₦airaland Forum

Just knowing PO is winining in Lagos is sweet

Urchins tears taste is sweet

gidgiddy:
This Yoruba unity beggar who cant do without Igbos has started one of his useless threads about Igbo quest for independence

They call people Osu and would say Imo and Ebonyi would give them 25%

I wonder how they reason

Trapnews:
Who cares about Sanwo Olu. We are talking Jagaban, you are talking Sanw Olu. Abeg shift

Can your Jagaban win total votes of the Lagos he built after Adam & Eve

isan:
I'm not voting for Obi because he performed woefully as a governor if don't believe me you can ask soludo

Can you mention 7 infrastructure or projects Tinubu completed?

isan:
so you think vote for vote igbos can match Yorubas in lagos ?

So you think all Yoruba is going to vote for Tinubu? only Muslim -Muslim ticket is enough to divide that

Youths have high voting %

With the way End sarz was handled: Little boy do you think they would go for Tinubu especially with his gaffes

isan:
Osu and their calculations 100% Asiwaju is winning Lagos

Even TVC can't and haven't predict 50% for Drug Lord

Its you little boi that's on 30k peanuts per month

People are angry with APC

Even you unintentionally especially when you want to buy Fuel, Rice, etc

isan:
you should be bothered if obi will win a single state outside south east

Obi is going to win Lagos

You know and the only thing you can do is cry but save your tears for Feb

APCHaram:
You dey mind them

Always doing busy body for another man matter while neglecting their shithole.

Pls kindly vote.

Do you have PVC

isan:
just wait till February , but why igbos from west to north always like to vote opposition in state election claiming they ate rescuing the people only to go back home a vote a governor that share kerosene

Yes or No

Can Tinubu win Lagos

Do all Yorubas in Lagos like Tinubu

When 90% of Igbos vote in Lagos is going for PO and just 50-60% of Lagosians & Yoruba is going to Tinubu

Answer again little boy

Can Tinubu win Lagos

isan:
Lol don't cry now , even Reno omokri has quoted the section in one of his write ups .... i believe the Law was made because some people can start mass migration to another part of the country and attempt to grab power through election

Can Tinubu win Lagos?

isan:
do you even know inec has a law that check how many non- indigine can vote in an election ? many osus will be automatically disenfranchised even with pvc , sanwo doesn't need osu vote , igbos has always voted PDP since 1999

You don't even know what you are saying

Quote the section

Do you think Lagosians are happy with Tinubu Godfatherism and MC Olomo in Lagos

Tinubu & Sanwo Olu stands to lose Lagos as at now

Don't cry next month

isan:
how many igbos are in lagos ? how many of them have pvc ? how many of them is willing to come out and vote ? sanwo is clearly winning

Igbos are more than 3M in Lagos alone

Check any estate in Lagos down from Lekki to Slum whether you won't see any Igbo man living in any street in Lagos

Lmao, is Sanwo competing against an Igbo person

He is competing against a Lagosian

You still believe people that close their Alaba shop to register for PVC and 35% of them have collected PVC except for the ones that traveled won't vote

I say keep demarketing Sanwo Olu by calling Igbos Osu

Tinubu don't need Igbos vote

Sanwo Olu needs them if not Sanwo Olu stands to lose

isan:
Lagosians has been voting Apc and they will do so in next election

In all the Polls and Projections Tinubu is not sure of even wining Lagos, Sanwo Olu has this election to lose without Igbo vote

Social media & End sarz going is influencing Lagos vote this year


Keep calling them Osu

isan:
igbo has never voted apc in Lagos , they've always vote for pdp but now they will vote labour party

If they vote for GRV

Then Lagosians & Yorubas vote for Jandor & Sanwo Olu

Who wins?

Only Urchins would market Tinubu but demarket Sanwo Olu indirectly

Sanwo Olu needs Igbo votes more than anybody in this election

Continue in your folly

Jandor is a Lagosian with Funke Akindele grassroots self the Yoruba vote would be divided into Sanwo & Jandor


IGBO would vote in one way remember, If they go for Jandor or GRV

Who would suffer the effect is it Tinubu or Sanwo?

Keep calling them Osu, IPOB etc

It would make Sanwo Olu lose woefully

OGwales:
Obifrauds e choke Una abi...

