₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
My boy,mention the 12 lgas in kaduna south and how many are in kaduna central?

You can first do me the favour of mentioning how many local govt you known in Kaduna and i would help you a deluded soul to pick the LGA in South Kaduna if you haven't been to Kaduna

garfield1:
Kid,kaduna south has 8 lgas kaduna central has 7 lgas.kaduna north has 8 lgas.kaduna south has the least amount of population

I said it you are deluded

Your principal drug is even affecting you when you have not met your principal

South Kaduna has 12 LGA

Out of 23 they have 12 and they are giving block vote to PO

The rest would be share among Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwaso

garfield1:
You are funny.when they want to rig,they do it secretly.the youths won't know.if they is violence,they will cancel elections and will not re do it which means obi is losing votes.
Se won't record high turnout.they have the lowest votes and turnout,it can never change.they just dont like voting.don't forget even the great ojukwu lost in the east.
Buhari was hated in se,he was seen as a terrorist and a boko haram member.they hated him for dealing with nnamdi KANU and bringing python dance yet buhari still got votes how much more tinubu my son?
There is no guarantee that Arthur eze or soludo will support atiku.anambra people hate them for attacking obi.but in pdp,sen nnamani and Enugu speaker Edward ubosi and many in Enugu govt are working for tinubu already.more people in the se are already working for tinubu against atiku

Why didn't APC rig Osun with BVAS there is nothing like secretly or quietly, In Apc Major areas in Osun during the election

Do you know the youths and people stood till the electoral officer uploaded the result before they left

Its now SE that don't like Tinubu that APC would rig

Such a delusion

dreamxhaser:
Are you mad?

Southern kaduna the most populated? You dey follow vanguard news abi?

Even the people from Southern Kadunn won't utter such. If SK is the most populated, they should produce the next Governor Nah.

Metcheww, nonsense elements

Deluded soul, go and check the last census of the Local govt under South Kaduna before you talk Bala bu here

Urchins would come and tell you Obasanjo has no electoral value

Just watch

garfield1:
70% of se will vote their son obi but the remaining 30% will be open to rigging and apc will out muscle pdp and get more votes.there are few lgas where apc will dominate.pdp will be third.
Obi will get 35% in lagos but I dont see him getting 25% outside except he puts effort in oyo

Nobody is going to rig any election in SE as there would be high turnout even INEC had to cancel the election in some part of Osun where there were thugs interference

Any area with APC thug interference in SE might be responded with violence from the Youth themselves that are not happy with the marginalization they feel they are facing and INEC would cancel and redo those areas

So don't think you can rig there even APC, PDP and other parties house of reps use PO with their billboards

Be sleeping on imaginary 25%

I know one local govt in Abia that the PDP and APC house of rep are using PO as their President

You begin to wonder where APC want to see 25%

SE elites like Soludo and Arthur eze are most likely to work for Atiku than Tinubu as its easier to market Okowayo instead of Shetimma because they know shetima as boko haram in east

garfield1:
Not true.Kaduna south is the least populated.atiku and obi will share it.tinubu will ein kaduna central while kaduna north will go to tinubu and kwankwaso.so tinubu win followed by obi then kwankwaso

This why I say you guys are deluded

You base on assumptions instead of researching

only SK has 51% of the total Kaduna Population: A block vote from here up to 52% of 1.6M in-respect to the total vote of Kaduna 2019 election is 800k+ it would cover to an extent for Katsina and Kano margins than Atiku, Tinubu and Kwankwanso is going to share

MyMouth:
Unfortunately, Yoruba no dey carry religion for head. Ethnicity matters more to them in politics than religion.

If Oyedepo a Yoruba Pastor tell his members to vote PO

Who do you think they would listen to Ethnicity or Religion?

garfield1:
Buhari got 25% in abia,ebonyi and imo.with two governors,apc will have 25% in at least two se states now that obi is killing pdp and pdp is divided there...
Cross river is my state,tinubu will get 25% there.he will also get 25% in edo, delta.Buhari got 40% in bayelsa,tinubu will get same

So you still think SE would vote by Party this year when they have their Son

I love this

Tinubu is not marketable in SE at all except they rig some local government which by this time no single thumb printing from one person

Do you think PO can win 25% in any SW state apart from Lagos

sunboy:
I have no wish here.. just being objective here, I know it’s not what you wish to hear but the constitution says; majority vote + 25% in 2/3 of the nation states. There’s no way Obi is meeting both criteria.
He could get his 25% in SS, SE and SW states but all combined not upto 24, even if you add Abuja to the list.
He also cannot get majority of the total vote casted across the nation for obvious reason that I don’t need to state.

