₦airaland Forum

Top of the hour to you wherever you are reading this, just as the topic suggests this will be about the politics of 2027 and where each aspirant seems to draw their strength.

If you read this with an open mind devoid of emotions but pure logical calculations then you will enjoy it.


First and foremost, as we all can see the major reason for the coalition is to unseat Tinubu which that have never hidden since day 1 of the coalition.

Is this possible?

Follow me as I explain.

I will analyze the coalition candidate one after the other

Atiku Abubakar
If you want to be realistic with the coalition, you will realize it's Atiku brainchild and we all know this is virtually his last chance at giving presidency a shot because by 2027 he will already be 81 years by then and the reality is that if he fails now he can't come back because majority of his stalwarts are tired of his ambition.

His major strength is that if he's given the ticket of the coalition, he has the resources and nationwide spread to make things happen because he's been in the game for long and he has the financial war chest.

If not for Tinubu and Amaechi intervention in 2014 APC primary, Atiku will defeat Buhari in that primary.

His major weakness is that majority of the people will rather not vote than vote a Fulani again after Buhari just left coupled with his age.


Peter Obi
According to statistics on ground, he has his region on lockdown any day anytime and it's understandable because they felt they have been marginalized for a long time which many of them felt Tinubu took their turn in 2023.

They are ready to put everything on the line to get it, another major strength of obi is his social media presence and how he's heavily supported by social media influencers who felt sympathetic to his course.

He also pride himself as the candidate of the youth which could be cool but I don't think everyone agrees to that because of his age.

His major weakness is that he doesn't have the national appeal and he's seen more as a sectional and tribalistic leader because of some of his statements and antecedents coupled with the fact that majority of his supporters are extremists in their believe and they don't give room for the saying *live an let live*.......it's either their way or highway.


Now let's move to the strength and weaknesses of the coalition.

With combined resources of both Atiku and obi, they will definitely pull a great stunt and give Tinubu a run for his money and they will cover each others lapses in places they lag behind.

The major weakness I see to this is that Atiku will surely get the ticket which I am ready to bet anyday anytime, there have been opinions from obi camp that he should deputize Atiku.

Now let's analyze the possibility of both ticket either ways.

Peter obi / any northern........there are statements from obi himself talking about using a single term which we all know that's impossible because everyone becomes an Oliver twist with power and constitutionally nobody can stop a sitting president from vyeing for second term so the idea of obi using one term is impossible.

Coupled with the fact that his people are Nigerians like me and you so why stop them when they have the power when Buhari finished his 2 terms without disturbance.

On this 2 notes, obi will finish his 2 terms in peace.

The question is that will the power hungry north wait for 12 years out of power?

Do u think they are fighting Tinubu because they love Nigeria?

If they can wait for Buhari 8 years, tell me what Tinubu has done within 2 years to cause all these trouble?

Is it the love of Nigeria or power?

If el rufai was made minister will he be in the coalition today?

As for Atiku, I need not say much about that. If he emerges flagbearer the Fulani game will surely work against his ticket and even major northern bigwigs that can't wait to be president in 2031 will work against him because once Atiku becomes president their ambition is gone.

As regards regional politics and dynamics of last election,many things have changed.

South south have number 3 citizen now and once Tinubu wins in 2027, automatically a northerner will become president and a south south person will become VP so they stand to gain staying with Tinubu than the coalition.

The only Christian vote won't work again for obi in 2027 because Tinubu have shown the Muslim Muslim ticket is just mere political strategy and not for Islamisation

The " I am different"... Selling point of obi is gone so it's obvious all Politicians are the same now.

As regards the northern votes, Atiku have never been seen as the Messiah before in the north like Buhari that Is referred to as mai gaskiya ( the one who stands for truth and holiness), so he can't inherit any 12 million votes and Tinubu even beat him in the last election in the north despite Buhari neutrality.

On this note, I give it to you to decide how you thinks things can pan out in the next election.

Your views will b highly appreciated..... Thanks


Cc
Helinues
Jmoore
Gidgiddy
Curious345
Madridguy
LegendHero

AngelahFlo:
Yesterday someone posted Mr Yahaya Bello's latest marriage to his fourth wife despite some pending allegations of the EFCC on him and I read some people's comment about how it's good to have money and be able to enjoy as this man is now.

