The North is usually feared due to high turnout and block vote

2011 Ribadu & Buhari divided the North vote with Buhari taking up to 60% but Goodluck won

2023: Atiku, Kwankwanso & Tinubu is going to divide the NE & NW votes.

Two simple questions

Who would win NE & NW total votes with at least 60% this year?

Can a divided NE & NW win the election for anybody this year?

Peter Obi is obviously winning. The odds are all tending to his favour.

1. Tinubu might get up to 50% Total vote from NE & NW [Probablity tho]

Ennoloa:
The North is usually feared due to high turnout and block vote

2011 Ribadu & Buhari divided the North vote with Buhari taking up to 60% but Goodluck won

2023: Atiku, Kwankwanso & Tinubu is going to divide the NE & NW votes.

Two simple questions

Who would win NE & NW total votes with at least 60% this year?

Can a divided NE & NW win the election for anybody this year?

No one among them all can win NE and NW with more than 35%.. Atiku and Kwankwaso are strong and tinubu is a strong contender too.. The three of them will decimate the vote of the regions with atiku win in NE with not more than 35% maximum and either of atiku or Kwankwaso winning NW with not more than 33%..kwankwaso in the election is really a disservice to atiku and tinubu and I'm sure they hate it very much.. Tinubu is the most at disadvantage though but time will tell

Ennoloa:
1. Tinubu might get up to 50% Total vote from NE & NW [Probablity tho]

U mean tinubu will have 50% and Atiku and kwankwasonwill share 45% among themselves?? Do you think that is even remotely possible?? Ask yourself and tell yourself the truth.. We can kid ourselves all we want but the truth is staring us in the face.. Tinubu made a big mistake with the Muslim Muslim ticket and I'm sure he will be regretting now.. Every great strategist fumble sometimes and this time for tinubu is not a great time to do so.. Tinubu can't even have 35% overall from NE and NW, it's not possible mathematically..

The north is never divided. You will learn with this election.

Ennoloa:
The North is usually feared due to high turnout and block vote

2011 Ribadu & Buhari divided the North vote with Buhari taking up to 60% but Goodluck won

2023: Atiku, Kwankwanso & Tinubu is going to divide the NE & NW votes.

Two simple questions

Who would win NE & NW total votes with at least 60% this year?

Can a divided NE & NW win the election for anybody this year?

Guy,are you ok at all? How did ribadu divide the north? He did not even get up to 10% in any northern state except kwara.please delete this rubbish

beejaay:

U mean tinubu will have 50% and Atiku and kwankwasonwill share 45% among themselves?? Do you think that is even remotely possible?? Ask yourself and tell yourself the truth.. We can kid ourselves all we want but the truth is staring us in the face.. Tinubu made a big mistake with the Muslim Muslim ticket and I'm sure he will be regretting now.. Every great strategist fumble sometimes and this time for tinubu is not a great time to do so.. Tinubu can't even have 35% overall from NE and NW, it's not possible mathematically..

Yes.tinubu can get 50%,atiku 35% kwankwaso 10%

garfield1:



Guy,are you ok at all? How did ribadu divide the north? He did not even get up to 10% in any northern state except kwara.please delete this rubbish

Oh really, can you compare the love the northerners have for Ribadu and Kwankwanso

Who do you think the Northerners would prefer if both of them are currently in ballot box?

beejaay:

U mean tinubu will have 50% and Atiku and kwankwasonwill share 45% among themselves?? Do you think that is even remotely possible?? Ask yourself and tell yourself the truth.. We can kid ourselves all we want but the truth is staring us in the face.. Tinubu made a big mistake with the Muslim Muslim ticket and I'm sure he will be regretting now.. Every great strategist fumble sometimes and this time for tinubu is not a great time to do so.. Tinubu can't even have 35% overall from NE and NW, it's not possible mathematically..

If Tinubu had chosen a christian vp from the north, he'd have been out of the race by now.

Forget about the optics, this election is Tinubus to lose.

