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Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely - Politics (7) - Nairaland

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Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Taiggarr: 2:15pm On Dec 27, 2022
AdaojoTheUrchin:


Rie nsi onye aburu onu!

Nsi ju gi onu.

Nwata Nne ya tutara atuta.

Nne gi gba aka nwa.

Kitikpa dorwakwa otu nne gi ebe ahu!

Bandits Ragbukwa nne gi ebe ahu..

You MUST have a heart attack by February..

Get ready to go back to your "Biafla or Death"....and we all know that Biafra isn't coming..so death it is to you guys..

Eediots!

1 Like

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Taiggarr: 2:17pm On Dec 27, 2022
AdaojoTheUrchin:


Rie nsi onye aburu onu!

Nsi ju gi onu.

Nwata Nne ya tutara atuta.

Nne gi gba aka nwa.

Iwu a YOUNG COWARD!!!

Go and stop Chinasa Nworu, Simon Ekpa and Temple first if dem been born your late WRETCHED ILLITERATE peasant father well that year before I can even take notice of your cries of frustration..

O'gaa di Egwu by February...

2 Likes

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by OGHENAOGIE(m): 2:18pm On Dec 27, 2022
caracas:

You clearly do not live in edo state…..
I don't to live there I am from Edo state and knows PDP is winning president elections there next year... Not even in Igboland will labour party win but continue in ur self delusion since it gives u happiness...
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by OGHENAOGIE(m): 2:19pm On Dec 27, 2022
Wainey:
Your bias towards thinking Obi will share PDP votes with Atiku is not different from those thinking Kwankwasor, Atiku and Tinubu will share northern votes.

At the end you may be wrong or right cos u probably didnt travel to other regions this year but you cannot be more right than those who's job is to predict election and they get paid for the analysis.
get paid to write junks and rubbish... U guys think we are joking or what... APC and PDP remains the Party to beat next year...
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Taiggarr: 2:20pm On Dec 27, 2022
AdaojoTheUrchin:


Rie nsi onye aburu onu!

Nsi ju gi onu.

Nwata Nne ya tutara atuta.

Nne gi gba aka nwa.

Kedu ebe nna gi nwuru anwu nor now

Kedu ihe meh nwoke ji nwuru onwe ya,kor nwe peace

Otu nne gi rakataa....

Rakataa otu'a... hehehehehe..

Ndi Village gi macha na mama gi wu onye Otu..

.
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by OGHENAOGIE(m): 2:21pm On Dec 27, 2022
chukwukadibia20:
It shows you know nothing about elections in Nigeria. You are dishing out stupid analysis from your bedroom . Go and read scientific poll results, it will tell you what is happening not political gossips form Thisday.

scientific bullshit... In America anyone contesting outside democratic party or Republican Party can't win president... U think labour party out of the blue ll just win because I guys are making noise online the joke is on you guys... Labour party won't see Third self... And na distant Third e go be self...

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Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Taiggarr: 2:23pm On Dec 27, 2022
AdaojoTheUrchin:


A singi... Ufu fugbuo gi.

Ago sagbuo gi. Insha Allah! grin

See this young OKPO wey call himself urchin...

Thankfully you know who you are..

1 Like

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by OGHENAOGIE(m): 2:23pm On Dec 27, 2022
alimiadedayo1:

infact you are very objective even though I am not a supporter of APC and I can never vote for them but they have high chance of winning this election with the political dispensation of this country
it's like the world cup u saw how Europe and South America dominated and came ist second... Third too that's how next year would be APC ist PDP second NNPP third labour Fourth Third and fourth would be distant... Anything else is just Political noise and entertainment...

1 Like

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Taiggarr: 2:25pm On Dec 27, 2022
AdaojoTheUrchin:


Rie nsi onye aburu onu!

Nsi ju gi onu.

Nwata Nne ya tutara atuta.

Nne gi gba aka nwa.

Iwu nwata nne ya rataa arataa na village..

