₦airaland Forum

ArcSEMPECJ:
All these names you mentioned are like a dot in the circle to the bragging of Tinibu that it was him that out Buhari in Office after Buhari came crying to him.....
.
The South South had an opportunity to have President voted and elected but some of you Yorubas never wanted it to happen, that s why when Tinibu took the stage, he said it is not FuluYorubanisation , that Fulani and Yorubas are Brothers , betraying and ignoring South South and South East.... thinking it will last forever anyway .

We have come a long way in this political game played in 2014 against Jonathan but it is a lesson to other Southerners apart from South West that they are free to work with the Hausas or Fulanis inorder to get whatever they want just like South West got their own ..

So what is your problem here? Is it only Yorubas that know how to play the game of Betrayal

Thanks for the bolded part. At least, you have testified to the political power of Tinubu. Many folks like you argued that the contribution of Tinubu and the SW to Buhari winning in 2015 was not that much.

AMINDA:
No worry yourself. Falle Daya Ce

Live from ADC Sokoto State Secretariat
ADC 2027 Congress pic.twitter.com/iZEAVlsrHm

— EJIKEME🇳🇴🇳🇬 (@ejykmykel1) April 11, 2026

I hope you wouldn't hang yourself if Tinubu end up winning in 2027. Your opposition, which you are entitled to, is taking an unhealthy dimension. You need to calm down.

Alaigbo:
If you know how much those people hate n jealous those from the SW with passion you will understand why or how they are able to forgive others.

There is no jealousy from the SW. The fact is the SE has a special sense of rivalry for the SW. They blame them for everything, even the civil war.

zegxy:
Continue with your ass licking. If I may ask how has that changed your miserable life? Are you better off since your god came to power than now ?
But your obsession for the SE won't let you reason with your God give brain.
Bro grow up, you aren't getting younger

You talk as if you know me so well. My life is far from miserable. You would be happy to have someone like me in your lineage. You think everyone on NL is your mate.

Tareq1105:
It's bcoz of:

1. They can easily be deceived bcoz enemies of their enemy immediately becomes their friends irrespective of past disappointments.

2. They believe that Yoruba blocked their chances of producing the president forgetting that power is not served hence the needs to build bridges of love over time and not hatred.

3. They don't know how to navigate their way to power. I mean not being on the right platform that can lead them to presidency.

All your points are valid.

They generally see the SW as their political enemy. So, any group of people or geopolitical zone that is at odds with the SW becomes their friend.

mrvitalis:
The reason South East is angry with Jonathan defeat is because it has ruined Nigeria
Economy is worse
Insecurity is worse
Poverty is worse and many more

Trust me if APC had performed igbos would be championing APC now

But
Let's see how fast South West would move on from Tinubu rightful defeat

So, you mean the South East are better at understanding good governance than the Niger Delta folks? I am shocked at how stuck our South East brothers are in 2015. There is more to it. What you conveniently ignored from my earlier post is how the SE have seemingly forgiven people from other region who contributed to Jonathan's loss in 2015. People like Saraki, Amaechi, Dino, El rufai and Atiku.

The South West are always to blame for any perceived negative feeling our South Eastern brothers get from Nigeria. It is historical. The SW is blamed more for the civil war than the North. If a SW politician team up with a Northerner and a Niger Deltan to form an alliance the South East people do not like, they would mainly blame the SW politician. If there is any unpleasant story written by some newspaper against an Igbo person, they would blame the Lagos-Ibadan express way.

If Tinubu loses in 2027, the SW would move on. There are even Yorubas that do not like Tinubu. Besides, the SW rarely vote massively in one direction.

The Niger Delta people moved on faster from Jonathan's 2015 defeat than our South East brothers. Tinubu, who lead the campaign against Jonathan then, even got almost 40% of the votes in the Niger Delta in 2023.

The Easterners are yet to forgive Tinubu. Funny enough, they seem to have forgiven the other people that campaigned against Jonathan in 2015, but not Tinubu and the SW. People like Saraki, Dino Melaye, Amaechi, Atiku, El rufai, and so on seem to have been forgiven by our Eastern brothers. I honestly don't know why?

