FortifiedCity:


This is what we call 'Initial gra-gra'


Quote me in 7 months if alert enters same time

Appreciate good thing this ipob idiot bad belle. At least he is better than the ponmo eater

gift2xl:


hmm... all i c is self greed, what is government.

I dont get express yourself properly

Kingsley1000:
I AM RIGHT NOW IN SOKOTO,TAMBUWAL TOWN IN TAMBUWAL LGA.I can tell you authoritatively that atiku will lose this election.The locals here will rather vote osibanjo than atiku

Dont mind the resident Nairaland ranters. When results will start showing up, they will cry rigging and dust up their Biafra or death placards and start distracting everybody in the streets of onitsha, aba and abakaliki

Realname:
[s][/s]

We don't care who nominated whom, lets just kick Buhari out

With your paltry 5%? Your optimism id sickening

gift2xl:
They are the only people who can guarantee the future for Adamawa people because of many development projects embarked on by Buhari and Bindow in the last three and half years.



THIS DUDE IS GREEDY, HE THINKS ONLY ABOUT ADAMAWA. WE NEED A PERSON THAT CAN BETTER THE 36 STATES NOT ONLY ADAMAWA. BUHARI HAS FAILED.

He has said his own, go and vote for the person who will guarantee your own state future. What is your business with his choice

tonex360:
Which Nigerians is he talking about..

Majority

Egabs:
Tinubu are u speaking fr ur self or ur party because I no u are nt speaking for nigerians bcus daura is a goal for bubu na two sure be that

Tinubu is speaking on behalf of majority of Nigerians

Chrismario:
This man called Tinubu should be reminded that this is Nigeria not Eko. You can single handedly discard Ambode and lure Lagoon sycophants to stand with you. Come 2019, it's better to be president-less than to re-elect the lifeless man

Buhari will be re-elected an people like you will not do nothing. Ezi

Drinkwater07:



Look at the way you and op are allocating figure anyhow. Do you really think buhari will win that election

Which of the figures are not true picture

- President Muhammadu Buhari will get the support of Igbos in the 2019 general elections, a prominent Igbo monarch, Eze (Dr.) Oliver Ohanwe, has said
- Ohanwe said voting Buhari is the best guarantee for the emergence of an Igbo president in 2023
- He lauded Buhari’s economic revolution
National vice chairman Christian Royal Fathers of Nigeria, Eze (Dr.) Oliver Ohanwe, Obi Gburugburu Ihim, has asked President Muhammadu Buhari not to worry about Igbo votes in the 2019 presidential election.
Eze Ohanwe, a member south-east council of royal fathers, assured the president that the people of south-east will vote massively for him in the election.

Eze Ohanwe, who is also the traditional ruler of Ihim autonomous community in Isiala Mbano local government area of Imo state, said that the entire Igboland are in agreement that voting Buhari is the best guarantee for the emergence of an Igbo president in 2023.

Speaking to Daily Trust, the monarch said he has been mobilising other traditional rulers and key stakeholders in Igboland that Buhari is the way to go in 2019.

His words: “This is one of the projects I am convinced with and I am pursuing it with all vigour and sincerity because as a foremost traditional ruler in the south-east, I am committed to it because I know it is the best project for Ndigbo now.”
The monarch also said one single term is not enough for President Buhari to achieve tangible developmental objectives.

“I agree with the president that you cannot achieve much under four years considering what he met on the ground. If his first four years is used for building, the second term will be used to consolidate on the achievements of the first and I believe Mr. President is a man of honour who will deliver on his promises,” he said.

Eze Ohanwe lauded what he described as Buhari’s economic revolution, especially in the agricultural sector, saying that his policy on rice production has led to food sufficiency in that sector.
“We have now put importation of rice behind us and we now have rice that compete favourably with the imported ones,” he added.

senatordave1:

In other to avoid controversies,lets just give rivers,delta and aks narrowly to pdp

I was very generous to PDP in Ondo, Akwaibom, Imo and Kaduna

senatordave1:

no emotional bias opinion and mature argurment.
Op,your figures are very accurate,more accurate than my projections.it looks as if it was the real results while reading it,so exhilarating.its almost perfect.the real results will not be just fractionally different from this.your a top class analysis.i wish atikulooters can analyze like this...

Thank you very much. I

KATSINA01:
Your forecast is very realistic, not in the figures but in percentage margins. The only state I'll dispute is Kwara state where the APC will win. Kudos.

saraki will deliver kwara to PDP. his candidate, atunwa will be governor.

Awol1:
How did you arrive at the figures?

With what algorithm?

With what statistics?

