FreedomfromtheT:
Sir, I think you are wrong, delusional or purely mischievous to think the majority of Southsouth people love 'PDP' and therefore will leave Peter Obi and vote Atiku. Who is PDP? Is President Goodluck Jonathan contesting again under the PDP? Do you know what Alhaji Atiku Abubakar did to president Goodluck Jonathan in 2014/2015? Let me tell you. A lot of people in the cities have been communicating to their relatives in the rural areas about who to vote for. Thank you.

Pdp is too entrenched in ss to lose to lp.in 2011 and 2015,lp was very strong in cross river state.they fielded popular candidates in local elections but failed to win any seat.tell me how obi will now win

BATified2023:
The way igbos will insult his generations yet unborn ehn even me dey fear

You'll die on top Igbo matter

If PDP wins in SS, comes second in SW and SE, and wins overall northern votes, Atiku then is the winner.

senatordave1:


Pdp is too entrenched in ss to lose to lp.in 2011 and 2015,lp was very strong in cross river state.they fielded popular candidates in local elections but failed to win any seat.tell me how obi will now win

senatordave1:


Pdp is too entrenched in ss to lose to lp.in 2011 and 2015,lp was very strong in cross river state.they fielded popular candidates in local elections but failed to win any seat.tell me how obi will now win

The presidency is different from local elections. The same way most people of the Southeast saw Goodluck Jonathan's presidency as theirs is the same way most people from the Southsouth see Peter Obi's incoming presidency God willing.
Apart from that, most people are voting for candidates not abstract political parties. Thank you.

Leahry:
This one is just a Tinubu supporter, Obi we know.

Obi you know pls note that

EtinosaDLaw:
Who be this one again? Are they now desperately shopping for endorsements?


Your projections have failed, Mr Aliyu. They are dead on arrival! The fact that you gave my State that is the spiritual home of the Obidient Movement to Atiku shows that you're not even in touch with reality. Peter Obi is a consuming fire in Edo State, you can't touch him here or anywhere else in the S.S for that matter!

I love his projection

FreedomfromtheT:
The presidency is different from local elections. The same way most people of the Southeast saw Goodluck Jonathan's presidency as theirs is the same way most people from the Southsouth see Peter Obi's incoming presidency God willing.
Apart from that, most people are voting for candidates not abstract political parties. Thank you.

Not true.a lot of ss people dislike ibos.moreover,okowa is on the ticket.people in ss are not moved by sentiments but by party structure

adee17:
If PDP wins in SS, comes second in SW and SE, and wins overall northern votes, Atiku then is the winner.

If they win north narrowly,come a distant 2nd in sw,come a distant second in se and win narrowly in ss,they will lose.tinubu needs to win massively in sw,share the north and bracket atiku in se/ss

naptu2:
Dr Aliyu Tilde is a well known writer, columist, blogger and academic. He is known for writing very controversial articles. He has worked with Premium Times and Daily Trust newspapers and has also served as a lecturer at the Abubakar Tafawa Balewa University, Bauchi.

Dr Tilde is a two-time commissioner for education in Bauchi State. He resigned from government in December to, in his words, "attend to a call of an associate who direly needs my services".



https://www.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02a5u4HAwu9fszYfwSdwQERFENUpiiCBD1vVmox7RKSkJdTNpPh3S7j2dFirxy7YLsl&id=100000958797853&eav=AfYr1d4XuafbfkvJMEjSM6WCjmzIkUHbHFc3_Py3wyz16U7NHp8LJSGbujknm7kYGXM&m_entstream_source=timeline&paipv=0

TINUBU will win BUT he might not win FCT

senatordave1:


Not true.a lot of ss people dislike ibos.moreover,okowa is on the ticket.people in ss are not moved by sentiments but by party structure

That is your wish.
If you think you can sow a seed of discord between the Southeast and their Southsouth neighbours who are merely seperated by political geopolitical divisions as to vote for a northern Muslim Fulani after what has happened in the last seven years, you must be joking.
I don't expect you to stop your divide and rule propaganda. It appears you are being paid for it.
By the way, who are S. S people? Are you referring to Ijaws, Kalabaris, Efiks, Yalas, Ogojas, Ibibios, Annangs, Ogonis, Urhobos, Isokos, Edos , Itsekiris, Esans or Igbos? Which tribe is S.S?

