States even in OYO where PDP is there governor Tinubu all the way

Yorubas are sophisticated too sophisticated Infact to vote someone like Tinubu

Voting Tinubu would kill the whole idea that Yorubas are sophisticated

Tinubu will win Lagos, but the win will be politically irrelevant

Tinubu would win Lagos State and lose the general elections....

He would remain the landlord of Lagos State

He will win it comfortably , if there is any state he would win it's Lagos

Use text to speech App to llisten to what you typed

This time remove all bias and consider all factors

Lagos are bad voters when you play tribal cards, check 2015 Guber elections when PDP wanted to form alliance with the other tribes.

Anyway vote Yele Sowore

Right thinking Yorubas....

Continue to abuse the Yoruba people because of your yeye candidate!

Right thinking Yoruba...

He would win Lagos narrowly. LP and PDP would get their 25percent

Your assumption is that anyone who won't vote Tinubu will vote Peter Obi.

You are definitely oblivious of PDP's political structures in Lagos.

In 2015 it was PDP vs APC

In 2019 it was APC vs PDP

2023 it would be APC vs PDP splited between LP and NNPP.

Also , in 2015 and 2019 it wasn't a south westerner on the ballot. In 2023, it is a Yoruba Man that will be on the ballot.

PDP structures have collapsed in Lagos. The Igbos have departed the party to support their Labour Party. Some Yorubas have departed to APC.

However, a lot of Yorubas who always voted PDP in Lagos have remained there. PDP will do better than LP in many posh areas because there are elites who are financing PDP.

Funke Akindele , Davido, Banky W etc have always supported PDP for instance. They're still supporting PDP.

PDP will definitely lose most Igbo votes but will not lose any significant Yoruba vote. The worst that can happen to PDP is that its votes will be splited thereby giving APC a gap advantage.

APC will win Lagos with a wide margin even though the total votes they get will only be slightly higher than what they've always had.

If APC has above 50% like they've always had, they will win with a wide Margin because Atiku will definitely have his 25%.

Compare 2023 elections to Sanwo Olu's Governorship Elections when Igbo voters were supporting Agbaje and Ambode was their darling. That's a typical example of Yoruba electorates choosing a Yoruba on the Ballot not a splited decision between two Fulanis.

If Peter Obi beta Atiku n not even Tinubu I owe you 100K cash. I know if I talk say make we bet you go start lamenting so need just quote any mod to be our witness.

Workch:
In 2015,
What’s your thought?

Tinubu will not win in ojo LGA and festac regions

Workch:
In 2015, Buhari then polled 792,460 votes, while Jonathan got 632,327.

Buhari polled 580,814 votes to beat Atiku, who got 448,016 votes.

To be fair, one can argue that this election was mostly rigged, especially in Alimosho local government.

Today, With BVAS, rigging is traceable and harder, we will have clearer picture of voting patterns. ATiku is dead in Lagos, we have to agree.
Lagos is between Peter Obi and Tinubu. Tinubu maybe popular with the areas boys and some native Yorubas however not every Yoruba are his fan. There are right thinking Yorubas that won’t vote for him, a lot of them are my friends. Lagos is too cosmopolitan for Tinubu to clear, we have to agree.
The endsars saga will also work against him. He will not get votes from many Christian communities even within the Yoruba circle.

I expect Tinubu to win Lagos anyways, but the margin will not be huge if all things are equal.
I expect to see these figures

Tinubu: 50%
Obi: 40%
Others: 10%

Although, we Cannot overrule Peter obi winning Lagos If APC sleeps on it.
What’s your thought?

Lagos State is a representation of entire Nigeria ...
Your analysis lacks credibility...

The reason why tinubu will win Lagos state is that
1. He has the state governor's backing
2..which is the most important one is that Atiku and Jonathan got that figure when we only had two options....now, there are three options

We have Atiku, Peter Obi, and Tinubu
In 2015, the vote of the Yiibo people and PDP was given.to Atiku but in 2023, Yiibo people will vote for Obi, Which will drastically reduce the percentage of votes Atiku had in 2015, While Tinubu will still maintain his structure in Lagos State

HIGHESTPOPORI:
He would win Lagos narrowly. LP and PDP would get their 25percent

how will PDP get 25% in this Lagos?