Tinubu can't even win Lagos

tinsel:
No Pathway for Obi to Aso Rock
BANTUPAGE MEDIA DECEMBER 27, 2022 6 MIN


Like every country, electoral systems are designed to reflect the reality of the land, Nigeria’s is no different. The architects of our electoral system had our diversity in mind, were they perfect? I think perfect is for the dreamer, I’d much rather find out if they had good intentions, from all indicators, I think they did. Many aren’t aware that our general election is not a winner takes all, but a winner of 24 states, or a minimum of 25% of 24 over 36 states, however, it is likely that winning the majority comes with the other caveat on which victory is subject.We at BantuPage have interrogated the data we received from our physical (face-to-face) poll across the six geopolitical regions, the findings are quite telling. We classified these on states electorates and the candidate’s likeability, winnability and probability. This showed a blockade to LP’s Peter Gregory Obi, NNPP’s Rabiu Kwankwaso and PDP’s Atiku Abubakar pathway to Aso Rock, simply put, their chances look bleak.

Elections in Nigeria are not won on social media, we have heard this statement so many times, but this could not be further from the truth. There are over 80 million internet users in Nigeria with a teeming youth population, an estimated 55 million social media users in Nigeria, ¾ of those are under 40. President Muhammadu Buhari’s last two victories were 15 million each, the number of social media users exceeds that, thus making social media the greatest advertising platform for any candidate.
In the 2015 presidential elections, registered voters were just under 67 million and turnout was just about 44%, i.e., of 67 million registered voters, only about 29 million turned up to vote. Of these, President Muhammadu Buhari garnered 15,424,921 whilst former President Goodluck Jonathan lumped just 12,853.162 votes.

The cry in the South-east for secession and the dislike for President Muhammadu Buhari could have been avoided had these same people turned out to vote for former President Goodluck Jonathan who lost by less than 2.5 million votes. The entire South-east vote was 2,719,658, just about the same number Buhari led Jonathan, turnout amongst South easterners living across the federation was equally low.

If democracy is the government of the people, by the people and for the people, one can question the validity of winning just 15 million out of 67 million voters by PVC ( over 100 million over 18) as inconsequential. The calls for the populace to turn out to vote is echoed all the time, if you don’t come out to vote, you will have another inconsequential representation of Nigeria. In other words, President Muhammadu Buhari won just 22% by PVC holder (13% by eligible voter) of Nigeria’s vote, yet he leads 100% of Nigeria, this is no democracy in my opinion, but to be fair, it is not President Muhammadu Buhari’s fault.

Moving on to the 2019 Presidential Elections, this time the registered voters tally was higher, 83,344,107 by PVC holders (over 100 over 18) but turnout dropped to just under 35%. This time however, his vote total dropped, he, President Muhammadu Buhari garnered just 15,191,847 votes, a drop of over 300,000 votes. His rival Atiku Abubakar performed slightly worse than former President Goodluck Jonathan, with 11,262,978 votes. The cycle continued, just under 30 million out of 83 million voted, and President Muhammadu Buhari took home again just 18% of Nigeria’s vote by PVC holders (13% by eligible voter), yet again another inconsequential representation.
Interestingly, President Muhammadu Buhari bettered his performance in the South-east, from 198,248 votes in 2015 when his popularity was high, despite Obi teaming up with PDP’s Atiku, Buhari doubled his numbers in the South-east to 403, 248 votes. In fact, he scored 25% or more in three South-eastern states, the first time in his career of running for the country’s top position. Is Peter Obi really a noisemaker, or are his supporters empty vessels?

As of the time of posting this video, INEC has recorded 96.3 million PVC registration, an increase of over 12 million. Going back to Peter Obi being the social media President, let’s dissect this a little more, shall we?

We have seen a wave of young people taking part in Nigeria’s presidential election like never in our contemporary history, with the vast majority clamouring for Peter Obi, the Labour Presidential candidate. Bear in mind that Nigeria’s median age is 18.1 years with 52% urban population and a whopping 60% being under 35 years. Only 2.7% of our population are over 65 years, let’s put this in numbers, shall we? 2.7% of 210 million gives you just 5,670,000 people.
that’s already 17 states in his pocket, then in the North-central, he’s sweeping Niger, Kwara, Kogi and Nasarawa leaving him with 21 states. In the South-South and South-east, Tinubu, based on our polls won’t make 10 and 5% respectively, still, he will come first and PDP’s Atiku second. Obi and Kwankwaso will both be eliminated.

It is important to point out that this prediction is based on our polls, and reality on the ground, however, if young people were to turn up in their numbers as predicted, Niger, Kogi, Kwara, Ogun, Osun, Gombe, Taraba, Bauchi, and Kaduna (South) could help Obi cross the line, or at least, make it to the second round.