FreedomfromtheT:
That is your wish.
If you think you can sow a seed of discord between the Southeast and their Southsouth neighbours who are merely seperated by political geopolitical divisions as to vote for a northern Muslim Fulani after what has happened in the last seven years, you must be joking.
I don't expect you to stop your divide and rule propaganda. It appears you are being paid for it.
By the way, who are S. S people? Are you referring to Ijaws, Kalabaris, Efiks, Yalas, Ogojas, Ibibios, Annangs, Ogonis, Urhobos, Isokos, Edos , Itsekiris, Esans or Igbos? Which tribe is S.S?

Ijaws don't like igbos.

FreedomfromtheT:
ANAP result is not a projection. It is based on who the intending voters said they are voting for. So the ANAP polls that says Peter Obi is the preferred choice by most Nigerians is the one that is based on facts, not someone's opinions or wishes. Thank you.

You obviously need to go to back to school and learn what "Projection" is.

adee17:
My brother, we must be realistic in our projection unless we will be disappointed. SW people are very sophisticated set of people who always have independent opinions.
So, Tinubu may not get the bulk votes of yoruba notwithstanding he is a yoruba himself. A lot is working against him in the region. Apart from the sophistication of yoruba people, the government of Buhari is a disaster and it's making campaigns for APC in SW harder than usual. Ask those who are in the field, they will tell you. Oyetola, though
has his shortcomings, lost osun largely to Buhari misgovernance. Besides, some governors in the APC especially in ondo and ogun are not doing well according to street talks and it is making things harder. Lagos: if the voter suppression doesn't work, then Tinubu may win the state with not more than 200k votes. Ogun: APC will win but again with minimal votes. The governor performance is not helping matters. Oyo: PDP is strong in oyo irrespective of G5. Tinubu will win with marginal votes again.
Ekiti: Tinubu will win convincingly, however the total registered voters are small.
Ondo: PDP is strong in ondo, and coupled with Akeredolu second term performance, the state votes will be divided.
Osun: PDP may likely win osun or lose by less than 50k votes.
All these and Obi movement will decimate Tinubu votes (and Atiku
too) in SW. The only hope is the North. Let's wait and see till the end of January if Atiku momentum in the North will die off or peak. The problem of Tinubu is lack of strong foothold in other Southern States apart from SW as against Atiku who will have some serious votes in all the 6 regions.

I don't usually comment on nairaland politics because most opinions here are largely fueled by ethnic sentiments, party loyalty and insults but I had to comment on your post because you seems to understand politics deeply.

This election is atiku's own for taking and it is mostly dependent on his performance in the north and as opinion polls coming out from the north west and north east states he is obviously leading their. If atiku wins north west and north east then he has won the election because in the south east it is LP VS PDP, that is anywhere LP wins he will come second, South South South PDP will win it narrowly followed by LP and 3rd Apc, in the south west Apc will win but Apart from Lagos PDP will win at least one state in the south west and come 2nd in the rest apart from Lagos were he will come 3rd behind APC and LP. In the north central APC will win it narrowly because LP and PDP has divided their votes but PDP will still come 2nd over all with LP coming closely 3rd.

So if Atiku sustain the momentum he currently have in the North now then he has won the election. Atiku is the only candidate in this election that is sure of getting votes in every region, Peter obi tinubu and kwankwaso cannot boost of that. Most times people forget that in 2019 out of 17 southern states buhari only won 4 but he still won the election and despite buhari being a sitting president with osibanjo from south west as vice with the support of tinubu atiku still won 2 states in the south west, lost narrowly in osun with only 10000 votes. Remember in 2019 Oyo and Osun was under Apc but today it is under PDP. The mistake people make in this election is to underate atiku because of lack of social media noise. Next month will clear every doubts may God keep us alive

