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PoliticsRe: How Buhari Can Decisively Defeat Niger Delta Avengers. by Aura2(f): 12:44pm On Jun 03, 2016
hedonistic:
Mr Man mechie onu gi dia. You don't have any point. We're talking about Nigeria's primary cash cow/revenue source (oil production) and you're talking about national assets in other regions. Which yeye national assets? How much do these other "national assets" generate daily for the country?

I stand 100% behind the Avengers. A Fulani idiot cannot be arrogantly using the Niger Delta's resources to intimidate its people and perpetuate a Northern agenda. Scatter the whole oil infrastructure and bring the country to a halt. Anything is better than having this Fulani maggot at the helm who is treating Fulani Herdsmen with kid gloves while huffing and puffing over sons of the Niger Delta and Biafra.

When Jonathan was there, they forced him out under the guise that it is not by force for him to remain in power. That he should leave the seat to save Nigeria. By that same token, it is not by force for Buhari to remain in power. Let him get lost if he really loves Nigeria. But if he chooses to remain there, then he must receive common sense and learn how to govern a complex country like Nigeria through inclusive practices, compromise, concessions, and a willingness to continuously engage the stakeholders of the part of the country that generates all the wealth.

Nonsense.
PoliticsRe: How Buhari Can Decisively Defeat Niger Delta Avengers. by Aura2(f): 12:14pm On Jun 03, 2016
nwanna89:
ND avengers are a faceless group. So even if they send 10 million soldiers to the niger delta, they wont fish out the avengers. The avengers are not militants. They have no camps. Probably do not carry weapons around either.

My theory is that they are probably using small armed drones to blow the pipelines or Tompolo had already rigged all our pipelines with remote controlled explosives during his years carrying out pipeline surveillance.

I pray for quick solution to this problem though
More like it, the detonations are done remotely, if the army can acquire EM jammers, the bombings will come to an end.
PoliticsRe: How Buhari Can Decisively Defeat Niger Delta Avengers. by Aura2(f): 12:09pm On Jun 03, 2016
bishopkay:
Well there's a reason you guys are called zombies. Move 80% of naval assets there...what happens to other water ways of the country?

Currently the navy even have their hands full in the Chad basin and you want to deploy al assets there; Do that and watch the nation's sovereignty breached.

Food for thought...did moving d military high command to maiduguri stop BH? There are better ways for solving such issues and like the saying goes...kill a tree at the root not the branches.

Believe me when I tell u the creeks are currently under a state of emergency.
There are patrol troops, check points on the high seas, there's a ban on 200hp engine boats etc

So stop saying what you don't know

Modified :
Good Lawd you even put borrow from China to fund budget for two years. Jeez! Ur case is a pitiable bisma bisma in honourable Patrick's voice grin grin
Pitiably abysmal
PoliticsRe: How Buhari Can Decisively Defeat Niger Delta Avengers. by Aura2(f): 12:05pm On Jun 03, 2016
Donjazzy12:
First off, Niger Delta Avengers is a creation of Tompolo tacitly supported by Jonathan. The whole idea is to force Buhari to come to the negotiation table and FG to abandon the legitimate case of graft it has against them.
PROS: If Buhari succumbs to this blackmail, the fight against corruption dies a natural death, militants becomes policy makers etc.Pipelines are safe.
CONS: If he fails to succumb, bombing of pipelines continue.
In a nutshell, this is what he must do.
1, Declare state of emergency in the affected LGA's. Push 80% of our Naval assets and some Helicopter gunships there. 2, Borrow from China to run budget for two years. 3, Never acknowledge or ever grant further amnesty to them. 4 Make an announcement anyone who habors Tompolo or any Avenger will have their houses demolished.
Watch as the idiotic militancy dies down in less than a year.
AVENGERS IS IPOB-IPOB IS AVENGERS, thank me later!!
PoliticsRe: South-East Capital Projects In 2016 Budget by Aura2(f): 12:02pm On Jun 03, 2016
tbaba1234:
Most of the Infrastructural development is funded with loans but the vandalism will limit the level of success.
Naa your creditor isn't stvpid, if the security challenge will impede his chances of recuping his projected ROI, he sure not gonna release the money.
Why do you think we haven't heard from the Chinese since the swap deal was reached?
PoliticsRe: South-East Capital Projects In 2016 Budget by Aura2(f): 10:11am On May 31, 2016
tbaba1234:
This is not an exhaustive list but it covers some of the most important projects

