Welcome, Guest: Register On Nairaland / LOGIN! / Trending / Recent / New
Stats: 3,152,707 members, 7,816,908 topics. Date: Friday, 03 May 2024 at 07:55 PM

Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls (2893 Views)

INEC Begins Nationwide Display Of Preliminary Voters Register / Preliminary Investigation Report On Tolulope Arotile's Death / INEC Official Results For 2019 Presidential And National Assembly Elections (2) (3) (4)

(1) (2) (3) (Reply) (Go Down)

Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by garfield1: 11:06pm On Jan 14, 2023
South west
Ogun
Apc 400,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 50,000

Lagos
Apc 1.2 mil
Pdp 300_000
Lp 800,000

Ekiti
Apc 250,000
Pdp 50,000
Lp 10,000

Osun
Apc 500,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 50,000

Ondo
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 100,000

Oyo
Apc 700,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 100,000

South south
Cross river
Apc 200,000
Pdp 180,000
Lp 250,000

Akwa ibom
Apc 150,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 200,000

Rivers
Apc 200,000
Lp 500,000
Pdp 150,000

Bayelsa
Apc 180,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 50000

Delta
Apc 200,000
Pdp 400,000
Lp 250,000

Edo
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 400,000

South east
Anambra
Apc 30,000
Pdp 50,000
Lp 1.1mil

Enugu
Apc 60,000
Pdp 40,000
Lp 500,000

Abia
Apc 100,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 400,000

Imo
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 550,000

Ebonyi
Apc 150,000
Pdp 100,000
Lp 350,000

North central
Niger
Apc 400,000
Pdp 300,000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 50,000

Kwara
Apc 300,000
Pdp 70_000
Lp 30,000
Nnpp 10,000

Kogi
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 100,000
Nnpp 20,000

Nasarawa
Apc 200,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 200,000
Nnpp 50,000

Plateau
Apc 300,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 450,000
Nnpp 40,000

Benue
Apc 250,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 400,000

Fct
Apc 150,000
Pdp 140,000
Lp 200,000

North west
Sokoto
Apc 300,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 150,000
Lp 10,000

Kebbi
Apc 400_000
Pdp 300_000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 30,000

Zamfara
Apc 400,000
Pdp 100,000
Nnpp 150,000
Lp 3000

Katsina
Apc 500,000
Pdp 500_000
Nnpp 400,000
Lp 5000

Jigawa
Apc 350,000
Pdp 350,000
Nnpp 300,000
Lp 10,000

Kaduna
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 350,000
Nnpp 250,000

Kano
Apc 600,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 1 mil
Lp 100,000

North east
Borno
Apc 1 mil
Pdp 100,000
Nnpp 100_000
Lp 20000

Yobe
Apc 400,000
Pdp 100,000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 10,000

Bauchi
Apc 300,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 300,000
Lp 50,000

Gombe
Apc 200,000
Pdp 180,000
Nnpp 50,000
Lp 50,000

Taraba
Apc 200,000
Pdp 250,000
Lp 150,000
Nnpp 40,000

Adamawa
Apc 200,000
Pdp 500_000
Lp 100,000
Nnpp 50,000

Apc 12 mil pdp 9 mil lp 9.5 mil


Apc will win at least 50 senate seats,pdp will win at least 30 seats and lp at least 10 and nnpp 5.apc should win at least 150 rep seats and pdp 100,lp,50.


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Itstutsi
Frank
Noethnicity
Passungshot
Omenka
Kyase
Benuejosh
Kahal
Legendhero
Pakute
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Aufbauh(m): 11:14pm On Jan 14, 2023
Why are you dashing LP too many votes in the North west most especially in Kano?

Even when the PDP splinter cells were together 2019 they manage to get 19%.

Kano votes will be mainly share by Kwankwaso and Tinubu.
Atiku won't get up to 25% talk less of Obi having 100k votes.

10 Likes 1 Share

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by garfield1: 11:17pm On Jan 14, 2023
Aufbauh:
Why are you dashing LP too many votes in the North west?