What register?

estimated voters turnout, of approximately 55% across all states. All river state and akwaibom state will not turnout 2015 figures. there will be violence in Akwaibom state.

raumdeuter:


I think OP was generous to APC in Kwara Adamawa AkwaIbom and the SouthEast APC will get votes way lower than he projected

Also I dont see a situation where Bayelsa will have over 400k votes, What is the total population of Bayelsa?

Also in the SS voters turnout will be lower, There is no SS man on the ballot like the last time

Ekiti total votes will be lower than that

Use the 2015 elections as the benchmark for turnout

generous to APC in southeast? did you see the figures at all ? its 13% for APC in imo and 19% for anambra. let me tell if care is not taken APC might poll 25% in each of the states. mind you both Anambra and imo, the biggest in SE, cant turn out more than 650k votes each. i am from the southeast.
Imo. APC -. 94, 947. PDP - 591, 298.
Anambra . APC. 97, 964. PDP. 536, 731.


my forecast didnt give Ekiti above 400k. you might be right for Akwaibom, but with the recent decampings and akpabio senatorial zone effect. the margin in akwaibom for PDP might not be more than 500k

McMay112:
E b like say u don go smoke dat nonsense wey una dey like take.

heaven know say dat ur lifeless party no go even fit gather 50 vote for 2019 general election.

wake up gambler no go use ur fada house go gamble bcoz e go clear 4 ur eye. u supporter of doom.

social media rants and wishes dont win elections, party structures win elections. if Amaechi, Akpabio, Adams oshiomole and delta APC will have the backing of the security agencies. PDP will be heavily shocked in the Southsouth

kingkakaone:

I Other accurate except u are planning to doctor the results to be this next year.

Buhari may win but he won't get up to 19m votes.
Atiku may win too. The election next year is too dicey that nobody can get a close call at this stage.
I also think Lagos votes margin will be wider than that as most of them will go for their son, Osinbajo.

I also think Buhari will lose Kwara and Adamawa with a wider margin than u think.
Predictions will be getting more accurate from January, not now.

I can't vote for both of them sha.

yes you are correct, by january it will be very clearer. i dont think Atiku will win Buhari in Adamawa, write it down somewhere. yes atiku might win Kwara with wider margin, but, it wont exceed 50-60k. kwara has a very small number of votes and wont affect the general result. one thing is certain, buhari will run PDP very very very close in Kwara

raumdeuter:

OP While I can see reasons with your numbers. This calculations what was it based on? Was it on some percentage for you to come with figures to the nearest unit not an estimate

Then the Ondo part going for PDP, who are the strong PDP men in Ondo that will deliver for the party, know the last time PDP ruled Ondo was like 10yrs ago with Agagu

its based on approximate figures of votes expected. if i do it by percentage it may not show the true reflection in term of voting strenght. for example. PDP can score 99% ib bayesla but the number of votes might be 400k while APC can score 70% in kano and have 2million votes. so percentages doesnt show the true picture.

for ondo Gov. Akerodolu is not performing well and he has problems with NWC of APC so it may affect APC adversely in the general elections. see Imo also for similar circumstances

https://www.nairaland.com/4819668/true-situation-2019-presidential-elections. the true picture of 2019

with just about 3 months to the general elections, its increasingly becoming clearer, the strenght of each party in variuos regions and states. Barring a monumental turn around in electoral fortunes of the 2 major political parties, this is the true reflective outcome of the 2019 elections. if you dont agree, give me your opinion please without insults please. please no emotional bias opinion and mature argurment.


NORTHEAST.

Bornu APC - 1,297,659. PDP. 94, 392.

Yobe. APC - 879, 231. PDP. 79, 053.

Adamawa. APC - 498, 563. PDP. - 324 506.

Taraba. APC - 279, 835. PDP. 335, 965.

Bauchi. APC - 1,124, 547. PDP. 229, 094.

Gombe. APC - 318, 985. PDP. 175, 213.

NORTHCENTRAL.

Kwara. APC - 218, 890. PDP - 227, 310.

Plateau . APC -. 320, 429. PDP - 618, 645.

Benue. APC .- 198, 687, PDP - 434, 678.

Nassarawa. APC. -274, 093, PDP - 246, 713.

Niger. APC. - 763, 401. PDP. -112, 953.

Kogi. APC. - 446, 791. PDP.- 315, 472.

SOUTHWEST.

Ondo. APC- 375, 672. PDP. - 401, 493.

Ogun. APC - 395, 254. PDP - 361, 850.

Osun. APC. - 553, 321. PDP - 367, 371

Oyo. APC - 538, 096. PDP - 256, 743.