adee17:
My brother, we must be realistic in our projection unless we will be disappointed. [b]SW people are very sophisticated set of people who always have independent opinions.
So, Tinubu may not get the bulk votes [/b]of yoruba notwithstanding he is a yoruba himself. A lot is working against him in the region. Apart from the sophistication of yoruba people, the government of Buhari is a disaster and it's making campaigns for APC in SW harder than usual. Ask those who are in the field, they will tell you. Oyetola, though
has his shortcomings, lost osun largely to Buhari misgovernance. Besides, some governors in the APC especially in ondo and ogun are not doing well according to street talks and it is making things harder. Lagos: if the voter suppression doesn't work, then Tinubu may win the state with not more than 200k votes. Ogun: APC will win but again with minimal votes. The governor performance is not helping matters. Oyo: PDP is strong in oyo irrespective of G5. Tinubu will win with marginal votes again.
Ekiti: Tinubu will win convincingly, however the total registered voters are small.
Ondo: PDP is strong in ondo, and coupled with Akeredolu second term performance, the state votes will be divided.
Osun: PDP may likely win osun or lose by less than 50k votes.
All these and Obi movement will decimate Tinubu votes (and Atiku
too) in SW. The only hope is the North. Let's wait and see till the end of January if Atiku momentum in the North will die off or peak. The problem of Tinubu is lack of strong foothold in other Southern States apart from SW as against Atiku who will have some serious votes in all the 6 regions.

Brethren, you are contradicting yourself. You say patronisingly SW folks are "very sophisticated set of people who always have independent opinions" but the rest of your talk goes on to contradict that utterance distinctly.

If the Yorubas are sophisticated and independent thinkers then what makes you think they would then myopically lump Tinubu with Buhari's failure given that the world saw Buhari ostracize and exclude Tinubu from his government literally the minute he was sworn in?

Just show one piece of advise or policy directive from Tinubu that Buhari has ever accepted since he was sworn in. Just one will do.

It is people like you that make Nigeria tedious because one can always expect and even accept nonsensical talk from one of the many d1mw1ts here but it shows ethnicity, sectional/religious bias, recourse to sentiments and worship of parochial emotions is a big problem in Nigeria when even those ostensibly intelligent contradict themselves so horribly as you do to the extent of sounding illogical and vapid.

The Yorubas are itching to vote BAT. The many partisan action of Buhari that affected the SW detrimentally they know Tinubu had no hand in.

Yorubas, as the sophisticated voters they are, accept and know Nigeria is changing for good, such needs preparing for, and needs a very strong and authoritative President.

They won't reject Tinubu to vote another lame duck President, like Jonathan, in Obi who will be incapable of even birthing a single fundamental reform when many are needed.

They will reject Atiku soundly also because Buhari, as the current President, has not given a sound account of Fulani leathership any Fulani candidate can profit from.

Also, Atiku has personally not done enough either to be seen as different from Buhari. He even comes across as potentially worse. Trust me bro, even if you won't admit it, crystal clear you are biased, sentimental and perhaps even bigoted.

Tinubu 40-45% votes in the SW are you serious?

Attention
This comment is not meant to derail this thread.
Please if any of NL knows who bears Aremu Tunde Raheem, his Belgian international passport was mistakenly sent to a colleague of mine in Osun State from a source and we have been making all efforts to trace him since November 2022.

Likewise, if we have someone who is with a Bahamas passport, bearing Oluwafemi.T. A., kindly hit me up here so that I can collect the passport from you and also link you to the source where yours could be, if you are not Tunde.

Thanks a lot. I am using this medium as a last resort since all efforts to trace Tunde and someone with the Bahamas passport prove abortive.

ofemigeorge:
I dey suspect nairaland is in full support of APC.

I don dey study their media back to back front page display of these type of news.


Anyway obidients don't shout or talk too much.

We will display our determination by our vote, strategically.

Most APC supporters are fighting a tribalistic battle. But they know less it's not about tribe but person and ability.

Obi is not about Igbos ruling as they think , it's about who will stand out to rule with honesty and truth to know as our anthem calls

yes na , we don chase them from Twitter this is their home now. Even seun is a traditional bigot and Agbadorian! See his account on Twitter too looking like those female gospel singers from the early 90s

Where did you get 10 million votes? Dr.Tilde gave Obi 3.2 million total votes to Tinubu's 11 million. Or you're reading something else?Where did you get 10 million votes? Dr.Tilde gave Obi 3.2 million total votes to Tinubu's 11 million. Or you're reading something else?...

Rayjnr:


This is a preview based on statistics on ground, just like they analyse football match

statistics or assumptions, what instrument did he use? football analyst work with statistics and form, his is nothing but a wish.

This religious rodent is at it again giving unrelated prediction trying to play religious card. We know what he said about Deborah Samuel, how he sanction her killing. May God shame all of you together.

Dsalvo:


Brethren, you are contradicting yourself. You say patronisingly SW folks are "very sophisticated set of people who always have independent opinions" but the rest of your talk goes on to contradict that utterance distinctly.