How
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by donphilopus: 11:18pm On Jan 14, 2023
Aufbauh:
Why are you dashing LP too many votes in the North west?

Sometimes I think Garfield1 is working for Labour Party.

3 Likes

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Ennoloa: 11:21pm On Jan 14, 2023
So after a lot of Urchins call Igbos Osu's in your (Preliminary result you still expect them to give you 200,000 in Imo state ,100k in Abia

Keep on projecting smiley smiley smiley

21 Likes 1 Share

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by garfield1: 11:22pm On Jan 14, 2023
donphilopus:


Sometimes I think Garfield1 is working for Labour Party.

How? Guy,I prefer overrating than underrating my enemies to avoid surprises and defeat.obi is my 2nd choice though
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Hoelujohn: 11:22pm On Jan 14, 2023
Aufbauh:
Why are you dashing LP too many votes in the North west?
As they are no christians there and no ibos there too

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by mycar: 11:26pm On Jan 14, 2023
no fct grin
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Aufbauh(m): 11:31pm On Jan 14, 2023
Hoelujohn:

As they are no christians there and no ibos there too

And you think every Christians and all igbos will vote Obi? Just dey play.

7 Likes

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by garfield1: 11:31pm On Jan 14, 2023
Hoelujohn:

As they are no christians there and no ibos there too

Will all of them vote obi

2 Likes

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by ItsTutsi(m): 11:34pm On Jan 14, 2023
Most of northern state analysis are right, even tho u have inflated L.P. votes

2 Likes

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Kyase(m): 11:37pm On Jan 14, 2023
garfield1:
South west
Ogun
Apc 400,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 50,000

Lagos
Apc 1.2 mil
Pdp 300_000
Lp 800,000

Ekiti
Apc 250,000
Pdp 50,000
Lp 10,000

Osun
Apc 500,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 50,000

Ondo
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 100,000

Oyo
Apc 700,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 100,000

South south
Cross river
Apc 200,000
Pdp 180,000
Lp 220,000

Akwa ibom
Apc 150,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 200,000

Rivers
Apc 200,000
Lp 400,000
Pdp 150,000

Bayelsa
Apc 180,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 50000

Delta
Apc 200,000
Pdp 500,000
Lp 200,000

Edo
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 350,000

South east
Anambra
Apc 30,000
Pdp 50,000
Lp 1 mil

Enugu
Apc 60,000
Pdp 40,000
Lp 500,000

Abia
Apc 100,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 300,000

Imo
Apc 200,000
Pdp 170,000
Lp 450,000

Ebonyi
Apc 150,000
Pdp 100,000
Lp 300,000

North central
Niger
Apc 400,000
Pdp 300,000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 50,000

Kwara
Apc 300,000
Pdp 70_000
Lp 30,000
Nnpp 10,000

Kogi
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 50,000
Nnpp 20,000

Nasarawa
Apc 200,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 200,000
Nnpp 50,000

Plateau
Apc 300,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 450,000
Nnpp 40,000

Benue
Apc 250,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 350,000

North west
Sokoto
Apc 300,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 150,000
Lp 10,000

Kebbi
Apc 400_000
Pdp 300_000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 30,000

Zamfara
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Nnpp 150,000
Lp 3000

Katsina
Apc 500,000
Pdp 500_000
Nnpp 400,000
Lp 5000

Jigawa
Apc 350,000
Pdp 350,000
Nnpp 300,000
Lp 10,000

Kaduna
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 350,000
Nnpp 250,000

Kano
Apc 700,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 1 mil
Lp 100,000

North east
Borno
Apc 1 mil
Pdp 200,000
Nnpp 100_000
Lp 20000

Yobe
Apc 400,000
Pdp 100,000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 10,000

Bauchi
Apc 300,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 300,000
Lp 50,000

Gombe
Apc 200,000
Pdp 180,000
Nnpp 50,000
Lp 50,000

Taraba
Apc 200,000
Pdp 250,000
Lp 150,000
Nnpp 40,000

Adamawa
Apc 200,000
Pdp 500_000
Lp 100,000
Nnpp 50,000



Apc will win at least 50 senate seats,pdp will win at least 30 seats and lp at least 10 and nnpp 5.apc should win at least 150 rep seats and pdp 100,lp,50.