Buhari did not even get 25% total in SE

So with your other guys that call SE nyamri, ipob you still expect 25% in SE total vote

Lol

only cross river would give Tinubu a certain % from 5-15 as my other SS vote in line with SE most time and Bayelsa are not happy with How Tinubu and Buhari remove Goodluck
Okowa is not even sure of wining Delta then Akwa Ibom is PDP state but PO and Atiku would share it

Ttalk:
LP will not get 15% on Kaduna. Am sure of that.

Apart from Benue and FCT I don't see anywhere LP will get 15% in the North

Get a Biro and Book and educate your self

Kaduna is divided into 3 North, Central & South

The south most populated part and also major Christians zone

They on their own with out Peter Obi visiting them said they are giving Bulk vote to PO
Datti is from Central Kaduna :- He would be able to get 5-20% here if he does enough grassroot

North and Central would be shared between Atiku, Kwankwaso and Tinubu

If block vote of Southern Kaduna and 20% of Central Kaduna vote for PO
He would see nothing less than 45% -60%

The rest would be shared among the muslim candidates

mrvitalis:
Bros you sure say your calling no be comedy ?

Tinubu made which inroad into south south ? Then you mentioned south east ?

If APC wins umiahs or Hope's polling unite or even get 25% in the polling unit I would deactivate my account

Then you said Tinubu would trash Atiku up north ? Na wah ooh

Tinubu that's not even sure of wining Lagos

Tinubu is not sure of wining the most bulk voters which are Lagos, Delta, Kano, Katsina & Kaduna

Then I wonder how can he win if where he is to win..

He is sharing vote even with Peter Obi
Damn

sunboy:
My brother, Obi will get some votes for sure but he cannot win any state in the NORTH. You can take this to the bank.

If e get some vote in other people region mind you he is going to win

Your wish is he should not get bro

Ttalk:
These guys are so dumb that even Obi will distance himself from these nonsense, imagine someone saying Obi will win Kaduna, that's share fantasy

Who would win Kaduna? Give your imaginary vote now

sunboy:
Obi cannot and will not win any state in the north. He might come second in states like Taraba, Jos and Kaduna.

is Benue, Plateau south....also Who would win Kaduna based on North , Central and South with South having high population

sunboy:
I stop wasting energy to explain this. With Atiku and Obi emerging, it’s a win for Tinubu. Kwakwanso would been a big deal but he’s only popular in the north.

If Kwakwanso is popular in the north, is that not where Tinubu major vote is to come from

How would he still win?

garfield1:
Yorubas always give their sons bloc votes.the west is one tribe,north is different tribes.buhari never had 70% up north,atiku cannot.kwankwaso is more loved than atiku

Damn
Who is more tribalistic between West and North right from time?

Keep on banking of votes from Tribalistic people from the get go

The North always vote their person most times and you know it... 2023 won't be different

Even Buhari who Tinubu endorsed won Lagos with little difference with all the ballot snatching etc

garfield1:
Oga both tinubu and atiku will share northern votes but tinubu will thrash him in the west

You agree in the west

Two state are PDP with massive PDP structures

If you for once believe those PDP west state would give Tinubu 70%

You also need to drop your delusion and know all APC Northern state would give Atiku 70%

garfield1:
Tinubu is using apc structure,buhari influence,apc governors.tinubu is also a respected father and leader.adamu garba is an idiot,someone that behaves like a mental patient

Damn for your own loyalist

You call him a mental patient

Damn even Tinubu drugs affect you without you even taking it

A mental patient wants Tinubu

Should you also vote who a mental patient want

Are you not mental also

Delusions pro max

garfield1:
Why did atiku lose his polling unit? Why did atiku lose his region to Buhari? Atiku is an idiot,a perennial failure

Ohh.. Buhari is accepted and even wanted by the North then due to his cult like Followers

Can Tinubu beat Atiku in his polling unit? if No
That's how he can't beat Atiku in NE & NW

garfield1:
Atiku will take third son.he's a failure.

Underestimate Atiku at your Peril

Atiku that is not getting any vote from SE and even SS only part of Delta he would see any significant vote
He can't see from Rivers, Akwa Ibom would be little as they are more to vote PO just because of his wife is seen as a Sister than handling Nigeria from a Northerner to Northerner

Atiku is using Ethnicity in the North only and here you are calling a respected Father, Senior citizen and Leader a failure

Reality need to set in for some of you deluded souls

garfield1:
Atiku cannot inherit buhari votes,instead they will vote kwankwaso. They hate atiku. Tinubu has more spread than atiku

If they vote Kwankwaso and Atiku continue using the Northerner needs and know the Northerner not Igbo or Yoruba

How is Tinubu going to win

Lol

garfield1:
Oga,atiku doesnt have masivey structures in ne/nw,it is pdp structures and apc is far stringer than pdp.they dont like atiku in that area

Atiku that Adamu Garba a core APC loyalist call a Father and Leader

You say they don't like him

Its Tinubu they like

I love this

HaHaHa
HeHeHe

garfield1:
Tinubu doesnt need to match buhari record because he has three strong opponents.none of his opponents is in control of more than two regions

And that's why Tinubu would lose

Buhari was sure of NW, NE and SW even before election date

You are not sure

You are loosing

Ttalk:
You are a comedian

You are deluded if you can't understand that even your Principal knows that he can't win NW with 60% at most 40%

This the place Buhari won with 80%

Its a pity I love your tears

Cry more

Ttalk:
How will OBI win NC? How just tell me.