Concession Of 2nd Niger Bridge In Anambra And Delta States Including Payment Of Compensation And Consultancy : #13,136,816,518
Rehabilitation Of Enugu-Port Harcourt Dual Carriageway Section I: Lokpanta-Umuahia In Abia State C/No. 6208 : #2,774,495,649
Rehabilitation Of Enugu-Port Harcourt Dual Carriageway Section Ii: Lokpanta-Umuahia In Abia State C/No. 6209 : #1,734,059,780
Enugu-Onitsha Road-Enugu-Anambra State C/No. 6266- #5,468,119,561
Nenwe-Oduma-Uburu With Spur To Ishiagu Mile 2 - #2,167,574,725
Oji-Achi-Awgu-Ndeaboh Mpu-Okpanku-Akaeza Road In Enugu And Ebonyi States Section Ii - #1,134,059,780
Oji-Achi-Awgu-Ndeaboh Mpu-Okpanku-Akaeza Road In Enugu And Ebonyi New States Section I - #700,630,214
Rehabilitation Of Akpasha Omuatugbemuo Obuaffi Amodu Road In Enugu State: #300,000,000
Construction Of Oji-Achi-Mmaku Awgu Road-Obeagu-Ugbo, Enugu State New C/No. 6269 - 648,082,948
Ugwueme-Nenwenta-Nkwe-Ezere-Awgunta-Obeagu-Mgbidi-Mmaku Road Project - 262,736,330

Completion Of Construction Of A Mausoleum And Library Complex In Honour Of Late Rt. Hon. Dr Nnamdi Azikiwe: #914,860,046
Provision Of Furnishings In The New Mausoleum And Library Complex In Honour Of Late Rt. Hon. Dr Nnamdi Azikiwe: #110,041,625

Provision Of Solar Powred Light At Ezeagu In Enugu State, Outstanding New Liability: 54,731,490
Construction Of Roads At Osumenyi, Anambra State, Outstanding Liability: 96,705,600
Provision Of Solar Powered Light At Nnewi South Lga, Anambra State, New Outstanding Liability: 44,120,877
Provision Of Solar Powered Light At Udi Lga, Enugu State State, New Outstanding Liability: 65,645,097
Provision Of Solar Powered Light At Oji-River Lga, Enugu State State, New Outstanding Liability: 116,800,688
Provision Of Solar Powered Light At Awgu Lga, Enugu State, Outstanding New Liability: 257,604,420
Rehabilitation Of Orie Nguru Umuaga-Umukabia Road, Ngor Okpala, Imo State: 55,000,000
Rehabilitation Of Umudim Junction, Ohekelem Road, Ngor Okpala, Imo State: 60,000,000
Erosion Control Works At Egbelu Nguru-Umuoye Road, Ngor Okpala, Imo State: 100,000,000
Erosion Control Works At Ekeisu-Nkwoala Umuoye Enyiogugu Road, Aboh Mbaise/Ngor Okpala Federal Constituency, Imo State: 100,000,000
Erosion Control Works At Ihitte Junction To Afor Umuahiagu Market Road, Imo State: 50,000,000
Construction Of Workshop/Classrooms Blocks For Nnorie Sec Tech Sch, Nnorie, Ngor Okpala, Imo State: 50,000,000

Solar Street Lights In Udabor-Umuleri: 15,000,000
Provision Of Solar Street Lights From Afor Otisi (Alaenyi Ogwa) To Umueze, From Eziogbaku To Umuekpu : 20,000,000
Solar Street Lights In Umuanebe, Agbogugu, Enugu West Senatorial: 50,000,000
Rural Electrification Of Uhuana, Ozala, Umuobi, Ezeadam Isioji Ogwuma In Aguata Lga, Anambra State: 23,000,000
Coal To Power Generation Development In Nigeria In Enugu And New Gombe/Benue/Kogi : 234,979,698

Completion Of Enugu - Abakaliki Road In Enugu/Ebonyi States: 23,479,882
Output Performance Road Contract(Oprc) For Enugu -Abakaliki/ Mbok - Ikom Road: 64,000,000