Ekiti. APC- 218, 094. PDP . 154, 675.

Lagos. APC. 1,009, 371. PDP. 876, 381.

SOUTHEAST.

Imo. APC -. 94, 947. PDP - 591, 298.

Ebonyi. APC - 85, 409. PDP. - 297, 301.

Enugu. APC - 44, 836. PDP. 459, 217.

Anambra . APC. 97, 964. PDP. 536, 731.

Abia. APC. - 48,452. PDP. - 331, 439.

NORTHWEST.

Kebbi. APC. - 804, 430. PDP. - 95, 087.

Jigawa. APC - 847, 761. PDP - 240, 371.

Kaduna. APC - 986, 407. PDP- 583, 975.

Kano. APC - 2,189, 901. PDP. 353, 864.

Sokoto. APC, - 834, 973. PDP. - 237, 075.

Zamfara,. APC. - 632, 405. PDP. - 176, 913.

Katsina,. APC. - 1,425,731. PDP - 79, 947.

SOUTHSOUTH.

Delta. APC.- 225, 781. PDP. -875, 962.

Akwaibom. APC. - 489, 364. PDP. - 780, 431.

Bayelsa APC .- 38, 942. PDP. - 314, 753.

Edo . APC. - 356, 753. PDP.- 355, 652.

Rivers. APC. - . 403, 274. PDP. 784, 327.

Crossriver. APC.- 98, 963. PDP 356, 548.


APC. -- 19, 319, 987.

PDP. 13, 063, 398.



Omooba77 4601CE, senatordave, butterflyle0, shukuokukobambi Kenekingisback SternProphet, raumdeuter, SarkinYarki, resurgent4oodua famology TonyeBarcanista,doctokwus:

senatordave1:

Tuniski come and read this.atiku wont poll up to 300k in this 2 states while buhari will amass up tp 1.5 million

NORTHEAST.

Bornu APC - 1,297,659. PDP. 94, 392.

Yobe. APC - 879, 231. PDP. 79, 053.

Adamawa. APC - 498, 563. PDP. - 324 506.

Taraba. APC - 279, 835. PDP. 335, 965.

Bauchi. APC - 1,124, 547. PDP. 229, 094.

Gombe. APC - 318, 985. PDP. 175, 213.

NORTHCENTRAL.

Kwara. APC - 218, 890. PDP - 227, 310.

Plateau . APC -. 320, 429. PDP - 618, 645.

Benue. APC .- 198, 687, PDP - 434, 678.

Nassarawa. APC. -274, 093, PDP - 246, 713.

Niger. APC. - 763, 401. PDP. -112, 953.

Kogi. APC. - 446, 791. PDP.- 315, 472.

SOUTHWEST.

Ondo. APC- 375, 672. PDP. - 401, 493.

Ogun. APC - 395, 254. PDP - 361, 850.

Osun. APC. - 553, 321. PDP - 367, 371

Oyo. APC - 538, 096. PDP - 256, 743.

Ekiti. APC- 218, 094. PDP . 154, 675.

Lagos. APC. 1,009, 371. PDP. 876, 381.

SOUTHEAST.

Imo. APC -. 94, 947. PDP - 591, 298.

Ebonyi. APC - 85, 409. PDP. - 297, 301.

Enugu. APC - 44, 836. PDP. 459, 217.

Anambra . APC. 97, 964. PDP. 536, 731.

Abia. APC. - 48,452. PDP. - 331, 439.

NORTHWEST.

Kebbi. APC. - 804, 430. PDP. - 95, 087.

Jigawa. APC - 847, 761. PDP - 240, 371.

Kaduna. APC - 986, 407. PDP- 583, 975.

Kano. APC - 2,189, 901. PDP. 353, 864.

Sokoto. APC, - 834, 973. PDP. - 237, 075.

Zamfara,. APC. - 632, 405. PDP. - 176, 913.

Katsina,. APC. - 1,425,731. PDP - 79, 947.

SOUTHSOUTH.

Delta. APC.- 225, 781. PDP. -875, 962.

Akwaibom. APC. - 489, 364. PDP. - 780, 431.

Bayelsa APC .- 38, 942. PDP. - 314, 753.

Edo . APC. - 356, 753. PDP.- 355, 652.

Rivers. APC. - . 403, 274. PDP. 784, 327.

Crossriver. APC.- 98, 963. PDP 356, 548.


APC. -- 19, 319, 987.

PDP. 13, 063, 398.

