₦airaland Forum

Using a trends similar to 2011 elections, with few condition remain unequal, based on current landscape, we will make the following preliminary projection.
NOTE
* There are 29 gubernatorial seats up for grab in 2015.
* 10 incumbents are contesting. For a second term.
(3 PDP state)
(7 APC state)
*19 vacant seats
( 15 are in PDP Controlled states)
( 4 are in APC controlled state)
NOTE Also
Many factor were consider before arriving at final result to view factor for each state visit( Greater Nigeria ChannelC0033AAD7).

ABIA STATE
(Expect too many court case leading to nothing after the election PDP winning 57% sure Second by APGA)
PDP- DR. OKEZIE IKEAZU

ADAMAWA STATE
( Not minding the outcome of march 28 result and also the Atiku influence expect PDP to win in a close contest)
PDP- MALLAM NUHU AHMED RIBADU

AKWA IBOM STATE
(Umana might try to pull something but expect the PDP structure to deliver again with 63% guaranty second by APC)
PDP- EMMANUEL UDOM GABREIL

BAUCHI STATE
( This is a state that will be closely contested considering the outcome of March 28 result, expect the PDP Structure to deliver and the tribunal later being busy. Don't forget leaders of these state refuse to work with PDP because they want to deliver their Son. Second APC)
PDP- HON. JATAU M. AUWAL

BENUE STATE
(This is the state whereby the wind of change cannot be interfered, PDP govrt long let them self down with Suswan losing his Senator seat and Mark the only PDP surviving *Column* expect APC to see this one through with 57%)
APC- ORTOM SAMUEL IORAER

BORNO STATE
(PDP have no chance of seeing this out expect APC winning with 62% sure second by. PDP)
APC- KASHIM SHETTIMA

CROSS RIVER STATE
(APC lack the political muscle to seeing this out considering the PDP strong political structure. Expect PDP winning 61% sure)
PDP-AYADE BENEDICT B

DELTA STATE
(This is one of the state that will be closely contested not considering the March 28 result, but expect the PDP to see this Through follow by the LP candidate( OGBORU ) then APC (OTEGA). Expect the tribunal to be busy after the election )
PDP- SENATOR(Dr) OKOWA IFEANYI ARTHUR

EBONYI STATE
( LP will try to pull something out of this but expect PDP to be seeing this through. PDP 62% sure of winning followed by LP)
PDP- NWEZE DAVID UMAHI

ENUGU STATE
( This is the state that even if nobody is represent PDP, APC as the nearest candidate will still be losing to PDP. A no go area to APC. Expect PDP 80% sure winning)
PDP-UGWANYI IFEANYI(Gburu-Gburu)

GOMBE STATE
(Not minding the outcome of March 28 result were the PDP refuse to work against their Son, expect them to be seeing this one Through slightly followed by APC)
PDP- IBRAHIM H DAMKWMBO

IMO STATE
(Though many will disagree with this but expect APC to be seeing through followed by PDP.
APC- OWELLE ROCHAS ANOYO OKOROCHA

JIGAWA STATE
(Not minding the outcome of March 28 result were PDP leaders refuse to work for the party because the Governor is being held back by EFCC, expect LAMIDO deliver with 56% sure this time around second by APC)
PDP- MALLAM AMINU RINGIM

KADUNA STATE
( Many will disagree with this but base on the outcome of March 28 expect PDP to be edging this out follow by El rufai
APC but expect the tribunal to be busy later)
PDP- MUKHTAR RAMALAN YERO

KANO STATE
(No go area to the PDP candidate even though the death of the state REC is suspicious expect APC to be winning this with 60% second by PDP)
APC- DR ABDULLAH UMAR GRANDULE

KATSINA STATE
( This is a state that even the PDP candidate are is afraid of campaigning with his party name. The home of the General. So expect APC to be winning this clean)
APC- AMINU BELLO MASARI

KEBBI STATE
APC ABUBAKAR ATIKU BAGUDU

KWARA STATE
(This is a state that ordinarily no citizen will want APC to come out victorious, but the SARAKI factor will be what always determine the outcome so expect APC winning)
APC- ALH. DR ABDULFATAH AHMED

LAGOS STATE
( This is the state that will be keenly contested most. Many factor will determine the out come but expect the PDP to pull a shock victory)
PDP- JOSEPH OLUJIMI AGBAJE (JK)

NASARAWA STATE
(The state governor escaped impeachment last year but will not escape that of the masses this time around. Though APGA will try to pull something out but expect the PDP to come out victorious)
PDP- YUSUF M AGABI

NIGER STATE
(Not minding the outcome of the March 28 election were ditto Jigawa took place the PDP will be pulling a shocked victory 57% followed by APC)
PDP- UMAR NASKO