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Itstutsi
Frank
Noethnicity
Passungshot
Omenka
Kyase
Benuejosh
Kahal
Legendhero
Pakute


I don't agree with 60% of this prediction but I will wait till February 20th

1 Like

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Aufbauh(m): 11:39pm On Jan 14, 2023
garfield1:


How
I'd know you may be banking on non Muslim vote for Obi in your permutation.

Most of the time, you guys overrated the number of non Muslims in the core north.

In as much as there are other tribes in the core north aside hausas and fulanis, there are predominantly Muslims by faith and united in ideology.

Apart from Kaduna in the NW, no other state can guarantee a 25% non Muslim direction in the zone.

4 Likes

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by MrEverest(m): 11:43pm On Jan 14, 2023
Always posting garbage in the middle of the night.

Now you've posted this fake news, how will it change the fact that LP will win the coming election?

Spits!

12 Likes 1 Share

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by chinchum(m): 11:44pm On Jan 14, 2023
This is a very good analysis.

I believe PdP will have slightly more votes in Plateau, kwara, akwaibom, bayelsa, borno, adamawa and taraba. But will still lose.

My projection is 12.5million votes for Apc.
11 million votes for Pdp and 6.5 million votes for Lp. You were not far.

1 Like

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Tinubuadvocate: 11:47pm On Jan 14, 2023
Hiss .Incoherent.
donphilopus:


Sometimes I think Garfield1 is working for Labour Party.
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by garfield1: 11:52pm On Jan 14, 2023
Aufbauh:

I'd know you may be banking on non Muslim vote for Obi in your permutation.

Most of the time, you guys overrated the number of non Muslims in the core north.

In as much as there are other tribes in the core north aside hausas and fulanis, there are predominantly Muslims by faith and united in ideology.

Apart from Kaduna in the NW, no other state can guarantee a 25% non Muslim direction in the zone.

I didnt give obi 25% in any northwest state except kad.I don't see him getting above 10,000 except in kano and kaduna
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by garfield1: 11:53pm On Jan 14, 2023
Kyase:


I don't agree with 60% of this prediction but I will wait till February 20th

It is preliminary.by eve of elections,it will be clearer.
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by mbaboy(m): 12:48am On Jan 15, 2023
Garfield and mu mu analysis.

7 Likes

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by ednut1(m): 2:19am On Jan 15, 2023
No Total column
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by HIGHESTPOPORI(m): 2:27am On Jan 15, 2023
Same way you gave Andy Uba to win Anambra from your bedroom, at the end he didn't win one local govt kid

13 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Doyou2019: 2:59am On Jan 15, 2023
HIGHESTPOPORI:
Same way you gave Andy Uba to win Anambra from your bedroom, at the end he didn't win one local govt kid

grin grin grin

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by dustmalik: 3:02am On Jan 15, 2023
OP, your level of optimism is admirable. However, even as Jagaban supporter, i think you are way off.
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by ImmaculateJOE(m): 3:16am On Jan 15, 2023
Aufbauh:

I'd know you may be banking on non Muslim vote for Obi in your permutation.

Most of the time, you guys overrated the number of non Muslims in the core north.

In as much as there are other tribes in the core north aside hausas and fulanis, there are predominantly Muslims by faith and united in ideology.

Apart from Kaduna in the NW, no other state can guarantee a 25% non Muslim direction in the zone.
So how do 100k equals to 25% of 2.2m in Kano..?

Obi will score more than 100k votes in Kano, book mark it..


Again, you think no Muslim will vote the Christian/Muslim ObiDatti but you have so much hope that the Igbo Christians will vote heavily for the Muslim/Muslim BatShet..

Why are you an hypocrite...?

14 Likes 1 Share

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by ImmaculateJOE(m): 3:20am On Jan 15, 2023
garfield1:


I didnt give obi 25% in any northwest state except kad.I don't see him getting above 10,000 except in kano and kaduna
Goan check what GEJ got in Sokoto in 2015 despite the way the North was united in kicking him out then..