Source: http://www.budgetoffice.gov.ng/pdfs/2016app/Works%20Power%20Housing.pdf
How will that be achieved when the govt source of funding is being depleted by willful acts of sabotage?
PoliticsRe: Invasion Of Gbaramatu Kingdom An Act Of Cowardice – Niger Delta Avengers by Aura2(f): 9:08am On May 31, 2016
“The question is, why the innocent people of Gbaramatu, why the innocent pregnant women, why unleash terror on the aged people of Gbaramatu, Capt. Hosa, Major Yahaya, Ayiri and Brid. Gen Faruk must you waste all these innocent blood just to secure the pipeline surveillance job? Why making the innocent people of Gbaramatu suffer? This act of the Nigerian Army to us is the greatest act of cowardice. This fight we believe is against the Avengers and not the innocent villagers of Gbaramatu Kingdom.
You bomb pipelines where the gbaramatu people feed from, pollute their waters and still think you are doing them a favor, if you claim you have issues with the govt, why not take your agitation to Abuja?
You can not take it to Abuja because you guys are the bigger cowards!!
PoliticsRe: Niger Delta Avengers Unveils Currency by Aura2(f): 4:19pm On May 27, 2016
CSTR6:
STFU.
You obviousy don't realize i was trying to humour myself with you. Ondo has 40 billion in 70 billion barrels reserves of the Nigerian state?haha. That is an unforgivable blunder.
In Nigeria, reserves is directly proportional to production. It does not make sense to have all the crude and not want to earn 13% derivation on it.
Even the official govt statistics on oil reserves in Nigeria does not attach that much importance to ondo as a major reserve state because it is not. It all exists in your ewedu addled imagination.
Heavy and light crude?lol. It seems you like introducing concepts you have very little knowledge of.
What a waste!!
PoliticsRe: One-Year In Office: My Biggest Shock - Buhari by Aura2(f): 3:46pm On May 27, 2016
This guy could have seized power since 83 with utmost tyranny, format it for 20yrs then hand it over to the present political misfits we have now, so unfortunate, Buhari is Nigeria's biggest loss and regret.
PoliticsRe: Buhari Must Use Force To Destroy The Niger Delta Avengers, Not Dialogue by Aura2(f): 3:23pm On May 27, 2016
mrkayusfit:
angry By now the Niger delta skies ought to be filled with helicopters and bomber Jets from the Nigerian airforce so they can do reconnaissance and possibly eaves drop on the militants by monitoring their communications and movements . I guess this loads of problems included in their silly demands started on may 29 2015 after swearing Buhari into power?? Or what's the reason for their current madnesshuh When GEJ their fellow Niger deltan ruled for 6 years what efforts did he make to better the lives of the average Niger deltan? Instead he made tompolo and the likes of asari billionaires at the detriment of poor Niger deltans who have no drinking water. Buhari's first action was to order a $1bn clean up of the Niger delta starting from ogoni land after been sworn in. U people remained quiet for 6yrs since GEJ na your son and hero of corruption. Now you are ranting like a baby as if other regions in nigeria live better than you people. The government failed us all as Nigerians. We all don't have constant electricity, no good roads, graduate without jobs, no potable water, no welfare package and other problems scattered in every region due to failed leadership. We are not better than the average Niger deltan. Over 95% of Nigerians live in abject poverty while the elites from every region sit on national wealth. If we all face this problems nationwide how are we better off? The avengers are another group out to get its share of the National cake. Once the government calls them to the table and settle them with amnesty and they become billionaires like the tompolo's, they cease fire and the problems they lament about remains. Anyone who think those thugs care about Niger delta and it's environment needs to have his head examined. All they want is money, it has always been the reason for agitations in the past. Forget their silly demands. If they love the Niger delta so much they won't degrade it further by bursting pipes and bombing of facilities with which all Nigerians and Niger deltans survive with. Every Niger delta state receives monthly allocation from the FG which your governors use to pay workers and develop their states. The actions of these vagabonds makes your land poisonous for farming, your fishes and aquatic life will not survive. Your economy will be crippled and the after effects will make the non salary payment situation in bayelsa state look like a child's play. The problem of the Niger delta is the man standing in front of the mirror. Every one of u shares the blame because of the our OYEL mentality wink These ragtag militants from the 5% region should not be allowed to hold the country to ransom. Buhari should give a shoot at sight order to the military so the avengers can pee in their pants. if not for the innocent people living in the Niger delta, I would have recommended a total leveling of the region if necessary. Nnamdi kanu is the architect of these presents predicaments. He was beating the drums of war and encouraging rebellion on his treasonous radio before been locked up like a mere church rat. The useless Biafra the IPOB are demanding is an attempt to dominate the Niger delta resources in future. We will not let it happen. Nigeria shall remain one till the earth seize to exist. We the SW and core North are the only region not disturbing the peace of Nigeria at the moment . The 5% people are just a pain in our asses. angry