I'm writing this post to give you 5 reasons why you shouldn't envy any politician's wealth. You may agree or disagree. I'm just stating my opinion.

(1) Wealth gotten by Vanity shall diminish. That's what the Bible said concerning a Politician's wealth. Case in point: A Bacharach has been dead for almost 30years now. What became of all the money he stored up for himself and probably for his posterity? Eaten up by Administration upon Administration of Presidents past and present. Even the late Former President's administration also had a share of the said loot. You cheat and hustle money for yourself on the guise of storing money for your future generations...hmm!
A politician's money ends with the politician in this life.

(2) Their wealth isn't transferable as most of their I'll gotten wealth gets into the hands of their aides or anybody who has access to their money. E.g Abacha and even late Former President Buhari. What has become of all the assets that they had both liquid and Physical?
What's the point in making and keeping money that your children and grandkids can't have access to when you're no more?

(3) Naked we come to this world and naked we will return. Mr Yahaya Bello and his cronies in Politics will not take their money or assets to the grave. And it's not possible to spend all their wealth on this earth to ensure that they die empty with their innate greedy nature.
So tell me isn't it vanity?

(4) Their wealth are subject to decay. Every wealth and assets they garner whether liquid or physical are subject to decay why? Because they're laying up treasure in a dying system. A system thats on the decline. A system that only favors life on this earth and has no eternal value.
Even when they do Philanthropic endeavors. It is to get what they've given back with a plus through another means. Why should anyone want such wealth beats me?

(5) You're only a god here on earth. No human is forever young or Immortal. One day they'll die and live behind all that wealth. They're buried in a small hole in mother earth to become food for worms and soil organisms. They become manure to the earth's vegetation and are soon forgotten.

As I saw that image of the former President's burial and the few people who were present at his grave site, I'm reminded once again that death is the great leveler.

Don't envy wealth that you can't transfer or bequeath to someone with a clear conscience.

Why make such money and your descendants can't enjoy it after you're gone.

All is Vanity if God isn't at the center of your wealth.

just Dey play

If only u know the abacha family still get mad money for kanu n till now the money still dey

U know how many people gimsu abacha give motorcycle n tricycle when he wan contest as governor of Kano then before them stop am?

Oga u better go find somewhere rest


Political money na him sweet pass


Abi u no hear when one politician give over 10 million dollars to his son to start real estate abroad?

Dey play

franchasng:
Tinubu wants to use Southsouth for his selfish political ambition in 2027 just as he used El Rufai, Fashola, Odili's wife, etc. Southsouth people should wake up, it's his way, use and dump.



Don't give him a chance, show him you guys are wiser than his local thinking.

hope u know south south have number 3 citizen in Nigeria today n once tinubu wins in 2027, north will take over in 2031 n south south will become VP automatically cos south west will give them d full support.


So tell me what do they stand to gain by following u?

Are u ready to make a south south person the VP of the coalition?

If not then u are on a long thing


This is pure election calculation devoid of emotions, u can see all their leaders have tilted towards APC, before 2027 rivers n bayelsa governors will b in APC

givedemwotowoto:
In case you forgot

that was the last election when the church voted obi as d only Christian candidate n when many of their governors haven't defect to APC.

Now the game is different, if only wike as governor could do u noisemakers shege in Rivers state don't u think 6 governors will do u shege pro max?

Bayelsa n Rivers state governor will soon join APC oooo, so tell me if d dynamics haven't changed n besides south south people are now eyeing VP come 2031 so what will they gain if they follow u?


Now they have number 3 citizen n fct minister amidst others, by 2031 they will become number 2.

So tell me how they will support u people that can't give them number 2?

givedemwotowoto:
Do you think he’ll win with only 2 million supporters?

did u know how he won in d last election?

U didn't know how someone won when he was an ordinary citizen but today u believe he will lose as an incumbent n not only that the opposition is in disarray.

Either the coalition fields obi or atiku they will lose

Nackzy:
If ADC have sense they should take atiku as president Peter obi as vice anything aside this they will divide the vote again, mark this day and what I just said now

see the reality is that the coalition have no pathway to defeat Tinubu.