Kkb1977:
Please see how Dangote turn Nigerians into slavery. He wants to do same with oil

If you convert those figures to dollar using the prevailing exchange rates under each president, then you would see that the price of cement has not changed too much.

I am not here to defend Dangote, but I am sick of people being dubious with numbers and conveniently ignoring the fact that the exchange rate in 2026 is not what it was 27 years ago.

This one is on the security agencies.

Do we need to remind them that these Fulani terrorists attack Plateau and Benue Christians during Christians events and holidays like Christmas, New Year day, Easter? It has been like that for decades.

If we had security agencies that are up and doing, they would know that those two states require extra security, surveillance and intelligence gathering around those Christian events.

Nigeria is failing us.

Sheuns:
All these gibberish won’t still change our mind to gang up with the north to boot out incompetent Tinubu.

There’s no southern unity. There never was.

Good! With your gang up, Tinubu still remains the candidate to beat in the next election. The fact is that the political equation of Nigeria still favours the SW more than any region in the South. I hope folks like you don't complain in the future about how the SW in coordination with the Fulanis monopolize power.

Bobloco:
If 2015 wasn’t reserved for a Southerner when Jonathan sought re-election, why should 2027 be?


The sudden chorus of “it’s the turn of the South” sounds less like principle and more like political blackmail.

In 2015, when Goodluck Jonathan sought re-election, the APC didn’t feel bound by zoning. They fielded a Northern candidate and won. No outrage. No moral sermon about It's a particular region's turn.

So why should 2027 be different?

Today, zoning is being dressed up as fairness to pressure Nigerians into overlooking harsh socio economic realities under Bola Ahmed Tinubu, rising hardship, worsening insecurity, economic strain and electricity black out. But elections aren’t about geography; they’re about governance.

Let’s be honest: “it’s the turn of the South” is an APC talking point, not a national law. It’s their internal arrangement not a binding rule for other parties like the ADC or for voters.

Just as APC ignored zoning in 2015, others are free to do the same in 2027.

Nigeria isn’t a relay race. No region holds a baton. The only thing that should matter is competence, not convenience.

Even if Tinubu loses the presidency in 2027, it would be on record that he was the president of Nigeria. He also played smarter than GEJ who spend his time appeasing the North, building almajiri schools and doing things he thought could pave way for his second term, without doing major projects in his region. In the end, the North voted him out.

Tinubu, while strategizing for second term, is still ensuring massive projects are carried out in Lagos. He's constructing the Lagos-Calabar highway, approved a billion dollar light rail in Lagos, billion dollar modernization of Lagos ports, almost a billion dollar upgrade of the Lagos airport and so on. As a strategist, I think he knew that the North might gang up with some Southerner to vote him out.

Why did I state all the above? If Tinubu does not win next year, he would have achieved most of his goals. He would forever be referred to as a former president. Would the same be said of Peter Obi?

When we talk of Southern turn, it is bigger than Tinubu. Is Obi not a Southerner? If you think you want to even the score of 2015 with the SW through Tinubu, good luck to you. A part of me even want it to happen so people like you can enjoy the feeling of revenge.

Just know, the chicken will come home to roost. The Northerners have the history of ganging up with some disaffected Southerners to take over power from the South. They did it in 2015, they are doing it now. Obasanjo, a Southerner, is the only president who was said to have knelt down to his deputy (a Northerner) just to do a second term. They wanted to gang up against him then as well. It is a pattern and it is not going to end soon.

If Obi and his followers gang up with the North to take power to the North, the alliance will not last one term. Another Northerner will gang up with the Yorubas or Ijaw , make a Yoruba/Ijaw man the VP (a useless position) and keep the power in the North. Last last, the South will get sense maybe after 100 years.

Mind you, I prefer Obi, Ameachi or any other Southerner to rule till 2031 than have a Northerner take over next year. The yoke must be broken.

Svoboda:
NO big deal about deputizing atiku. After all, they ran on the same ballot 2 election cycles earlier. This was the same strategy that eventually catapulted George Weah to power after claiming he won Ellen Sirleaf previously.

It is a big deal, given how Obi and Obidients were so confident they won in 2023.

