Welcome, Guest: Register On Nairaland / LOGIN! / Trending / Recent / NewStats: 3,153,320 members, 7,819,085 topics. Date: Monday, 06 May 2024 at 10:59 AM |
Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Likely Projections Based On PVC Collection Data Received By INEC (436 Views)
Opinion: 2023 Presidential Election Result Statistical Projections Based On Data / Fact Check: Tinubu Makes Fresh Claim On PVC Expiry Date, Is This True? / Atiku Arrives Abuja, Received By Ben Bruce And Other PDP Members (Pics) (2) (3) (4)
Likely Projections Based On PVC Collection Data Received By INEC by wonder233: 8:34am On Feb 24, 2023 |
>>> Total PVC Collected: 87,209,007 <<< - North-West: 21,445,000 (24.59%) Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Sokoto, and Zamfara. - South-West: 15,536,213 (17.81%) Ondo, Osun, Oyo, Ekiti, Lagos and Ogun. - South-South: 13,284,920 (15.23%) Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa, Cross River, Delta, Edo, and Rivers. - North-Central: 13,127,170 (15.05%) Benue, Kogi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger, and Plateau. - North-East: 11,937,769 (13.69%) Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba, and Yobe. - South-East: 10,419,484 (11.95%) Abia, Anambra, Ebonyi, Enugu, and Imo. - FCT: 1,476,451 (1.69%) - PROJECTED BREAKDOWN OF VOTES Northwest (24.59%) Atiku - 11% Tinubu - 11% Kwankwaso - 2.59% Southwest (17.81%) Tinubu - 7.81% Obi - 6% Atiku - 4% Southsouth (15.23%) Obi - 10% Atiku - 5% Atiku - 0.23% Northcentral (15.05%) Tinubu - 7% Atiku - 5.05% Obi - 3% Northeast (13.69%) Atiku - 6.5% Tinubu - 6.5% Obi - 0.69% Southeast (11.95%) Obi - 10.95% Atiku - 1% FCT (1.69%) Obi - 0.7389% Atiku - 0.4817% Tinubu - 0.4694% TOTAL OBI - 31.379% ATIKU - 32.982% TINUBU - 33.001% The race is too close to call and seems headed for a runoff between Tinubu and Atiku... If the north tilts heavily towards either of Tinubu and Atiku, that person proceeds to the runoff and the other automatically becomes 3rd behind Obi. If this result largely holds, but Southsouth turns up more for Obi than projected, he could leapfrog either of the other two and proceed to the run-off. |
Re: Likely Projections Based On PVC Collection Data Received By INEC by Belteshazzar1: 8:39am On Feb 24, 2023 |
E go shock una obi daddy will win 2 Likes |
Re: Likely Projections Based On PVC Collection Data Received By INEC by press9jatv: 8:40am On Feb 24, 2023 |
Atiku Abubakar wins February 25th presidential poll joor. All odds are in his favour joor |
Re: Likely Projections Based On PVC Collection Data Received By INEC by being(m): 11:07am On Feb 24, 2023 |
While your south analysis is quite reasonable, ur problem is d North. Tinubu cannot do half as good in the North (W&E). Forget about d governors. The core north is btw atiku & Kwankwaso with atiku having d major advantage. Even d north central favors Atiku & òbí more. It's likely an Atiku win on the first ballot. 1 Like |
Re: Likely Projections Based On PVC Collection Data Received By INEC by Trollronaldo: 11:14am On Feb 24, 2023 |
Tinubu can never have same number of votes as Atiku in northwest, stop dreaming |
Re: Likely Projections Based On PVC Collection Data Received By INEC by Apophenia24k: 11:18am On Feb 24, 2023 |
Obi is getting at least 2.4% in NW. Kaduna and Kano will give Obi that percentage. Kwankwoso will scatter that 11% you gave both APC and PDP so reduce it to 7-8% for them and that's where the problem comes in because you don't expect Tinubu to have high percentage in SW and equate Atiku in his own stronghold. Be reasonable and factual in your analysis.. |
Re: Likely Projections Based On PVC Collection Data Received By INEC by Felabrity: 11:20am On Feb 24, 2023 |
Looks fair |
(1) (Reply)
Kwankwaso’s NNPP Demands Immediate Cancellation Of Presidential Election / Tinubu Will Play Mr. Nice To Regain Your Trust In The Next 1yr. / See How God Answered The Prayer Of Peter Obi
(Go Up)
Sections: politics (1) business autos (1) jobs (1) career education (1) romance computers phones travel sports fashion health religion celebs tv-movies music-radio literature webmasters programming techmarket Links: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) Nairaland - Copyright © 2005 - 2024 Oluwaseun Osewa. All rights reserved. See How To Advertise. 10 |