OGUN STATE
( The PDP in divided home will give room to APC coming out victorious with SDP coming far 3rd. Note the OBJ factor will work very well here. So expect APC to be winning with 58% sure follow by PDP)
APC- SEN IBIKUNLE AMOSUN

OYO STATE
( History will be reckon in this state as the APC candidate will be the first to win a second term mandate, expect APC winning with 56% sure followed by LP,PDP)
APC- ABIOLA AJUMOBI

PLATEAU STATE
(the APC lack the political strength the muscle the PDP candidate. Expect the PDP winning with 58% sure followed by the APC.)
PDP- SEN GYAN NYAM SHOM PWAJOK

RIVER STATE
( Amenchi knows if there is any hope of him winning this Election, it must be at the Tribunal. Expect PDP to be winning because WIKE is the major candidate that will be leading the fight against APC fed government as a governor. PDP winning with 60% sure followed by APC)
PDP- WIKE EZENWO NYESOM

SOKOTO STATE
( No chance to the PDP with the caliber of candidate fed by the APC, so expect the APC winning with 63% sure followed by PDP)
APC- AMINU WAZIRI TAMBUWAL

TARABA STATE
( The APC will Try to pull something Out but expect. The PDP to see this through with 59% Sure of victory)
PDP- DARIUS DICKSON ISHAKU

YOBE STATE
(Expect the governor to be re-elected)
APC-IBRHIM GAIDAM

ZAMFARA STATE
( Ditto as YOBE)
APC- ALH ABULAZEEZ ABUBAKAR


With the prediction above Expect the PDP to win 17 state while the APC go home with 12 state. Also in states that are keenly Contest were % sure was not indicated note result might likely swing to other side. (Note Election prediction is almost like football match were until 90mins before u are sure of ur prediction)


COMR ISHANI OBAKPORORO
BUILDERTWIST@YAHOO.COM
08067871456
Many factor were consider before arriving at final prediction to view factor for each state visit( Greater Nigeria ChannelC0033AAD7).

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stanech:
If the oil in Niger Delta belongs to Everyone then why should Lagos be for the Yoruba alone?

100 like for you, the oil as they said is nigeria property located in the ND so lagos is Nigerians state located in the west. Lol

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I love this Guy courage, I see him winning o. JK for lagos .also click to see 2015 Gov Election prediction and survey
https://www.nairaland.com/2247312/2015-gov-election-survey-prediction

santos247:
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BEfore you vote on saturday

Are sure this picture will stop JK from winning?

No wonder no body comment on ur post, u are selfish

backtosender:
bini people are the original owner of lagos

Elaborate.

tpacalipse:
When real wahala starts in Naija, we shall know who owns Lagos. Pray it does not come to that.

Nobody is praying for problem to b4 lagos because all tribes have something to lose. that is the more reason why lagos does not belongs tothe yorubas alone

ElekeNtioba:
well the binis disagree. they say it was merely a land they converted into a war-camp for their warriors and that the aworis were slaves brought to the camp.

But that is not what history makes us to understand

ElekeNtioba:
nice write-up bt here is the problem i have with your claims. You said "...Lagos was initially called 'Eko' which referred mainly to the island" and the "first set of people to settle in 'Eko' were the Aworis". Then you turned and said "...Island become a Benin war-camp called “EKO” under Oba Orhogba, the Oba of Benin at that time." Pls clarify....who gave Lagos its first name

Here is a more plausible version supported by some historical accts; Lagos was initially called Eko. Eko was founded by Benin warriors as their war-camp. The Awori were the first yoruba to come...some say they were brought in as conquered slaves. The decline of the Benin Empire saw Eko made a colonial settlement by the Portuguese who gave it the name 'Lagos'. With the exit of the Portuguese, the yorubas mostly aworis who have grown in number and clout (as the influence of the Benin empire dimnished) took over...even assuming the titular head of the settlement....Oba of Lagos...a legacy of the Benin founders.

So its safe to say the Binis are the original landlords of Lagos. The yorubas only took over after being empowered by the portuguese.

the Benins are not the original owner they only conquer the Aworis which were the first settlers. Also by the time the aworis( fishermen) settled in the island there was no name to it, it was after the binis have settle(and conquer the Aworis) b4 the name EKO comes to play.

Pdp all the way. Rochas will bit finger for going against the Igbos progress

Thanks mark,but u need to up ur vibrant way of handling issues now cos we are looking up to u in the party na.

Mod pls do the needful o

Who he help? Shuun bebe voice

Wendyslim:
The ndigbo shd try to read dis . Lagos is not a no mans land. It is owned by Yorubas and u will agree wit me dat Yorubas are more accommodating dats why dey are proving to also be son of the soil

why keep mentioning a particular tribe?
The Igbo knws lagos belongs to yorubas and you should also knw lagos belongs to all Nigeria.