Obi's votes in Sokoto and Kebbi will surprise many..

10 Likes 1 Share

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by donphilopus: 7:20am On Jan 15, 2023
garfield1:


How? Guy,I prefer overrating than underrating my enemies to avoid surprises and defeat.obi is my 2nd choice though

grin cheesy Obi cannot surprise anyone.

North central is surer for Tinubu to win than northeast but most times you make it look like it's a battlefield. Lol
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by benuejosh: 7:20am On Jan 15, 2023
garfield1:
South west
Ogun
Apc 400,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 50,000

Lagos
Apc 1.2 mil
Pdp 300_000
Lp 800,000

Ekiti
Apc 250,000
Pdp 50,000
Lp 10,000

Osun
Apc 500,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 50,000

Ondo
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 100,000

Oyo
Apc 700,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 100,000

South south
Cross river
Apc 200,000
Pdp 180,000
Lp 220,000

Akwa ibom
Apc 150,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 200,000

Rivers
Apc 200,000
Lp 400,000
Pdp 150,000

Bayelsa
Apc 180,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 50000

Delta
Apc 200,000
Pdp 500,000
Lp 200,000

Edo
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 350,000

South east
Anambra
Apc 30,000
Pdp 50,000
Lp 1 mil

Enugu
Apc 60,000
Pdp 40,000
Lp 500,000

Abia
Apc 100,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 300,000

Imo
Apc 200,000
Pdp 170,000
Lp 450,000

Ebonyi
Apc 150,000
Pdp 100,000
Lp 300,000

North central
Niger
Apc 400,000
Pdp 300,000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 50,000

Kwara
Apc 300,000
Pdp 70_000
Lp 30,000
Nnpp 10,000

Kogi
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 50,000
Nnpp 20,000

Nasarawa
Apc 200,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 200,000
Nnpp 50,000

Plateau
Apc 300,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 450,000
Nnpp 40,000

Benue
Apc 250,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 350,000

North west
Sokoto
Apc 300,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 150,000
Lp 10,000

Kebbi
Apc 400_000
Pdp 300_000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 30,000

Zamfara
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Nnpp 150,000
Lp 3000

Katsina
Apc 500,000
Pdp 500_000
Nnpp 400,000
Lp 5000

Jigawa
Apc 350,000
Pdp 350,000
Nnpp 300,000
Lp 10,000

Kaduna
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 350,000
Nnpp 250,000

Kano
Apc 700,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 1 mil
Lp 100,000

North east
Borno
Apc 1 mil
Pdp 200,000
Nnpp 100_000
Lp 20000

Yobe
Apc 400,000
Pdp 100,000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 10,000

Bauchi
Apc 300,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 300,000
Lp 50,000

Gombe
Apc 200,000
Pdp 180,000
Nnpp 50,000
Lp 50,000

Taraba
Apc 200,000
Pdp 250,000
Lp 150,000
Nnpp 40,000

Adamawa
Apc 200,000
Pdp 500_000
Lp 100,000
Nnpp 50,000



Apc will win at least 50 senate seats,pdp will win at least 30 seats and lp at least 10 and nnpp 5.apc should win at least 150 rep seats and pdp 100,lp,50.


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Itstutsi
Frank
Noethnicity
Passungshot
Omenka
Kyase
Benuejosh
Kahal
Legendhero
Pakute

To say LP will win in Benue is just a dream in the pipe. LP is only known in the township areas and not the rural areas which dominate. So LP can win in Makurdi, Otukpo and maybe Gboko. And that’s all. LP can’t win other local government.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Obidient4life3: 7:36am On Jan 15, 2023
garfield1:
South west
Ogun
Apc 400,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 50,000