If they pick Atiku just know it's easy win for Tinubu cos many won't even want another fulani after Buhari just finish 8 years n even northern Politicians waiting to have presidency in 2031 would oppose atiku cos if he wins their ambition is gone.


If the coalition picks Peter obi, everyone knows for sure that constitutionally u can't stop a man from seeking 2nd term so obi will use 8 years which u yourself know the north can't even wait for 12 years out of power.

The best bet that pays the north now is to allow Tinubu to finish another 4 years n they have their own turn jejely.


If it's Atiku, he will use 8 years.

If it's Peter obi, he will still use 8 years.

Tinubu can only use 4.


So I believe u see the logic, this is reality n not emotions

AMINDA:
Going by your logic, Tinubu is also irrelevant. He lost Lagos and Osun due to Aregbesola factor despite being on the ballot as a candidate. Elrufai was not on the ballot in 2023 in Kaduna. He won his gubernatorial elections with over a million votes both in his first and second terms. After 2027, come back let's compare numbers.

oya now

Tinubu isn't important, oya let's wait n see

EvilMerodack:
This your comment is entirely off-topic
It's more about Opposition strategy and never about Tinubu

Plus, El-rufai didn't even win Kaduna for him. What's the worst he can do? His addition was still a minus in 2023

just leave that guy, same el rufai that lost 3 senatorial seats to PDP even as governor.

Same el rufai that the governor of his state is dismantling his political structures n Tinubu is really waiting for him mess up so he can b picked up to face security petitions against him during his government

AMINDA:
The reception in Kano today was too cold for a sitting President. Rarara would pull better numbers. No Ganduje nor Kwankwaso in sight. The North is gone!

See video of the cold reception below.

Kano people welcome President Tinubu to the state today. pic.twitter.com/N31537xkMQ

— Imran Muhammad (@Imranmuhdz) July 18, 2025

y do y people from that side take delight in decieving yourselves

So of all d pictures available on twitter na only these ones u see

Don't worry, election result will wake u up again n u will resume another round of wailing

Booty4ker:
I just wanna be the prsident, that all!

If an ibo president should do what he did; bought a presidencial jet, changed the presidencial convoy

You know what ganna happened in the country!😫😫

dem no get level reach first so nobody go hand them presidency

givedemwotowoto:
One Term President (OTP). Everyone except his 2 million supporters knows this.

with all your propaganda n cheap blackmail u couldn't stop him as an ordinary citizen na now u yam ree come think say u fit stop am

Oya now

Gotocourt:
You gonna lose 2027, you gonna luurnnn the hard way

coming from same people who couldn't stop him as an ordinary citizen

yarimo:
If not for the arrest they could have blame it on fulani herdsmen

na them b d criminals n na them about about security collapse pass

LZAA:
Like hushpuppi and all those obas abi
I concur

to every hushpuppy caught there are over 5000 people from that hatefilled jungle caught

LZAA:
Errr
E reach to ask o
Is this OP a mod?
202 topics and almost all reach FP?

the op should b applauded, we must let people know those who soil the name of our country abroad, no b Everything we go dey blame our politicians

LegendHero:
India will soon start banning Nigerians from coming to their country. These guys don use their criminalityyy destroy our image there.

hmmm


If we talk now then go ban us, they call Tinubu d drug law but everyday na dem Dey enter prison.

The official language in India prison go don become their language self

ukukaegbu:
He is looking fresher while his enemies are kpaing one after the other

so a 3 time president that died at the age of 82 is who u think u can mock.


Show us any of your relative that have ever been local government chairman

DonXavi:
Which responsibility are you talking about? There is this recent news coming from PH of some people protesting against Igbos celebrating their Igbo festival in PH. But this same people celebrate their festival in other peoples land where they found themselves. What will you call that? Taking responsibiblty?

oga it all boils down to what people want n what they don't want.

They dont want u in their land, it's simple

The other day anambara people killed ebonyi people for having meetings in anambara n nobody talk

Meaning anambara people too don't want ebonyi people

Efuaye:
Will Canadians start protesting now?

Africa is not yet ready to move forward at all.

Some areas of Lagos have begun renaming streets that previously had Igbo names while keeping those that are named after their British colonizers.

it's their land n it's whatever they want.