Ilekeh:
The fact that we're asking this question is disrespect to Yoruba hosts.

don't think u have read the post, maybe because it was too long. Learn to be optimistic.

U have to understand that Ikeja is a local govrt inn lagos and two lagos canonly share boundaries with ogun.

RIP to the dead
Hope u serve my hero very well GEJ why on earth, cos ur true judgment is close o

Quote but pls no insult

We all know the topic currently treading the media about the Yoruba’s becoming uncomfortable with other tribes being dominance on their land(Lagos).which has led to the OBA OF LAGOS jokingly inciting a statement that has been quickly criticize by people of all walk of life including the well mean Yoruba’s. Before we go into the topic in full let me provide an insight on Lagos as a state.
INSIGHT ON LAGOS STATE.
Lagos state is an administrative division of Nigeria, located in the Southwestern part of the country with an estimated population of about 22million as at 2014. The state was created May 27, 1967 and its state capital is Ikeja. Before the Portuguese name of Lagos had been adopted, it was initially called “EKO” which referred mainly to the island. The first sets of people to settle in EKO were the Aworis. Over 650years ago, the OBA OF BENIN sent warriors to EKO who were welcome by the Aworis and the Island become a Benin war-camp called “EKO” under Oba Orhogba, the Oba of Benin at that time. The name Lagos which means “Lakes” was given to the settlement by the Portuguese.
Presently Lagos is the most populous city in Nigeria, the second fastest-growing city in Africa and seventh in the world. Its population of about 22million is made up 13.5% indigenous lagoscian, 26.4% non Lagos Yoruba’s and 60.1% non Yoruba’s. The percentage increase of Lagos population yearly is 9.34%.
Lagos is the Highest Internal revenue generated state with a wide margin to Rivers, Delta and Edo who occupy second, third and fourth respectively (see top ten tables below).83% of this revenue is generated from PAYE, 9% is from Direct source and the rest from other source. In terms of allocation receive Lagos (N168b) is the fifth state far below Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Delta and Bayelsa. This shows the effect of internal revenue in the development of the states. Lagos of today is used as a benchmark for the development of other state in Nigeria. Railroad out of this country Lagos is the image used to describe Nigeria then others follow. This positions us to the question:
WHO OWNS LAGOS?
For fair judgment the question will be answer from two perspectives which will later be summarized to produce a realistic conclusion.
A) Lagos is a Yoruba man’s land.
Lagos is a Yoruba man’s land because they are the first group of people to occupy the land, which makes the land space of Lagos to become theirs. Also they are the once expected to majorly take the shame and glory of any issues that befalls the land. For example if crisis befall this country today, other tribes will escape to their land leaving the Yoruba’s to stand and defend Lagos alone. (Fact)
B) Lagos belongs to all Nigerians
This might sound contradicting to the first answer which is a fact but let’s face reality, Lagos belongs to the whole tribes that inhabit the land and Nigeria at large (once a capital of Nigeria which mean it was once develop by fed govrt). The development of Lagos was not made possible by the Yoruba’s alone but all Nigerians and her inhabitant. The population distribution alone shows the effect of non-Yoruba’s in the development of Lagos. Take Lagos out of the southwest the rest states is as good as Benue, Ebonyi, Taraba and kwara. Take non-Yoruba’s and their investment out of Lagos then it’s as good as Sokoto, Oyo and Owerri. (Fact)
Also Lagos belongs to all her inhabitant because Section 25(1) of the constitution promises a single Nigeria citizenship while Section 42 expressly forbids discrimination against other Nigerian based on the circumstance of their birth. Not minding the indigenous practices.

CONCLUSION
Every tribes coming to Lagos should understand and must accept that Lagos is not a no man’s land; it belongs to the Yoruba’s. And also, the Yoruba’s should come to reality and understand that development and certain factors have make Lagos not only their but all Nigerians. So fretting most of the Yoruba’s inciting the hate statements are Yoruba’s that came to Lagos from other nearby state for greener pasture like the non-Yoruba’s. Give the northerners this opportunity god has given you to Kano they will so grab it with three hands. So the Yoruba’s should understand that united development have make Lagos a land for all, except they want to make it uncomfortable for other tribe and at the end they will be having another Ekiti in the same region. (Ask those from Warri what crisis is capable of).
[b] (If a Kenyanist can become the president of America because of civilization,
Don’t see why we Nigeria should harboring sentiment among our self)[/b]therefore
I huge all Nigeria to understand that
Lagos is not a no mans land.
Lagos is a Yoruba's mans land.
Lagos was made possible by her inhabitant.
Lagos belongs to all Nigerians.


COMR ISHANI OBAKPORORO
BUILDERTWIST@YAHOO.COM
08067871456
FOR REGRET OR CORRECTION

April 1

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Why will u not support Buhari when most of your planted project are still incomplete. Ur university and the rest.

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