The analogy of Weah that you used is wrong and irrelevant to my earlier comment. George Weah never deputized Ellen Sirleaf after claiming he won. Weah contested again and won fair and square.

It would be a big deal if Obi who claimed to have won in 2023 agrees to deputize Atiku four years later. By claiming he won in 2023, he is implying that he defeated Atiku as well. Why play a junior partner to Atiku that was not able to command as much votes as him four years earlier?

The thing is that the claim of Obi winning 2023 was directed as an attack on Tinubu. Whenever Obi and Obidients make that claim, they don't have Atiku in mind. They don't genuinely think Obi won. That is the only rationale that could make me wrap my head around Obi deputizing Atiku four years later.

lawani:
I asked but you refuse to answer. Now that Kwankwanso is in ADC, what about Kwankwanso/Obi ticket?. Can an Atiku pull more votes in the North than a Kwankwanso? As Yoruba villages are being deserted now and the NSA caught sending non indigenes there as vigilantes is not sacked by Tinubu. These same Ribadu vigilantes are probably responsible for banditry across the country. Who among Kwankwanso and Atiku is best positioned to solve the problem?.

Apologies for not responding earlier.

Atiku is more entrenched in the Northern political establishment than Kwankwanso. There are levels to this thing. Buhari was far stronger than Atiku, and Atiku is stronger than Kwankwanso. Atiku's influence spread across North East to North West, and to some extent North Central. The same cannot be said of Kwankwanso, who is only strong in Kano and to some extent Jigawa.

I don't see Kwankwanso/Obi doing better than Atiku/Obi. Atiku/Obi remains the most viable ticket to go against Tinubu.

alsudan:
Read the Piece again, but this time slowly. We are actually saying the same thing.

My bad! I have modified my previous post.

No other ticket other than Atiku/Obi stand any chance against Tinubu.

That said, it would be strange for Obi, whom he and his supporters, claimed to have won the presidential election in 2023 to deputize Atiku just four years later to face Tinubu.

When people claim that Obi won in 2023, they only think about Tinubu, forgetting that it would mean that Obi defeated Atiku as well. Now accepting to be the deputy of Atiku four year later does not look good. Obi would need to respond to this at some point should he accept to deputize Atiku.

johnmartus:
equivalent to approximately $48.79 billion US Dollars.

Meanwhile south Africa 2026 fiscal budget is $157 billion US Dollars (USD).

We really look unserious in this country.

Are you ready to pay the tax they pay in SA? Nigeria is among the least taxed countries in Africa, not even the world.

Tinubu would be happy with Obi/Kwankwanso.

Northerners understand power, they are politically savvy and they clearly understand the difference between the powers of a president and the vice president. There is no way Adamu in Jigawa would vote for Obi over Tinubu.

The only ticket that stands any chance against Tinubu is Atiku/Obi. Obidients need to get out of your echo chamber and understand that the Nigerian political permutations is beyond the narrow one your fellow Obidients revel in.

Linzo:
You people can talk anybow, all Obi vote was organic without anything like rigging anywhere. You guys was just shocked for his performance beyond expectations. Calm down, with Atiku-Obi in 2027 the shock will be more

You know nothing about politics. Politicians rig mostly where they are popular. If you didn't know this, you have no business here talking about politics. If a politician gets 80% of the votes organically in an area, it is easy for such political to inflate his votes further and his base would support it.

As popular as Buhari was in 2015 and 2019 in other parts of Nigeria, he could not rig himself to win the East, even as the president. Similarly, Tinubu that you all claimed rigged 2023 could not win the East. It was because they were not popular there.

Rigging does not realistically work like changing 2 votes to 20,000 votes. It is changing 50,000 votes in places you are popular to 90,000. Nobody challenges you.

The interesting thing in Nigeria is that votes still count. It is because votes count that politicians buy votes. Politicians mostly only pad their votes with rigging.

bolaayenimo:
You are politically naive

No problem. I think I am quite competent when it comes to analyzing Nigerian politics.

Let's wait and see. That said, it would have been more helpful if you gave your counter-narrative.

PS: I did a quick dig into your previous posts and I get why you call me naive. You are an Obidient!

