kay1one:
First pic: overall state of things
Second pic: Atiku
Third pic: Tinubu
Fourth pic: Obi.

Atiku can boast of 24 States of 25% but in overall numbers, Obi is leading cos Atiku's votes are divided between Kwankwaso and Tinubu.

Obi's margin of victory has thinned to 4% (down from 11% in November) so it is within the margin error of the poll. He is sure of 25% in 22 States currently but still gaining momentum.

Tinubu can only get the required numbers in (25%) in only 19 states.

16,335 respondents were sampled by using multi stage sampling techniques across the 36 States of the Federation and the FCT using computer assisted personal interviews.

Link for further analysis below.

http://234intel.com/politics/nigerian-presidential-elections-insights-report/

kay1one:


16,335 respondents were sampled by using multi stage sampling techniques across the 36 States of the Federation and the FCT using computer assisted personal interviews.

PlayerMeji:
Biafra or Death soon loading....!

Aufbauh:
Any poll that placed Atiku and Obi in first and second position respectively or vice versa is meant for trashcan.

Except for political neophytes, everyone should know that Atiku and Obi people are one and same. They can't vote two candidates at same time for same position so their numbers can't add up. Commonsense!

I reiterated that Tinubu will be the least popular candidate not to win an election that has Atiku and Obi on the same ballot.

They even gave Yobe to Atiku....Odiegwu!
A state that Atiku got 8% in 2019. Miracle poll.

kay1one:


So let's work with your reasoning: in 2019, the contest in Yobe was predominantly between Buhari and Atiku. Now that Buhari is not on the ballot, who will they vote for? Tinubu Abi? 😂🤣🤣

fredoooooo:
Clowns

Victorclean1:
Free and fair, PO wins

kay1one:


So let's work with your reasoning: in 2019, the contest in Yobe was predominantly between Buhari and Atiku. Now that Buhari is not on the ballot, who will they vote for? Tinubu Abi? 😂🤣🤣

onatisi:
you sef you get time, you keep trying to educate and enlighten some set of people who have voluntarily and willingly decided to be blind.
i don't even bother arguing with anyone saying tinubu or apc will win the presidential elections, it is absolutely useless and pointless

Workch:
Atiku is strong, very strong.
He have a lot of work to do in the north, we also need to encourage kwankwaso to do well there.
Tinubu is not my problem, Atiku is. Tinubu will be beaten like a baby, I don't see how he can win.

Tinubu cannot even conviniently win southwest, Imagine the amount of votes Atiku and Kwankwaso will steal from him there.

onatisi:
keankwanso is not even the problem of tinubu in the southwest, the major problem and obstacle is peter obi. boss, obi get a massive massive following in the southwest most especially among the Christians and youth. he will definitely not win and he knows that but he has already taken a large chunk of votes, which would normally have gone to tinubu if it is only Atiku vs tinubu. not to now talk of the east and south-south
there is a very good reason Atiku and PDP have decided not to beg wike or anyone in the south, obi has already damaged that area for APC. obi can never win in the north, he can't get the number of votes in the north like he would get in the south, but he has really tried

kay1one:


So let's work with your reasoning: in 2019, the contest in Yobe was predominantly between Buhari and Atiku. Now that Buhari is not on the ballot, who will they vote for? Tinubu Abi? 😂🤣🤣

Aufbauh:


Honestly some of you guys are not fit for the politics section going by your lack of basic political knowledge.

Yobe state has ever be an anti-pdp state right from 1999. A state occupied by predominantly Kanuris who have their own Shetima as a VP candidate to Tinubu, and with almost all their main political stakeholders in APC is not expected to vote for the APC according to your low analytic reasoning?

Even Atiku in his wildest dreams won't accept the offer of winning Yobe state. APC will have nothing less than 80% votes in Yobe state.