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More like it, Niger deltans have never projected Igbo interest or sentiment since 1967, it is unconvincing that a Niger delta group will demand the release of an oil less umuahia man, Nnamdi kanu.
Go to their site and see how they write ijaw names and facilities, these guys are IPOB for sure.
I just wonder why Niger delta warriors will allow IPOB to be decimating their land. It is unheard of, the shame is on Niger delta youths before the Nigerian government.
Avengers = IPOB, IPOB = Avengers.
PoliticsRe: Mohammed Babandede Decorated As Immigration Comptroller-General by Aura2(f): 4:56pm On May 26, 2016
Decorating you isn't the problem, your ability to put to stop these herdsmen murderers that walk unfettered through the borders is the real challenge
PoliticsRe: Fuel Scarcity Looms As Marketers ‘doublecross’ FG After Price Hike by Aura2(f): 4:37pm On May 26, 2016
chigoizie7:
U really don't get it do u? There isn't enough forex by black markets to see to all their needs. U really have to maintain the BOP, u don't want it in deficit. So, u can't get more than what we have as external reserve.

If u understand the principles of balance of payment, then u will understand what I meant.
Very few Nigerians understand what you just wrote, the rest are busy rubbing their heads with tribalistic juice.
perhaps because Nairaland has been invaded by minors, its difficult so see people who have basic knowledge here let alone a complex one.
wait till you receive a mention on this statement you made, you go talk tire
PoliticsRe: Fuel Scarcity Looms As Marketers ‘doublecross’ FG After Price Hike by Aura2(f): 4:18pm On May 26, 2016
Goke7:
Ok, who went to the Finance Minister to complain that they need fx from CBN to import PMS? Ghosts I suppose too, Madam I repeat if the business is as strenuous as you are spreading to everyone here, those marketers will delve into other businesses to reduce their bp, no be by force to import petrol nah.
So if you are capital oil that owns a multi billion dollar Depot, the biggest in the country, you will convert it to a mortuary to delve into another business right?
PoliticsRe: Fuel Scarcity Looms As Marketers ‘doublecross’ FG After Price Hike by Aura2(f): 3:33pm On May 26, 2016
Goke7:
abegi, who told you its all of them that are actually importing petroleum products, is that not why its a scam, how many of them are actually spending money to import petrol, is it those who pack water and put petrol on top to deceive regulators [of course they too are compromised] that are doing business? madam business woman, if the subsidy regime was that rigorous as you are implying, most of these marketers would have found something better to do that will reduce their hassles.
If they are not spending money to import, who is mounting pressure on your Fx, Ghosts? why is naira exchanging for 345 if no one was demanding for fx?
I know internet is everywhere now,it is no license to delve into issues you have no idea about.
Ok!! I can see you are still in 2012, buzz me when you check your calendar.
PoliticsRe: Fuel Scarcity Looms As Marketers ‘doublecross’ FG After Price Hike by Aura2(f): 3:29pm On May 26, 2016
[quote author=chigoizie7 post=45987998]
In that case, what price is pegged for the marketers?
Sell as you buy, if you can buy. Regulatory taskforce are only there to check dispensed volume and quality not price.


Why wouldn't FG come out and tell Nigerians the truth?
The information is best for people who are in the business, yours is to buy available product at an affordable price, marketers and Govt are responsible for availability, always know your place in the polity. you cannot be a conductor asking the driver to give you the vehicle registration papers to keep.
How many nigerians deserve to know the truth in the first place? they are busy with APC and PDP, when they are tired, they will ask the right questions.


Don't u think there will be more queue if NNPC sell @ N145 and other marketers sell above N200?
What did my post say about long queue at the govt stations?


[b]Do u think the reason for the removal of subsidy is achieved? Maybe yes, to save FG some money, but did it save the general populace a dime? Will it reduce the queues in our petrol stations?
[/b]We all now know that prices of commodities in naija markets are all dependent on PMS prices, how much is FG going to gain with regards to how poor they will make nigerians? Does it worth it? Turning blind eyes to the plight of the masses?
Subsidy removal is not designed to save you a dime, it was designed to relieve the government of forex differential burden accrued to the marketers who are coming to advance the availability chain because the insecurity in the delta has eroded the govt's capacity to provide at the subsidized rate. As a matter of fact we made over recovery before the crisis.
on the flip side, if the Nigerian people accept the increased price, when peace returns to the delta, the DSDP will become an alternative revenue earner for the govt in the downstream sector. OR the govt may still consider reverting to the old price when the coast is clear.

s
Since FG has thrown the fx to open market, are NNPC among those dat will source fx anyhow they want?
DSDP is NNPC's import quota, they don't need Fx to import, even if they did, it is very little compared to the marketers, its perhaps needed for logistics and sundry payments, nothing significant to worry about.