Lagos
Apc 1.2 mil
Pdp 300_000
Lp 800,000

Ekiti
Apc 250,000
Pdp 50,000
Lp 10,000

Osun
Apc 500,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 50,000

Ondo
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 100,000

Oyo
Apc 700,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 100,000

South south
Cross river
Apc 200,000
Pdp 180,000
Lp 220,000

Akwa ibom
Apc 150,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 200,000

Rivers
Apc 200,000
Lp 400,000
Pdp 150,000

Bayelsa
Apc 180,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 50000

Delta
Apc 200,000
Pdp 500,000
Lp 200,000

Edo
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 350,000

South east
Anambra
Apc 30,000
Pdp 50,000
Lp 1 mil

Enugu
Apc 60,000
Pdp 40,000
Lp 500,000

Abia
Apc 100,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 300,000

Imo
Apc 200,000
Pdp 170,000
Lp 450,000

Ebonyi
Apc 150,000
Pdp 100,000
Lp 300,000

North central
Niger
Apc 400,000
Pdp 300,000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 50,000

Kwara
Apc 300,000
Pdp 70_000
Lp 30,000
Nnpp 10,000

Kogi
Apc 200,000
Pdp 150,000
Lp 50,000
Nnpp 20,000

Nasarawa
Apc 200,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 200,000
Nnpp 50,000

Plateau
Apc 300,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 450,000
Nnpp 40,000

Benue
Apc 250,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 350,000

North west
Sokoto
Apc 300,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 150,000
Lp 10,000

Kebbi
Apc 400_000
Pdp 300_000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 30,000

Zamfara
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Nnpp 150,000
Lp 3000

Katsina
Apc 500,000
Pdp 500_000
Nnpp 400,000
Lp 5000

Jigawa
Apc 350,000
Pdp 350,000
Nnpp 300,000
Lp 10,000

Kaduna
Apc 400,000
Pdp 200,000
Lp 350,000
Nnpp 250,000

Kano
Apc 700,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 1 mil
Lp 100,000

North east
Borno
Apc 1 mil
Pdp 200,000
Nnpp 100_000
Lp 20000

Yobe
Apc 400,000
Pdp 100,000
Nnpp 100,000
Lp 10,000

Bauchi
Apc 300,000
Pdp 400,000
Nnpp 300,000
Lp 50,000

Gombe
Apc 200,000
Pdp 180,000
Nnpp 50,000
Lp 50,000

Taraba
Apc 200,000
Pdp 250,000
Lp 150,000
Nnpp 40,000

Adamawa
Apc 200,000
Pdp 500_000
Lp 100,000
Nnpp 50,000



Apc will win at least 50 senate seats,pdp will win at least 30 seats and lp at least 10 and nnpp 5.apc should win at least 150 rep seats and pdp 100,lp,50.


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Itstutsi
Frank
Noethnicity
Passungshot
Omenka
Kyase
Benuejosh
Kahal
Legendhero
Pakute


Absolute Trash!

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Mynd44: 7:45am On Jan 15, 2023
donphilopus:


grin cheesy Obi cannot surprise anyone.

North central is surer for Tinubu to win than northeast but most times you make it look like it's a battlefield. Lol
Peoole forget that Kogi, Kwara and Niger are In the North Central
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by Skooldeto(m): 7:46am On Jan 15, 2023
dey play
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by techWriter3: 8:13am On Jan 15, 2023
Garfield and mu mu assessment
Re: Preliminary estimated Results For 2023 Polls by donphilopus: 8:17am On Jan 15, 2023
Mynd44:

Peoole forget that Kogi, Kwara and Niger are In the North Central

Even Nasarawa Tinubu would win there. Aside Obi sharing the Christian votes with Atiku there, Tinubu has the backing of the former governors and the current governor.

2 Likes

(1) (2) (3) (Reply)

Cbn Wants To Convert Our Foreign Reserves To Chinese Yuan / Cross River Ppa Declares For Apga / Obasanjo Must Visit The Families Of All Those Killed By Boko Haram

(Go Up)

Sections: politics (1) business autos (1) jobs (1) career education (1) romance computers phones travel sports fashion health
religion celebs tv-movies music-radio literature webmasters programming techmarket

Links: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)

Nairaland - Copyright © 2005 - 2024 Oluwaseun Osewa. All rights reserved. See How To Advertise. 90
Disclaimer: Every Nairaland member is solely responsible for anything that he/she posts or uploads on Nairaland.