Imams are preaching all over the north that:
1. Tinubu is not a complete Muslim and his vice is Kanuri (minority tribe) amidst Hausa&Fulanis.
2. Voting Kwankwaso is a waste of vote.
Frankly speaking, Tinubu will win Borno and Yobe only in the north.
Kwankwaso will get 45% in Kano, Atiku 40% and Tinubu 12%. Even in Kano, many people agree that Voting Kwankwasiyya is a waste.
Atiku will win north central because most people in searching for Reps and senators in PDP may vote for Atiku.
I am North Eastern OBIdient but lack of structures and support to create awareness to our people reduce the number of our followers.
I am saying nothing but the truth as North stands. Even in Yobe rally for APC that was held at Stadium along Maiduguri road, Damaturu was not full like Buhari's campaign in previous years.
Thanks

beejaay:

U mean tinubu will have 50% and Atiku and kwankwasonwill share 45% among themselves?? Do you think that is even remotely possible?? Ask yourself and tell yourself the truth.. We can kid ourselves all we want but the truth is staring us in the face.. Tinubu made a big mistake with the Muslim Muslim ticket and I'm sure he will be regretting now.. Every great strategist fumble sometimes and this time for tinubu is not a great time to do so.. Tinubu can't even have 35% overall from NE and NW, it's not possible mathematically..

I'm giving urchins hope.. The least Tinubu would see is 35-40%

Ennoloa:


Oh really, can you compare the love the northerners have for Ribadu and Kwankwanso

Who do you think the Northerners would prefer if both of them are currently in ballot box?

Even in Adamawa,ribadu is a nobody.he is another Ahmed datti

garfield1:


Even in Adamawa,ribadu is a nobody.he is another Ahmed datti

Answer the question little boi

Ribadu or Kwankwaso who would the northerner choose

Ennoloa:


Answer the question little boi

Ribadu or Kwankwaso who would the northerner choose

Kwankwaso kid

Ennoloa:


I'm giving urchins hope.. The least Tinubu would see is 35-40%

Who will dash Tinubu 40% in NE/NW?

Is Atiku and Kwankawaso a joke to you.

Obi will.even still get his small percentage too.

The NW and NE votes will be decimated in the next elections. No block votes for any one this time around. Moreover, BVAS will certainly reduce the outrageously high numbers we have seen in recent elections(go and check the 1993 elections and you will be shocked over the numbers from some of the same northern states with outrageously high numbers recently). We know that Incidence forms and underage voters contributed to this.

This time around, nothing.

beejaay:

U mean tinubu will have 50% and Atiku and kwankwasonwill share 45% among themselves?? Do you think that is even remotely possible?? Ask yourself and tell yourself the truth.. We can kid ourselves all we want but the truth is staring us in the face.. Tinubu made a big mistake with the Muslim Muslim ticket and I'm sure he will be regretting now.. Every great strategist fumble sometimes and this time for tinubu is not a great time to do so.. Tinubu can't even have 35% overall from NE and NW, it's not possible mathematically..

Exactly.....if Tinubu can't win the core north by a minimum of 51% to a maximum of 75%. Tinubu can't win the eelections.Tinubu needs to work

The druggie will win only Borno,Kwara and Yobe states in the North..

garfield1:


Yes.tinubu can get 50%,atiku 35% kwankwaso 10%

believe whatever make you sleep at night..

beejaay:


believe whatever make you sleep at night..

Ditto

Obi

The problem is this people below �

Everything looks like it’s favouring Nigeria’s favourite right now. Our prayers are being answered because underestimating the north when it comes to religion and tribal politics is like underestimating foolish people in thousands, they can cause havoc.

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The op sef....divided North, where Jonathan and PDP won some states in the North, check Borno in 2011...and the States he didn't win, he came second..having more than 25% in many!

The same Jonathan clearing Southwest states..

I pity anyone comparing 2011 elections as a divided North and an advantage to the South candidate with a new movement to predict 2023 elections.

For the umpteenth time, 2023 elections is between Atiku and Tinubu to lose...with Tinubu having a slight advantage. Nothing has changed.

I believe in miracles though..will like to see one in Nigeria s election

Yes

The Politics of Divide-And-Rule..
That's the major political problem we have in Nigeria.

North Here..
South Here.
South-South This,
North-West that..

Can a divided south win election

Can a divided house stand?