Do you reside in Lagos?

kingmaster2009:


Lagos State is a representation of entire Nigeria ...
Your analysis lacks credibility...

The reason why tinubu will win Lagos state is that
1. He has the state governor's backing
2..which is the most important one is that Atiku and Jonathan got that figure when we only had two options....now, there are three options

We have Atiku, Peter Obi, and Tinubu
In 2015, the vote of the Yiibo people and PDP was given.to Atiku but in 2023, Yiibo people will vote for Obi, Which will drastically reduce the percentage of votes Atiku had in 2015, While Tinubu will still maintain his structure in Lagos State

Atiku is dead in Lagos, PDP got anti-Buhari votes because there was no option. Same with Abuja.

Tinubu will win, LP will be second, Atiku doesn’t have a base in Lagos demography. Anti- APC votes will most likely go to LP

Workch:
In 2015, Buhari then polled 792,460 votes, while Jonathan got 632,327.

Buhari polled 580,814 votes to beat Atiku, who got 448,016 votes.

To be fair, one can argue that this election was mostly rigged, especially in Alimosho local government.

Today, With BVAS, rigging is traceable and harder, we will have clearer picture of voting patterns. ATiku is dead in Lagos, we have to agree.
Lagos is between Peter Obi and Tinubu. Tinubu maybe popular with the areas boys and some native Yorubas however not every Yoruba are his fan. There are right thinking Yorubas that won’t vote for him, a lot of them are my friends. Lagos is too cosmopolitan for Tinubu to clear, we have to agree.
The endsars saga will also work against him. He will not get votes from many Christian communities even within the Yoruba circle.

I expect Tinubu to win Lagos anyways, but the margin will not be huge if all things are equal.
I expect to see this figures

Tinubu: 50%
Obi: 40%
Others: 10%

Although, we Cannot totally overrule Peter obi winning Lagos If APC sleeps on it.
What’s your thought?

Obi will win Lagos

post=118703206:

Obi will win Lagos

I don’t think so, Tinubu will get a slim victory

APC's margin will be more like the picture below.

Igbos hated Sanwo Olu coupled with the fact that Ambode who was the Governor didn't like him.

All of you voted PDP to Prevent "Jagaban's boy", but he still won with more than 70% because the Yoruba electorates were with him.

Workch:
In 2015, Buhari then polled 792,460 votes, while Jonathan got 632,327.

Buhari polled 580,814 votes to beat Atiku, who got 448,016 votes.

To be fair, one can argue that this election was mostly rigged, especially in Alimosho local government.

Today, With BVAS, rigging is traceable and harder, we will have clearer picture of voting patterns. ATiku is dead in Lagos, we have to agree.
Lagos is between Peter Obi and Tinubu. Tinubu maybe popular with the areas boys and some native Yorubas however not every Yoruba are his fan. There are right thinking Yorubas that won’t vote for him, a lot of them are my friends. Lagos is too cosmopolitan for Tinubu to clear, we have to agree.
The endsars saga will also work against him. He will not get votes from many Christian communities even within the Yoruba circle.

I expect Tinubu to win Lagos anyways, but the margin will not be huge if all things are equal.
I expect to see this figures

Tinubu: 50%
Obi: 40%
Others: 10%

Although, we Cannot totally overrule Peter obi winning Lagos If APC sleeps on it.
What’s your thought?

He will win Lagos, but the margin won't be much. Don't forget Atiku is on the ballot, and he and Obi will split votes.

ganisucks:

He will win Lagos, but the margin won't be much. Don't forget Atiku is on the ballot, and he and Obi will split votes.

Atiku is not strong in Lagos.
You and I know this

Workch:
Atiku is not strong in Lagos.
You and I know this

He is not strong, given. Bode George will work against him. But there are still some PDP heavyweights in PDP Lagos that will work for him.

dat9jaguy:


Wait for election day, no need jumping the gun.

You are counting on rigging and federal might, and you have no idea who does the rigging and how it's done.