25 February is close so there's no need to educate you much.

Workch:
bro, Obi is winning this election. He has better chance than Tinubu.
I am looking at this data, I don't see why we should allow Atiku be getting 25%in Imo, Abia and Anambra when he cannot get it in crossrivers and Rivers state. We will work on that.

Atiku has a slight lead in TARABA, Obi is closely seocnd, we will work on that, Obi is also closlely second in Kaduna to Tinubu, we will work on that.

Don't underestimate us dude. Don't be surprised if Obi gets 25% Ondo, Osun and Kogi.

See. We have a working strategy that we are yet to unleash. PDP and APC will be shocked

onatisi:


boss don't raise ur hopes too high, look beyond the south, there is no way the local northerner on the streets of katsina ,sokoto,kano and co will leave kwankwanso and atiku then vote for peter obi , but if you believe it then let's wait and see.
but i know that the only two words on their mouths now is bamaiyi and kwankwansiya

Workch:
Nope, we don't need the extreme north to win. You are not getting it.
We only need to win or get at least 25% in Benue, Abuja, Plateau, Nasarawa, Kaduna , Taraba and Adamawa, kogi and then secure 25% in all sohthern state then obi will win. The northern Christians in these states I listed will give the votes.

We are not interested so much in Northwest state where Kwankwaso is already working by proxy for Obi to deplete Atiku and Tinubu votes.

We are not hoping to win Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, sokot, Borno and the likes, we don't even think we can get 25% there.

onatisi:
you don't seem to get the winning logic of elections. please let me explain.

you need to have the highest number of votes cast to win . but in order for the national spread out of the highest number of votes, you need to have 25% in 24 states.
so if you have 25% in even all 36 states but yet do not have the highest number of votes , the person may likely lose to someone who has the highest number and 25% in 24 states.
i hope I am right, if i am wrong please correct me .
this is the reason why some key states with high voters turnout are usually very very important . eg kano and rivers state also jigawa

onatisi:
you don't seem to get the winning logic of elections. please let me explain.

you need to have the highest number of votes cast to win . but in order for the national spread out of the highest number of votes, you need to have 25% in 24 states.
so if you have 25% in even all 36 states but yet do not have the highest number of votes , the person may likely lose to someone who has the highest number and 25% in 24 states.
i hope I am right, if i am wrong please correct me .
this is the reason why some key states with high voters turnout are usually very very important . eg kano and rivers state also jigawa

Workch:
Atiku will lose so much votes to Tinubu and Kwankwaso in the north that it will not be enough to nullify the bloc votes Obi will secure from SE and SS.

Obi will meet 25% coverage and still get the highest votes. Trust me.

If Obi is winning SS by 60% and SE by 70%, Atiku needs to win NW by 40% and NE by 65% to be able to get the same amount of votes as Obi.

Then the NC will now become the battle ground. Atiku is weak in the largest NC voting blocs of Plateau and benue, Obi will win there comfortably by virtue of religion.

Taraba in NE will be very close between both. The like of Kogi, Niger and kwara do not have huge voters, and Tinubu is also there to help deplete Atiku's votes. Obi will win Abuja.

Obi will end up having the highest amount of votes combined if you add his performance in SW where he will be seocnd.

Workch:
Atiku will lose so much votes to Tinubu and Kwankwaso in the north that it will not be enough to nullify the bloc votes Obi will secure from SE and SS.

Obi will meet 25% coverage and still get the highest votes. Trust me.

If Obi is winning SS by 60% and SE by 70%, Atiku needs to win NW by 40% and NE by 65% to be able to get the same amount of votes as Obi.

Then the NC will now become the battle ground. Atiku is weak in the largest NC voting blocs of Plateau and benue, Obi will win there comfortably by virtue of religion.

Taraba in NE will be very close between both. The like of Kogi, Niger and kwara do not have huge voters, and Tinubu is also there to help deplete Atiku's votes. Obi will win Abuja.

Obi will end up having the highest amount of votes combined if you add his performance in SW where he will be seocnd.