Streetinvestor2:
You forgot to add trump factor.Tinubu used usa factor to remove gej.He has not been best of friends with trump/usa

See another funny post. Trump factor would be a gift to Tinubu. The core Northerners are not likely to vote in favor of any Trump-supporting candidate except the candidate is a Northern Muslim going against a Southerner.

The problem is that some of you don't process national politics beyond your local environment and with the understanding of the various tendencies in a plural society like Nigeria. It is the same reason some of you are confident Obi won 2023, without factoring how he did in Jigawa, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Sokoto, Borno, Bauchi, Zamfara, Yobe etc. To you, since all your friends and church members in Festac, Amuwo Odofin, Onitsha, Port Harcourt, Asaba e.t.c voted for Obi, then he must have won the election.

Trump to the Northerners and even many SWners represent the opposite of what he means to the Easterners.

JealousCobra:
In free and fair elections between Obi and Tinubu , Obi will beat Tinubu blue black, he has proven it before....but anything outside that Tinubu has his way easily.


Atiku, Obi, Amaechi and Kwakwanso should reach a consensus agreement to save Nigeria from APC mess.

You know nothing about Nigeria politics.

In a two-way match-up between Obi and Tinubu, Tinubu would beat him silly. There is no way core Northerners would vote for Obi over Tinubu. Don't be deceived by the current grumbles against Tinubu coming from the North. Northerners simply want power back in the North. It is their way and it didn't start today.

However, if no major Northerner is on the ticket of any major party in 2027, and it's Obi vs Tinubu, they would vote massively for Tinubu.

It is only Atiku/Obi that can defeat Tinubu in 2027. No other combination would.

Some of you on social media are too naive about the Nigerian politics. It was probably GEJ's and Obi's political adventures that triggered your interest in presidential politics.

nairavsdollars:
Obi/Kwankwaso ticket

Can it shock APC in 2027?

SlavaUkraini:
Yet he will be VP candidate to Peter Obi in the next general election...

And that is a nightmare scenario for Urchins

Many of you lack the proper understanding of Nigerian politics. There is no way Obi/Kwankwaso defeat Tinubu in a two-way match-up. I could bet everything I have in this world on this.

If you didn't know, Nigeria's elections have historically been driven by ethnicity and religion before any other thing like economy, security and so on. The Northerners complaining about Tinubu are doing so mainly because they want power back in the North. Their seeming opposition to Tinubu is not sincere. If for some reason it's a two-way match-up between Tinubu and Obi, you would be surprised at how they would vote for Tinubu en-masse.

If you doubt the place of ethnicity/religion in our politics, why are most every Igbo/Southerner rooting for Obi/Kwankwanso and the Northerners are rooting for Atiku/Obi? Tinubu (a Muslim) in 2023 ran with a Muslim to entice the North to vote for him. This is Nigeria! It is what it is!

The ticket I feel strongly that could defeat Tinubu is Atiku/Obi. No other combination would do it.

NaMe4:
The info provided is current and accurate. That's the basic salary of young medical officers in government-owned hospitals. Allowances barely make up to an additional 50%.

Private hospitals generally pay better than government-owned hospitals today.

No young consultant receives 1.5m per month from any government-owned hospital. What CONMESS grade Level would that be?

I strongly doubt your figures. Also, based on information available to me, doctors in federal hospitals earn more than those working in private hospitals. Note: I am not talking about doctors who own private hospitals. That is not to say that a very few private hospitals in Nigeria do not pay more than government hospital.

A simple google search shows that consultants in government hospitals earn between 800k and 3 million monthly.

By the way, I did not relying on google search for my previous information.

NaMe4:
Comparison of basic salaries of medical officers in both Countries.

The minimum wage in both countries is the most appropriate metric for wage countries.

I personally have problem with what you posted. The salaries of doctors depend on various factors in Nigeria. For example, doctors working in government hospitals generally earn better than those working in private. Besides, the 250k you posted up there was the salary of a registrar (senior resident doctor) in a federal hospital 12 years ago. I have very strong reasons to doubt those figures.

A young consultant in a federal hospital does not earn less than 1.5 million per month.

Islie:
Why are you quarter cleaver too by omitting if it per day or monthly to make justification for your propaganda.