Can petrol marketers survive in such competitions? Even the NNPC? Can they drag the fx market with other importers whose final prices of their goods ain't regulated by FG? ( a businessman is will to buy the limited fx from any market @ N500/$, import his goods, channel the cost as cost of production to the final consumer and still make his profits, can petroleum products dealers do that even when their prices are being regulated? )mind u, the availability of fx is limited with so many people @ demand.
We actually sacked the marketers last quarter of 2015 if you still recall, so yes they will survive however they have been surviving before, as regards the competition, NNPC will sell at the same price with them in major cities and sell at lower prices in villages where the marketers have no significant reach, with proper timing everybody will peacefully coexist.

Yes they will mount serious pressure on the Fx supply of the secondary market so Yes! expect a marginal upward inflationary trend.
As the demand for fx increases, cost of goods and services will increase, one of those goods is pms, there is no cap for the marketers, the only existing cap is for NNPC.
PoliticsRe: Fuel Scarcity Looms As Marketers ‘doublecross’ FG After Price Hike by Aura2(f): 2:45pm On May 26, 2016
Goke7:
so the cbn should continue to give them dollars at the rate of $197 for them to sell at N145 [which is what the marketers want] you don't get it, these marketers can't survive the post subsidy regime. The money they collect from Govt as subsidy even if its 8 or 10 months later is what makes them stay afloat. If I tell my bank who gave me loan that Govt is owing me, that bank is ready to wait forever to get that money cos Govt will surely pay even with the differentials in value of the naira against the dollar. This is what makes the subsidy regime so profitable to these marketers knowing that Govt can't cope too long with a fuel scarcity as the Public will turn the heat on Govt.

The marketers are pretenders, they still want subsidy, forget the deregulation message they preach
So in your undiluted common sense, to land a product at say 146, you will sell 86 and collect 60 naira in 8 to 10 months in a rigorous exercise. (subsidy regimen). Note that 60 naira in their line of business is running into millions of dollars, sourced through bank loans
Without subsidy, you can land it for 146, and collect your 146 at the depot without hassles, which do you think they prefer?
Did you say the banks will wait forever? with inflationary trends moving up on a weekly basis?
Don't bother answering the questions, you sure have not done business in your life.
PoliticsRe: Fuel Scarcity Looms As Marketers ‘doublecross’ FG After Price Hike by Aura2(f): 2:40pm On May 26, 2016
Goke7:
so the cbn should continue to give them dollars at the rate of $197 for them to sell at N145 [which is what the marketers want] you don't get it, these marketers can't survive the post subsidy regime. The money they collect from Govt as subsidy even if its 8 or 10 months later is what makes them stay afloat. If I tell my bank who gave me loan that Govt is owing me, that bank is ready to wait forever to get that money cos Govt will surely pay even with the differentials in value of the naira against the dollar. This is what makes the subsidy regime so profitable to these marketers knowing that Govt can't cope too long with a fuel scarcity as the Public will turn the heat on Govt.

The marketers are pretenders, they still want subsidy, forget the deregulation message they preach
what do you understand by subsidy?
PoliticsRe: $1.8bn Assets Of Aluko & Omokore To Be Frozen by Aura2(f): 2:29pm On May 26, 2016
cktheluckyman:
BTW these properties cannot be freezed by the orders of a lagos high court as there are outside its jurisdiction
That is the essence of those anti corruption agreements Buhari has been travelling about, even a magistrate court in Itako can freeze your balls in 12 commonwealth nations now, thanks to Buhari's anti corruption agenda.
PoliticsRe: Crude Oil Hits $50 Per Barrel. Nigeria not Benefitting by Aura2(f): 2:11pm On May 26, 2016
LRNZH:
For the first time in 2016, Brent crude blend has hit the $50 mark in trading. Other global crude blends are not far off from this landmark price which eases a lot of pressure from the finances of oil exporting countries.

Unfortunately, Nigeria which is bedevilled by the ongoing renewed militancy in the Niger Delta spearheaded by the Ijaw dominated Niger-Delta Avengers cannot benefit from this as the country's oil production level has dropped to a 20 year low.

It is argued in certain quarters that the current surge in global oil prices is due to the reduced output from Nigeria. In which case, we have become a buffer for the rest of the oil producing nations at our own detriment.

