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Polling Analysis So Far - Politics - Nairaland

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Polling Analysis So Far by sukkot: 8:46pm On Feb 25, 2023
So peter obi came out strong like a bull in the southern part of the country and from the analysis on the southern part of the country I think we can now assume that Atiku is no longer a factor however close on obis heels is asiwaju. Now the northern part of the country is almost 4 times the size of the southern part of the country and obi has hit a brick wall with the northern parts of the country where in over 10 polling booths he did not get a single vote so we can safely assume that this is the general sentiment towards obi in the whole north and so his initial momentum has ended and he is dead in the water and at the end of his race. Now also from the analysis of the north it appears that Atiku is not a huge favourite in the north also. He is abysmal in the north as he was in the south so I guess it’s safe to say he is out of the running too. Kwankwaso is strong in the north but was a no show in the south so he too appears to be out of the race which leaves the man was was abysmal but close on the heels of obi in the south but has started gathering heavy momentum in the north which is asiwaju. And from the looks of things in the north the constant in first or second place at all booths will be asiwaju and so from these Analysis we can safely see that the winner would be asiwaju

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by Solofresh2: 8:51pm On Feb 25, 2023
Either Tinubu or Obi is winning
Tinubu is narrowly ahead of Obi

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by YungMillionaire: 8:52pm On Feb 25, 2023
Even if Asiwaju wins the Yorubas in Lagos need to do a deep soul search. How can you abandon your son who faught the military for democracy (an act that nearly killed him and his family members) just to cast your vote for some new shinning object who tells you he is very clean? The same guy that was Atiku's VP not even up to 4 years ago? The same guy that runs from inquiry about endsars massacre (when he was governor) yet Tinubu is guilty for whatever happened in lekki 2 years ago (when he is 20 years out of office)? These 'sophisticated' Yorubas need to do a deep soul search.

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by sukkot: 8:56pm On Feb 25, 2023
Solofresh2:
Either Tinubu or Obi is winning
Tinubu is narrowly ahead of Obi
obi has hit a brick wall in the north

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by Solofresh2: 9:02pm On Feb 25, 2023
sukkot:
obi has hit a brick wall in the north
Dont conclude yet though
Abuja has voted massively for Obi and there are still some L.G.A in the north to cover

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by kkins25(m): 9:03pm On Feb 25, 2023
sukkot:
So peter obi came out strong like a bull in the southern part of the country and from the analysis on the southern part of the country I think we can now assume that Atiku is no longer a factor however close on obis heels is asiwaju. [b]Now the northern part of the country is almost 4 times the size of the southern part of the country [/b]and obi has hit a brick wall with the northern parts of the country where in over 10 polling booths he did not get a single vote so we can safely assume that this is the general sentiment towards obi in the whole north and so his initial momentum has ended and he is dead in the water and at the end of his race. Now also from the analysis of the north it appears that Atiku is not a huge favourite in the north also. He is abysmal in the north as he was in the south so I guess it’s safe to say he is out of the running too. Kwankwaso is strong in the north but was a no show in the south so he too appears to be out of the race which leaves the man was was abysmal but close on the heels of obi in the south but has started gathering heavy momentum in the north which is asiwaju. And from the looks of things in the north the constant in first or second place at all booths will be asiwaju and so from these Analysis we can safely see that the winner would be asiwaju
You guys keep clumping the most diverse group of people in the north under the umbrella "north." The middle belt, is divided into two, Muslim-dominated north and Christian-dominated south. There are Christian towns in Kaduna where you wouldn't see a single hausa or fulani Muslim and likewise for Muslim towns. Kaduna, Kano, Jos, Kogi, are large population-density areas that have a north and south partition(maybe not so much for kano). Even in regions of the far north there are densley populated christian communities that count into hundred of thousands.

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by sukkot: 9:04pm On Feb 25, 2023
YungMillionaire:
Even if Asiwaju wins the Yorubas in Lagos need to do a deep soul search. How can you abandon your son who faught the military for democracy (an act that nearly killed him and his family members) just to cast your vote for some new shinning object who tells you he is very clean? The same guy that was Atiku's VP not even up to 4 years ago? The same guy that runs from inquiry about endsars massacre (when he was governor) yet Tinubu is guilty for whatever happened in lekki 2 years ago (when he is 20 years out of office)? These 'sophisticated' Yorubas need to do a deep soul search.

lol truly I don’t even think it’s that. You see the yorubas have just become too sophisticated for their own good. A Yoruba man would look down on someone in a queue waiting in the sun sweating and in the midst of lowly people and so the typical Yoruba man would not come out to vote because you don’t want your friends to see you sweating in a queue . However the igbos in Lagos usually don’t have family here and don’t care about the class or social structures of Lagos. They don’t mind sleeping at the voting booth for two days and looking all rough because they know they are just in Lagos to hustle and they have nobody to impress here. This is why there were not many Yoruba voters but tonnes of igbo voters.