If the Yorubas are sophisticated and independent thinkers then what makes you think they would then myopically lump Tinubu with Buhari's failure given that the world saw Buhari ostracize and exclude Tinubu from his government literally the minute he was sworn in?

Just show one piece of advise or policy directive from Tinubu that Buhari has ever accepted since he was sworn in. Just one will do.

It is people like you that make Nigeria tedious because one can always expect and even accept nonsensical talk from one of the many d1mw1ts here but it shows ethnicity, sectional/religious bias, recourse to sentiments and worship of parochial emotions is a big problem in Nigeria when even those ostensibly intelligent contradict themselves so horribly as you do to the extent of sounding illogical and vapid.

The Yorubas are itching to vote BAT. The many partisan action of Buhari that affected the SW detrimentally they know Tinubu had no hand in.

Yorubas, as the sophisticated voters they are, accept and know Nigeria is changing for good, such needs preparing for, and needs a very strong and authoritative President.

They won't reject Tinubu to vote another lame duck President, like Jonathan, in Obi who will be incapable of even birthing a single fundamental reform when many are needed.

They will reject Atiku soundly also because Buhari, as the current President, has not given a sound account of Fulani leathership any Fulani candidate can profit from.

Also, Atiku has personally not done enough either to be seen as different from Buhari. He even comes across as potentially worse. Trust me bro, even if you won't admit it, crystal clear you are biased, sentimental and perhaps even bigoted.

Tinubu 40-45% votes in the SW are you serious?

You went blabbing with coherent analysis the many advises that Tinubu gave to Buhari that he rejected. The last time I checked the only advice Tinubu publicly gave Buhari was during COVID-19 pandemic when he asked Buhari to print more money to cushion COVID-19 pandemic effect. Was that a good economy advise to print more money and some of you will come out to tell people Tinubu is brainy. Should everything be about money. Can you tell me any country that went printing more money during COVID-19 pandemic but your Tinubu made that advise to Buhari.
Another area that he suppose to advise Buhari was during Herdsmen attack in south west but he never even believed they were the ones, instead when they killed the daughter of Pa. Fasoranti, he went asking where are the cows. He gave no single advise but condemnation. Same he did during Oduduwa nation protest, condemning Sunday Igboho and the people with him. Everything about Tinubu is always self, anything that will not favour is political game is inconsequential and must not be talked about.
As hard as the economy is, Tinubu has not come out to led his voice about the dwelling economy and even sympathize with the people for the economy hardship people are passing through. The only person that always talked about the poverty on the land is Aisha Buhari and was even pleading with the people to bear with her husband because she feels the impulse of people.
If you also think south west will sheepishly carry all their votes and give to Tinubu, you're rightly deceiving yourself. If you know the anger in people against APC and Tinubu, you won't come here and write this nonsense you wrote. You see some people just keep quiet and not talk, they are waiting for the D-Day to vent their anger against the party. You think the only few people rally around him are the only people that will vote, your eyes will clear when results began coming out.
Tinubu will always think everything is politics. If truly he believes in the survival of the people, why does he keep mute when things are going haywire and not talk and even get angry for the sake of the people. The only people talking about the economy hardship of the nation are now the enemies of some of you today because you guys like playing politics with everything but God pass you people and it will reflect by next month.

IfnobeGod20:

You went blabbing with coherent analysis the many advises that Tinubu gave to Buhari that he rejected. The last time I checked the only advice Tinubu publicly gave Buhari was during COVID-19 pandemic when he asked Buhari to print more money to cushion COVID-19 pandemic effect. Was that a good economy advise to print more money and some of you will come out to tell people Tinubu is brainy. Should everything be about money. Can you tell me any country that went printing more money during COVID-19 pandemic but your Tinubu made that advise to Buhari.
Another area that he suppose to advise Buhari was during Herdsmen attack in south west but he never even believed they were the ones, instead when they killed the daughter of Pa. Fasoranti, he went asking where are the cows. He gave no single advise but condemnation. Same he did during Oduduwa nation protest, condemning Sunday Igboho and the people with him. Everything about Tinubu is always self, anything that will not favour is political game is inconsequential and must not be talked about.
As hard as the economy is, Tinubu has not come out to led his voice about the dwelling economy and even sympathize with the people for the economy hardship people are passing through. The only person that always talked about the poverty on the land is Aisha Buhari and was even pleading with the people to bear with her husband because she feels the impulse of people.
If you also think south west will sheepishly carry all their votes and give to Tinubu, you're rightly deceiving yourself. If you know the anger in people against APC and Tinubu, you won't come here and write this nonsense you wrote. You see some people just keep quiet and not talk, they are waiting for the D-Day to vent their anger against the party. You think the only few people rally around him are the only people that will vote, your eyes will clear when results began coming out.
Tinubu will always think everything is politics. If truly he believes in the survival of the people, why does he keep mute when things are going haywire and not talk and even get angry for the sake of the people. The only people talking about the economy hardship of the nation are now the enemies of some of you today because you guys like playing politics with everything but God pass you people and it will reflect by next month.