This is not a good time to be a Nigerian. There is no sense in the afflictions we have brought on ourselves with this development.
How did you know, Avengers is Ijaw dominated?
PoliticsRe: Fuel Scarcity Looms As Marketers ‘doublecross’ FG After Price Hike by Aura2(f): 1:59pm On May 26, 2016
lustychima:
Watch how pple wit no knowledge abt the subject matter come here and rant like some few above me



The only and best solution out of this mess IS A WORKING REFINARY just like me friend above rightly said
The refinery that worked early this year, Avengers have bombed its feedstock lines, shouldn't you be dealing with avengers first before building new refineries?
PoliticsRe: Fuel Scarcity Looms As Marketers ‘doublecross’ FG After Price Hike by Aura2(f): 1:53pm On May 26, 2016
chigoizie7:
FG are so daft.

1st u calculated @ d template of 300/$ to arrive @ N145. Good.

2nd, u allowed the value of naira to dollar to be determined by the market when u really don't have enough dollars to go around. In this case, the demand outweighs the supply, automatically, the price will increase which means, if it increases and the marketers are able to get fx finally @ above 300/$ will they still sell @ N145?

FG make una ask una selves that question.no business man will want to be @ lose here.
I don't think the 145 naira peg is for the marketers, the minister has clarified that, 145 is NNPC's peg, because the minister is using the DSDP programme as NNPC's import quota, with low crude price, the landing cost of NNPC's supply is way below 145, however to avoid long queue in big cities, NNPC intend to sell same price with the marketers which will become a revenue earner for the FG.
same way we earned over recovery at the beginning of the year.
PoliticsRe: Fuel Scarcity Looms As Marketers ‘doublecross’ FG After Price Hike by Aura2(f): 1:42pm On May 26, 2016
Goke7:
the marketers can never survive without subsidy, that's what has been keeping them in business for so long which also makes them credit worthy to banks, now that subsidy is gone, most of them will wind up soon. Only the major marketers can survive post subsidy regime.

Most Nigerians don't understand this. The only solution to the fuel crisis, is working refineries period.
But you read that the Q4 2015 subsidy was recently paid ie almost 8months of debt on the marketer, don't you think he would have preferred getting his money on delivery?
A better explanation is that secondary market doesn't even have enough, ask any BDC for $1m, they will start calling all the geopolitical zones in Nigeria let alone marketers who trade in hundreds of millions.
BusinessRe: Forex: CBN Throws Naira Into Open Market, Nullifies N197/$ Exchange Rate by Aura2(f): 10:27am On May 26, 2016
[quote author=Barcholder post=45966061]
Firstly, regarding investment in infrastructure, I've already done that and will be starting manufacturing of a key product that's currently 100% supplied by importation. We will be the only local manufacturer in the country, and can significantly undercut the price of foreign imported product.
I was referring to Nigeria not individuals, about your plan, without a developed infrastructure in Nigeria, its not gonna be easy for you to penetrate the market due to overhead costs. Do a proper feasibility study before you start, the moment you manage to penetrate the market, some chaps are gonna source for cheaper alternatives where lower cost of production exist, price war ensues and voila! you are out of business.
wish you luck though



To your point about liquidity, you are plain wrong. The reason for the move to floating FX rates is to encourage foreign investment into the country again. That's exactly how you increase liquidity. Crude oil accounts for 91% of our foreign earnings, way too high. One of the ways to change that is to attract foreign investment into new industries in the country. These new factories will not only meet local demand, and thereby reduce foreign importation, but can also be exported to other countries, thereby bringing in more FX, as exports are typically priced in USD.
Capital flight has absolutely nothing to do with crude oil prices. Why would a foreign investor sell up their shares in a highly profitable local company because the crude pricesare low? No, they sold up because of the huge uncertainty around Nigeria'seconomic policies, one of which being FX. When you are seeing Capital Controls being put in place, you are going to scramble to get your money out before it's trapped in Nigeria. That's exactly what they did, that's what hot money does.
Am I wrong because I faulted a fundamental economics principle OR I am simply wrong because you don't agree with me? take your pick.
There are two kinds of investors in your economy, those in the money market and those on the street.
The ones on the street stimulate both the micro and macro economic parameters, while those in the money market stimulate macro in the long run, if you take an instantaneous tab of who the Nigerian people feel more, it is the investor on the street, but reading between the lines in your post I perceive your idea of capital flight is basically foreign investors in the money market, I may be wrong though.

