senatordave1:


It won't.nw usually outvoted ss/se combined since 2011

Ogbuefi2020:

Yes, but three strong candidates will share it this time

senatordave1:


Whatever tinubu gets will outweigh obi in the south

mrvitalis:

I know you are not the brightest but since 2011 NW votes for 1 Candidate ...but now they would vote for 4 ( 3 majorly ) even if obi gets 5% of north west based on Kaduna and few Christian performance ...and his closest competition gets 40% that's a new of 35% ...there is no how 70% of south south won't beat 35% of North west

North east and south east have almost same number of voters ...

Obi needs 25% in South west and 30% of north central to win this election

id911:
Peter Obi of LP squashes everyone else in the South-South, Polls Show



Credit: BantuPage

Workch:
how do you reason?
Do you jusy spill thing out of your brain because you want to?

How is this realistic?

MikeofAfrica:


SE gave Atiku over 2 million votes in 2019 notwithstanding the low turn out. With ó turn out expected in 2023, Obi can get a block vote of at least 3 million from SE.

Assuming NW produces 7 million votes, none of Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwaso can get more than 2.5 million votes from NW.

Hence the influence of NW will be reduced in 2023.

senatordave1:


No.nw gave more votes than se/ss in 2011,2015,2019.obi bloc votes in se might be 1.5 mil in total,tinubu divided votes in nw might be 2 mil considering voting strength and turnout

MikeofAfrica:


NW gave Buhari block votes in 2015 & 2019.
However their votes will be divided into three in 2023 for APC, PDP and NNPP.

Hence a block vote for Obi in SE will be more relevant than NW votes in 2023.

senatordave1:


Not true,se gave atiku 1.5 million while ss gave him 2 mil.ne/nw gave him 3.5 mil equalling his tally in se/ss.
If obi get 3 mil in se,and 2 mil in ss,tinubu can get 3 mil in nw and 2 mil in ne cancelling out obi

toneroforever:


Kwankwaso is doing the Lord's work. As Tinubu gets more votes in the north,it reduces Atiku's. All Obi needs now is the 25% in 24 states. He will surely win the majority votes.

SharpD:

I don't think getting 25% in 24 states will be an issue either. Obi will get the required 25% in all SE, SS, SW and NC states totalling about 22 states. All he needs is 25% in two more states like Taraba, Nasarawa or Kaduna state and we are home and dry.

senatordave1:


Atiku votes in ne/nw in 2019 equalled his vote in se ss

Workch:
lol, you failed maths in school

senatordave1:


So 3.5 mil in ne/nw doesnt cancel 3.5 mil in se/se Mr brilliant kid?

codedguy1:


The reasonable, wise, liberal, exposed, sensible educated Yoruba votes that Obi will get will also make a difference.

You are underestimating the frustration in the land, especially in southern Nigeria.

Demolakay:


In 2015, Good luck got more Close to 5million votes from d south east alone. Soo wat are u saying?

Should d south East troop out en-masse nd vote overwhelmingly for Obi, d votes will definitely knock out any numbers from any of Tinubu, Atiku in d NW.

senatordave1:


So 3.5 mil in ne/nw doesnt cancel 3.5 mil in se/se Mr brilliant kid?

MICHEALADEX:
This is foolishness if you ask me

A pool without number of opinion sampled in persons wiether online of physical activity

senatordave1:


But obi will lose se,thats the key

Workch:
lets assume Atiku Wil get 40% of 1million votes in nw, 40% of 600k in northeast. Obi will get 60% of southsouth 800k southsouth votes and 75% of 500k southeast votes.

Atiku will end up with 660k votes while obi will get 855k votes.

That's to put things in perspective.

Southsouth has more voting strength than northeast.

Workch:
you still fail maths in school.

Workch:
Obi will lose SE, are you into comedy?

senatordave1:


It won't.nw usually outvoted ss/se combined since 2011

nzeobi:


Bvas will do the Lord's work in 2023 and the NW will be shared into 3

senatordave1:


It won't.nw usually outvoted ss/se combined since 2011