Igbo groups throws their support to the leader of shiite muslims sheik zakzzaky

senatordave1:
I just discovered that buhari's biggest fans on facebook,zara onyinye and rosemary ndoma are from the ss/se

Also Uche Diala, Benson Obimma, Efe T Williams, Joseph odok etc

raker300:
the ID cards wasn’t for only northerners, it was for everybody.

Don’t misconstrue the exercise to something sinister

You need to travel to the north to enlighten them about the truth. Most people in the north already have this information. Atiku will lose heavily in the north

baliyubla:
APC and baby politics, when it became obvious "Atiku is a thief" jab won't fly with Nigerians, they had to shift to "Obi hates Hausa's", trying to feast on their imaginary perceived hatred between the Hausa's and Igbo's, in turn painting Obi as a Tribalist.

Yet the forget that the worst tribalist, fanatic, religious bigot and Jihadist ever know to mankind is their dullard, and that's why Nigerians can't wait to Obidiently Atikulate.

Its there already. 90% of Northerners will not vote Atiku for the following reasons.

1. Atiku is percieved in the North as a thief "barawo".
2. The Northerners love Buhari with passion.
3. They see Peter Obi as a tribalist who demanded that notherners wear ID cards in Anambra, and closed their shops.

All Northerners know this, and you know what that means.

Same way PDP painted PMB in the south as a jihadist, Islamist, Northernization agent, Bigot and lover of the north. PDP should not cry foul, they are served the dose of their own medicine.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0oF3himfK2M

IbrahimDamola:
Booharri don go.

NE= Atiku

SE= Atiku

NW (especially Kano) = Atiku

NC= Atiku

SE =Atiku

SS = Atiku

Sw= 50% Atiku

Where boobhari wan take get him vote as him chanji propaganda don yamutu.

NW , Atiku? Please give me that substance you are taking, it sure makes people very high

gurunlocker:
Lol... APC are bad loser, they are already scared before next year election day

Bad losers? Have they lost? I didnt know when inec released any result

BabaRamota1980:
What has herdsmen link to danfodio got to do with Islam?

Danfodio was not the father of Islam in Nigeria.

We have Muslims in Nigeria that practiced Islam before danfodio was born.

Nonsense!

You will know the link to danfodio when the election result in NE and NW are announced

The Sultan of Sokoto, Alhaji Sa’ad Abubakar lll-led Jama’atu Nasril Islam on Tuesday knocked Governor Samuel Ortom of Benue State, and a former Aviation Minister, Femi Fani-Kayode, for linking the herdsmen killings across Benue, Taraba and other parts of the North, to the continuation of the late Usman Danfodio’s jihad.

The Sultan is the President General of the JNI with its headquarters in Kaduna.


The group warned the governor and his cohorts, not to take Nigerian Muslims for granted by denigrating the Muslim community.

This was just as the JNI urged Nigerian Muslims to intensify prayers for peace as the 2019 general elections approach.

The JNi added that the need for Muslims to pray for hitch-free polls became imperative as politicians continued to foment crisis in the land.


READ ALSO: ‘Leave Fayose out of Buhari, Obasanjo’s fight’

He called on “Muslims to intensify prayers for peace to return to the nation and for a hitch-free 2019 general election as politicians are busy trying to cause crises with their unguarded utterances.”

Saying that the group would not have reacted to the governor’s vituperation, but for the fact that it maligned the name of the revered Usman Danfodio.


The JNI through its Secretary-General, Dr. Abubakar Khalid Aliyu, stated this in Kaduna on Tuesday.

The group said, “This is a reaction to a recent interview granted by HE Samuel Ortom, Governor of Benue State to an online TV programme, The Osasu Show, in Makurdi, the state capital, and has been carried widely by both the print and electronic media, to the effect that the ongoing herders-farmers clashes in his state are a continuation of the Jihad of our revered Shehu Usman Danfodio.

“For the records, the governor is not alone in throwing these tantrums, Femi Fani Kayode, one-time Minister of Aviation during the reign of President Obasanjo has always said lots of unprintable things against Shehu Danfodio. This rejoinder is premised on the fact that Islam does not encourage its adherents to castigate other people of faith or fabricate lies against them but encourages that once the Ummah (Society) of Islam is frequently maligned, then it is incumbent on the society to defend itself, hence the need for this write-up.


“The Benue governor got it wrong, most likely because of his malicious intent to smear the revered personality of Shehu Danfodio who had said in a widely-quoted statement that: “Truth is an open wound, only justice can heal it.”



https://punchng.com

They are registering little children in the north in order to continue holding people in bondage, we will not participate in such charade - Nnamdi Kanu

They are registering little children in the north in order to continue holding people in bondage, we will not participate in such charade - Nnamdi Kanu