Ima onye wu nna gi?
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by alimiadedayo1: 2:28pm On Dec 27, 2022
sangresan:


You don't know politics. Seyi Makinde won't declare for Atiku.
with all my analysis I dont know politics? even a novice or naive will simply understand my analysis.. ne objective for once
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by SunMusk(m): 2:43pm On Dec 27, 2022
[there is nothing perfect in the analysis. The chance of Obi winning is high, Tinubu help to win some vote in the North from Atiku, Obi win South East, South South, North Central, at least a state in South West quote author=drtwist post=119462183]Though I am a Peter Obi supporter , if we go with the current political trend your analysis seem perfect but we hope for a good shift soonest .

[/quote]

1 Like

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Menclothing: 2:48pm On Dec 27, 2022
Teeroyzimma:
Asiwaju is the king of agberos, if he wins places like Lagos will be hell

Lagos is the best place to make money in Nigeria

1 Like

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by joyandfaith: 2:51pm On Dec 27, 2022
ijustdey:

Atiku has 21 states sure of 25%, Tinubu has 20 states he’s sure of 25%




https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2022/12/27/thisday-2023-election-centre-why-presidential-run-off-is-increasingly-likely/


This is not poll. It is conjuring.
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by thinkmoney(m): 3:15pm On Dec 27, 2022
ijustdey:

Atiku has 21 states sure of 25%, Tinubu has 20 states he’s sure of 25%




https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2022/12/27/thisday-2023-election-centre-why-presidential-run-off-is-increasingly-likely/

This guy sentiments tilts towards Atiku. He has overestimated Atikus power.
It is funny how he stipulated that Atiku will win Akwa ibom for example. Obi is actually winning this state. He also do not have a competitor in Delta and Edo.
I also don't know how he came to think Kwankwaso will do the 10 and 15 percent he is giving him in some southwest state. Frankly, I think those figures he is giving Kwankwaso in these south west state should logically add to whatever he gave Obi in that region.
Bottom line, Obi is the underrated person that will surprise everybody in this election. There is scarcely nothing that PDP and APC do that can surprise anybody, they can only disappoint.
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Junior66(m): 3:17pm On Dec 27, 2022
braveboi4life:
Am an obedient, besides the analysis Obi inability to penetrate the core North with block vote is a great disadvantage, Emikokan has the brightest chance among all contenders,if this election goes into a run off, its Atiku for a grab, infact most kwankaso and Obi supporters will tilt to him naturally.
2023 will be interesting!!!!
Whoever wins Nigeria will still be in a deeper shit
May God help us

Nobody needs northern votes to win this time around, the Muslim north has three major candidates dividing their votes this time around making it very useless in shifting the election results. If you divide northern Kaduna into three and give southern Kaduna to Obi you will see that Obi has already won that state. You guys should note that Christian northerners are very many and they never vote along with the rest of the north, instead northern Christians always vote along with the south east and south south. Go and check previous election results, the Christian north has been voting along with the SE/SS since 1979 and they have won with that demographic many times. They made OBJ, GEJ, Yar Adua and others president when the Muslim north kept failing with Buhari and others.

1 Like

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by antidote06: 3:18pm On Dec 27, 2022
Suffer nor dey tire Nigerians..for a full grown human to vote for tinubu who can't stand on his own speaks a lot about dis country

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Indispensable85(m): 3:21pm On Dec 27, 2022
Very far from reality.
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by olatuns2017: 3:23pm On Dec 27, 2022
ijustdey:

Atiku has 21 states sure of 25%, Tinubu has 20 states he’s sure of 25%




https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2022/12/27/thisday-2023-election-centre-why-presidential-run-off-is-increasingly-likely/



This is a fucking lie of PDP


How can ATiku beat APC in kogi, Kwara



This day and the owner is completely mad


The contest is not going to be close


Tinubu is winning

1 Like

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by olatuns2017: 3:29pm On Dec 27, 2022
ijustdey:

Atiku has 21 states sure of 25%, Tinubu has 20 states he’s sure of 25%




https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2022/12/27/thisday-2023-election-centre-why-presidential-run-off-is-increasingly-likely/



Complete rubbish

Nairaland forget to inform the children among us that PDP owns AIT and Arise , this day rubbish

1 Like

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by AdaojoTheUrchin: 3:59pm On Dec 27, 2022
Taiggarr:


Kitikpa dorwakwa otu nne gi ebe ahu!