I now ask how much is minimum wage per day in Nigeria compared to what a barber charges on an hair cuts

You try so much to be smart in condescending manner, but you cannot even do a simple conversion. Divide the 70k minimum wage by 22 days and convert it to cedis or dollar. The Nigeria's minimum wage is still higher than Ghana's.

angelboy01:
Atiku/Obi failed before. You guys no even know history than to dey shout Atiku/Obi up and down .

The political dynamics of 2019 is different from what we have today. It is unreasonable to think Atiku could beat Buhari in 2019. However, it is reasonable to see Atiku/Obi beating Tinubu in 2027.

The voting patterns in Nigeria are largely influenced by ethnicity and religion. Other considerations play a minor role. The fact is that the North wants to be back in power and they would easily vote for a strong Northern candidate.

AMINDA:
Gentle reminder that the South didn't vote Tinubu. He only won 4 Southwestern states out of 17 Southern states. The North made Tinubu president with 5.6m votes. Tinubu didn't even win in Lagos and Osun but you expected ALL Northerners to vote Tinubu in a landslide as if Atiku is an outcast. How many votes did Buhari get from the Southwest. Did they vote for him in a landslide? That's not what the data says. Tinubu only got such huge votes from the North because respected individuals like Elrufai pricked the conscience of Northerners and urged them to keep their word. How has Tinubu repaid Northerners and his most loudest 2023 campaign champion from the North? Time is a gentleman.

If it's really about the South and not Southwestern/Tinubu quest for power, he should have supported someone from the Southeast. Even after winning, he has proceeded to disenfranchise Obi by destroying the LP and even the PDP that already zoned its ticket to the South. Tinubu is not the preferred candidate of the South.

You have just decided to major in the minor part of my argument. I don't need to argue with you.

By the way, the way some of you revel yourselves in emphasizing Tinubu's loss in Lagos is laughable. We do not practice the America-styled electoral college system in Nigeria. So, losing a state does not really matter as what amount of votes you got in a state. For all the noise about Tinubu losing Lagos, he had more votes in Lagos than in any other state in Nigeria in 2023.

WhizdomXX:
Atiku did not win in the north in 2023, Tinubu did and this was what caused Tinubu to eventually win. If not, Atiku would have been President.
Going from the above, if Atiku could not win in the north against Tinubu, why should Obi who beat him in the south vice him. Instead Obi should lead and a more popular but younger northerner than Atiku should be his vice.

You are incorrect. When you sum up the total votes from the 19 Northern states in 2023, Atiku had more votes. I am 100% certain about this.

Tinubu can lose only if Atiku is a presidential candidate and Obi is the vice. This theory is also dependent on whether Obidients would support the ticket. Any other scenario would easily return Tinubu as president.

The Northerners complaining about Tinubu are doing so because they want power back in the North. Historically, the core Northerners always get nervous the moment they are out of power. This is the main reason they are complaining about Tinubu. If you recall, Atiku still won the majority of Northern votes in 2023, even as Buhari (a Northerner) was just completing 8 years. If any other Southerner e.g Obi is made the presidential candidate of ADC, you would see how the Northerners would vote for Tinubu. Their anger towards Tinubu is not sincere.

On other hand, if Obi is not on the ballot of any major political party as a presidential or VP candidate, Obidients would sit the election out. They might not vote for Tinubu, but they will not vote the other tickets too. The Igbos, who represent a large chunk of Obidients, also strongly believe that it's the time of the East to be president. Most of them are not openly admitting it, but their body language is saying this loudly.

In conclusion, an Atiku/Obi combination can win in 2027. I do not see any other combination defeating Tinubu.

Interesting!!!

I honestly don't believe that Tinubu lost Osun to Atiku in 2023. I have firmly held this believe, even when most people don't talk about it. I believe Adeleke, who was very close to Atiku at the time, played a major role in the outcome of that election. I am of the opinion that Tinubu's people know this as well, but decided not to talk about it because they won the presidency.

What is the incentive for this?

I strongly suspect that Amaechi orchestrated this himself to give himself and his party a momentum in the state. Never trust politicians, especially someone like Amaechi.