The other day anambara people killed s ebonyi people for having meetings in anambara n nobody talk

So everyone is free to do whatever they want in their land

Covid19lockdown:
Ronu will not drag this because the man is not Igbo. They would have reminded the Canadian how the Igbo man wants to buy land and dominate their country will Igbos. Envious people

As regards this the Canadian government was informed n they gave it a pass unlike u people that will ignore protocols n do things anyhow

franchasofficia:
India is truly a poor country. My village is a big city compared to what I watched, very interesting video

poor country but u people are running there n u can't stay in your rich 5 plots

hohafrank:
Is it the northerners as a whole or the politicians in the north that doesn't trust Obi?
He should clarify.

the north n ibos are like oil n water

They don't mix

rotadeco27:
U still haven't gotten the gist, how many votes did PO get in the core north in the last election, once the coalition flies PO that is the beginning of their failure. The north will just align with APC straight. Meanwhile, Obi has lost many hundred of votes from the southwest youth that voted him in the last election due to the action of the obedient in reaction to the election loss. The only combination that can give pbat some tremors is Atiku/obi ,if only the obedients will swallow their pride

even atiku n obi ticket will fail cos no b only Fulani get Nigeria

How can Buhari finish 8 years n a southerner just did 4 years n another Fulani wants to come n use 8 years again

Na only Fulani get Nigeria?

Disenfranchised:
Why do yoruba lie so shameless. Okay 2019 is far away. 2023 that's just 2 years ago, which northern state that PO didn't campaign?

oga he told u d plain truth, atiku was hiding obi in d north in 2019 election

There are many states in d north that Atiku didn't even put obi in d poster cos they won't vote an Ibo.

In the last election, obi failed woefully in d north

Eriokanmi:
That's not winning but massive rigging as seen in many states. I don't expect you'd agree though

so u were expecting an Ibo person to win in d north abi?

I can bet u have never been there before, core north don't do Christian n to add insult upon injury, Ibo.


Just dey play

Inosky:
Then, how come he won Nassarawa, Plateau, almost won Benue, Taraba, got significant votes in Kaduna, Adamawa, etc.

If not for the abracadabra they did there, there no way he won't clinch the presidency?

Look, the north are becoming enlightened and the enlightened ones does follow the crowd of confused ones, they vote the best of the candidates, and never allow any Mallam to decide for them.

u don't understand that those northern states he won are Christian states, go to the north n check it out.

Your own mind is that all northerners are Muslims right?


Don't b surprised obi will not win those states again in 2027 cos no pastor will give him the flag again cos it's now obvious tinubu is a balanced religion person n the idea of obi claiming he's a different breed can't work again cos he has joined d structure of criminality


Oga n besides with the way u Ibos mocked Buhari death, don't expect the north to vote for u

Eriokanmi:
The issue on ground isn't about religion but sufferings of the masses. Things have never been so bad in Nigeria, except you want to lie to yourself. Even those who supported tinubu in 2023, thinking he'd perform magic have been disappointed. Obi doesn't need to win kwara. the 25% is fine, which he can easily get. Quote me later. Without Makinde, tinubu would have lost Oyo woefully. Makinde worked so hard for him there. I don't see that happening again cos there's nothing he or any oyo politician can use as a campaign tool for tinubu as it stands. Obi did well in oyo, go and rewind the scenes. He will do much better this time and generally.

Did you hear what the CPC bloc are saying right now? Read the news.

u Ibos are decieving yourselves, obi can only boast of the south east now that tinubu is in power, forget the noise.

All those who hail obi do it majorly online n the Christian vote he got d other time is no longer there.

The vote of "I am different" is no longer there n tinubu is the incumbent now, go n listen to Kenneth okonkwo n see the unbiased truth

heysquare:
Not only Obi including the entire Ibos! They will rather go with the South South than the Easterners. Ibos only love themselves and still want or demand love from other tribes while hating them. They only pretend to love you when they need you or supporting their ideology. The moment you're not in the same page with them they start attacking you. Except Ibos change their attitude for real it will be very hard for them to produce a president.

this is what the ibos will never agree with, with the recent way they mocked Buhari death n reactions from the north.

I bet u, if obi leads d coalition it's automatic win for Tinubu.

Many northerners are really waiting to pay the ibos in their own coin

I am coming back

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