Bandits Ragbukwa nne gi ebe ahu..

You MUST have a heart attack by February..

Get ready to go back to your "Biafla or Death"....and we all know that Biafra isn't coming..so death it is to you guys..

Eediots!

Bumbling buffoon shouting 'otu Nne gi!' everywhere.

Must be a product of a thousand fathers in your village. Nwa aratara na igba ashawo. Ozu nwuru anwu. grin
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Taiggarr: 4:24pm On Dec 27, 2022
AdaojoTheUrchin:


Bumbling buffoon shouting 'otu Nne gi!' everywhere.

Must be a product of a thousand fathers in your village. Nwa aratara na igba ashawo. Ozu nwuru anwu. grin

Kitikpa dorwakwa otu nne gi!
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by hedonido: 5:45pm On Dec 27, 2022
antidote06:
Suffer nor dey tire Nigerians..for a full grown human to vote for tinubu who can't stand on his own speaks a lot about dis country

This election cycle reinforced something I noticed in 2014/15 but was reluctant to believe. Seeing so-called intellectuals and exposed people, mostly of Yoruba stock, shamelessly justifying and supporting nonsense not even for pecuniary reasons (which I would certainly understand), but for parochial/ethnocentric reasons. It's just too much of a shock for me to deal with, and I've had to cut off a number of these idiots who were in my circle, who I thought were reasonable.

We're not the downtrodden poor masses who know nothing and whose votes can be bought for N10k, so why this madness? For objectivity sake, ALL the 'neutral' non Igbo, non Yoruba and Non core Hausa/Fulani people I know are unambiguously pro Obi. Not because he is a Saint, but because he is clearly the best option available in the circumstances. Only the Yoruba people I know, most with decent income and educational qualifications, somehow end up betraying their disgusting parochialism by directly or indirectly supporting this BAT who is clearly the most corrupt, the most sinister, the most unhealthy, the most dubious, and the most unfit of all the presidential candidates.

Imagine it was Obi that had these kinds of scandals.. Uncertain education, drug dealing reputation with clear evidence of money forfeiture, bullion vans, not to mention the ties with thugs, murderers, and the evidence of ill health. He wouldn't even be in the contest. That's when you would see the likes of Femi Falana, Wole Soyinka, etc and the other fake Yoruba intelligentsia/activists making noise. It's really disgusting.
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Taiggarr: 6:05pm On Dec 27, 2022
AdaojoTheUrchin:


I am a Bumbling buffoon shouting 'otu Nne gi!' everywhere.

I am a product of a thousand fathers in my village.Awum Nwa aratara na igba ashawo. Awum Ozu nwuru anwu. grin

Chai...but we already knew..
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by pedologist(m): 6:35pm On Dec 27, 2022
Think9ja:
In Tinubu and Atiku's strongholds, they didn't give them 70% winning margin in any state. But in the South East which is Mr. Pandora Greengory's stronghold, they are giving him 70% winning margin. But anything to raise the hopes of these wishful thinkers is welcomed.

25% in Sokoto is more than 50% in some Southeast States.
It's just Obi Mirage
Here this....

Atiku will win the election at the first ballot

Pandora Greengory will not win a single state
Zombiedients will wail and wail and end up saying Pandora "tried"
Igbos and UGM will go on an agitation and killing spree.
South East will be further depopulated
Pandora will try to come back to the PDP and negotiate for a ministerial slot.
Atiku will go on to become the best president since the beginning of the fourth republic.


Congratulations to PDP
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by majole: 7:58pm On Dec 27, 2022
Aiel123:
Those states I highlighted are where I have issues.
Giving Tinubu 15% in Edo?
Even Kwara.
Tinubu doing 65% in SW states does not seem likely to me. Osun no way. Ondo to some extent. 60% percent upward but not exceeding 65 is what Tinubu will take in SW zones since Buhari did 55% and 57% in 2019/2015.
What are you reason for poor turnout in SE/SS?