If it were to be based on ethnic, are you saying Igbo are more in NC than Yoruba? I don't just get the vote you guys allocate to Peter Obi.

For NC its not by Ethnic at any point but by religion mostly and oppression
Two NC faced high level of Massacre from Herdsmen and APC is not saying anything or doing anything about it
Then Atiku is a Fulani

If you lost one of your Family or you hear the next village close to you were ransacked by Herdsmen

Then left to Kwara Kogi & Niger
some part in Kogi was in the Eastern part if you check map currently Kogi shares boundary with Enugu and Anambra if i might guess

Those place also face herdsmen with Enugu

Kwara is little margin

Niger is up for grab but if IBB openly tell his people to vote for Obi
Obi would get up to 10-20% here

So you see why Obi is wining NC

sapele914:
Bola Tinubu the strategist is the person behind Peter Obi the pdp confusionist, politics is dirty game not for children.

Pdp give which ticket to an Igbo person?

Lol, not Tinubu but Wike was the person that made policies or plans to force PO out since he already bought most south and he was banking on Tambuwal to do something for him in the North. PO the shishi less man did not spend and have to find Labour Party and he is accepted by the Youths

mrvitalis:
Truth is no body saw obi and Kwankwaso coming

Tinubu was hoping PDP gives it ticket to and Igbo man so he would use the anti Igbo propaganda to win majority of northern votes

Atiku was banking on having south east ,plus south south votes then all he needs is 30% of core northern votes

Kwankwaso hoped APC n PDP would give southerners the ticket so he would take all core northern votes

Obi had zero plans ,was forced to buy ticket , the forced to leave PDP and the journey started

If obi can get 65% of south south votes. ,30% of South west votes , 35% of north central , 4.5 million votes from South east as net votes
25% in Kaduna, taraba, Adamawa ,trust me obi is our next president

Obi would see not less than 50% in Kaduna here is why Southern Kaduna on their own promised Obi Block vote without Obi visiting them
They do the grassroot themselves.. now if Datti can get 5-10% from Central & North kaduna.. Obi comes out with 45-60% depends on turnout

Central and Northern Kaduna would share between Tinubu and Atiku with Tinubu leading a bit due to El -Rufai but PDP also has structures in Central and North kaduna so you can say but Obi minimum is 50%

Kaduna pooled up to 1.6M+ total votes 2019 election between

sapele914:
APC lost Osun State because of internal problems.

No such @ Federal level, clear rigging and victory all the way to Aso Rock.

I can see the height of your delusion if APC can't rig Osun and have to go to court and complain over voting

You better start regretting for BVAS as no single person is going to thumbprint for 50,000 people again

if people want you they vote for you.

sapele914:
One Local Government the Judas will not win in Lagos State.

Even igbos in Lagos State know that Tinubu is a lot better than that empty barrel.

Triple your Delusion

Igbos that locked their Alaba shop to go and register for PVC due to PO and also all the issues Lagos close shops of rally is who your are banking on for Tinubu vote

I love your tears

garfield1:
Highest votes southern kaduna ever gave is 300k and not all will go to obi.some still love pdp and atiku.
Tinubu will get 70% in zamfara.katsina is 50 50,he will win jigawa and kebbi narrowly while kwankwaso will take kano

Tinubu would win Jigawa

Damn

Go and look at Kwankwaso Jigawa rally. You would know Nobody can win North West with high margin but small

And do you think Atiku also won't have a stake in Jigawa

Jigawa that was state in PDP with Lamido

Remember Osun a state of PDP before with all your structures Adeleke won also
Don't give Jigawa to APC at all

Little Margin here

sapele914:
Only political Zombies, new to Nigeria politics will imagine for one second President Buhari or anyone is going to hand over power to Abubakar Atiku?

In the mafia like politics, no honor amongst thieves.

Only deluded people think like that to be honest because Buhari is going to hand over to Peter Obi if Kwakwanso don't step down

As the Northern Muslim vote is going to split into 3 with Atiku taking most of the and all Northern Christains 80% would go for Peter Obi

Tinubu is a spoiler for Atiku because without Tinubu Atiku would beat PO but with Tinubu

Atiku would continue using the Northerner need the Northerner and not Igbo or Yoruba

While PO is encroaching NC 60%

and Tinubu is of Emi lokan to Oyo, Ekiti, Ondo and Osun as for Lagos he can't win it due to other Other tribe