If that is the case in your submission then the investor pulling out his funds has more to do with oil price than you think, now let's get pragmatic, mention one oil producing country whose economy is largely dependent on oil having a robust stock market at the moment?
the money market is fuelled by forecasts and speculations that's why there are ratings that keep tab on players in the money market.
whether you are buying govt debt (whichever instrument you choose), loaning money to the govt etc, the investor considers first his risks, in our case low crude price and production cut has made our risk higher, no matter how attractive our premiums are the investor knows that there is a chance of default occasioned by lower earnings hence the risk determinant for his investment.
Funny enough you disagreed with me then turned around to buttress my point, you mentioned an investor scrambling to pull out his funds due to fx restrictions, well, you just didn't see the big picture which is the fact that lower crude prices have caused lower fx earning hence the need to scramble and tighten if i can borrow your terms.
How do you increase liquidity by attracting foreign investors when the investors are seeing your country as a high risk?
Until crude wakes, the liquidity will come, the economy will be stimulated, our ratings will improve and investor confidence will be guaranteed, until such a time, foreign investors will be on the edge.
The question I want you to ponder over is this; will you tighten and scramble if there was more than enough to go round? If your answer is NO then lower crude price and production cut is empirical to your tightening and scrambling.



I agree that short term we will see a spike in prices locally because there are fewlocal alternatives. However, that will change as local manufacturing increases. Trust me, it's already happening. By the end of the year, you will see a lot of products currently imported exclusively, being locally produced.
It is going to have a stop and push effect, once the naira strengthens, importation will set in, smart importers are sourcing for cheaper fx offshore, before something becomes an alternative to another, it must present similar or better content in cost and value, local manufacture will never displace importation at this point when we lack the infrastructure that will add value to the local goods.
we only ask for strength to accept things we can not change.
BusinessRe: Forex: CBN Throws Naira Into Open Market, Nullifies N197/$ Exchange Rate by Aura2(f): 5:58pm On May 25, 2016
[quote author=Barcholder post=45954070]As requested by many on this thread, I'll provide a very simple explanation of the new FX regime we have entered into.

1. The Naira will no longer be "Fixed" against the Dollar, but will now be determined by the forces of supply and demand.
Some essential products (i suspect raw materials) will be given concessionary rates.



Please note that even in a fixed FX regime, the rate is still determined by supply and demand. CBN spends our valuable FX to buy Naira in order to help stabilise the rate at their chosen rate. When the true underlying weakness of the currency becomes too great, the CBN simply can no longer supporting the currency or they will run out of money.
Absolutely


That's where we are now, and have no choice but to abandon the fixed rate policy. Even Saudi Arabia, with reserves of almost $1 trillion, is under pressure to abandon their fixed rate policy before it bankrupts them, never mind Nigeria with barely $25 billion left.
Saudi Arabia's forex reserve few months ago was $609b, their decision to float the Ryal is connected directly with sustained lower crude prices.



2. Contrary to popular belief the scarcity of FX has been caused by an unprecedented flight of capital out of the country since May last year, as investors were spooked by the 6 months delay in naming the ministers. Markets hate uncertainty, and that's exactly what we had.
You have no idea, capital fight is a chain reactionary effect of low crude prices (that has lost nearly 70% of its value since August 2014)
The crisis in the Niger delta has led to production cut of over 800,000bbls of oil recently, that is almost the production capacity of the United kingdom is lost to vandalism. The rest issues are secondary these are the real reasons for your forex shortage.


3. The foreign investors will only reenter the market if they see value in the currency. Nobody is going to buy Naira at 197 when they believe the true value to be 300. Question, if you had $1 million in cash, would you agree to change it at 200?
Foreign investors will consider security first before thinking of your currency, most oil producing countries are either heading towards recession or shrinking in GDP world over not just Nigeria, hence financial analysts worldwide have marked those investment destinations as red, if you like, redenominate the naira to equal $1, you will still not see any serious foreign investment except crude prices wake up and security is tackled in the Niger delta and North east.


The only way to solve the liquidity crisis that was created by this very same regime through very stupid policies (such as the imposition of Capital Controls), is to allow liquidity back into the country by allowing the currency to float.
How can you get liquidity back into our economy at low crude price? fixed or floating currency regulate or manage your reserves, it has no business with inflow. if you want Nigeria to get back on her feet, pray crude price wakes up, there is no magic to that natural phenomenon, else you continue managing the little you have by either import restrictions, relaxing your currency benchmark (devaluation), divesting your reserves, borrowing for capital projects etc all of these Nigeria have done to no avail, don't think the guys at the CBN are stup!d!!