They don't vote but only rant in the SS/SE. Renember results are normally written there and with BVAS they won't be able to write results. Look at the high turnout in Ekiti/Osun relative to the abysmal turnout in Anambra gubernatorial using BVAS. A state in the SE might not produce more votes than some HOR/senate districts in Jigawa
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by Aiel123: 8:12pm On Dec 27, 2022
majole:


They don't vote but only rant in the SS/SE. Renember results are normally written there and with BVAS they won't be able to write results. Look at the high turnout in Ekiti/Osun relative to the abysmal turnout in Anambra gubernatorial using BVAS. A state in the SE might not produce more votes than some HOR/senate districts in Jigawa
There was insecurity concerns prior to Anambra guber (Ipob declaring no election and sit at home) that I believe is the chief cause of poor turnout.
Ekiti recorded only 36% turnout...Not good.
There's enthusiasm among voters in the SS/SE regions right now but this regions have always had problems with turnout.
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by FuckOsuPigs: 9:55pm On Dec 27, 2022
G00DHardDick:
There will be no run off Obi will win before 8am on election day.

We give INEC 8am on election day to declare Peter Obi the winner of 2023 election.

we call on president Buhari to place a congratulatory call to Peter Obi by 8:05am.

And we expect urchinsons to commit suicide latest by 8:07am.

Which weed are you smoking?
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by olatuns2017: 11:28pm On Dec 27, 2022
ijustdey:

Atiku has 21 states sure of 25%, Tinubu has 20 states he’s sure of 25%




https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2022/12/27/thisday-2023-election-centre-why-presidential-run-off-is-increasingly-likely/




Stupid projections

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by omoalaro: 6:45am On Dec 28, 2022
Aufbauh:
Tinubu will win with a landslide and there won't be any runoff or second ballot.

Eyaaa.... I can feel your pain and tears as the reality has set in that the pandemic Obituary is in the race but not in the game.

If Thisday that's anti-Tinubu and pro PDP/LP can accept the reality to this extent then Asiwaju has no match in the election.

However giving Atiku 35% each in Borno and Yobe state respectively as against Atiku 2019 earning of 7% and 8% in those states is the most ridiculous projection I've heard in this millennium.

I also disagree with the Borno and Yobe projections. I don't see Atiku making more than 10% in those states.i think Tinubu will win in Kwara with about 40%.

1 Like

Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by JonJozzy: 11:35am On Dec 28, 2022
dumahi:
Good analysis No.

After Nigerians have been slaughtered like cows in the hands of a Fulani Muslim President for 8 years, only low IQ Nigerians will vote either a Muslim-muslim or another Fulani Muslim. Because, as it is, just anybody can be the NEXT to be slaughtered.

Nigerians are no more as stupid as they think. 2023 will be a big surprise. Even wise Muslims know that Atiku and Tinubu don't care about Allah. So, they hate them for trying to play dirty politics with their holy religion.

It's why they stoned the Tinubu team in Niger State. They know that voting Buhari couldn't save even Katsinans from bandits. They are wiser now.

If Nigerians miss Obi in 2023, their suffer suffer go last well well. Obi is one big opPOrtunity to stop the suffering.

Nigerians, don't miss it. Macron happened in France. Ruto happened in Kenya. Obama happened in US. All these looked impossible before they happened. So, Obi can happen in Nigeria. Don't mind all these gutter analysts who don't know what's going on on the streets.

Whatever happens in 2023, Everyone needs to know this…



SOURCE

Unfortunately I disagree. There is still an unbelievably large number of stupid Nigerians who will vote the failure parties and candidates. It is this large number of stupid Nigerians that is commonly referred to as STRUCTURE.
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by me69: 2:20pm On Dec 28, 2022
tungamaje:

Oga don't rule out the population of other tribes in Mararaba and Masaka axis which are also part of Nasarawa State. Those places are where the over 25% would come from
they not from the state
Re: Thisday 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run Off Is Increasingly Likely by caracas: 3:02pm On Dec 28, 2022
OGHENAOGIE:
I don't to live there I am from Edo state and knows PDP is winning president elections there next year... Not even in Igboland will labour party win but continue in ur self delusion since it gives u happiness...
Clearly you are either high on oshogbo weed or just a pathetic ignoramus….

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