My friend gerrout from here. Ignoramus jati jati. Educated illiterate and bigoted riffraff always lying against Asiwaju. He never advised Buhari about herdsmen indeed. Olodo.

Were you out robbing when Tinubu gave the advise below and stated explicitly that "open grazing no longer tenable" Hatred and envy of Asiwaju will kill some of you.

Tinubu and Atiku to score more vote in the SS than Peter Obi?

Imagine score agreeing with an analysis that gave Tinubu and Atiku 1 million votes in Rivers state

Dsalvo:


My friend gerrout from here. Ignoramus jati jati. Educated illiterate and bigoted riffraff always lying against Asiwaju. He never advised Buhari about herdsmen indeed. Olodo.

Were you out robbing when Tinubu gave the advise below and stated explicitly that "open grazing no longer tenable" Hatred and envy of Asiwaju will kill some of you.

Mr. Man, of all I wrote the only one you could debunked was what he said for the establishment of ranching to curb farmer and herder clash. Please was Pa. Fasoranti's daughter a farmer or what? Common sense people say is not truly common. Herders that went to the highway robbering and killing travellers. Please what did he say when people said it was herdsmen that killed her? As he also apologize for saying it wasn't herdsmen that killed Pa. Fasoranti's daughter?
What did he also say about Sunday Igboho and what was his reaction to Oduduwa nation agitation?
What has he said about the excruciating poverty ravaging the nation? Instead he has already promised how he will increase the burden and transfer the inadequacy of government to the citizens by total removal of subsidy. Please is total removal of subsidy the problem or revamping the moribund refineries? Why is it so difficult for government to revamp the refineries but prefer to take crude oil abroad to refine? If those countries they are taking the crude oil to not functioning and clueless like Nigeria would they be able to take crude oil there? I expected every serious government and prospective candidate to be talking about how to rebirth the refineries and put them to optimal use but no, it is how to transfer burden to the citizens. Do you know the adverse effects the total removal of subsidy will cause? Our eyes will clear when it happens.
I say this without mincing words, Tinubu's regime will be worst than Buhari regime because he believes in keeping to the bureaucracy of government and that has not helped us as a country and the ordinary citizen. His government will be making the money and chop the money as they have been doing in Lagos for over 20 years. Until we get someone that will break the bureaucracy and bring back the government to the citizen, we will continue to do trial and error and the citizens will continue to be in penury.
Well, you can continue abusing me but truth cannot be a substituted for falsehood. If he thinks his personal ambition supersedes the collective ambition of the ordinary people, we shall see. Those that are complaining about the bad situations of the country and hoping for a better future, may God bless them and increase them and also pay them for what they think of the nation but those that think their ambition should be topmost priority to them, may shame be their rewards.

naptu2:
Dr Aliyu Tilde is a well known writer, columist, blogger and academic. He is known for writing very controversial articles. He has worked with Premium Times and Daily Trust newspapers and has also served as a lecturer at the Abubakar Tafawa Balewa University, Bauchi.

Dr Tilde is a two-time commissioner for education in Bauchi State. He resigned from government in December to, in his words, "attend to a call of an associate who direly needs my services".



https://www.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02a5u4HAwu9fszYfwSdwQERFENUpiiCBD1vVmox7RKSkJdTNpPh3S7j2dFirxy7YLsl&id=100000958797853&eav=AfYr1d4XuafbfkvJMEjSM6WCjmzIkUHbHFc3_Py3wyz16U7NHp8LJSGbujknm7kYGXM&m_entstream_source=timeline&paipv=0

He ended up saying rubbish...