4. The net effect of this should be that foreign money returns to Nigeria to help build the economy into growth. However, our ridiculous and almost absolute dependence on foreign exports means that we are likely to see a further spike in inflation in the short term, as the official Naira rate will likely be 300 to $1.
This is the reason our economy managers never wanted to devalue, devaluation does not add Forex to your Forex box, it adds misery, obviously, they have run out of options to consider it in part.
It is funny how you think this move will give you a 300-$1, the interbank rate is just coming to compete with BDC, the demand is already at cut throat levels, both will be swallowed by demand, we should be expecting an increase not decrease, again, cost of imported commodities will skyrocket, those are all the dangers of devaluation

This provides a tremendous opportunity for local production to take off in a big way, creating millions of jobs in the process. The weak currency is effectively a 50% tax against importation, meaning that we can now manufacture cheaper than imports.

If we are smart, we will seize this opportunity.
Funny, production requires investment in critical infrastructure, if you dare bypass it, your end product will never be competitive, how can a broke country invest at this time?
Investments and savings are made in the time of plenty not the other way round. People who export en masse profit from devaluation, on your part, you have not even made the investments neither have you built your infrastructure and here you are thinking of profiting, bros, are you a pastor? grin grin

Regards

Uvie
My professional regards to you too
BusinessRe: Forex: CBN Throws Naira Into Open Market, Nullifies N197/$ Exchange Rate by Aura2(f): 5:09pm On May 25, 2016
sigmundfreud:
"He, however, said the apex bank would retain a special window to fund critical transactions in foreign exchange, which would likely attract a concessionary rate."
Therein, lies our problem!
REMOVE THE SPECIAL NONSENSE.
even raw materials?
PoliticsRe: 10 Infrastructurally Most Advanced Cities In Nigeria. by Aura2(f): 2:00pm On May 25, 2016
OBAFEMIawolowo:
The list should be

1. Lagos
2. Abuja
3. Port Harcourt
4. Enugu
5. Ibadan
6. Kaduna
7. Calabar
8. Kano
9. Uyo
10. Owerri.

My opinion though
Ibadan on the list qualifies ph, else ph shouldn't be there
PoliticsRe: Harder Times Ahead With Galloping Inflation - Uche Uwaleke, by Aura2(f): 4:39pm On May 23, 2016
Icecomrade:

The Last time i checked ardent Buhari supporters told me the economic hardship will go away as soon as the budget is passed. I requested for concise changes to expect, as usual they get give any. All they can offer is to keep faith foolishly in Buhari

The budget passage has come and gone.

Am still waiting for something to show that Buhari has capacity to rule this country.

What I see daily in his economic policies is a man ignorantly driving the populace of this country to abject poverty.
Since you are waiting cap in hand for others to enlighten you, doesn't that make you ignorant? economic matters aint for dullards.
PoliticsRe: MEND breaks silence, tackles ‘Niger Delta Avengers’ - Premium Times by Aura2(f): 4:26pm On May 23, 2016
papparatzzi2013:
NDA is IPOB and IPOB is NDA.

Why are they clamouring for release of the Bleaching Lunatic aka "Our Dilector ".

We cannot be fooled. SE is using NDA to destabilise Nigeria.
The bigger question is; why will Niger deltas allow easterners to pollute and destabilize their region? Civilian JTF said no to Boko haram.
Niger deltans must stand up to this guys in arms, they are the biggest losers in this mayhem.
The result of a referendum will shock Kanu in the SS.
PoliticsRe: MEND breaks silence, tackles ‘Niger Delta Avengers’ - Premium Times by Aura2(f): 4:25pm On May 23, 2016
papparatzzi2013:
NDA is IPOB and IPOB is NDA.

Why are they clamouring for release of the Bleaching Lunatic aka "Our Dilector ".

We cannot be fooled. SE is using NDA to destabilise Nigeria.
The bigger question is; why will Niger deltas allow easterners to pollute and destabilize their region? Civilian JTF said no to Boko haram.
Niger deltans must stand up to this guys in arms, they are the biggest losers in this mayhem
PoliticsRe: MEND breaks silence, tackles ‘Niger Delta Avengers’ - Premium Times by Aura2(f): 4:20pm On May 23, 2016
MEND also said the Niger Delta region shall not be part of a secessionist Biafran State


The landowners have spoken, Igbos should face east!! Nnamdi Kanu should face his Abia state!!
TravelRe: Buses Collide Along Umuahia-okigwe Road (Graphic Photos) by Aura2(f): 4:09pm On May 23, 2016
simple seat belts would have saved from the second to the last row, the inertia was so much that they flew out of the window?
Damn!! this is grose!!
Car TalkRe: Number Plates: How Well Do You Know Your Car? by Aura2(f): 2:56pm On May 23, 2016
moscobabs:
Lagos SMK 195 CV
Nissan Quest

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