If you like what we do, follow us on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, TikTok and other platforms. We are an independent media company focused on Nigeria and its affair, we have a weekly Talk Show in the open park of Jabi Lake & Park, Abuja, this will be posted on our YouTube channel once a week, if you’d like to take part and you are in Abuja, send us an email at info@bantupage.com.

Don’t forget to subscribe to be notified every time we bring out contents like this.
https://bantupage.com/no-pathway-for-obi-to-aso-rock/

For Tinubu Lagos that he built from Adam & Eve

If we don't waste our vote on OBI, How would Atiku or Tinubu win

I laugh in bala bu

Dementia things on the beat

See the way Urchins are rejoicing for something they can't even agree

This man gave Atiku 1M votes in Rivers state

Let me laugh in Bala bu

Off the camera in balabu

In urchins world

This one does not have electoral value

garfield1:
Niger is apc.abdulsalam and ibb have retired and are neutral

Don't cry if IBB endorse Obi openly

He probably don't have electoral value right

Raf4:
And u believe that everyone who is a Christian will automatically vote Peter Obi just like that?
The same way u people believe everyone in the SS will automatically vote for Obi. Reality is much more complex than mere wishful thinking �

The same way you believe Tinubu is going to win all SW when 2 states in SW are PDP and even Lagos won't give him high margin

The Christians I'm talking about here is Northern Christians do you know how oppressed they are in the core North

Do you think they would still bet on a Muslim Muslim Candidate

Be honest and don't be deluded

APCHaram:
So the aboki in the north that will decide this coming elections are the ones voting in your rigged polls that have seen your osu last hope emerge winner by a wide margin.

I have warned you that this election you want to use as an excuse to unleash anarchy will be your waterloo

Many of you will die for nothing if you try another Endsars madness and not one sanction will be placed in Nigeria

If you like die for judas for nothing.

Are you pained with just polls that have predicted the past 3 elections or you are pained your Principal is yet to win any single poll by 1st position

if TVC even conducts a poll today;- Tinubu won't even win in that poll

Don't cry, bro


Your Principal can't even win Lagos is own base with high margins where a lot of Osu reside there

How do you think you can with without Osu

You are spoiling the market for your principal if you don't know. Social media influenced Lagos End Sarz and you call people that have
high population in Lagos Osu

Your principal is not even sure of any state in my SS

In Lagos alone, you need Osu more than the north promise if not Sanwo Olu might not even do 2nd term

Just dey play

I laugh in Bala blu

ElSudani:
Your candidate is running a campaign far worse than Buhari's failed attempts at the presidency.
The election is only weeks away, no time for long story. E go clear for your eyes.

You that believe Rallies can decide who wins a election

You are deluded and your eyes and brain is filled with your principal drugs

ElSudani:
You are right. I will let you in on something very secret.
You see, all those millions of people you see at APC rallies are not actually real. They are all computer generated images. CGI.
Keep this to your heart, very few people know this. Mumu.

If you think rallies is the key

You are deluded

This is Atiku 2019 Rally in Kano... what was the result

Politicians that pay people to attend their rallies know its not their main support but mainly for psychological gains

sapele914:
South South is pdp territory & Strong hold like Eastern Nigeria, Tinubu does not expect to win it, thanks to Pandora Pete, the votes of the regions will be split.

That is enough for APC, paving way to victory.

So you believe SE & SS that's also give PDP block in all Presidential election would not give block vote this time around because of who Atiku

Do you know what's on the mind of people there?

Is Nigeria for Northerners alone From Buhari North to Atiku North

Its easier to convince people in SE & SS that power has to go to the South i.e PO than Power remain in the North

Also which APC paving the way to victory: List just 6 states in the North that Tinubu would win with at least 55% Total vote

That's why even Atiku himself is not banking on SS votes he wants to win NW & NE completely

Jungle don dey mature

Lets laugh urchhins in bala bu

sapele914:
EK Clark Chief Ogogoro man himself is supporting Pandora Pete, or do you think you know Uncle Edwin Hennessy up to us waterside men?

This confused ipobian maintain your ground.

Which group has endorsed Tinubu is SS btw?

seunmsg:
I stopped reading at Adamawa state. How exactly will Obi get more votes than Tinubu in Adamawa? Who will give Obi over 200k voter in Adamawa?

Anyway, you guys are free to keep up deluding yourself. The grand delusion will end after the election next month and you guys will go back to ipob agitation.

If you don't know Christianity is up to 45% in Adamawa population alone

Do you think Mus-Mus would be accepted by Northern Christians or what also Adamawa don't like Atiku

The tears of Urrchins taste and its sweet