grandstar:


Tinubu should win the election. He is strong in the Southwest except Osun state. In the North, he may not beat Atiku in some states but will steal a lot of his votes. For Bornu, Yobe and Adamawa, his running mate who is from that zone, coupled with the present defeat of the terrorists there should guarantee him a strong win there. Kwankwaso will also eat into some of Atiku's votes. Atiku also has to deal with Wike's ruthless determination to ensure Atiku loses in Rivers and 4 other states in the hands of the G5 governors. Atiku will need Southern votes to win and I don't see him winning in any.

Also, Tinubu has 22 APC governors supporting him. Incumbency matters a lot in Nigeria. For Peter Obi, goodwill can carry one far as it did for Buhari in 2015, we must realise that part of the victory was achievable only because of Goodluck Jonathan's weak, top heavy, very corrupt and feckless rule. If Jonathan had met the aspirations of the populace and fought against corruption and the Islamic insurgents, he might still have been for the running for presidency

Peter Obi, popularity sadly may not get him there, unless he has the strong support from the middle belt Christians and perhaps Muslims and from Christians in the core North. I very much doubt uneducated Northerners give a hoot about Peter Obi. He also needs the support of Southwesterners who won't vote for Tinubu to turn out enmasse for him.

I see only Tinubu and Peter Obi as the potential victors in this

you are making a mistake. Tinubu don't have More than 7 governors that are working for him
Everywhere is atikulating.

Moh247:


Reality of what?!

Why did you think Abiola and also Obasanjo worked with Atiku in 1993 and 1999, 2003

Buhari now has a formidable structure that would give Tinubu the needed votes

is Buhari working for Tinubu? Go and listen to what Tinubu said in ogun state today.