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Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll - Politics - Nairaland

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Voter Turnout: Nigeria Ranks World’s Second Worst Nation – Report / 2023 Polls: Favours Tinubu, As Another Powerful Southeast Governor Dumps Obi / 2019 Elections: Lagos records lowest voter turnout at 18%, Jigawa tops - Punch (2) (3) (4)

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Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by dre11(m): 1:08pm On Feb 07, 2023
“Peter Obi is Nigeria’s most popular presidential candidate and should win the presidential” election.

ADEFEMOLA AKINTADE


Alarge turnout of voters at the February 25 presidential election will pave the way for Peter Obi’s victory at the presidential election, says a poll conducted by Nigeria’s data intelligence provider, Stears.

The poll conducted on over 6,200 Nigerians placed Mr Obi of the Labour Party in the lead ahead of established candidates like Bola Tinubu of the ruling APC, Atiku Abubakar of the PDP and Rabiu Kwankwaso of the NNPP.

Mr Obi had 27 per cent of over 6,200 citizens declaring their support for his presidential ambition, Mr Tinubu had 15 per cent and Mr Abubakar had 12 per cent.

However, 37 per cent kept mute regarding their choice of candidates, leaving ambiguity as to which presidential andidate they would vote for.

Stears believes Mr Tinubu has the largest percentage of silent voters after the data intelligence provider assigned the undeclared voters to a candidate they were very likely to support.

Still, Stears states that Mr Obi had a sizable supporter base and that his election triumph depended on how many people came out to vote on electionday.

According to the poll using a high turnout scenario, Mr Obi would get 41 per cent of the votes, Mr Tinubu 31 per cent and Mr Abubakar 20 per cent.

“Even after including silent voters, Peter Obi holds a comfortable lead. In essence, the Stears electoral poll and prediction model affirms that Peter Obi is by far the most popular and desired candidate for the 2023 Presidential Elections,” said Stears in its report.

It added, “Having said that, to get a more realistic prediction of the outcome of the race, we can apply the same high and low turnout scenarios to our model predictions. When we do so, Peter Obi once again emerges triumphant in the high turnout scenario.”

“In the more realistic low turnout scenario, something significant happens: Tinubu usurps Obi,” the poll pointed out.

Mr Tinubu would take the lead by 39 per cent, followed by Mr Obi with 32 per cent and Mr Abubakar with 22 per cent.

Consequently, the Stears electoral poll stated that “Peter Obi is Nigeria’s most popular presidential candidate and should win the presidential ticket as long as Nigerians follow through on their stated intent to vote. But, if voter turnout looks similar to 2019, then Tinubu will win the election.”

https://gazettengr.com/obi-will-win-on-large-voter-turnout-low-turnout-favours-tinubu-stears-poll/

Nlfpmod
Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by Malory: 1:11pm On Feb 07, 2023
No wonder INEC staff underThiefnubbu's payroll are not giving the Obidients their PVC so as to render them ineligible to vote but he will fail woefully.
Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by AcuraZDX: 1:14pm On Feb 07, 2023
Okay.
Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by kozmokaz(m): 1:15pm On Feb 07, 2023
Na why I don’t mind sleeping close to my polling unit a day to the election
Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by Everfrank(m): 1:26pm On Feb 07, 2023
When the votes are cast, lost and won una eye go clear.
Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by brainint: 1:29pm On Feb 07, 2023
Am eagerly waiting to vote ObiDatti for a new Nigeria.

Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by Emmanuella00(f): 1:43pm On Feb 07, 2023
No doubt!
Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by socialmediaman: 1:43pm On Feb 07, 2023
We know. That’s why we’ve been calling on every OBIdient to make sure they come out and vote, and not sit at home saying PO will win

The thunder that will fire any OBIdient who collected their PVC but doesn’t vote on Election Day except on medical emergency, that thunder is still doing press up with bullion vans at Bourdillon
Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by yarimo(m): 1:52pm On Feb 07, 2023
Most popular on social media abi ? Obi that can't hold rallies in any part of south east state on Monday to show his popularity and acceptance from his people
dre11:

“Peter Obi is Nigeria’s most popular presidential candidate and should win the presidential” election.



https://gazettengr.com/obi-will-win-on-large-voter-turnout-low-turnout-favours-tinubu-stears-poll/

Nlfpmod


1 Like

Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by slivertongue: 1:57pm On Feb 07, 2023
Both will favour ObiDatti. A new NIGERIA is possible
Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by Indispensable85(m): 1:58pm On Feb 07, 2023
PDP is nowhere to be found. Lol...🤣🤣

1 Like

Re: Obi Will Win On Large Voter Turnout; Low Turnout Favours Tinubu: Stears Poll by Mynd44: 2:19pm On Feb 07, 2023

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