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by babyfaceafrica: 9:05pm On Feb 25, 2023
sukkot:
obi has hit a brick wall in the north

He wasn't going to win there unfortunately. Obi team relied on the minority Christian which won't be enough. The should have done better

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by sukkot: 9:07pm On Feb 25, 2023
Solofresh2:
Dont conclude yet though
Abuja has voted massively for Obi and there are still some L.G.A in the north to cover
abuja is multi-tribal like lagos
Re: Polling Analysis So Far by sukkot: 9:13pm On Feb 25, 2023
babyfaceafrica:


He wasn't going to win there unfortunately. Obi team relied on the minority Christian which won't be enough. The should have done better
well he came out swinging real hard so if he goes down he has nothing to be ashamed about. Their downfall was their treatment of the Muslim Muslim ticket like Islam is a form of leprosy when almost everybody up north is Islam. Also his showing up in every church in the land did not sit well with northern Muslims. So they punished hiM at the Voting booth

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by sukkot: 9:21pm On Feb 25, 2023
kkins25:
You guys keep clumping the most diverse group of people in the north under the umbrella "north." The middle belt, is divided into two, Muslim-dominated north and Christian-dominated south. There are Christian towns in Kaduna where you wouldn't see a single hausa or fulani Muslim and likewise for Muslim towns. Kaduna, Kano, Jos, Kogi, are large population-density areas that have a north and south partition(maybe not so much for kano). Even in regions of the far north there are densley populated christian communities that count into hundred of thousands.
north is north

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by Northernblood8(m): 9:29pm On Feb 25, 2023
Keep on talking and replying yourself like a mad man, it won't stop Obi from winning

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by Spandau: 11:48pm On Feb 25, 2023
sukkot:
north is north
That's what they want you to think.

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by OmoFiditi: 11:51pm On Feb 25, 2023
These urchins have opened a consolation thread. Thiefnubuu is NEVER going to be president. Take it from me.

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by Ogbuefi2020: 11:52pm On Feb 25, 2023
You will soon find out that someone can win without core north. Yorubas made you people feel important

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by TrueNigerian300: 11:55pm On Feb 25, 2023
YungMillionaire:
Even if Asiwaju wins the Yorubas in Lagos need to do a deep soul search. How can you abandon your son who faught the military for democracy (an act that nearly killed him and his family members) just to cast your vote for some new shinning object who tells you he is very clean? The same guy that was Atiku's VP not even up to 4 years ago? The same guy that runs from inquiry about endsars massacre (when he was governor) yet Tinubu is guilty for whatever happened in lekki 2 years ago (when he is 20 years out of office)? These 'sophisticated' Yorubas need to do a deep soul search.


Very apt they are forming wokeness and liberalism.

3 Likes

Re: Polling Analysis So Far by tctrills: 11:59pm On Feb 25, 2023
sukkot:
lol truly I don’t even think it’s that. You see the yorubas have just become too sophisticated for their own good. A Yoruba man would look down on someone in a queue waiting in the sun sweating and in the midst of lowly people and so the typical Yoruba man would not come out to vote because you don’t want your friends to see you sweating in a queue . However the igbos in Lagos usually don’t have family here and don’t care about the class or social structures of Lagos. They don’t mind sleeping at the voting booth for two days and looking all rough because they know they are just in Lagos to hustle and they have nobody to impress here. This is why there were not many Yoruba voters but tonnes of igbo voters.
When would this your foolish tribalism end. So not voting is considered as sophistication in Yoruba land right? You are insulting the intelligence of your people but you don't realize.

2 Likes

Re: Polling Analysis So Far by PoloG: 1:45am On Feb 26, 2023
YungMillionaire:
Even if Asiwaju wins the Yorubas in Lagos need to do a deep soul search. How can you abandon your son who faught the military for democracy (an act that nearly killed him and his family members) just to cast your vote for some new shinning object who tells you he is very clean? The same guy that was Atiku's VP not even up to 4 years ago? The same guy that runs from inquiry about endsars massacre (when he was governor) yet Tinubu is guilty for whatever happened in lekki 2 years ago (when he is 20 years out of office)? These 'sophisticated' Yorubas need to do a deep soul search.

i swear lagos yorubas na fools them be....
if i be tinubu, if i win, i go deal with them small angry

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Re: Polling Analysis So Far by MartinCorridon: 2:21am On Feb 26, 2023
APC is leading clearly. Don't know where you saw different.

LP is surprisingly in 2nd place. PDP isn't doing so good.
Re: Polling Analysis So Far by Thegamingorca(m): 3:48am On Feb 26, 2023
sukkot:
well he came out swinging real hard so if he goes down he has nothing to be ashamed about. Their downfall was their treatment of the Muslim Muslim ticket like Islam is a form of leprosy when almost everybody up north is Islam. Also his showing up in every church in the land did not sit well with northern Muslims. So they punished hiM at the Voting booth



You don't know the facts

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